潮宏基9月12日向香港联交所递交了发行境外上市股份（H股）并在香港联交所主板挂牌上市的申请； 千里科技9月12日召开董事会审议通过《关于公司申请首次公开发行境外上市股份（H股）并在香港联 合交易所有限公司主板上市的议案》等相关议案；海澜之家9月8日召开董事会会议，审议通过了《关于 授权公司管理层启动公司境外发行股份（H股）并在香港联合交易所有限公司上市相关筹备工作的议 案》…… 安永北京主管合伙人杨淑娟认为，"A+H"模式有助于推动港股市场机制持续优化，提升其国际吸引力， 而A股上市公司通过"A+H"的双平台能够不断强化国际化布局，开辟新增长曲线。 ● 本报记者 昝秀丽 Wind数据显示，截至9月16日，今年以来已有11家A股公司在港股上市。 业内人士分析，与此前不同，本轮"A+H"扩容潮，涉及硬科技、新消费、生物医药等多个新兴领域，国 际长线资金参与度提升，基石投资者阵容强大。上市方式持续创新，除传统递表方式外，换股吸收合 并、私有化等创新方案接连出现，为企业拓展融资渠道和优化资源配置提供了新路径。 市场人士预期，未来监管部门有望继续加大对企业境外上市的支持力度，更多具备国际竞争力的中国企 业有望通过"A+ ...

Group 1 - The ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China in Spain are facing a pessimistic outlook, with the US lacking sincerity in its approach [1] - US Treasury Secretary Bessent has stated that European countries need to take greater action in cutting off Russian oil revenue and ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while also threatening to impose high tariffs on China and India if Europe does not comply [1] - The US is attempting to rally its allies against China, but the feasibility of such actions is questionable given the intertwined economic relationships between these countries and China [1][2] Group 2 - A US corporate executive has indicated that using American parts instead of Chinese components would increase the cost of US-made drones by 100 times, highlighting the dependency on Chinese parts [2] - The US's previous ban on Chinese drones and components has backfired, revealing vulnerabilities in critical sectors where China holds significant leverage [2] - The balance of power in US-China relations is shifting, with China now in a position to demand more favorable terms from the US [2][5] Group 3 - Following the second round of negotiations, Bessent acknowledged progress in the trade agreement but noted that China made a "very aggressive request" that the US needs to consider further [4] - The current situation indicates that the US is in a position of needing concessions from China, reflecting a shift in negotiation dynamics [5]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments released measures to expand service consumption, proposing 19 initiatives to enhance service supply and meet diverse consumer needs [1] - Beijing Minna Star Technology Co., Ltd., a leading satellite manufacturer, has initiated an IPO with a valuation exceeding 7 billion yuan and has secured over 2 billion yuan in funding [1] - The top 10 global semiconductor equipment manufacturers reported a combined revenue of over 64 billion USD in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of approximately 24% [1] Group 2 - OpenAI is accelerating its investment in robotics, focusing on humanoid robots as a key step towards achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) [2] - The real estate market is facing scrutiny over developers' practices of inflating usable area percentages, with new regulations being introduced to standardize building area calculations [2] - A well-known restaurant brand, Taier Sauerkraut Fish, faced criticism regarding its "fresh fish cooked on-site" claims, leading to customer inquiries about its operational practices [3] Group 3 - The vice president of Douyin Group highlighted the emergence of a "ByteDance departure track" on social media, revealing that many posts claiming to be from former employees are misleading and often linked to training institutions [4] - Zhongya Machinery Co., Ltd. has authorized up to 400 million yuan for entrusted wealth management, recently purchasing a 5 million yuan financial product from China Merchants Bank [4] - Su Junliang has been appointed as the chairman of Industrial Securities, succeeding Yang Huahui [5] Group 4 - Jiuxiang Bio has received a medical device registration certificate for its gastrin-17 testing kit, which is used for quantitative measurement of gastrin-17 levels in human serum [6] - Luxiao Technology's subsidiary has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with a leading cross-border e-commerce company to develop AI technology and expand into the US and European markets [7] - China Shipbuilding Technology has signed a significant contract for green methanol sales, with an annual contract value of approximately 40 million USD [8] Group 5 - Haon Automotive has received product designation from a global automotive brand for its ADAS perception system and radar system, with an estimated total revenue of about 2.477 billion yuan over the project's lifecycle [9] - Yaoshi Technology announced that the last day for converting its bonds will be September 17, after which unconverted bonds will be forcibly redeemed at a price of 100.62 yuan per bond [10] - Hefei Urban Construction's subsidiary has signed a land use rights transfer contract for residential land in Hefei, with a total payment of approximately 1.224 billion yuan [11] Group 6 - China Shenhua reported a coal sales volume of 280 million tons in the first eight months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 9.2% [12] - The ChiNext index experienced a rebound, closing up 0.68%, with the robotics sector leading the market with over 20 stocks hitting the daily limit [13]

