Company Overview - Zhejiang Dazhongnan Co., Ltd. is located in Zhuji City, Zhejiang Province, established on June 8, 2000, and listed on July 28, 2008. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of plastic films and new materials [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Dazhongnan achieved operating revenue of 939 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.83%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 158.98% to 12.06 million yuan [2]. - The company has cumulatively distributed 172 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends distributed in the past three years [3]. Stock Performance - As of November 19, Dazhongnan's stock price decreased by 2.15% to 3.64 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 6.837 billion yuan. The stock has increased by 46.77% year-to-date but has seen a decline of 5.70% over the last five trading days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "龙虎榜" (a stock trading list) eight times this year, with the most recent appearance on July 11, where it recorded a net buy of -13.87 million yuan [1]. Shareholder Information - As of November 10, the number of Dazhongnan's shareholders was 121,200, a decrease of 2.76% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 2.84% to 15,495 shares [2]. - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the second-largest circulating shareholder, holding 14.65 million shares as a new shareholder [3]. Industry Classification - Dazhongnan belongs to the Shenwan industry classification of basic chemicals, specifically in the plastic film materials sector. The company is associated with concepts such as aluminum-plastic film, small-cap stocks, low-priced stocks, lithium batteries, and solar energy [2].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core View of the Report - Due to the unchanged overall supply - demand pattern, plastics are expected to show a weak and volatile trend in the near term [1] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On November 18, the restart of maintenance devices such as Sinochem Quanzhou's HDPE led to the plastics operating rate rising to around 88%, which is at a neutral level. As of the week ending November 14, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.36 percentage points to 44.49% week - on - week. The overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years. Petrochemicals are de - stocking normally, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in the same period in recent years. The crude oil price has limited increase due to the expected end of the US government shutdown and the adjustment of the global oil supply from shortage to surplus by OPEC. New production capacities have been put into operation, and the plastics operating rate has slightly increased. Although the agricultural film is in the peak season, its performance is not as expected, the downstream operating rate has declined, and the purchasing willingness of downstream enterprises is insufficient. Traders are cautious about the future market and are actively selling at reduced prices. There is no actual anti - involution policy in the plastics industry, which will affect the subsequent market [1] Futures and Spot Market Conditions - Futures: The plastics 2601 contract decreased by 0.95% with increased positions, closing at 6785 yuan/ton, below the 60 - day moving average. The trading volume increased by 6049 lots to 548344 lots [2] - Spot: Most PE spot markets declined, with price changes ranging from - 50 to + 0 yuan/ton. LLDPE was reported at 6790 - 7270 yuan/ton, LDPE at 8750 - 9380 yuan/ton, and HDPE at 7020 - 7990 yuan/ton [3] Fundamental Tracking - Supply: On November 18, the restart of maintenance devices such as Sinochem Quanzhou's HDPE led to the plastics operating rate rising to around 88%, which is at a neutral level [4] - Demand: As of the week ending November 14, the PE downstream operating rate decreased by 0.36 percentage points to 44.49% week - on - week. The overall PE downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period in recent years [4] - Inventory: On Tuesday, the petrochemical early - morning inventory decreased by 10,000 tons to 710,000 tons week - on - week, 25,000 tons higher than the same period last year. Petrochemicals are de - stocking normally, and the current petrochemical inventory is at a neutral level in the same period in recent years [4] - Raw Materials: The Brent crude oil 01 contract fluctuated around $64/barrel. The Northeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $725/ton week - on - week, and the Southeast Asian ethylene price remained flat at $735/ton week - on - week [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The PVC market is experiencing a weak and volatile trend. Factors such as the decrease in PVC and downstream开工率, high inventory, upcoming implementation of anti - dumping duties in India, and the downturn in the real estate market contribute to this situation [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - The calcium carbide price in the northwest region has increased by 25 yuan/ton. The PVC开工率 has decreased by 2.24 percentage points to 78.51%, still at a relatively high level in recent years. The downstream开工率 has slightly declined. The termination of India's BIS policy on PVC eases concerns about exports, but the upcoming anti - dumping duties make traders cautious. The export orders increased last week. The social inventory decreased slightly but remains high. The real estate market is still in adjustment, and the improvement needs time. The comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali is positive, and new production capacities are in operation. With the end of maintenance of some enterprises, high futures warehouse receipts, and other factors, PVC is expected to