作者 I 刘博 报道 I 投资界PEdaily 国资轮正在排队诞生。 最新一幕则是珠海国资华发集团宣布战略投资大模型企业智谱，金额5亿元。颇为戏剧性 的是，智谱不久前刚刚完成一笔金额超10亿元的战略融资，投资方包括杭州城投产业基 金、上城资本等杭州国资。 至此短短半月内，智谱接连打动杭州、珠海两地国资。 深刻变化。 由此望去，当下一级市场的国资活跃程度不言而喻。这几年各地招商激烈，国资渐渐成为 一级市场主力军，正如一位投资人开玩笑： "如果今年还没有和国资打过交道，那融资基本没戏。" 最新一幕 地方国资排队出手 一路走来，智谱留给创投圈深刻印象。 据不完全统计，智谱自20 1 9年成立至今，已至少完成超1 0轮融资。尤其后期国资身影开 始密集出现——2 02 4年初，智谱被爆完成新一轮融资，北京市人工智能产业投资基金参 与投资。同年9月，中关村科学城公司又宣布以投前2 00亿估值领投智谱，用于支持国产 基座大模型的技术创新和生态发展。 这一次，杭州、珠海国资先后出手。 先是来自杭州的国资机构——杭州城投产业基金成立于202 3年6月，是杭州城投资本集团 旗下的产业投资基金；上城资本的实际控制人则是杭州市上城区 ...

Core Insights - The successful launch of the Long March 8 rocket from Hainan's commercial space launch site marks a significant milestone for China's commercial space industry, demonstrating its capability for "dual-site, multi-model, and high-frequency" launches [1][2] - The establishment of the Hainan commercial space launch site addresses the resource scarcity in China's commercial space sector, enhancing the overall industry chain [2][3] - The launch site is expected to achieve an annual launch capacity of over 30 missions, with plans to expand to 60 missions by 2026, significantly improving launch efficiency and meeting the growing demand for commercial launches [2][3] Industry Development - The commercial space industry in China has evolved from a focus on the "Long March" series to a diverse array of commercial rockets, with advancements in payload capacity, technological innovation, and market applications [1][2] - The market size of China's commercial space sector has grown from 0.6 trillion yuan to 1.9 trillion yuan from 2018 to 2023, reflecting an average annual growth rate of 23% [3] - The Hainan launch site is positioned to enhance the competitiveness of China's commercial space industry on a global scale, facilitating faster technological iterations and cost reductions for satellite companies [2][3]

Milestones - The Long March 8 rocket successfully launched 18 satellites into orbit from China's first commercial spaceport, marking the operational use of the launch site and validating its dual-launch capability [1][3] - The Qianfan constellation, operated by Shanghai Yuanxin Satellite Technology Co., is China's first large-scale low-Earth orbit commercial satellite network, designed for broadband communication and internet access [3] Company Developments - Intuitive Machines' IM-2 lunar lander mission ended prematurely after the lander tipped over, but it completed some scientific tasks before battery depletion, providing valuable experience for future lunar exploration [4][5][6] - Apex Space's first satellite, Aries SN1, has been operational for a year and has been utilized by defense agencies for sensitive payloads [7][8] - Isar Aerospace secured its first Asian customer, ElevationSpace, for its Spectrum rocket, which is set to launch a 200 kg spacecraft in 2026 [9][10] - Maxar Space Systems announced a mysterious commercial GEO satellite order from an undisclosed client, indicating ongoing interest in the GEO market despite a shift towards LEO [11][12] - Thales Alenia Space won an order from SKY Perfect JSAT for the JSAT-31 satellite, which features a fully software-defined design [13][14][15] - NASA praised the success of the Blue Ghost 1 mission as evidence of the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program's effectiveness [16] - Firefly Aerospace's upcoming INCUS mission will deploy three small satellites to study cloud convection, scheduled for launch in 2026 [17][18] - Argotec introduced a modular satellite platform, Hawk Plus, designed for flexible mission requirements [19][20] - Viasat and Space42 signed a memorandum to jointly develop a direct-to-device satellite prototype, aiming to enhance global connectivity [21][22][23] - SES announced a strategic partnership with Lynk Global to enter the direct-to-device market, supporting satellite constellation development [24][25] - Rocket Lab plans to acquire Mynaric to strengthen its position in space communications, with an initial purchase price of $75 million [26][27] - Relativity Space appointed Eric Schmidt as CEO to accelerate the development of the Terran R rocket, which has a backlog of $2.9 billion in orders [28][29][30] - Swissto12 is set to build small GEO satellites focused on the Asian market, utilizing patented 3D printing technology [31][32] - Star Catcher Industries received funding from Space Florida to test its satellite power transmission technology [33][34][35] - Danti is expanding its AI-driven Earth data search engine to a broader government market, integrating various data sources for real-time insights [37][38] Financing Activities - Xingtiangong completed a D-round financing, focusing on the development of its reusable Hyperbola-3 rocket [40][41] - Deep Blue Aerospace raised nearly 500 million RMB for the development of its Nebula series reusable rockets [42][43][44] - SatixFy received £1.8 million from the UK Space Agency to develop advanced satellite reconfiguration software [45][46][47]

