（文章来源：新华财经） 美国农业部数据显示，截至8月21日当周，美国2024/2025年度大豆出口净销售-18.9万吨，前一周-0.6万 吨；2025/2026年度大豆净销售137.3万吨，前一周114.3万吨。 ...

波黑国家台8月26日报道。波黑克族民主共同体（HDZ BiH）主席德拉甘·乔维奇与该党副主席达里亚娜· 菲利波维奇周二会见了波黑联邦农民联盟（SS）代表团。会议重点讨论了波黑联邦农业领域的现状， 特别关注法律框架与生产者扶持政策的实施情况。双方强调需加强联邦各州的农业咨询服务体系，改进 生产激励制度，并解决生产资料供应和本土农产品销售问题。 乔维奇强调，波黑克族民主共同体始终将农业视为战略性经济产业，将继续大力支持改善农业生产、提 高农民地位的相关倡议。他表示通过持续投入知识创新和现代化建设，能确保农业生产稳定性，为农民 提供安全保障，更能推动农村地区的全面进步。 会议最后，双方一致同意将继续通过扶持性政策和农业发展项目开展合作，鼓励青年在农业领域开拓就 业市场。（驻波黑使馆经商处） 会议重点讨论了波黑联邦2025年农业与农村发展现金补贴计划，以及农村发展与可持续回归项目的公开 招标情况。会议还提出需加大对新技术、数字化和青年农民扶持的投入，以确保农业生产可持续发展和 长期稳定。 ...

8月28日，集运欧线主力合约以3.31%的跌幅领跌国内商品市场。据上海航运交易所周一发布的数据显示，截至2025年8月25日，上海出口集装箱结算运价指 数（欧洲航线）报1990.20点，与前一期相比跌8.7%。淡季悲观情绪对盘面形成压制，高价订单推进缓慢，还有部分航司已调降运价。此外，关税问题仍然 对欧洲的贸易前景有不确定的影响。申银万国期货表示，当前9月第二周大柜运价均价降至2200美元左右，周二马士基第37周开舱，至鹿特丹大柜报价1900 美元，周度环比下降200美元，随着各船司运价跟降速度的加快，到9月中旬大柜运价预计将降至2000美元左右，欧线淡季仍在进行中。参考去年淡季表现， 运价下行加快时间点主要是在9月现货揽货压力较大的时期，目前船司在运力调控方面意愿也相对有限，预计短期运价将延续阶段性下行，关注后续船司跟 降情况以及贴水对于市场的支撑。 国内商品期货市场8月28日跌多涨少，其中集运欧线主力合约跌超3%；碳酸锂、鸡蛋主力合约跌超2%；对二甲苯、生猪、PTA、短纤、棕榈油主力合约跌超 1%。上涨品种中，苹果主力合约收涨2.00%；铁矿石、玉米、BR橡胶主力合约涨超1%。 截至28日下午收盘，中证商 ...

