新华财经北京9月1日电 2025年9月，A股有179家公司的限售股面临解禁，合计解禁量约为162.28亿股，解禁规模3033.98亿元，环比下降约53.88%，同比上 升约3.16%。其中，时代电气解禁规模居首，解禁市值超200亿元。 从行业分布来看，机械设备、计算机、电子行业解禁市值分别位列前三。 此外，共有10家公司、4.8亿限售股于9月迎上市周年解禁，解禁市值为302.55亿元，包括合合信息、无线传媒、富特科技等企业。 逾3000亿元限售股9月解禁时代电气、南网储能解禁规模居前 截至2025年8月28日的数据显示，9月有179只股票面临解禁，合计解禁量为162.28亿股，以2025年8月28日收盘价计算，合计解禁市值3033.98亿元，环比下降 约53.88%，同比上升约3.16%。 图1：2024年9月至2025年9月限售股解禁规模 | 排名 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 解禁数量(万股) | 解禁市值(亿元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 时代电气 | 688187.5H | 58,958.57 | 287.13 | | 2 | 南网储能 | 60 ...

Group 1: Market Trends - A-shares continue to show an upward trend with sectors like telecommunications and electronics leading the gains, while the metals sector performs well among cyclical stocks [1] - The market is expected to exhibit a phase of consolidation with rotating hotspots, focusing on resource sectors, innovative pharmaceuticals, consumer electronics, chemicals, gaming, and military industries [1][5][6] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for August is reported at 49.4%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from July, indicating an improvement in manufacturing sentiment [3] - The main raw material purchase price index and factory price index for August are 53.3% and 49.1%, respectively, both showing a month-on-month increase, suggesting a continued improvement in market price levels [3] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Central Huijin increased holdings in 12 ETF products in the first half of the year, indicating a stable investment strategy in the ETF market [4] - Investment recommendations include focusing on sectors benefiting from domestic "anti-involution," such as industrial metals, raw materials, and capital goods, as well as insurance and brokerage sectors [7] - The market is expected to remain active with a focus on structural allocation opportunities, particularly in technology growth sectors that have not been fully explored [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment strategies and performance of Shen Li, a fund manager at Caitong Fund, emphasizing the importance of expanding one's investment capability circle and maintaining a balanced portfolio to achieve consistent positive returns in the public fund industry [4][5]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Shen Li has successfully managed the Caitong New Vision Mixed A fund, achieving positive returns for six consecutive accounting years since 2019, with a remarkable 118.88% return over the past year as of August 25 [4][5]. - The strategy involves reducing exposure to single industries and utilizing the negative correlation between sectors such as consumption, technology, and cyclical industries to hedge risks [9]. - Shen Li emphasizes the importance of maintaining a balanced portfolio to avoid over-concentration in any single sector, which can lead to biased decision-making and poor responses to market changes [8][9]. Group 2: Market Adaptation - In 2022, Shen Li focused on investment opportunities in the livestock industry, capitalizing on the "pig cycle" as a rare investment opportunity within the consumer sector, which contributed to his positive performance amidst a challenging market [6]. - In 2023, he adopted a more stringent selection process within the consumer sector, balancing his portfolio across food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, electronics, and chemicals, particularly targeting stocks at the cyclical bottom [6][7]. Group 3: Future Focus Areas - Shen Li is currently concentrating on emerging fields such as AI hardware and semiconductors, while also keeping an eye on traditional and new consumer sectors, as well as livestock investment opportunities [7][11]. - The AI industry is viewed as a major driver of economic growth, with significant investment interest and increasing penetration across various downstream sectors [11]. - The trend towards domestic semiconductor production is accelerating, with a second upward cycle for semiconductor companies since 2018, driven by factors such as AI-induced replacement demand and domestic production [11][12].

新京报贝壳财经讯 8月31日，上交所发布消息称，截至2025年8月30日，沪市上市公司完成2025年半年 报披露。 中期分红再创新高。上半年408家沪市公司宣告中期分红，现金分红总额达5552亿元，同比分别增长 12%、5%。14家公司分红金额超百亿元。实体企业研发投入合计4326亿元，同比增长1%；科创板公司 研发投入总额841亿元，同比增长6%，研发投入占比中位数13%，持续领跑A股各板块。实体企业经营 性现金净流入1.11万亿元，同比增长32%，净利润现金含量达103%，同比提升26.2个百分点。 从业绩增长的贡献度看，制造业基本盘稳固。制造业营业收入、净利润同比分别增长3.9%、7.1%，增 长值占剔除非银金融后的整体比重分别为78%、50%。新兴产业势头更劲，电子、通信、医药生物、轨 交设备等新兴产业营收和净利润增速分别为7.5%、6.5%。近五年新兴产业营收占制造业及相关服务业 比重从39%增长至49%，利润占比从33%增长至50%。 编辑 王进雨 ...

