本周（2.28-3.7）中信消费者服务行业涨跌幅、商业贸易行业涨 跌幅分别为 3.27%、0.48%，相对上证综指，分别跑赢 1.72pct、 跑输 1.08pct，相对沪深 300 分别跑赢 1.89pct、跑输 0.91pct，在 中信一级行业中排名第 7、23。 板块表现： 社会服务：出境游板块涨跌幅第一（+9.04%），酒店>餐饮>景 区>免税，涨跌幅分别为+0.89%、+0.74%、+0.61%、-1.20%。 商贸零售：电商及服务板块涨跌幅第一（+3.90%），专营连锁> 专业 市场 经营 >一 般 零售 >贸 易， 涨 跌幅 分别 为+3.69% 、 +2.69%、-1.81%、-2.52%。 板块新闻： 证券研究报告·行业动态 政府工作报告强调大力提振消 费，关注扩大内需方向 核心观点 国务院总理李强在政府工作报告中介绍今年政府工作任务时提 出，大力提振消费、提高投资效益，全方位扩大国内需求。促 进消费和投资更好结合，加快补上内需特别是消费短板，使内 需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚；实施提振消费专项行 动，推动消费提质升级。扩大健康、养老、托幼、家政等多元 化服务供给。落实和优化休假制度， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant decline in the US stock market, termed "Black Monday," is attributed to weakening economic growth, concerns over Trump's tariff policies, and a shift in the AI monopoly landscape, with expectations of continued market volatility in the short term [1][2][3]. Market Performance - On March 10, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 890.01 points, closing at 41911.71, a drop of 2.08% - The S&P 500 index decreased by 155.64 points to 5614.56, down 2.70% - The Nasdaq Composite index dropped by 727.90 points to 17468.33, marking a 4.00% decline, the largest single-day drop in 29 months [1]. Sector Analysis - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Tesla down over 15%, losing approximately $130 billion in market value, the largest single-day drop since September 2020 - Other tech giants like Nvidia, Apple, Google A, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Amazon also saw declines ranging from 2.36% to 5.07% [1]. Economic Commentary - Analysts suggest that the market downturn began on February 20, with the S&P 500 index down 8.7% and the Nasdaq down nearly 13% from mid-February highs - The decline is linked to recession fears and liquidity tightening, exacerbated by Trump's rhetoric and weakening economic data [3][4]. Policy Impact - Trump's comments regarding the economy being in a "transition period" and the potential for a "detox period" due to government spending cuts have contributed to market uncertainty [2][4]. - Analysts note that the current economic environment reflects a shift from "American exceptionalism" to a narrative of "atmospheric recession," although a true recession is not imminent [4]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict continued volatility in the US stock market due to uncertainties surrounding Trump's tariff policies and the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategies - The overall high valuation levels of the market suggest that positive catalysts will be necessary to maintain these valuations in the medium to long term [5][6].

来源：雪球 上周五 ， 市场迎来了一个疾风骤雨的调整 ， 尤其是港股 ， 跌幅是比较大的 ， 恒生指数大跌3.28% ， 恒生 科技暴跌5.32% 。 如此巨大的跌幅 ， 确实有点惨绝人寰了 。 关注投基财富路，投资不迷路！ 长按即可免费加入哦 以下文章来源于ETF手艺人 ，作者ETF手艺人 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 ETF手艺人 . 作者： 投基联盟 从走势上来看 ， 周五的这根大阴线 ， 直接击穿了5日和10日均线 ， 杀伤力还是蛮大的 ， 破坏了走势良好 的日线形态 ， 这对市场心理会造成较大的冲击 。 找了一大圈 ， 从杀跌的原因上来看 ， 其实并没有啥大的突发性利空 ， 如果要说有的话 ， 那就是美股科技 股的大调整 ， 导致了全球市场的大动荡 。 周四晚上 ， 英伟达披露了最新的业绩 ， 虽然整体还不错 ， 不过也有部分是低于市场预期的 ， 所以当天大 跌8.5% ， 纳指达克指数也遭到了暴击 ， 当天跌幅达到了2.8% 。 从全球视角来看 ， 全球股市是一起联动的 ， 美股居于核心地位 ， 科技板块更是核心的核心 ， 属于是 " 风 暴 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of two significant events on the A-share market: the opening of the Two Sessions and the escalation of the US-China tariff conflict. It highlights the historical performance of various sectors during and after the Two Sessions, suggesting potential investment opportunities in specific industries. Market Overview - A-shares experienced a mixed performance with over 4,000 stocks rising, particularly in the semiconductor and military sectors [1][2] - The trading volume in the market decreased significantly, with total transactions falling below 1.5 trillion [2] - The military, semiconductor, and precious metals sectors led the gains in the market [2] Two Sessions Impact - The Two Sessions are scheduled from March 5 to March 11, with historical data indicating that markets typically experience volatility followed by upward trends, especially in small-cap growth stocks [3][4] - Small-cap indices like the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 saw increases of over 1% today, confirming the trend of small-cap stocks outperforming [4] Tariff Conflict - The US announced a 10% tariff on all Chinese goods, citing fentanyl concerns, prompting China to respond with its own tariffs on certain US imports starting March 10 [5][6] - Analysts suggest that the tariff measures may shift market preferences towards value and dividend stocks, while the absence of further tariff announcements could benefit growth stocks in the short term [7] Investment Strategy - Historical analysis shows that sectors such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and consumer goods have a high probability of performing well during the Two Sessions, with specific probabilities of 60% for TMT and 70% for beauty and personal care sectors [10] - Post-Two Sessions, the consumer sector, particularly home appliances, has a 70% probability of rising [10][12] - The article emphasizes a balanced investment approach focusing on technology, consumer, and dividend stocks, particularly in sectors showing signs of recovery and policy support [13][15]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The report analyzes the valuation levels of the Hong Kong stock market, focusing on key indices and industry sectors [4][18]. - It highlights the current price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios across various industries, indicating which sectors are undervalued or overvalued [20][24]. Valuation of Key Indices - The report provides valuation insights for major indices such as the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) and the Hang Seng Index (HSI), but specific numerical data is not included in the provided text [6][10]. Industry Valuation Levels - The report identifies industries with low PE ratios, specifically noting that daily consumer goods and utilities are undervalued, with PE valuation percentiles below 20% [20]. - Other sectors with PE ratios below 40% include energy, discretionary consumption, and utilities [20]. - Industries with relatively high PE valuations (above 50%) include materials, healthcare, information technology, and telecommunications [20]. - For PB valuations, utilities are noted as being undervalued with percentiles below 10%, while materials, daily consumer goods, healthcare, and real estate are below 30% [24]. - Energy, discretionary consumption, and telecommunications are highlighted as having PB valuations above 50% [24]. AH Share Premium/Discount Levels - The report discusses the premium/discount levels of AH shares, but specific details or numerical data are not provided in the text [26].