Investment Ratings - Semiconductor materials industry is rated as "Buy" due to recovery driven by AI and wafer fab expansions [2] - Low-altitude economy industry is rated as "Buy" with EHang achieving adjusted profitability and positive cash flow [3] - Lithium mining sector is rated as "Add" based on reset cost analysis indicating undervaluation [4] - Aerospace industry is rated as "Add" with growth potential in the chromium industry chain [7] - TMT sector, specifically AsiaInfo Technologies, is rated as "Buy" due to expected growth in AI model delivery business [8] - Traditional Chinese medicine sector, represented by Guoshengtang, is rated as "Buy" due to AI empowerment and market potential [9] Core Insights - The semiconductor materials market is experiencing a rebound, benefiting from AI industry growth and domestic high-end material localization [2] - EHang's revenue for 2024 is projected at 456 million yuan, a 288.5% increase, marking its first year of adjusted profitability [3] - Lithium mining companies are undervalued based on reset cost calculations, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [4] - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to see demand growth, particularly in the chromium supply chain [7] - AsiaInfo Technologies is facing pressure in traditional operator business but has strong growth potential in AI model delivery [8] - Guoshengtang is well-positioned to benefit from aging population trends and supportive policies in traditional Chinese medicine [9] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Materials - The market is recovering due to AI, storage chip replenishment, and wafer fab expansions, with a focus on high-end materials localization [2] - Recommended companies include Yake Technology, Nanda Optoelectronics, and others [2] Low-altitude Economy - EHang's total revenue for 2024 is projected at 456 million yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth [3] - The industry is expected to see rapid progress in EVTOL certification and infrastructure development [3] Lithium Mining - Reset cost analysis indicates that many lithium mining companies are undervalued, suggesting potential investment opportunities [4] - Companies to watch include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and others [4] Aerospace Industry - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to grow, driven by demand in the chromium industry chain [7] - Recommended companies include major oil and gas firms and material companies benefiting from domestic substitution [7] TMT Sector - AsiaInfo Technologies is adjusting profit forecasts but is expected to see growth in AI model delivery [8] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 824 million yuan by 2027 [8] Traditional Chinese Medicine - Guoshengtang is expected to benefit from AI integration and market expansion in traditional Chinese medicine [9] - Projected adjusted net profits for 2024-2026 are 409 million, 548 million, and 691 million yuan respectively [9]

Group 1 - The article discusses the investment value of the lithium mining sector from the perspective of reset costs, indicating that the overall stock prices tend to rise during the clearing phase of the previous cycle [4] - Reset cost calculations include intangible assets primarily related to mining rights and fixed assets such as lithium salt smelting plants and mining selection plants, suggesting that many companies are currently undervalued even when only considering their lithium mining operations [4] Group 2 - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to drive demand, with government policies encouraging social capital participation in China's aerospace sector, highlighting the importance of rocket launch services as a key area of policy support [5] - Sulfur prices have significantly increased due to supply-demand mismatches and rising downstream demand for phosphate fertilizers, while domestic inventory continues to deplete due to reduced sulfur imports from overseas [6] Group 3 - EHang Intelligent achieved a total revenue of 456 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 288.5%, with a gross margin of 61.4%, slightly down from 64.1% in 2023, marking the first year of adjusted profitability and positive operating cash flow [8] - The semiconductor materials market is recovering driven by AI industry growth, replenishment of storage chips, and expansion of wafer fabs, with high-end materials' localization process accelerating across various segments [9] Group 4 - Industrial Fulian reported a revenue of 609.1 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.216 billion yuan, up 10.34%, driven by the growing demand for AI computing infrastructure and advancements in smart manufacturing [11]

Economic Overview - The economic situation for 2025 is clearer, with increased challenges and a focus on boosting domestic demand[3] - The GDP growth target is set at around 5%, consistent with the previous year, to address employment and risk prevention[6] - The CPI target is adjusted to around 2%, down by 1 percentage point from the previous year, reflecting low inflation pressure[6] Fiscal Policy - The fiscal deficit rate is increased to 4.0%, up by 1 percentage point from last year, with a total deficit amount of CNY 5.66 trillion, an increase of CNY 1.6 trillion[6] - Total public budget expenditure is CNY 29.7 trillion, an increase of CNY 1.2 trillion from the previous year[7] - Special government bonds issuance is set at CNY 1.3 trillion, up by CNY 300 billion from last year, aimed at major strategic projects[9] Employment and Social