Industry Investment Ratings Macro Finance - Index Futures: Bullish in the medium to long term, recommend buying on dips [1] - Treasury Bonds: Hold and wait [1] Black Building Materials - Coking Coal: Range trading [1] - Rebar: Range trading [1] - Glass: Weakening with oscillations [1] Non - Ferrous Metals - Copper: Recommend holding a moderate long position at low levels [1] - Aluminum: Recommend buying on dips after a pullback [1] - Nickel: Recommend waiting or shorting on rallies [1] - Tin: Range trading [1] - Gold: Range trading [1] - Silver: Range trading [1] Energy and Chemicals - PVC: Oscillating [1] - Soda Ash: Short 01 contract and long 05 contract for arbitrage [1] - Caustic Soda: Oscillating [1] - Styrene: Oscillating [1] - Rubber: Oscillating [1] - Urea: Oscillating [1] - Methanol: Oscillating [1] - Polyolefins: Wide - range oscillations [1] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - Cotton and Cotton Yarn: Oscillating [1] - Apples: Oscillating [1] - Jujubes: Oscillating [1] Agricultural and Livestock - Hogs: Short on rallies [1] - Eggs: Short on rallies [1] - Corn: Wide - range oscillations [1] - Soybean Meal: Range oscillations [1] - Oils and Fats: Oscillating with a bullish bias [1] Core Views The report provides trading strategies and market analysis for various futures products across different industries. It takes into account factors such as supply and demand, cost, macro - economic policies, and international events to assess the market trends of each product and gives corresponding investment suggestions. Summary by Industry Black Building Materials - **Double Coking Coal**: Expected to oscillate. Coal prices continue to decline, with production gradually resuming after rainfall. Downstream is cautious, and it is recommended to trade within the range, with JM2601 focusing on [1110 - 1250] and J2601 on [1610 - 1780] [5] - **Rebar**: Expected to oscillate. Futures prices are in a narrow - range oscillation. Fundamental data shows changes in demand, production, and inventory. It is recommended to trade within the range, with RB2510 focusing on [3100 - 3200] [5] - **Glass**: Near - month contracts may decline slightly, and it is recommended to take a short - term bearish view. The main 01 contract is recommended to wait and see, focusing on the 1150 - 1200 range breakthrough. High inventory is the main factor suppressing prices [6] Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. Positive news from the Jackson Hole meeting and domestic policies boost copper prices. Although there are some constraints in the short - term supply and demand, there is potential for price increases in the future. It is recommended to hold a moderate long position at low levels, with the short - term operating range at 79500 - 81000 yuan/ton [8][9] - **Aluminum**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. The price of bauxite is supported, and the production capacity of electrolytic aluminum is increasing. With the arrival of the demand peak season and marginal improvement in inventory, it is recommended to buy on dips [8][9][10] - **Nickel**: Expected to oscillate weakly. The nickel industry has an oversupply situation in the medium to long term, and it is recommended to wait or short on rallies [12] - **Tin**: Expected to oscillate. Supply improvement is limited, and demand is weak in the off - season. It is recommended to trade within the range, with the reference range of the SHFE Tin 09 contract at 25.9 - 27.6 million yuan/ton [13] - **Silver and Gold**: Expected to oscillate. Powell's dovish speech and other factors support precious metal prices. It is recommended to buy on dips after a price correction, with the reference range of the SHFE Silver 10 contract at 8900 - 9600 and the SHFE Gold 10 contract at 765 - 810 [13][14] Energy and Chemicals - **PVC**: Expected to oscillate weakly. High inventory, uncertain export sustainability, and large upstream production pressure lead to a weak supply - demand situation. It is recommended to pay attention to the 5100 level pressure on the 01 contract [15][16][17] - **Caustic Soda**: Expected to oscillate. Spot price increases slow down, and there is a short - term correction. It is recommended to pay attention to the 2650 level support on the 01 contract [17][18] - **Styrene**: Expected to oscillate weakly. Supply and demand are under pressure, and it is recommended to pay attention to the 7300 level pressure [19][20] - **Rubber**: Expected to oscillate. New rubber supply is slow, and inventory is decreasing. It is recommended to pay attention to the 15400 - 16500 range [20][21] - **Urea**: Expected to be neutral. Supply is increasing, demand is scattered, and inventory is accumulating. It is expected to be weak first and then strong, with the support level at 1680 - 1720 [22] - **Methanol**: Expected to oscillate weakly. Supply is increasing, demand has some positive factors, but port inventory is accumulating rapidly [23] - **Polyolefins**: Expected to oscillate. The cost of coal - based olefins provides strong support, supply and demand show different trends for polyethylene and polypropylene, and inventory is decreasing. It is recommended to pay attention to the 7200 - 7500 range