be weak and volatile [1]. Futures and Spot Market - The PVC2601 contract decreased by 1.46% to 4520 yuan/ton, with an increase in open interest by 107,079 lots to 1,462,620 lots [2]. - On November 18, the mainstream price of calcium carbide - based PVC in East China dropped to 4485 yuan/ton. The V2601 contract closed at 4608 yuan/ton, with a basis of - 35 yuan/ton, strengthening by 21 yuan/ton, and the basis is at a moderately low level [3]. Fundamental Tracking - On the supply side, some devices such as Tianjin LG and Henan Lianchuang are under maintenance. The PVC开工率 decreased by 2.24 percentage points to 78.51%. New production capacities like Wanhua Chemical (500,000 tons/year), Tianjin Bohua (400,000 tons/year), Qingdao Gulf (200,000 tons/year), Gansu Yaowang (300,000 tons/year), and Jiaxing Jiahua (300,000 tons/year) are in production at different loads [4]. - On the demand side, from January to October 2025, real estate investment, new construction, and completion areas decreased significantly year - on - year. The national real estate development investment was 735.63 billion yuan, down 14.7% year - on - year. The sales area of commercial housing was 719.82 million square meters, down 6.8% year - on - year. As of November 16, the weekly transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities increased by 19.73% week - on - week but was still at the lowest level in recent years [5]. - In terms of inventory, as of the week of November 13, the PVC social inventory decreased by 1.27% to 1.0283 million tons, 23.76% higher than the same period last year, and the inventory is still high [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, the shutdown and maintenance of plants at Hengli Petrochemical, Zhenhai Refining & Chemical, and Zhongsha Petrochemical had a limited impact on the number of days. Zhenhai Refining & Chemical's Line 3 restarted, and the PE production and capacity utilization rate increased month-on-month. The downstream agricultural film operating rate remained stable, the packaging film operating rate decreased slightly, and the overall operating rate of PE downstream decreased slightly. Production enterprise inventories accumulated significantly, social inventories decreased slightly, and total inventories accumulated. The cost of oil-based production decreased slightly, the cost of coal-based production increased slightly, and the losses of both oil-based and coal-based processes deepened. [2] - This week, Zhongying Petrochemical's plant will be shut down for maintenance, and the plants of Zhenhai Refining & Chemical, Zhongsha Petrochemical, and Shanghai Petrochemical are expected to restart. PE production and capacity utilization rate are expected to change little month-on-month. In November, there is less new planned maintenance capacity for PE, and at the same time, two new plants of Guangxi Petrochemical continue to increase production, resulting in high supply pressure. [2] - The demand for northern greenhouse films is gradually declining, while the demand for southern greenhouse films still provides some support. Orders and operating rates for agricultural films are expected to fluctuate slightly; orders for packaging films are marginally weakening, and demand follow-up is limited. [2] - In terms of cost, OPEC's production increase will continue until the end of the year, and the situation of stronger supply than demand for crude oil is expected to continue. However, geopolitical tensions between the US and Venezuela may intensify, and there are both positive and negative factors affecting international oil prices. In the short term, L2601 is expected to show a volatile trend, with the range expected to be around 6750 - 6950. [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for polyethylene was 6785 yuan/ton, a decrease of 58 yuan; the closing prices of the January, May, and September contracts were 6785 yuan/ton, 6852 yuan/ton, and 6906 yuan/ton respectively, with decreases of 58 yuan, 50 yuan, and 43 yuan. [2] - The trading volume was 260,592 lots, an increase of 53,772 lots; the open interest was 548,344 lots, an increase of 6,049 lots. [2] - The 1 - 5 spread was -67, a decrease of 8; the long positions of the top 20 futures holders were 473,161 lots, an increase of 17,538 lots; the short positions were 584,549 lots, an increase of 20,653 lots; the net long positions were -111,388 lots, a decrease of 3,115 lots. [2] Spot Market - The average price of LLDPE (7042) in North China was 6932.17 yuan/ton, a decrease of 17.83 yuan; in East China, it was 7115.24 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3.33 yuan. [2] - The basis was 147.17, an increase of 40.17. [2] Upstream Situation - The FOB mid - price of naphtha in Singapore was 61.96 US dollars/barrel, a decrease of 0.31 US dollars; the CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan was 571.25 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 6.13 US dollars. [2] - The CFR mid - price of ethylene in Southeast Asia was 726 US dollars/ton, unchanged; in Northeast Asia, it was 736 US dollars/ton, unchanged. [2] Industry Situation - The operating rate of PE in petrochemical plants nationwide was 83.14%, an increase of 0.55 percentage points. [2] Downstream Situation - The operating rates of polyethylene (PE) in packaging film, pipes, and agricultural film were 50.41%, 31.67%, and 49.96% respectively. The operating rate of packaging film decreased by 0.37 percentage points, while the others remained unchanged. [2] Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of polyethylene was 8.89%, an increase of 0.01 percentage points; the 40 - day historical volatility was 8.68%, a decrease of 0.07 percentage points. [2] - The implied volatility of at - the - money put options and call options for polyethylene was 13.05%, an increase