Stability - The target for urban new employment is set at over 12 million, consistent with the previous year, to address the employment pressure from a record high of 12.22 million college graduates[6] - The urban survey unemployment rate is targeted at around 5.5%, maintaining the same level as last year[6] Investment and Infrastructure - Central budget investment is planned at CNY 735 billion, an increase of CNY 35 billion from last year, emphasizing effective investment[12] - Local government special bonds are set at CNY 4.4 trillion, an increase of CNY 500 billion, focusing on infrastructure and social projects[9] Real Estate Market - Policies will be implemented to stabilize the real estate market, including reducing restrictive measures and promoting the renovation of old housing[12] - The focus will remain on managing existing real estate inventory while controlling new land supply[12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the industry, emphasizing the importance of stabilizing the stock and real estate markets as part of the overall economic strategy [4][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the long-term positive trend of the economy remains unchanged despite current challenges, with a focus on enhancing consumer demand and stabilizing employment [4][9]. - It emphasizes the need for a combination of fiscal and monetary policies to support economic growth, with specific targets set for GDP growth, employment, and inflation [9][10][14]. Summary by Sections Economic Outlook - The report assesses the economic situation as complex and severe, with external shocks impacting trade and technology sectors, while internal challenges include insufficient effective demand and local government financial difficulties [4][5]. - The GDP growth target for 2025 is set at around 5%, consistent with previous years, aimed at balancing short-term employment needs and long-term development goals [9]. Employment and Inflation Targets - The employment target remains at over 12 million new urban jobs, with a target urban unemployment rate of around 5.5%, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the job market [10][13]. - The inflation target is set at around 2%, the lowest since 2004, indicating a cautious approach to managing price levels amid current economic conditions [14][15]. Fiscal and Monetary Policies - Fiscal policy is projected to be more proactive, with a total fiscal space expanding to 13.86 trillion yuan, a 26.5% increase from the previous year [16][20]. - Monetary policy aims to maintain liquidity while supporting economic growth, with expectations for social financing and money supply growth around 8% [21][22]. Key Initiatives - The report prioritizes boosting consumption as a key driver for economic growth, with specific actions planned to enhance consumer spending [28][32]. - It emphasizes the integration of technological innovation with industrial development, particularly in emerging sectors such as AI and biotechnology [33][34]. Capital Market Insights - The report indicates a shift in the A-share market from concept-driven to performance-driven dynamics, particularly in the technology sector, with a focus on real earnings rather than speculative growth [62][63]. - It suggests that the bond market may experience short-term interest rate increases but will trend downwards in the medium term due to continued monetary easing [72]. Regional Development and Urbanization - The report outlines strategies for promoting new urbanization and regional coordination, aiming to enhance public services for migrant populations and stimulate housing demand [56][57]. - It highlights the importance of fostering new growth areas through coordinated regional strategies, particularly in economically significant provinces [61].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for investment, suggesting a "moderate recovery + structural transition" in the economy for 2025 [57]. Core Insights - The 2025 government work report emphasizes the need to boost consumption, enhance investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand comprehensively [5][57]. - Key development goals include a GDP growth target of around 5%, a focus on employment, and a commitment to ecological improvement [5][7]. - The report outlines a proactive fiscal policy with a total new government debt scale of 11.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.9 trillion yuan from the previous year [5][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of the 2025 Government Work Report - The report sets a GDP growth target of approximately 5%, with urban unemployment around 5.5% and over 12 million new urban jobs [5]. - It highlights the implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy [5]. 