＃summary＃ 021-60635740 期货从业资格号：F3075681 研究员：张平 021-60635734 zhangping@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 请阅读正文后的声明 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 行业 锌期货日报 日期 2025 年 9 月 3 日 有色金属研究团队 研究员：彭婧霖 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：余菲菲 请阅读正文后的声明- 2 - 1. 2025 年 9 月 2 日 0#锌主流成交价集中在 22145~22275 元/吨，双燕主流成 交于 22305~22425 元/吨，1#锌主流成交于 22075~22205 元/吨。早盘市场 对 SMM 均价报价升水 20~30 元/吨，对盘报价几无。第二交易时段，普 通国产报价对 2510 合约贴水 40~30 元/吨，红鹭-v 对 2509 合约报价升水 40 元/吨，会泽对 2509 合约升水 70 元/吨，高价品牌双燕对 2510 合约升 水 120 元/吨 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that LME aluminum futures prices are experiencing fluctuations, with a slight decline observed on September 3rd, 2023 [1] - On September 2nd, LME aluminum futures opened at $2619.5 per ton, reached a high of $2625.0, a low of $2600.0, and closed at $2621.5, reflecting a change of 0.08% [2] - The current price of LME aluminum futures is reported at $2612.5 per ton, showing a decrease of 0.25% from the opening price [1] Group 2 - The electrolytic aluminum spot price ratio between Shanghai and London is reported at 7.91, indicating an import loss of -1358.87 yuan per ton, compared to -1323.15 yuan per ton on the previous trading day [2] - As of September 2nd, LME registered aluminum warrants totaled 468,750 tons, with canceled warrants at 10,850 tons, a decrease of 1,450 tons [2] - LME aluminum inventory stands at 479,600 tons, also reflecting a decrease of 1,450 tons [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) aluminum futures warrants increased by 125 tons to a total of 58,654 tons compared to the previous trading day [2]

注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 两融数据显示，该股最新（9月2日）两融余额为44.31亿元，其中，融资余额为43.84亿元，近10日增加9.39亿元，环比增长27.25%。 机构评级来看，近10日共有10家机构对该股进行评级，预计目标价最高的是中金公司证券，8月29日中金公司证券发布的研报给予公司目标价为 29.00元。 公司发布的半年报数据显示，上半年公司共实现营业收入1677.11亿元，同比增长11.50%，实现净利润232.92亿元，同比增长54.41%，基本每股收 益为0.8770元，加权平均净资产收益率16.11%。（数据宝） （原标题：紫金矿业股价又创新高，今日涨2.87%） 紫金矿业股价再创历史新高，该股近期呈不断突破新高之势，近一个月累计有11个交易日股价刷新历史纪录。截至09:35，该股目前上涨2.87%， 股价报25.11元，成交6242.18万股，成交金额15.72亿元，换手率0.30%，该股最新A股总市值达5169.83亿元，该股A股流通市值5169.63亿元。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示，紫金矿业所属的有色金属行业，目前整体涨幅为1.30%，行业内，目前股 ...