Economic Signals - The U.S. labor department revealed that non-farm employment data was overestimated by 910,000 jobs over the past year, averaging an overreport of 76,000 jobs per month [1] - August saw only 22,000 new jobs added, with the unemployment rate exceeding 4%, reminiscent of the data revisions before the 2008 crisis [2] - GDP growth of 3.3% in Q2 was driven by a drop in imports and consumption funded by savings, while business investment and exports declined [2] Market Reactions - Gold prices have reached a historical high when adjusted for inflation, surpassing the 1980 peak, with central banks purchasing 1,045 tons in 2024, indicating heightened risk aversion [4] - A significant number of executives are selling stocks, with 198 out of the top 200 transactions being sales, suggesting potential risks as insiders exit [4] - Money market fund balances have reached $7.4 trillion, nearly one-third of U.S. GDP, as investors prefer to earn 5% interest rather than invest in the stock market or real economy [4] Economic Conditions - One-third of U.S. states are experiencing economic decline, particularly energy and industrial states, while southern and larger states are propping up the economy [4] - Current economic indicators show signs of potential stagflation, with GDP growth near zero when adjusted for inflation, core inflation at 3% above target, rising unemployment, and declining real wages [7] Historical Context - The 1970s stagflation saw inflation peak at 13.5%, mortgage rates at 20%, and unemployment at 10.8%, with the stock market stagnating for 14 years [5] - Supply chain disruptions, similar to those during the oil crisis, are currently exacerbated by the pandemic, chip shortages, and geopolitical conflicts [5][6] Federal Reserve Dilemma - Market predictions suggest the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates by 25-50 basis points, but historical lessons indicate that premature rate cuts can lead to a cycle of inflation resurgence [8] - The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma between not lowering rates to avoid burdening households and the risk of reigniting inflation if rates are cut [8] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on low-interest-rate benefiting assets, such as AI technology stocks and real estate, which may see reduced borrowing costs [10] - Allocating 5%-10% of funds into physical gold or quality gold mining stocks is recommended as a hedge against risks during stagflation [10] - Maintaining 20%-30% cash reserves allows for opportunistic buying during market downturns, while diversifying investments across stocks, bonds, and gold can mitigate risks [10]

Economic Overview - The Chinese economy has shown signs of slowing down, with macroeconomic data indicating a continuous decline in growth rates for three consecutive months[1] - The Politburo meeting in July emphasized the need for timely policy support, suggesting an increased likelihood of policy intervention[1] Financial Data - In July, the social financing growth rate was 9.0%, and M2 growth was 8.8%, both reaching recent peaks; however, new credit showed a rare negative growth[4] - The decline in government bond issuance in the second half of the year is expected to exert further downward pressure on social financing growth[4] Real Economy Data - Investment growth slowed from 3.7% to 0.5%, with real estate investment growth hitting a record low of 12.9% in August, potentially falling below 9 trillion yuan[4] - Retail sales growth decreased from 6.4% to 3.4%, while industrial value-added growth fell to 5.2%, indicating a broader economic slowdown[4] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) unexpectedly dropped to -0.4% in August, reflecting a significant weakening in demand[4] - The overall economic situation suggests both growth and price levels face downward risks[4] Policy Recommendations - The report suggests that policy support should focus on areas where execution has been below expectations, such as infrastructure investment, which grew only 2.0% in the first eight months[4] - New policies aimed at boosting consumption and stabilizing the real estate market are urgently needed to counteract the current economic challenges[4]