of 2.24 percentage points. [2] Industry News - From November 7th to 13th, China's total polyethylene production was 673,700 tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.98%; the capacity utilization rate of polyethylene production enterprises was 83.14%, an increase of 0.55 percentage points compared to the previous period. [2] - From November 7th to 13th, the average operating rate of polyethylene downstream products decreased by 0.4% compared to the previous period. The overall operating rate of agricultural films remained the same as before, and the operating rate of PE packaging films decreased by 0.4%. [2] - As of November 12th, the inventory of Chinese polyethylene production enterprises was 529,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.96%; as of November 7th, the social inventory of polyethylene was 500,100 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 1.86%. [2] - From November 8th to 14th, the cost of oil - based LLDPE decreased by 0.98 to 7256 yuan/ton, and the profit decreased by 35.43 yuan/ton to - 405.86 yuan/ton; the cost of coal - based LLDPE increased by 2.43% to 7051 yuan/ton, and the profit decreased by 211.57 yuan/ton to - 182.57 yuan/ton. [2]

Group 1 - In the first half of 2025, the plastic production in Shanxi Province reached 531,000 tons, representing a 1.0% increase compared to the same period in 2024, but the growth rate slowed down by 5.8 percentage points year-on-year and was 9.3 percentage points lower than the national average [1] - The total plastic production in Shanxi accounted for 0.8% of the national output of 70,123,475.3 tons during the same period [1] Group 2 - In June 2025, the plastic production in Shanxi Province was 91,000 tons, which is a 1.9% increase compared to June 2024, but the growth rate decreased by 11.3 percentage points year-on-year and was 10.2 percentage points lower than the national average [2] - The June production in Shanxi also represented 0.8% of the national output of 12,032,089.9 tons for that month [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The report indicates that the PVC market has significant domestic supply - demand contradictions. With high inventory pressure likely to persist, short - term V2601 is expected to fluctuate weakly in the range of 4500 - 4630 yuan/ton. The decrease in raw material prices has led to a decline in production costs, but due to weak spot prices, losses in both calcium carbide and ethylene methods have deepened. As the temperature drops, downstream demand in infrastructure and real estate is expected to weaken seasonally, and overseas demand remains uncertain [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of PVC futures was 4601 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7 yuan/ton; trading volume was 800,764 lots, a decrease of 175,156 lots; open interest was 1,355,541 lots, an increase of 7,172 lots. The net long position of the top 20 futures holders was - 219,361 lots, an increase of 8,824 lots [3]. 3.2 Spot Market - In the East China region, the ethylene - based PVC price was 4620 yuan/ton, unchanged; the calcium carbide - based PVC price was 4548.46 yuan/ton, an increase of 9.62 yuan/ton. In the South China region, the ethylene - based PVC price was 4692.5 yuan/ton, unchanged; the calcium carbide - based PVC price was 4606.25 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.38 yuan/ton. The CIF price of PVC in China was 690 US dollars/ton, unchanged [3]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The mainstream average price of calcium carbide in Central China was 2800 yuan/ton, unchanged; in North China, it was 2681.67 yuan/ton, an increase of 8.33 yuan/ton; in Northwest China, it was 2494 yuan/ton, a decrease of 14 yuan/ton. The mainstream price of liquid chlorine in Inner Mongolia was - 24.5 yuan/ton, unchanged [3]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The weekly operating rate of PVC was 78.51%, a decrease of 2.24%. The operating rate of calcium carbide - based PVC was 80.79%, a decrease of 0.42%; the operating rate of ethylene - based PVC was 73.25%, a decrease of 6.44%. The total social inventory of PVC was 532,300 tons, a decrease of 13,400 tons [3]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The national real - estate climate index was 92.78, a decrease of 0.27. The cumulative value of new housing construction area was 45,3990,000 square meters, an increase of 55,979,900 square meters; the cumulative value of real - estate construction area was 6,485,800,000 square meters, an increase of 54,710,600 square meters; the cumulative value of real - estate development investment was 358.6387 billion yuan, an increase of 416.993 billion yuan [3]. 3.6 Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of PVC was 9.49%, a decrease of 0.11%; the 40 - day historical volatility was 10.12%, unchanged. The implied volatility of at - the - money put options was 14.06%, an increase of 0.13%; the implied volatility of at - the - money call options was 14.06%, an increase of 0.14% [3]. 3.7 Industry News - From November 8th to 14th, the capacity utilization rate of PVC production enterprises was 78.51%, a decrease of 2.24% compared to the previous period. The downstream operating rate of PVC decreased by 0.06% to 49.54%, among which the operating rate of pipes increased by 1.2% to 40.6%, and the operating rate of profiles decreased by 0.65% to 36.96% [3]. - As of November 13th, the social inventory of PVC decreased by 1.27% to 1.0283 million tons compared to the previous week. The average cost of calcium carbide - based PVC decreased to 5152 yuan/ton, and the average cost of ethylene - based PVC decreased to 5239 yuan/ton; the profit of calcium carbide - based PVC decreased to - 823 yuan/ton, and the profit of ethylene - based PVC decreased to - 495 yuan/ton [3].