Group 1: Overall Market Trends - In the first half of 2025, A-share listed companies accelerated innovation efforts with R&D investment exceeding 810 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.27% [1] - The overall R&D intensity reached 2.33%, showing a slight year-on-year increase [1] - The ChiNext, Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and Beijing Stock Exchange exhibited R&D intensities of 4.89%, 11.78%, and 4.63% respectively, highlighting the growing technological attributes [1] Group 2: Leading Companies in R&D Investment - BYD topped the A-share listed companies in R&D investment with 30.88 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 53.05% [2] - Other companies such as China State Construction, ZTE, China Mobile, CATL, and Hikvision also reported R&D investments exceeding 5 billion yuan [2] - BYD's innovations include the launch of the world's first mass-produced passenger vehicle with a high-voltage architecture and plans for building megawatt charging stations [2] Group 3: Industry Leaders and Innovation - Industry leaders play a crucial role in driving innovation and technological advancements, particularly in sectors like new energy and innovative pharmaceuticals [4] - CATL introduced several new battery technologies and solutions for both passenger and commercial vehicles, showcasing its leadership in the new energy sector [4] - In the pharmaceutical sector, companies like Heng Rui Medicine reported significant revenue growth and increased R&D investment, with 3.871 billion yuan allocated to R&D in the first half of the year [5] Group 4: AI and Technological Integration - AI has become a focal point for R&D innovation among listed companies, with significant mentions in half-year reports [6] - Industrial Fulian reported over 50% growth in overall server revenue, with AI server revenue increasing by over 60% year-on-year [6] - Gree Electric's AI dynamic energy-saving technology products saw a sales increase of 360% in the first half of the year, demonstrating the impact of AI on business development [7]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中国上市公司协会8月31日发布中国上市公司2025年半年度经营业绩报告。 报告显示，截至8月31日，全市场共5432家上市公司披露2025年半年度报告。2025年上半年，全市场近 六成公司营收正增长，超四分之三公司实现盈利，2475家公司净利润正增长，1943家公司营收、净利双 增长。 分红回购规模再创新高。截至8月31日，818家上市公司公布一季度、半年度现金分红方案，较去年同期 增加141家，现金分红总额达6497亿元。剔除停止实施回购的情况，全市场公布1321单2025年回购预 案，预计回购金额1642.70亿元。 报告显示，我国上市公司产业结构持续优化，内生动能基础稳步夯实，科技叙事主线愈发鲜明，新质生 产力加速成长，股东回报意识不断增强，高质量发展取得积极成效。 7个行业营收、净利润双增长 报告显示，2025年上半年，全市场上市公司实现营业收入35.01万亿元，同比增长0.16%。第二季度营收 18.11万亿元，同比增长0.43%，环比增长7.15%。上半年实现净利润3.00万 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ Wind数据显示，截至8月30日16时，有5424家A股上市公司披露半年报，其中，4178家上市公司2025年 上半年净利润为正，占比约77.03%。农林牧渔、钢铁、建筑材料、计算机、有色金属、传媒、电子、 非银金融等行业上市公司业绩回暖较为明显。 661家公司净利增超100% 从营收增幅角度看，Wind数据显示，上述5424家上市公司中，3120家上市公司上半年营业收入实现同 比增长。 其中，有109家A股上市公司营业收入实现翻倍式增长。智翔金泰、海创药业、寒武纪、贤丰控股（维 权）、北京文化等公司营业收入同比增幅居前。 上半年，新晋"股王"寒武纪共实现营业收入约28.81亿元，同比增长4347.82%；实现归属于上市公司股 东的净利润约10.38亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 上半年，营业收入增幅前三的公司均来自于科创板。其中，寒武纪营业收入同比增幅居A股第三名；智 翔金泰、海创药业分别以358429.65%和11899.08%的营收增幅位列第一和第二名，值得注意的是，这两 家公司均属医药生物行业。 | | | | 上半年营业收入增幅前十的上 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction - **Model Name**: Volume Model **Construction Idea**: This model uses trading volume as a key indicator to predict market trends in the short term[12][65] **Construction Process**: The model evaluates the trading volume of broad-based indices to generate buy or sell signals. A higher trading volume relative to historical averages indicates a "bullish" signal, while lower volumes may indicate neutrality or bearishness[12][65] **Evaluation**: The model is effective in capturing short-term market momentum and is widely applicable across broad indices[12][65] - **Model Name**: Low Volatility Model **Construction Idea**: This model focuses on the volatility of indices to assess market stability and predict trends[12][65] **Construction Process**: The model calculates the historical volatility of indices over a defined period. If the volatility is low, the model remains neutral, indicating a stable market environment[12][65] **Evaluation**: The model is useful for identifying periods of market stability but may lack predictive power during high-volatility phases[12][65] - **Model Name**: Institutional Feature Model (Top Trader) **Construction Idea**: This model analyzes institutional trading patterns to predict market movements[12][65] **Construction Process**: The model tracks the trading activity of institutional investors, particularly their buying and selling patterns. A high level of institutional selling generates a "bearish" signal[12][65] **Evaluation**: The model provides insights into institutional sentiment but may be less effective in retail-dominated markets[12][65] - **Model Name**: Momentum Model **Construction Idea**: This model leverages price momentum to predict long-term market trends[14][67] **Construction Process**: The model calculates the rate of price change over a long-term horizon. Positive momentum generates a "bullish" signal, while negative momentum indicates bearishness[14][67] **Evaluation**: The model is effective in identifying long-term trends but may lag during sudden market reversals[14][67] - **Model Name**: A-Share Comprehensive Weapon V3 Model **Construction Idea**: This is a composite model that integrates multiple signals across different time horizons[15][68] **Construction Process**: The model combines short-term, medium-term, and long-term signals from various sub-models (e.g., volume, momentum, institutional features) to generate an overall market outlook[15][68] **Evaluation**: The model balances short-term and long-term perspectives, making it robust for comprehensive market analysis[15][68] - **Model Name**: Hang Seng Turnover-to-Volatility Model **Construction Idea**: This model uses the ratio of turnover to volatility to predict medium-term trends in the Hong Kong market[16][69] **Construction Process**: The model calculates the turnover-to-volatility ratio for the Hang Seng Index. A higher ratio indicates a "bullish" signal, suggesting strong market participation relative to risk[16][69] **Evaluation**: The model is effective in capturing medium-term trends but may be less responsive to short-term fluctuations[16][69] Model Backtesting Results - **Volume Model**: All broad-based indices showed "bullish" signals in the short term[12][65] - **Low Volatility Model**: Neutral signals were observed, indicating stable market conditions[12][65] - **Institutional Feature Model**: Bearish signals were generated due to high institutional selling activity[12][65] - **Momentum Model**: Long-term "bullish" signals were observed, indicating positive price momentum[14][67] - **A-Share Comprehensive Weapon V3 Model**: Overall "bullish" signals were generated, reflecting a positive market outlook[15][68] - **Hang Seng Turnover-to-Volatility Model**: "Bullish" signals were observed, suggesting optimism in the Hong Kong market[16][69]

