Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of U.S. foreign policy and trade dynamics, particularly in the context of U.S.-China relations, highlighting potential economic bifurcation and investment opportunities in technology sectors due to shifting geopolitical landscapes [2][5][11]. Group 1: U.S.-China Trade Dynamics - The trade relationship between the U.S. and China is experiencing a shift, with China taking a more dominant role in negotiations compared to previous years [2][5]. - The potential for a "tariff spiral" is noted, drawing parallels to historical events in the 1930s, which could impact global trade and economic conditions [1][5]. - The U.S. currently accounts for 27% of global consumption, with strong performance in the Nasdaq indicating robust corporate earnings [6][20]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The demand for AI technologies is experiencing exponential growth, benefiting U.S. tech giants and potentially impacting A-shares in sectors like optical modules [2][20]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" in China emphasizes investment in technology, with high demand for computing power, servers, and semiconductors expected to persist throughout the year [2][18]. - The article suggests a focus on defensive asset classes such as bonds and utility stocks, as well as sectors related to security and technology, in light of geopolitical tensions [8][11]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - The article indicates that corporate profitability may face deflationary pressures due to increased costs from tariffs and trade restrictions [8][11]. - The overall economic environment is characterized by high volatility and structural rotation, suggesting a need for strategic investment approaches [8][11]. - The anticipated return of capital to the U.S. markets is expected to favor domestic technology and debt markets, aligning with the "15th Five-Year Plan" objectives [18][20].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market demonstrated resilience amid a significant downturn in Western markets, with 3,178 stocks rising despite the overall index decline, indicating a strategic defense by major funds [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the day of the U.S. market crash, the Shanghai Composite Index only fell by 0.37%, while the ChiNext index remained stable at 2,304 points, showcasing a strong defensive posture [2][3]. - Despite the overall market showing red, sectors such as power equipment and coal stocks attracted significant capital inflows, with power equipment gaining 1.9 billion yuan and coal stocks receiving 730 million yuan in purchases [2][3]. Group 2: Strategic Fund Management - Major funds anticipated the downturn in Western markets and established a solid defense at the 3,550-point level, which is a key Fibonacci retracement point [3][14]. - The People's Bank of China signaled continued monetary easing, with liquidity reserves reaching 7.4 trillion yuan, indicating a robust support mechanism for the market [3][14]. Group 3: External Influences - The U.S. non-farm payroll data significantly underperformed, leading to a spike in gold prices and a drop in the dollar index, which triggered panic selling in global markets [1][5]. - The depreciation of the dollar positively impacted the offshore yuan, which appreciated by 400 basis points, benefiting foreign investors holding 2.1 trillion yuan in A-shares [8][12]. Group 4: Sectoral Insights - The industrial sector showed strong performance, with companies like Sany Heavy Industry reporting a 67% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue, highlighting the structural differentiation within the A-share market [5][12]. - The gold sector also saw significant gains, with London gold prices rising by 2.3% to a historical high, reflecting a dual strategy of hedging against economic downturns while betting on China's manufacturing recovery [12][14]. Group 5: Valuation Comparisons - The current price-to-earnings ratio of the CSI 300 is only 13.1 times, indicating that A-shares are undervalued compared to U.S. stocks, where similar growth companies have P/E ratios exceeding 30 times [14]. - The A-share market has outperformed the Dow Jones, with an 18% increase in the first seven months of the year, contrasting with the Dow's 5% rise, suggesting a decoupling from Western market trends [14].