for L2601 and 6900 - 7200 for PP2601 [24][25] - **Soda Ash**: It is recommended to short the 01 contract and long the 05 contract for arbitrage. The spot market is weak, and there is a large inventory pressure in the short term, while the far - month contract may be relatively strong [26][27][28] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: Expected to oscillate. Global cotton supply and demand are improving, but new cotton production is expected to increase significantly, and it is recommended to prepare for hedging [29] - **Apples**: Expected to oscillate. Early - maturing apples are on the market, and the inventory of Fuji apples is stable. It is expected to maintain a high - level oscillation based on low inventory and growth factors [30] - **Jujubes**: Expected to oscillate. The growth of jujubes is in the expansion period, and it is expected that the price will oscillate upward in the near future [30] Agricultural and Livestock - **Hogs**: Overall under pressure. There is a short - term expectation of price increases at the end of the month, but the supply is large in the medium to long term. It is recommended to take profit on short positions on 11 and 01 contracts and wait for rallies to add short positions, and also pay attention to the long 05 and short 03 arbitrage [32][33][34] - **Eggs**: It is recommended to short on rallies. The current supply is sufficient, and the long - term high supply situation may be difficult to reverse. It is recommended to wait for rallies to short on the main 10 contract or hold put options, and take a bearish view on the 12 and 01 contracts [34] - **Corn**: Expected to oscillate within a range. The supply is sufficient in the short term, and new corn production is expected to be good. It is recommended to wait for rallies to short on the 11 contract and take profit on the 11 - 1 reverse arbitrage [35][36] - **Soybean Meal**: Expected to have limited upside. Domestic arrivals are abundant from September to October, and prices are under pressure, but there is support at the bottom. It is expected to trade within the [3030, 3130] range in the short term [35][38] - **Oils and Fats**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. The fundamentals of palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil are mixed. It is recommended to trade within the range, with the support and pressure levels for the 01 contracts of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil as mentioned, and also pay attention to the long palm oil 1 - 5 spread arbitrage strategy [39][40][41][42][43][44][45]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has issued the "Opinions on Deepening the Implementation of 'Artificial Intelligence+' Action," emphasizing the integration of AI across various sectors to enhance productivity and improve living standards, ultimately contributing to China's modernization efforts [1][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Six Key Actions - The "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative includes six major actions aimed at enhancing scientific technology, industrial development, consumer quality, public welfare, governance capabilities, and global cooperation [2][3]. Action 1: AI in Scientific Technology - AI is transforming the research sector from an "experience-driven" approach to a "data-driven" model, facilitating breakthroughs in fields like biomedicine and new materials, while also aiding in public policy formulation [4]. Action 2: AI in Industrial Development - The initiative aims to elevate three industrial sectors: - **Industrial Sector**: Transitioning from scale expansion to lean production through global optimization and precise control [5]. - **Agricultural Sector**: Addressing traditional farming challenges and promoting digital transformation across the agricultural supply chain [5]. - **Service Sector**: Redefining service models to enhance consumer experience and improve logistics and financial services [5]. Action 3: AI in Consumer Quality - This action focuses on upgrading demand-side consumption, expanding intelligent consumption scenarios in areas such as culture, tourism, health, and home goods, shifting from "product consumption" to "intelligent quality consumption" [6]. Action 4: AI in Public Welfare - AI is set to enhance public services by improving healthcare access, personalizing education, and upgrading elderly care from basic support to intelligent wellness solutions [8]. Action 5: AI in Governance Capabilities - AI technologies are expected to improve public governance efficiency, enhancing social security monitoring and optimizing government service processes [8]. Action 6: AI in Global Cooperation - The initiative encourages international collaboration in AI, promoting the global expansion of China's AI-related industries and enhancing its influence in the global value chain [8]. Long-term Value - The implementation of the "Opinions" is seen as a catalyst for profound productivity transformation, with AI expected to integrate deeply into various sectors, fostering new infrastructure, technology systems, industrial ecosystems, and job opportunities, thereby driving China's modernization in the intelligent era [9].