2. Interpretation of the 2025 Government Work Report Consumption - Durable goods consumption is expected to double from 150 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan [13]. - The report aims to enhance service consumption in health, elderly care, and childcare sectors [13]. - New consumption models will be promoted, focusing on digital, green, and intelligent consumption [13]. Fixed Asset Investment - The report emphasizes the need for effective investment, with a proposed central budget investment of 735 billion yuan for 2025 [29]. - It encourages private investment in major infrastructure and social welfare projects [30]. - The focus will be on digital economy innovation, particularly in AI and 5G applications [31][32]. Government Purchases - The report outlines plans to expand high-quality public services in education and healthcare, including reforms in public hospitals and medical services [36]. Net Exports - The report aims to stabilize foreign trade and investment, promoting service trade innovation and encouraging foreign investment in various sectors [41]. 3. Investment Guidance from the 2025 Government Work Report - The report identifies key investment directions, including technology innovation, green economy, consumption upgrades, and infrastructure [57][68]. - It highlights the importance of supporting strategic emerging industries, particularly in aerospace, low-altitude economy, and biomanufacturing [59]. - The green economy is emphasized, with a focus on renewable energy, energy storage technologies, and carbon capture [60]. - Consumption upgrades are targeted to stimulate domestic demand, with specific measures to enhance consumer confidence and spending [61][62].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [5][6]. Core Insights - The government work report for 2025 emphasizes commercial aerospace as a leading emerging industry, shifting from "encouraging exploration" to "scale and standardized implementation," highlighting its core position in the national modernization industrial system [1][15]. - Manus, a Chinese startup, launched the world's first general-purpose AI agent, which can assist in various applications beyond stock analysis, marking a significant advancement in AI capabilities [2][12]. - The 2025 Mobile World Congress (MWC) showcased innovations in 5G-A technology from Huawei and ZTE, which are expected to accelerate technological progress and the adoption of AI terminals [3][32]. Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace - The 2025 government work report prioritizes commercial aerospace, indicating a qualitative breakthrough in key technologies, market applications, and industrial ecology, which will inject new momentum into economic development [15][19]. - Various provinces, including Beijing, Shanghai, and Chongqing, are implementing special support policies for commercial aerospace, which is expected to enhance industrial cluster development [19][20]. AI Development - Manus's AI agent can perform tasks autonomously, utilizing a multi-agent architecture to simulate human workflows, and has achieved state-of-the-art performance in benchmark tests [2][10]. - The AI agent trend is becoming mainstream, with major tech companies accelerating their development, indicating a shift towards a more integrated AI application ecosystem [14][37]. 5G-A Innovations - Huawei's AI-Centric 5.5G solutions and ZTE's new 5G-A products were highlighted at MWC 2025, showcasing the integration of AI with 5G technology to enhance user experience and operational efficiency [23][24]. - The report notes that the communication sector index rose by 2.81%, outperforming the broader market, with specific sectors like military information technology and satellite internet showing strong performance [38][40]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from AI development, such as ZTE and Unisplendour, and highlights the high dividend potential of major telecom operators like China Mobile and China Telecom [43][44].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The 2025 government work report emphasizes the development of emerging and future industries, particularly focusing on "Artificial Intelligence+" and the support for sectors like smart connected vehicles, AI applications, and commercial aerospace [2][3] - The report highlights significant achievements in the technology sector in 2024, including the production of over 13 million new energy vehicles and an 11.2% increase in technology contract transaction value [2] - The prioritization of emerging and future industries has increased, with new areas such as embodied intelligence and 6G being introduced in the 2025 report [2][3] Summary by Sections Government Work Report Highlights - In 2025, the government aims to cultivate emerging and future industries, including commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy, while also enhancing traditional industries through digital transformation [2][3] - The report outlines a mechanism for investment growth in future industries, focusing on biomanufacturing, quantum technology, and 6G [2][3] - The emphasis on digital economy innovation continues, with a push for the widespread application of large models and the development of new intelligent terminals and manufacturing equipment [2][3] Comparison of Government Work Reports - A comparison of the 2023, 2024, and 2025 government work reports shows a shift in focus, with emerging and future industries gaining priority over traditional sectors [3][4] - The 2025 report introduces new technologies and industries, indicating a more granular policy approach compared to previous years [3][4] - The report reflects a strategic shift towards fostering innovation in sectors like AI, quantum computing, and smart manufacturing [3][4]