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on domestic AI development-driven sectors such as servers and IDC, as well as overseas AI development-driven sectors like servers and optical modules [5]. Core Insights - North American cloud providers like Meta and Microsoft are increasing investments in AI computing power, indicating sustained overseas demand. Meta's capital expenditure has been raised to $66-72 billion, primarily for talent and infrastructure investment. Microsoft expects its capital expenditure to exceed $30 billion in FY26Q1 to alleviate computing power constraints [1][2]. - The demand for optical modules is expected to grow significantly, driven by increased investments in data centers by downstream clients like Google and Meta. The report highlights the strong performance of optical module suppliers [1][8]. - The narrative around H20's sales to China has reversed, with a long-term positive outlook on domestic chip replacement. Following Nvidia's announcement to resume H20 sales to China, the National Cyberspace Administration of China has requested Nvidia to clarify security risks associated with these chips [1][3]. Summary by Sections Communication Sector - The telecommunications business revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 905.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1%. The total telecommunications business volume grew by 9.3% year-on-year when adjusted for last year's prices [4][15]. - The report notes a gradual increase in the growth rate of telecommunications business volume, with a significant rise in new business areas such as IPTV and cloud computing [15]. Server Sector - The server index decreased by 0.54% this week and 1.56% this month. ChatGPT's weekly active users reached approximately 700 million, driving OpenAI's projected revenue for 2025 to exceed $12.7 billion. OpenAI is pursuing a $40 billion financing plan, which may increase server leasing expenditures [2][7]. Optical Module Sector - The optical module index increased by 7.96% this week, despite a 1.72% decline this month. Microsoft and Meta reported better-than-expected earnings, with Microsoft’s intelligent cloud segment revenue reaching $29.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26% [2][8]. - The report anticipates a surge in demand for high-speed optical modules due to the ongoing AI computing infrastructure development in North America [2][8]. IDC Sector - The IDC index decreased by 1.12% this week and 0.35% this month. The report maintains a long-term positive outlook on domestic chip replacement, driven by the development of domestic large models and chip production [3][9]. Key Data Updates - Capital expenditures for major companies in Q2 2025 were as follows: Microsoft at $24.2 billion (+28% YoY), Google at $22.4 billion (+70% YoY), Meta at $16.5 billion (+102% YoY), and Amazon at $31.4 billion (+91% YoY) [4][15].

根据IDC数据，2025全年中国液冷服务器市场规模将达到33.9亿美元，与2024年相比增长42.6%。IDC预 计，2025—2029年，中国液冷服务器市场年复合增长率将达到约48%，2028年市场规模将达到约162亿 美元。 开源证券研报认为，AI时代液冷从可选项走向必选项，原因包括主流计算芯片功耗不断增加、AI集群 功率密度提升、单机柜功率持续增长、双碳时代严控PUE（电能利用效率）。在数据中心高密度化时 代，液冷优势日益凸显。 5只概念股上半年盈利向好 据证券时报·数据宝统计，A股中布局液冷服务器的概念股共有32只，业绩上来看，9股发布了上半年业 绩预告、业绩快报或半年报，其中，飞荣达、中石科技、松芝股份、领益智造、飞龙股份5股归母净利 润预增或增长。 飞荣达预计今年上半年实现归母净利润1.55亿元—1.7亿元，同比增长103.95%—123.69%。上半年公司 AI服务器散热相关业务与部分重要客户的合作有序推进中，营业收入显著增长。公司在投资者问答平 台上表示，公司在液冷散热领域也已展现出显著的技术优势，在业务推进上取得了显著进展。 液冷服务器概念连续上涨 8月1日早盘，A股液冷服务器概念持续强势， ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant drop, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3600 points, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics and investor sentiment [1][9]. Market Reaction to Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting and comments from Chairman Powell regarding persistent inflation led to a sharp decline in market expectations for interest rate cuts, causing a ripple effect across global markets [1][3]. - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index fell nearly 2%, and the Hang Seng Index dropped by 1.58%, with technology stocks like Li Auto leading the decline [1][3]. Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - The market showed signs of distress with a significant sell-off, as evidenced by a net outflow of nearly 800 billion yuan in capital, indicating that smart money was quietly exiting the market [3][11]. - The A-share market saw over 4000 stocks decline, with only 42 stocks managing to rise, highlighting a stark contrast between winners and losers [1][13]. Sector Performance - AI hardware stocks, particularly in the liquid cooling server segment, saw gains, with some stocks like Siqun New Materials hitting the daily limit up [5]. - The assisted reproduction sector also performed well, driven by policy support, with stocks like Gongtong Pharmaceutical rising in response to the inclusion of assisted reproductive technology in health insurance [7]. Struggles of Traditional Sectors - Traditional sectors such as steel and coal faced significant declines, with stocks like Antai Group dropping over 5% [7]. - The pharmaceutical sector also struggled, with leading companies like BeiGene and WuXi AppTec experiencing notable drops in their stock prices [8]. Market Capitalization Impact - The A-share market saw a loss of over 2 trillion yuan in market capitalization in a single day, reflecting a severe impact on household wealth and investor confidence [13].

