1 五维行业比较框架介绍。股价表现受多重因素影响，单一指标难以有效指导行业比较。想要做好行业比较，需要对各种可能 影响股价的因素均进行分析并做出综合判断，并且对于未来可能的市场主导因素，应该赋予更高的权重。基于此，我们综合 市场风格、基本面、资金面、交易面、估值五个维度，构建了"五维行业比较框架" ，在非财报季时期，我们对于五个维 度进行等权打分，而在财报季，则给予基本面维度更高权重，并降低市场风格及估值维度的权重。 历史回测来看，五维行业比较框架表现优异，得分越高的行业表现往往更好。通过复盘2016年至2025年2月期间五维行业比 较框架的历史表现，可以发现该框架下得分越高的行业股价表现往往更好，按得分高低将行业依次分为第1组、第2组 、第3 组、第4组、第5组，各组的年化收益率分别为11.8%、1.3%、-1.4%、-7.5%及-10.5%，年化夏普比率分别为0.53、0.06、 -0.07、-0.35及-0.51。若通过做多第1组行业，做空第5组行业构建多空组合，多空组合的年化收益率为23.7%，年化夏普比 率为1.69。 6月主观因素判断。五维行业比较框架中，有三个维度涉及到一些主观判断，这三个维度分 ...

Group 1 - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that concerns over tariffs have resurfaced, potentially suppressing market sentiment in the short term, but the market is gradually becoming desensitized to tariff issues [1] - In April, industrial enterprise profits improved, driven by the effective implementation of "new" consumption incentive policies, which boosted downstream consumption and supported the midstream equipment manufacturing sector [1][2] - The manufacturing PMI showed overall recovery in May, with a rebound in export orders, highlighting the resilience of China's economic fundamentals, which will provide bottom support for the market [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. has issued renewed tariff threats, with recent announcements indicating an increase in steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50%, suggesting the Trump administration is preparing a "Plan B" for tariffs [1] - Despite the tariff challenges, new momentum industries are experiencing accelerated profit growth, significantly contributing to the economy [2] - June is a critical month for A-share dividends, with a focus on tracking capital flows and changes in industry prosperity to identify high-dividend investment opportunities [2] Group 3 - The emphasis on internal circulation is crucial, with a focus on service consumption and new consumption as important new drivers of economic growth [3] - External uncertainties are accelerating the internal circulation, with policies aimed at expanding and enhancing consumption quality [3]

中信建投：关税冲击再起，内需韧性支撑 关税担忧再起，短期或压制市场情绪，但从边际上看，市场正逐步对关税脱敏。4月工业企业利润改善，"两 新"与消费激励政策兑现程度良好，拉动下游消费增长，同时支撑中游设备制造业，5月PMI制造业整体景气回 暖，出口订单反弹，新动能和消费品表现突出，中国基本面的韧性将为市场提供底部支撑。微盘股交易热度上 升，拥挤度高位，注意交易拥挤风险。 配置上继续看好具备地缘政治隔离、内需驱动和成长弹性特征的"新质内需成长"方向，目前仍以内需循环为 佳，聚焦服务消费、新消费、反关税。行业重点关注：美容护理、农林牧渔、国防军工、有色金属、医药生 物、计算机、社会服务、商贸零售等。 中国银河证券：市场调整空间有限 近期板块轮动速度加快，行情震荡格局尚未改变，市场成交额未出现明显放量，仍以存量博弈为主。外围市场 方面仍然存在较大不确定性。尽管当前中美达成阶段性关税协议，短期缓解了外贸压力，但后续特朗普政府政 策仍然存在反复性。短期内，市场或仍维持震荡格局，关注外部关税的变化与国内政策的落地节奏。在国内一 系列政策支持下，市场调整空间有限。同时，6月18日至19日陆家嘴论坛期间将发布若干重大金融政策， ...

【导读】睿郡资产宣布：董承非管理的私募产品从6月8日起"封盘" 董承非管理产品首次"封盘" 业绩优先、适度控制规模 5月30日下午，睿郡资产在其官微发布了《关于睿郡资产旗下相关产品暂停新客户申购申请的告知函》。 5月30日下午，百亿私募睿郡资产发布公告称，本着业绩优先、适度控制规模的原则，董承非管理的产品自2025年6月8日起暂停接 受新客户申购申请。这是董承非"公奔私"三年之后，首次对管理的私募产品采取"封盘"动作。据了解，目前他的管理规模超过100 亿元。 今年年初，董承非表示，对2025年市场比较乐观，目前配置了半导体、公用事业等方向，还会加仓港股的优质成长标的。 睿郡资产称，本着业绩优先、适度控制规模的原则，公司董承非管理的产品自2025年6月8日起暂停接受新客户申购申请，恢复申购 的时间将另行通知。存量客户的申购业务不受影响。 记者也向睿郡资产了解具体情况。公司表示，此次"封盘"本着持有人利益优先的原则，旨在通过适度控制规模，做好产品业绩，更 好地服务现有客户。"封盘"期间，睿郡资产将持续通过定期报告、线上线下（300959）交流会议等方式，与持有人保持日常沟通。 投资经理未来会视市场状况和产品规模 ...