于需局面预计维持，但地缘方面美委关系紧张可能加剧，国际油价多空因素交织。短期L2601预计震荡走势 免责声明 ，区间预计在6750-6950附近。 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 塑料产业日报 2025-11-17 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6843 | -10 1月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6853 | 35 | | | 5月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6915 | 22 9月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6956 | 18 | | | 成交量(日,手) | 206820 | -140705 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high single-quarter gross margin of 55.6% in Q3 2025, driven by an increase in high-margin businesses such as life sciences and metal resources [2][4]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.933 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 652 million yuan, up 9.3% year-on-year [1][2]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 686 million yuan, marking a 14.9% year-on-year increase and a 2.3% quarter-on-quarter increase [1][2]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 52.81%, with the third quarter achieving a gross margin of 55.6%, the highest since the company's listing [2]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 30.42%, showing a decline due to increased expense ratios and higher income tax [3]. - The company plans to invest in a high-end materials industrial park for life sciences, purchasing 270 acres of land in Pucheng High-tech Zone [4]. Future Outlook - The company has set profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.011 billion yuan, 1.322 billion yuan, and 1.596 billion yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [4]. - The establishment of a subsidiary in Sweden aims to strengthen the company's presence in the European life sciences market [4].

Market Overview - The plastic sector increased by 0.88% on November 17, with Foshan Plastics Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03, down 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13202.0, down 0.11% [1] Key Performers in the Plastic Sector - Foshan Plastics Technology (code: 000973) closed at 13.75, up 10.00% with a trading volume of 1.8071 million shares and a transaction value of 2.387 billion [1] - Ningbo Color Masterbatch (code: 301019) closed at 24.48, up 8.03% with a trading volume of 183,100 shares [1] - Henghe Precision (code: 300539) closed at 48.15, up 7.53% with a trading volume of 144,400 shares [1] - Cangzhou Mingzhu (code: 002108) closed at 5.58, up 5.28% with a trading volume of 2.6526 million shares [1] - Jinfat Technology (code: 600143) closed at 18.95, up 4.70% with a trading volume of 1.0943 million shares [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The plastic sector saw a net inflow of 142 million in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 150 million [2] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 7.7758 million [2] Individual Stock Fund Flow - Foshan Plastics Technology had a main fund net inflow of 1.87 billion, with a retail net outflow of 19.8511 million [3] - Jinfat Technology had a main fund net inflow of 1.80 billion, with a retail net outflow of 139 million [3] - Cangzhou Mingzhu recorded a main fund net inflow of 86.7714 million, with a retail net outflow of 75.1176 million [3] - Henghe Precision had a main fund net inflow of 29.6962 million, with a retail net inflow of 291.72 thousand [3]

Group 1 - The overall demand for PS terminals in 2025 is expected to improve insufficiently due to multiple factors such as tariff policies, subsidy policies, and consumer willingness and ability being hindered, leading to a gradual negative feedback to various links in the industry chain [1] - The PS industry is experiencing a continuous decline in costs, resulting in a downward pressure on prices, with PS prices hitting new lows in 2025 [1][2] - As of early November 2025, the price of ordinary toluene in East China has dropped to 6,975 yuan/ton, a year-on-year decline of 28.09%, with the low-end price reaching a historical low of 6,850 yuan/ton [1] Group 2 - In 2025, the domestic PS production capacity is expected to increase by 16.52% year-on-year, with a production increase of 5.74%, leading to a total domestic PS capacity of approximately 8.04 million tons by the end of the year [1][2] - From January to September 2025, China's PS export volume reached 241,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 49.44%, with total exports expected to exceed 300,000 tons by the end of the year [2] - The white goods industry, a major downstream consumer of PS, has shown effective demand for PS in the first half of 2025, but overall demand improvement is insufficient, leading to downward pressure on PS prices [3] Group 3 - The PS market in China is expected to show a trend of low-level rebound followed by oscillating declines in 2026, with average prices anticipated to drop compared to 2025 [4] - The international crude oil price is expected to continue to decline, impacting the prices of bulk chemical products and upstream materials, which may lead to a weakening of cost support for PS [4] - The supply side of PS is expected to remain under pressure in 2026 due to the concentrated release of new production capacity, while terminal demand improvement is expected to be moderate [4]