Core Viewpoint - Panzhihua, a city in Sichuan known for its vanadium-titanium resources, is leveraging financial innovation to drive green transformation and high-quality development as a pilot area for common prosperity in China [1][9]. Group 1: Financial Innovation and Support Mechanisms - The Panzhihua municipal government has established a financial coordination mechanism to enhance the role of finance in urban transformation, aiming to create a green finance innovation pilot area in Sichuan [2]. - A comprehensive plan for financial support of green low-carbon transformation has been issued, outlining key support areas and measures [2]. - The city has initiated the first local vanadium-titanium steel transformation loan, marking a significant step in financial innovation [1][4]. Group 2: Development of Transformation Standards - Panzhihua has developed the first local vanadium-titanium steel transformation financial guidelines, which include 23 areas and 143 transformation paths, providing a clear framework for financial institutions [3]. - The guidelines aim to address the financing challenges faced by the high-carbon vanadium-titanium steel industry [3]. Group 3: Agricultural Transformation Financing - Panzhihua has been selected as one of the first national agricultural transformation financial pilot areas, establishing a project library for selected agricultural projects [4]. - By July 2025, the city had issued five agricultural transformation loans totaling 16.87 million yuan, demonstrating the effective deployment of financial resources in agriculture [4]. Group 4: Innovative Financial Mechanisms - A "carbon effect floating interest rate" mechanism has been established, linking energy consumption data with funding costs, incentivizing companies to reduce energy use [5]. - This innovative model has facilitated the issuance of a 300 million yuan vanadium-titanium transformation loan, aligning financial products with carbon reduction efforts [5]. Group 5: Policy Collaboration and Market Activation - The People's Bank of China in Panzhihua has successfully integrated local banks into carbon reduction support tools, enhancing the financial ecosystem for green projects [6]. - A green low-carbon industry fund of 100 million yuan has been established, along with a 50 million yuan photovoltaic risk-sharing fund, to stimulate market activity [6]. Group 6: Formation of a Green Financial Ecosystem - Panzhihua Rural Commercial Bank has developed a transformation financial development plan, becoming one of the first local banks to outline a roadmap for transformation finance [8]. - The "Green Rongrong" platform has facilitated the connection of low-carbon projects, with a loan balance of 95.04 million yuan, reflecting a 27.14% year-on-year increase [8]. Group 7: Overall Transformation and Development - Panzhihua has achieved significant breakthroughs in local vanadium-titanium steel transformation standards, financial policy collaboration, and dynamic carbon effect-linked mechanisms [9]. - The city is actively writing a new chapter in high-quality development for resource-based cities through green finance initiatives [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the ongoing efforts to attract overseas Chinese businesspeople to invest in Wanning, Hainan, as the region prepares for the full implementation of the Hainan Free Trade Port by December 18 this year [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Wanning is a key area for overseas Chinese, with over 460,000 overseas Chinese and more than 210,000 returned overseas Chinese and their families, providing a significant advantage for investment [2]. - The local government is actively inviting global Chinese businesspeople to become "partners" in Wanning, emphasizing the city's potential as a new platform for their business ventures [2]. - Recent policies in Hainan, such as zero tariffs and low tax rates, are designed to stimulate cross-border capital flow and attract talent, positioning Wanning as a favorable investment destination [2]. Group 2: Community Engagement - Overseas Chinese from Wanning have historically contributed to local development, investing in businesses that create jobs and improve income levels for residents [2]. - In the past two years, the local community has received donations totaling 380,000 yuan from the overseas Chinese community, aimed at supporting underprivileged students and disaster recovery efforts [2]. Group 3: Promotion and Media Engagement - The "Chasing Dreams of China: Setting Sail for the Free Trade Port" event has brought together overseas Chinese media representatives from ten countries to promote Wanning's investment potential [3]. - The local government aims to leverage overseas Chinese media as a platform to share Wanning's development story and its unique cultural and natural resources [3][4].