期货市场交易指引 2025 年 09 月 03 日 全球主要市场表现 | 指标 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证综指 | 3,858.13 | -0.45% | | 深圳成指 | 12,553.84 | -2.14% | | 沪深 300 | 4,490.45 | -0.74% | | 上证 50 | 2,992.88 | 0.39% | | 中证 500 | 6,961.69 | -2.09% | | 中证 1000 | 5,903.58 | 0.25% | | 日经指数 | 42,310.49 | 0.29% | | 道琼指数 | 45,295.81 | #DIV/0! | | 标普 500 | 6,415.54 | #DIV/0! | | 纳斯达克 | 21,279.63 | #DIV/0! | | 美元指数 | 98.3208 | 0.63% | | 人民币 | 7.1476 | 0.20% | | 纽约黄金 | 3,599.50 | #DIV/0! | | WTI 原油 | 65.59 | #DIV/0! | | LME 铜 | 10,013.50 | 1 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - On September 2, the A-share market and multiple futures varieties showed diverse trends, influenced by factors such as market supply - demand, policy restrictions, and international market conditions [1][2][3][4][5][7][8][9][11][12] Summary by Variety Stock Index Futures - On September 2, the three major A - share indexes collectively declined. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.45% to 3858.13 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 2.14% to 12553.84 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased 2.85% to 2872.22 points. The trading volume of the two markets reached 2875 billion yuan, an increase of 125 billion yuan from the previous day. The CSI 300 index also adjusted downward, closing at 4490.45, a decrease of 33.26 [1][2] Coke and Coking Coal - Coke: On September 2, the weighted coke index showed weak consolidation, closing at 1599.6, a decrease of 6.9. There is a temporary supply contraction due to upcoming northern regional restrictions, while steel mills also face restrictions, and cost support is weakening [2][4] - Coking Coal: On September 2, the weighted coking coal index fluctuated weakly, closing at 1110.9 yuan, a decrease of 9.2. Some mines in major coal - producing areas have suspended production, and downstream enterprises will face restrictions, resulting in weak supply and demand [3][4] Zhengzhou Sugar - Affected by the reduction in spot prices and short - selling pressure, the Zhengzhou Sugar 2601 contract declined on September 2 and continued to fall slightly at night. India will allow unrestricted use of sugarcane juice, syrup, and molasses for ethanol production in the new season [4] Rubber - Shanghai rubber showed a narrow - range fluctuation on September 2 and closed slightly higher. Boosted by rising crude oil prices, it rose slightly at night. As of August 31, 2025, the total inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao decreased by 0.4 million tons, a decline of 0.6% [5] Soybean Meal - Internationally, on September 2, CBOT soybean futures were weak. The US soybean harvest will start in mid - to - late September, and Brazil's 2025/2026 soybean production is expected to reach a record 1.782 billion tons, a 5.6% increase year - on - year. Domestically, on September 2, soybean meal futures fluctuated. The M2601 contract closed at 3050 yuan/ton, a 0.13% decrease. High imports and high processing volumes have led to sufficient supply, and the price is under pressure [5] Live Hogs - On September 2, live hog futures fluctuated weakly. The LH2511 contract closed at 13595 yuan/ton, a 0.22% decrease. In September, supply is sufficient, and some areas face disease risks. Although there is a recovery in terminal demand due to the start of the school season, the support for prices is limited. In the medium - to - long - term, the supply pressure in the fourth quarter is high [7] Palm Oil - On September 2, palm oil futures continued a slight rebound but lacked upward momentum. The main contract P2601 closed at 9422, a 0.4% increase. Malaysia's August palm oil exports increased by 30.53% year - on - year, while production decreased by 2.65% [8] Shanghai Copper - Positive macro factors and supply - tightening expectations will support copper prices. With low inventory and high premiums in China, and the approaching peak consumption season, demand is expected to increase. However, high prices may suppress some purchasing intentions [8] Cotton - On the night of September 2, the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton closed at 14045 yuan/ton. The base - price quotation at Xinjiang's designated delivery warehouses was at least 900 yuan/ton, and the inventory decreased by 189 lots [9] Iron Ore - On September 2, the main contract of iron ore 2601 fluctuated and closed up 0.06%. Global shipments have reached a high for the year, and arrivals have increased. Short - term prices are in a fluctuating trend due to production cuts in the Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei region [9] Asphalt - On September 2, the main contract of asphalt 2510 fluctuated and rose 1.17%, closing at 3551 yuan. The capacity utilization rate has decreased, inventory reduction is slow, and with the approaching peak demand season, prices are expected to fluctuate [9] Logs - On September 2, the log futures contract 2511 opened at 820, closed at 810.5, and increased in positions by 755 lots. The price broke below the 60 - day moving average. The spot prices in Shandong and Jiangsu remained stable. There is a game between strong expectations and weak reality, and attention should be paid to factors such as peak - season prices, imports, and inventory [9][10][11] Steel Products - On September 2, rb2601 closed at 3117 yuan/ton, and hc2601 closed at 3298 yuan/ton. The market lacks strong macro - drivers, and the fundamentals are weak, which may continue to suppress prices [11] Alumina - On September 2, ao2601 closed at 3022 yuan/ton. Some domestic enterprises are under maintenance, and production and operating rates have slightly declined, but the supply is still relatively loose, and the market may continue to be weak [11] Shanghai Aluminum - On September 2, al2510 closed at 20720 yuan/ton. Macro sentiment is favorable, but the peak - season expectations have not been realized. The fundamentals are weak, and the price is in a range - bound trend [12]

Group 1 - Jiangxi Copper Company (00358) saw its stock price rise by 8.14% to HKD 25.24, with a trading volume of HKD 315 million [1] - For the first half of 2025, Jiangxi Copper reported revenue of approximately CNY 256.03 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.97%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was about CNY 4.451 billion, an increase of 19.78% [1] - Citigroup raised its target price for Jiangxi Copper's H-shares from HKD 19.1 to HKD 27.9 and for A-shares from CNY 25 to CNY 33.8, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2 - Jaxin International Resources officially listed on August 28, and its Bakuta tungsten mine is the fourth largest WO₃ mineral resource globally, with the largest designed tungsten production capacity in a single mine [2] - The company holds a 31.24% stake in Jaxin International Resources, which has begun to release production from the Bakuta tungsten mine [2]