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry Outlook - SEMI predicts global semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales will reach a record $125.5 billion by 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [1] - The semiconductor sector has shown strong market performance, with the Shenwan Semiconductor Index rising 9.63% from June 6 to July 25 [1] - The AI-related concept indices have seen significant growth, with the Wind Deepseek concept index up over 52% year-to-date and the AI computing power concept index rising nearly 25% [1] Group 2: Automotive Industry Performance - In June 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars in China reached 2.08 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% and a month-on-month increase of 7.6% [4] - The wholesale share of domestic brands in passenger cars was 67.1%, up 2.2% year-on-year, while the retail share was 64.2%, up 5.6% year-on-year [5] - Overall inventory of passenger car manufacturers decreased by 150,000 units in June, indicating reduced inventory pressure [5] Group 3: AI and Server Demand - AI server demand remains strong, with six Taiwanese ODM manufacturers reporting a combined revenue of NT$582.3 billion in June, a year-on-year increase of 88% [6] - Companies in downstream sectors such as chatbots and AI programming are experiencing rising average revenue rates and daily active user numbers [6] Group 4: Semiconductor Sales Growth - The global semiconductor sales reached $58.98 billion in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.03%, marking a historical monthly high [7] - The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) forecasts global semiconductor sales to grow by 11.2% and 8.5% in 2025 and 2026, respectively [7] - The growth in both advanced and mature processes is driving strong momentum in the semiconductor industry [7]

今日A股震荡走弱，全市场成交额1.96亿元，较上日放量超900亿元，板块题材上，智谱AI、液冷服务器、辅助生殖板块走高，钢铁、煤炭、保险板块调 整；港股延续调整，医药股冲高回落。截至收盘，中证A500指数、沪深300指数均下跌1.8%，创业板指数下跌1.7%，上证科创板50成份指数下跌1.0%，恒生 中国企业指数下跌1.7%。 | 港股大盘宽基:H股ETF | | | 510900 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跟踪恒生中国企业指数 | | | | | 该指数由在港上市中国内地企 | | | | | 业中50只市值大、成交活跃的 | マ日 | 该指数 | 该指数自2002年 | | 股票组成,指数行业覆盖较为 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 以来估值分位 | | 广泛,可选消费、金融、信息 | | | | | 技术、能源行业合计占比超 | -1.7% | 10.4倍 | 63. 6% | | 85% | | | | 每日经济新闻 ...

另外，钢铁、煤炭、油气、有色金属等周期性板块全线下跌，安阳钢铁(600569)、包钢股份(600010)、 安泰集团跌超5%。(格隆汇) (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 格隆汇7月31日｜A股三大指数涨跌不一，截至午盘收盘，沪指跌0.68%报3591.26点，深成指跌0.45%， 创业板指涨0.43%，北证50指数涨0.12%。沪深京三市成交额11578亿元，较上日放量556亿元，两市超 3400只个股下跌。 盘面上，辅助生殖概念涨幅居前，共同药业、利德曼(300289)20cm涨停，我国31省将辅助生殖技术纳入 医保；液冷服务器概念全线走强，思泉新材20CM涨停，英维克(002837)、淳中科技等涨停封板；CPO 概念股大涨，汇绿生态、剑桥科技(603083)涨停，中际旭创(300308)、新易盛(300502)均创历史新高；创 新药板块再度活跃，奥翔药业(603229)、康缘药业(600557)等涨停；AI智能体概念集体走强，易点天 下、用友网络(600588)、南兴股份(002757)涨停，百度搜索首页测试开放智能体应用入口。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判 ...

三大指数涨跌不一，截至午盘收盘，沪指跌0.68%，深成指跌0.45%，创业板指涨0.43%，北证50指数涨0.12%，沪深京三 市成交额11578亿元，较上日放量556亿元。两市超3400只个股下跌。 板块题材上，智谱AI、液冷服务器、辅助生殖板块走高，钢铁、煤炭板块调整。 盘面上，智谱AI板块震荡走强，易点天下20CM涨停。液冷服务器板块全线走强，思泉新材20CM涨停，英维克、淳中科技 等涨停封板。辅助生殖板块持续走强，共同药业20CM涨停，汉商集团涨停封板。钢铁板块调整，重庆钢铁跌超5%。煤炭板块 全线走低，板块内全线飘绿，安泰集团跌超5%。 ...

证券日报网讯道氏技术（300409）7月30日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，芯培森APU服务器已经 应用于半导体工艺开发、新能源材料设计、军工材料研发等多种场景。 ...