Industry Overview Upstream - PTA and urea prices in the chemical industry have declined [2] - Egg prices in the agricultural industry have continued to rise [2] Midstream - The PX operating rate in the chemical industry has increased [3] - Coal consumption in power plants in the energy industry has increased [3] Downstream - There has been a slight improvement in the sales of commercial housing in first-tier cities in the real estate industry [4] - The number of international flights in the service industry has continued to decline [4] Key Industry Indicators (as of September 15) Agriculture - Corn spot price: 2300 yuan/ton, -0.31% year-on-year [38] - Egg spot price: 7.7 yuan/kg, 11.30% year-on-year [38] - Palm oil spot price: 9400 yuan/ton, -0.57% year-on-year [38] - Cotton spot price: 15255.7 yuan/ton, -1.05% year-on-year [38] - Average pork wholesale price: 19.9 yuan/kg, -1.09% year-on-year [38] Non-ferrous Metals - Copper spot price: 81000 yuan/ton, 1.39% year-on-year [38] - Zinc spot price: 22212 yuan/ton, 0.38% year-on-year [38] - Aluminum spot price: 21056.7 yuan/ton, 1.84% year-on-year [38] - Nickel spot price: 123533.3 yuan/ton, 0.97% year-on-year [38] Black Metals - Iron ore spot price: 808 yuan/ton, 1.58% year-on-year [38] - Wire rod spot price: 3315 yuan/ton, 0.08% year-on-year [38] - Glass spot price: 14 yuan/square meter, 0.00% year-on-year [38] Others - Natural rubber spot price: 15133.3 yuan/ton, -1.84% year-on-year [38] - China Plastic City price index: 794, -0.49% year-on-year [38] - WTI crude oil spot price: 62.7 dollars/barrel, 1.33% year-on-year [38] - Brent crude oil spot price: 67 dollars/barrel, 2.27% year-on-year [38] - Liquefied natural gas spot price: 3876 yuan/ton, -0.56% year-on-year [38] - Coal price: 775 yuan/ton, -0.51% year-on-year [38] - PTA spot price: 4631.7 yuan/ton, -1.87% year-on-year [38] - Polyethylene spot price: 7380 yuan/ton, -0.07% year-on-year [38] - Urea spot price: 1665 yuan/ton, 2.27% year-on-year [38] - Soda ash spot price: 1262.5 yuan/ton, 0.00% year-on-year [38] - National cement price index: 130.9, 0.75% year-on-year [38] - Real estate building materials composite index: 113.2 points, 0.09% year-on-year [38] - National concrete price index: 92.1 points, -0.86% year-on-year [38] Industry Events Production Industry - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers issued an initiative to standardize the payment of accounts payable by vehicle manufacturers to suppliers, and many car companies responded positively [1] Service Industry - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued a notice to deepen the reform of cross-border investment and financing foreign exchange management and improve cross-border investment and financing convenience [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy and chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. Strategies suggest constructing option combination strategies mainly as sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3][9] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Overview - Various energy and chemical option underlying futures contracts show different price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the latest price of crude oil SC2511 is 495, up 6 with a 1.31% increase; the latest price of liquefied petroleum gas PG2511 is 4,450, down 5 with a 0.11% decrease [4] 2. Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Different option varieties have different volume and open interest PCR values and their changes, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of crude oil is 0.87, down 0.12; the open interest PCR is 1.12, up 0.03 [5] 3. Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the exercise prices with the largest open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of option underlying are analyzed. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 570 and the support level is 480 [6] 4. Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Different option varieties have different implied volatility values, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes, as well as the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil is 29.4, and the weighted implied volatility is 32.14, up 0.09 [7] 5. Strategies and Recommendations for Different Option Varieties Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil**: Fundamentally, European ARA weekly data shows changes in gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, and naphtha inventories. The market is in a bearish trend with pressure above. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)**: Factory and port inventories show changes. The market is in an oversold rebound situation with pressure above. Option strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol**: The port has a high - inventory pattern, and the market is in a weak trend. Option strategies include constructing a bearish spread strategy of put options, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Terminal loads are stable, and the port is in a state of inventory accumulation. The market is in a weak bearish trend. Option strategies include constructing a bearish spread strategy of put options, a short - volatility strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene**: Production and trade inventories show changes, and the downstream start - up rate increases. The market is in a weak bearish trend. Option strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Rubber - related Options - **Rubber**: Social inventories of natural rubber decrease. The market is in a weak consolidation situation with support below and pressure above. Option strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy [13] Polyester - related Options - **PTA**: Downstream loads increase, and social inventories decrease. The market is in a weak bearish trend. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy [14] Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda**: Factory inventories decrease. The market is in a downward consolidation trend with pressure above. Option strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15] - **Soda Ash**: Factory and delivery warehouse inventories show changes. The market is in a low - level weak consolidation situation with pressure above. Option strategies include constructing a short - volatility combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15] Urea Options - Inventories of urea enterprises increase slightly, and the market is in a low - level weak consolidation trend. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [16]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings were provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall market shows a complex and diverse trend. In the financial derivatives market, stock index futures are oscillating and differentiating, with the new - energy sector being structurally strong; treasury bond futures are affected by weak fundamentals and strong risk preferences; precious metals are rising due to concerns about the Fed's independence; and container shipping futures are expected to decline. In the commodity futures market, different metal and agricultural product futures have their own supply - demand and market situation characteristics, and corresponding investment suggestions are given based on these [2][5][8][11]. 3. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: On Monday, the A - share market showed oscillating differentiation. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose. The new - energy sector was hot, and financial stocks adjusted. Most of the four major stock index futures contracts declined. The base difference of the 09 contracts is rapidly repairing. The market is affected by domestic economic data and overseas news. The operation suggestion is to consider the option double - buying strategy if the volatility continues to decline [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures closed up across the board, but the yields of major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market rose at the end of the session. The weak economic data in August is favorable for the bond market, but the strong risk preference suppresses long - term bonds. The operation suggestion is to wait and see, pay attention to the capital situation and whether incremental credit - easing policies are introduced [5][6][7]. Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices rose. Before the FOMC meeting, Trump's call for a sharp interest - rate cut and the possible confirmation of a cabinet member as a voting member have increased concerns about the Fed's independence and credibility, weakening the US dollar and boosting the prices of precious metals. The future outlook is that the Fed's policy path may suppress the US dollar index, and the political turmoil in Europe and the US has increased the demand for precious metals as a hedge [8][9][10]. Container Shipping (European Lines) - The spot prices of container shipping continue to decline slowly. The SCFIS European line index and the Shanghai - Europe freight rate have decreased. The global container capacity has increased year - on - year. The futures price fell, and the spot price has a downward impact on the futures. It is expected that the spot will continue to decline slowly, and the futures price will also decline. The operation suggestion is to short the 10 - contract unilaterally or conduct a 12 - 10 spread arbitrage [11][12]. Commodity Futures Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The spot price of copper has risen, and the downstream consumption is weak. The 9 - month interest - rate cut is almost certain, which boosts copper prices in the short term. The fundamental situation is "weak reality + stable expectation". The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 79500 - 82000 yuan/ton [13][14][16]. - **Alumina**: The spot price has declined, and the supply pattern is gradually loose. The futures price shows a low - level oscillating trend, presenting a pattern of "high supply, high inventory, and weak demand". The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 2900 - 3200 yuan/ton, and short