文字早评 2025/08/28 星期四 宏观金融类 股指 消息面： 1、工信部：推动手机等终端设备直连卫星加快推广应用 为广大地面移动通信用户提供基于卫星的话 音、短消息业务； 2、摩根士丹利最新发布的报告显示，全球对冲基金加大了对中国股票的押注力度，8 月有望创下自 2 月 以来单月买入规模之最; 4、中际旭创：预计未来两个季度 1.6T 将持续量产和规模出货 部分液冷产品已开始送样给客户。 期指基差比例： IF 当月/下月/当季/隔季：-0.05%/-0.20%/-0.53%/-1.01%； IC 当月/下月/当季/隔季：-0.36%/-1.00%/-2.41%/-4.20%； IM 当月/下月/当季/隔季：-0.67%/-1.38%/-2.94%/-5.10%； IH 当月/下月/当季/隔季：0.06%/-0.01%/0.16%/0.25%。 交易逻辑：中央政治局会议强调增强国内资本市场的吸引力和包容性，巩固资本市场回稳向好的势头， 进一步确认了政策对资本市场的呵护态度。近期持续上涨后，市场在短期可能会出现震荡加剧的现象。 但从大方向看，仍是逢低做多的思路为主。 国债 行情方面：周三，TL 主力合约上涨 ...

Economic Cooperation and Trade - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit will be held in Tianjin from August 31 to September 1, 2025, focusing on economic cooperation as a key area [1] - In 2024, trade between China and other SCO member countries is expected to reach approximately $512.4 billion, marking a historical high and a 2.7% year-on-year increase [1][2] - China imported nearly $90 billion worth of energy products from SCO member countries last year, accounting for about 20% of its total imports [1] - Exports of electromechanical products from China to SCO member countries reached $210 billion, representing 63% of total exports [1] Investment and Industrial Cooperation - Investment cooperation among SCO member countries has been expanding, with China signing upgraded investment agreements with Russia, Kazakhstan, and Tajikistan, and a service trade and investment agreement with Belarus [2] - As of July 2025, China's total investment stock in other SCO member countries exceeded $84 billion, with cooperation expanding into emerging fields such as digital economy and green development [2][4] - Over 3,000 Chinese enterprises have been established in other SCO member countries, creating over 200,000 jobs annually [4] E-commerce and Digital Cooperation - The e-commerce sector is highlighted as a significant area of economic cooperation among SCO countries, with the online retail market size exceeding $3.2 trillion in 2024 [5] - Cross-border e-commerce imports from SCO member countries to China increased by 34% year-on-year [5] - Future initiatives will focus on enhancing e-commerce supply chain cooperation and establishing more direct sourcing bases in SCO countries [5] Multilateral Trade System - The multilateral trade system faces challenges, with some members imposing tariffs that violate WTO rules, impacting global trade [3] - China, as the rotating chair of the SCO, is advocating for the strengthening of the multilateral trade system and addressing global trade disruptions [3] - A commitment to reform the WTO to better protect member interests and adapt to modern development needs is emphasized [3]

Group 1: Industrial Production - Industrial production has shown signs of recovery, with the blast furnace operating rate increasing by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 5.9% [2][6] - Midstream production shows a mixed outlook, with PTA and automotive production performing poorly, down 6.6% and 5.9% year-on-year respectively, while soda ash and polyester filament production improved, up 0.1% to 5.8% and 0.9% to 3.1% respectively [2][16] - Cement production continues to improve, with the national grinding operating rate down 1.5 percentage points year-on-year to -5.6%, and cement shipment rates slightly up by 0.8% to -2.9% [28][32] Group 2: Demand Tracking - Daily average transaction area of new homes remains weak, up 2.9 percentage points year-on-year to -6.3%, with first-tier cities showing some recovery [52] - Port cargo throughput related to exports has significantly increased, with cargo throughput and container throughput up 7.1% to 9.7% and 6.1% to 14.8% year-on-year respectively [61][68] - The national migration scale index has decreased by 5.2 percentage points year-on-year to 16.6%, but domestic flight operations have increased by 1.0% to 2.7% [73] Group 3: Price Trends - Agricultural product prices are showing divergence, with pork and fruit prices down 0.1% and 0.8% respectively, while egg and vegetable prices increased by 1.7% and 2.5% [3][101] - The industrial product price index has generally declined, with the Nanhua industrial product price index down 1.4% [113] - The energy and chemical price index decreased by 0.9%, and the metal price index fell by 1.7% [113][120]