Group 1 - The core business of the company is focused on the research, production, and sales of high-end titanium and titanium alloy materials, primarily used in aerospace, naval, and military equipment [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the company reported a revenue of 318 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 40.53 million yuan, down 49.71% year-on-year [2] - The company has a total of 15,800 shareholders as of June 30, 2025, which is a decrease of 8.33% from the previous period, with an average of 5,283 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 17.30% [2] Group 2 - On September 2, 2025, the company's stock price fell by 2.81%, with a trading volume of 143 million yuan [1] - The financing buy-in amount on September 2 was 13.01 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 11.58 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy-in of 1.43 million yuan [1] - The total balance of margin trading for the company as of September 2 is 146 million yuan, accounting for 7.45% of the circulating market value [1] Group 3 - The company has cumulatively distributed 38.85 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the fourth largest circulating shareholder is Bosera Innovation Economy Mixed A, holding 715,100 shares as a new shareholder [3] - Western Capital Event-Driven Stock A has exited the list of the top ten circulating shareholders [3]

Group 1 - On September 2, among the 31 first-level industries tracked by Shenwan, 14 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the non-bank financial sector leading at a net inflow of 1.468 billion yuan [1] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows included pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and oil and petrochemicals, each exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [1] Group 2 - A total of 1,658 individual stocks received net financing inflows on September 2, with 96 stocks having net inflows exceeding 50 million yuan [1] - Among these, 37 stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Shenghong Technology leading at a net inflow of 1.367 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflows included Dongfang Wealth, Top Group, BeiGene, Data Port, Pacific, Sanhua Intelligent Control, Kunlun Wanwei, and Huahong Semiconductor, each with net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have reached new highs, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to significant inflows into the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly highlighted by the surge in the non-ferrous metal ETF (159876) which attracted 75.6 million yuan in just two days, reaching a new high of 207 million yuan as of September 2 [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - On September 2, spot gold in London surpassed $3,500 per ounce, marking a new high, with Morgan Stanley projecting a year-end target of $3,800 per ounce [3]. - Multiple institutions predict that after four months of consolidation, precious metals are poised to enter a new upward trend [3]. - The macroeconomic environment is characterized by increased fiscal dominance in the U.S., leading to a trend of abundant dollar liquidity, which is favorable for global risk assets and supports gold as an anti-inflation asset [3]. Group 2: Non-Ferrous Metals Sector Outlook - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with high growth prospects due to several factors: 1. Supply-side improvements are expected as "anti-involution" initiatives accelerate the clearance of excess capacity, enhancing profitability for non-ferrous enterprises [3]. 2. Demand from emerging industries such as new energy, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, and robotics is increasing the need for non-ferrous metals [3]. 3. The global economic recovery, coupled with a depreciating dollar, is supporting non-ferrous metal prices [3]. - The industrial metals sector is currently undervalued, indicating potential for upward valuation adjustments, with a bullish market for non-ferrous metals beginning to take shape [4]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The non-ferrous metal ETF (159876) and its linked funds are designed to track the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index, which includes significant weights in copper (25.3%), aluminum (14.2%), rare earths (13.8%), gold (13.6%), and lithium (7.6%), providing a diversified investment approach [5]. - The ETF's performance reflects a strategy to mitigate risks associated with investing in single metal sectors, making it suitable for inclusion in investment portfolios [5].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - For non - ferrous metals, construct seller neutral volatility strategies for the ones with weak and volatile trends, and short - volatility combination strategies for those with large - amplitude fluctuations. For precious metals with upward breakthroughs, construct spot hedging strategies [2]. 3. Summary by Categories 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Various metal futures have different price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, copper (CU2510) has a latest price of 80,410, a rise of 630, and a trading volume of 6.17 million hands. The trading volume of most metals shows a decreasing trend, while the trading volume of some like lithium carbonate (LC2511) increases [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - **Volume - to - Open - Interest PCR**: Different metals have different PCR values and their changes, which can be used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. For example, the volume PCR of copper is 0.29 with a change of - 0.06 [4]. - **Pressure and Support Levels**: From the perspective of the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of different metals are obtained. For example, the pressure level of copper is 82,000 and the support level is 80,000 [5]. - **Implied Volatility**: The implied volatility of different metals shows different levels and changes. For example, the implied volatility of copper is 11.46% at the at - the - money level, and the weighted implied volatility is 15.99% with a change of - 0.25% [6]. 3.3 Strategy and Recommendations - **Non - ferrous Metals** - **Copper**: Construct a short - volatility seller option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Construct a bull spread combination strategy for call options, a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel**: Construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy [10]. - **Tin**: Construct a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long + buy put + sell call strategy [11]. - **Precious Metals (Gold/Silver)** - **Gold**: Construct a bull spread combination strategy for call options, a short - neutral short - volatility option seller combination strategy, and a spot hedging strategy [12]. - **Black Metals** - **Rebar**: Construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long + sell call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloys**: Construct a short - volatility strategy for manganese - silicon [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: Construct a short - volatility short - call + put option combination strategy and a spot long + buy put + sell call strategy [14]. - **Glass**: Construct a short - volatility short - call + put option combination strategy and a spot long collar strategy [15].