positions can be considered in the medium term if the cost support weakens [17][18][20]. - **Aluminum**: The spot price has declined. The supply has increased slightly year - on - year, and the demand is in the process of transitioning from the off - season to the peak season. The price is expected to oscillate around the peak - season expectation and the actual consumption fulfillment. The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 20600 - 21400 yuan/ton [20][21][22]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The spot price is stable. The supply is expected to increase slightly in September, and the demand is expected to improve marginally. The cost is strongly supported, and the price is expected to remain high and oscillate. The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 20200 - 20800 yuan/ton, and a spread arbitrage strategy can be considered [22][23][24]. - **Zinc**: The spot price is stable. The supply of zinc ore is loose, and the production of refined zinc is expected to increase. The demand is in the peak season, but the domestic and overseas markets are differentiated. The price is expected to oscillate, and the operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 21800 - 22800 yuan/ton [25][26][29]. - **Tin**: The spot price has declined. The supply of tin ore is tight, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to remain high and oscillate. The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 265000 - 285000 yuan/ton [30][31][32]. - **Nickel**: The spot price has risen slightly. The macro - environment is improving, and the supply of refined nickel is at a relatively high level. The demand is stable in some areas and weak in others. The price is expected to be strong and oscillate in a range. The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 120000 - 125000 yuan/ton [33][34][35]. - **Stainless Steel**: The spot price has risen. The supply is expected to increase, and the demand is in the peak - season expectation but has not been significantly released. The price is expected to oscillate in a range. The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 12800 - 13400 yuan/ton [37][38][39]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The spot price is stable. The supply is increasing slightly, and the demand is optimistic. The market is in a tight - balance state. The price is expected to be strong and oscillate. The operation suggestion is that the main contract fluctuates between 70000 - 75000 yuan/ton [40][41][43]. Ferrous Metals - **Steel**: The spot price has risen. The cost is affected by factors such as coking coal and iron ore. The supply is at a high level, and the demand is in a seasonal decline. The price is expected to rise, and the pressure levels for rebar and hot - rolled coil are 3350 yuan/ton and 3500 yuan/ton respectively [44][46][47]. - **Iron Ore**: The spot price has declined slightly. The supply has increased, and the demand has increased due to the recovery of iron - water production. The inventory is in a state of slight change. The price is expected to be oscillating and bullish, and the operation suggestion is to go long on the 2601 contract unilaterally and conduct a spread arbitrage of long iron ore and short hot - rolled coil [48][49][50]. - **Coking Coal**: The futures price has rebounded strongly, while the spot price is oscillating weakly. The supply is gradually recovering, and the demand has increased due to the recovery of iron - water production. The inventory is in a state of medium - level decline. The operation suggestion is to go long on the 2601 contract unilaterally and conduct a spread arbitrage of long coking coal and short coke [51][52][53]. - **Coke**: The futures price has rebounded strongly, and the second - round price cut by steel mills has been implemented. The supply is increasing, and the demand has support. The inventory is in a state of medium - level increase. The operation suggestion is to go long on the 2601 contract unilaterally and conduct a spread arbitrage of long coking coal and short coke [54][55][57]. Agricultural Products - **Meal (Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal)**: The domestic soybean meal spot price has declined. The US soybean supply is strong and the demand is weak. The Brazilian soybean premium is strong, which supports the domestic cost. The domestic soybean meal inventory has risen to a high level. The price of the 01 contract is expected to fluctuate between 3050 - 3150 yuan/ton [58][59][61]. - **Pigs**: The spot price is oscillating weakly. The breeding - end slaughter has increased, and the demand is slowly recovering. The supply recovery pattern is clear, and the price is expected to continue to bottom - out [62][63].