Core Insights - The A-share half-year report has concluded, with 5,432 listed companies disclosing their semi-annual reports as of August 31, indicating a continuous optimization of industrial structure and a strong foundation for internal driving forces [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the total operating revenue of all listed companies reached 35.01 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.16%, while net profit was 3 trillion yuan, up 2.54%, with an acceleration of 4.76 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] - Nearly 60% of companies reported revenue growth, and over 75% were profitable, with 2,475 companies showing positive net profit growth and 1,943 companies achieving both revenue and net profit growth [3] - Excluding the financial sector, the revenue of real economy listed companies was 30.42 trillion yuan, unchanged from the same period last year, while net profit grew by 0.94% to 1.59 trillion yuan [3] Sector Performance - Among 19 industry categories, 17 achieved profitability, with 7 industries showing revenue growth and 10 industries reporting net profit growth [5] - The consumer sector showed strong potential, with significant growth in new energy vehicles and home appliances, leading to over 30% net profit growth for related companies [5] - The overseas business of listed companies demonstrated resilience, with foreign income reaching 4.9 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, marking three consecutive years of growth [5] Innovation and R&D - Total R&D investment across all listed companies exceeded 810 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.27%, with an overall R&D intensity of 2.33% [7] - The market for sci-tech bonds expanded rapidly, with 824 bonds issued and a financing scale exceeding 1.02 trillion yuan, indicating strong support for technology-driven enterprises [7] Market Dynamics - As of August 31, there were 5,435 listed companies in the domestic stock market, with 67 new IPOs this year, primarily in the electronics and machinery sectors [10] - A total of 24 companies were delisted, with a well-functioning ecosystem emerging due to the regularized delisting mechanism [10] - Cash dividends reached a record high, with 818 companies announcing cash dividend plans totaling 649.7 billion yuan, reflecting a trend towards normalized and standardized profit distribution [10][11]

Overall Analysis - In Q2 2025, the overall A-share market experienced a decline in profitability, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.41% for net profit attributable to shareholders, down from 2.57% in H1 2025 [11][12] - The revenue growth for the entire A-share market in H1 2025 was 0.21%, with Q2 showing a slight improvement to 0.49% [12][19] - The return on equity (ROE) for the non-financial and non-oil sectors stabilized at 6.26% in Q2 2025, indicating a need for further observation regarding upward elasticity [28][31] Industry Analysis - The industries with the highest year-on-year net profit growth in Q2 2025 included comprehensive services (+239.7%), steel (+82.2%), electronics (+27.6%), and electric equipment (+24.6%) [3][24] - The real estate, electric equipment, and defense industries showed improvements in net profit growth compared to Q1 2025 [3][24] - The TMT sector (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) demonstrated strong performance, with electronics and computing sectors showing significant improvements [3][24] Cash Flow Analysis - Operating cash flow showed a year-on-year improvement in Q2 2025, although overall cash flow levels remained low compared to the past decade [12][19] - The financing cash flow indicated a reduction in corporate debt repayment pressure, while investment cash flow remained stable [12][19] Dividend Distribution - As of August 30, 2025, 813 listed companies had disclosed and implemented dividends, with a total dividend payout of 642.8 billion yuan, reflecting an increase from 2024 [4][25]