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the evolution and breakthrough of headquarters economy in China amidst global industrial chain restructuring and the pursuit of breakthroughs in building economy [1][6] - Headquarters economy is described as a new economic form that attracts corporate headquarters to cluster in specific regions, creating agglomeration effects and optimizing resource allocation [2][3] - The article highlights that Beijing has a significant advantage in headquarters economy, with 47 companies listed in the 2025 Fortune Global 500, making it the top city globally for 13 consecutive years [7][10] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of collaboration and innovation as key drivers to address challenges in headquarters and building economies, suggesting that digital technologies are reshaping these economic forms [6][12] - It notes that multinational companies are increasingly investing in China, establishing new headquarters as a vote of confidence in the Chinese market [10][11] - The article points out that China's headquarters economy is driven by a "power triangle" of market capacity, industrial foundation, and policy support, positioning it as a significant growth pole in the global industrial landscape [11][12]

Report Investment Rating - The report does not provide an overall investment rating for the commodity industry. Core Viewpoint - In the context of positive liquidity, the commodity market may operate stably in the short term. Geopolitical disturbances persist, but the expectation of loose liquidity and peak demand season provides support [1]. Market Review Overall Market - Last week, the rise - fall ratio of the commodity market was basically flat compared to the previous week. The precious metals sector led the gain with 2.34%, followed by the non - ferrous metals with 0.35%. The energy - chemical, agricultural products, and black sectors declined by 1.26%, 0.65%, and 0.01% respectively [1][5]. - The top - gainers were gold, silver, and aluminum with increases of 2.28%, 2.27%, and 2.05% respectively. The top - losers were natural rubber, palm oil, and asphalt, dropping 3.09%, 2.41%, and 2.01% respectively [1][5]. - The decline of the 20 - day average volatility of the commodity market continued to narrow. Most sectors saw a decrease in volatility. The overall market scale increased, with most of the capital inflow coming from the precious metals sector, while the scale of the black and agricultural products sectors decreased slightly [1]. Sub - sectors - **Precious Metals**: The increase in weekly initial jobless claims and cooling inflation data led the market to fully price in three Fed rate cuts this year. However, the sector showed signs of fatigue after continuous rises. Geopolitical disturbances may amplify short - term fluctuations [2]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: A weaker dollar and the traditional "Golden September and Silver October" consumption season provided support. Although the inventory inflection point was not clear, downstream consumption in the automotive and power industries was strong, and the sector may operate stably in the short term [2]. - **Black Metals**: The apparent demand and production of rebar continued to decline, and inventory continued to accumulate. Blast furnaces resumed production rapidly, and hot metal output increased significantly. However, low steel mill profits may limit further复产. The raw material market was volatile, and the cost increase supported the industry chain, but price contradictions intensified after the cost rebound [2]. - **Energy**: The IEA's September oil market report showed that the upward adjustment of the supply forecast was greater than that of the demand, increasing the market surplus. Geopolitical factors supported oil prices in the short term, but the mid - term surplus limited the geopolitical premium [2]. - **Chemical Industry**: For polyester, terminal weaving orders increased, and the textile and dyeing industry's operating rate rose slightly. However, high inventory and poor profits of polyester filaments led to slow load increases. The industry chain's valuation may recover relative to oil prices [3]. - **Agricultural Products**: The USDA's September supply - demand report was neutral to bearish. U.S. soybeans rebounded after a brief correction and may continue to be strong in the short term. Palm oil was supported by the mid - term seasonal production cut cycle, long - term biodiesel policies, and aging trees, providing a floor for the oil market [3]. Commodity Fund Overview - Most gold ETFs had a weekly return of around 2.3%. The total scale of gold ETFs increased by 1.36%, and the total scale of commodity ETFs increased by 1.41%. However, the trading volume of most gold ETFs decreased [35]. - The energy - chemical ETF had a return of - 0.42%, the soybean meal ETF had a return of 0.96%, the non - ferrous metal ETF had a return of 0.88%, and the silver fund had a return of 1.81% [35][36].