Economic Indicators - In April 2025, the PPI decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, marking 31 consecutive months of negative growth[1] - The CPI showed a slight decline of 0.1% year-on-year, remaining around 0% for 25 months[1] - The GDP deflator index has been negative for 8 consecutive quarters, setting a historical record for duration[1] Price Trends - Food prices, including pork, have been declining, with pork CPI turning positive since April 2024, but overall support for CPI remains weak[1][2] - The decline in PPI is broad and significant, with both production and living materials experiencing substantial price drops[2] Consumption and Policy Recommendations - Social retail sales grew by 5.1% year-on-year in April 2025, but the growth rate has decreased compared to the previous month[3] - To stimulate consumption, it is essential to enhance residents' income, particularly for low- and middle-income groups, and stabilize property and stock market incomes[3] - The report suggests implementing more proactive fiscal and monetary policies, including government-led investments in new infrastructure and urban renewal[2] Market Strategy - Investment strategies should focus on defensive sectors, "expanding domestic demand," and self-sufficiency in technology[6][7] - The report highlights the importance of supporting struggling enterprises and enhancing financing to stabilize foreign trade[5][6] Risks - Potential risks include policy implementation falling short of expectations, underperformance of listed companies, geopolitical conflicts, and insufficient consumer recovery[8]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 报告摘要 5月A股港股市场有所回暖 5月A股主要指数涨跌分化，行业端涨多跌少。受风险偏好波动等因素影响，5月（截至27日），A股主要指数 涨跌出现分化，其中万得全A涨幅最大，而科创50跌幅最大。行业端涨多跌少，轻工制造、综合、纺织服饰等 行业表现较好，而电子、计算机、房地产、社会服务等行业表现相对较差。 5月港股市场震荡上行。5月受海外扰动缓和、国内风险偏好回暖等因素影响，港股市场整体走势震荡上行。截 至2025年5月27日，恒生香港35、恒生指数、恒生综合指数、恒生中国企业指数、恒生科技的涨幅分别为 7.6%、5.7%、5.3%、4.9%、1.9%。 A股观点：继续关注三类资产 政策的持续支持以及中长期资金积极流入背景下， A股市场有望震荡上行。当前A股市场的估值处于2010年以 来的均值附近，而随着政策的积极发力，中长期资金带来的增量资金或将持续流入市场，对资本市场形成托 底，A股市场有望震荡上行。 配置方向上，关注三类资产。方向一：稳定类资产，如高股息、黄金。稳定类资产能够在市场面临不确定时提 供确定性。方向二：产业链自主可控。在"双循环"新发展格局和全球产业链重构的双重驱 ...

0 1 从深交所主持人到董秘：高起点跨界，厚植职业发展根基 董秘的核心价值，在于成为连接资本逻辑与企业肌理的 "翻译官"。李睿希的职业路径为此提供了生动 注脚：从财经媒体跨界实业董秘，她始终以 "解决实际问题" 为导向 —— 在融资中摒弃概念包装，用 可量化的业务模型让投资者看见价值落点；在信息披露中拒绝套路化表述，通过场景化沟通让市场读 懂企业战略肌理。她主导的定增项目不追求规模噱头，而是精准匹配公司发展需求；搭建的投资者关 系体系不局限于流程合规，而是将路演现场搬进项目一线，让资本直观感受项目落地的商业价值。这 种务实思维，让她打破了传统董秘 "传声筒" 印象，真正成为战略落地的参与者 ——正如她所践行 的：董秘的终极价值，不在于编织故事，而在于让资本看见企业脚踏实地的每一步成长，让产业耕耘 获得应有的市场回响。 李睿希的卓越表现得到业界广泛认可，荣获第二十届、第二十一届"新财富金牌董秘"、新浪财经金麒 麟金牌董秘、界面新闻年度董事会秘书、同花顺上市公司年度评选TOP300 最受欢迎董秘、中国上市 公司金梧桐奖最佳董事会秘书、中国品牌博鳌峰会新锐董秘杰出董秘等荣誉。 0 2 资本运作精耕细作：打造融资"组 ...

Core Viewpoint - The resilience of domestic industrial production and exports has drawn attention, particularly in the context of international capital de-dollarization, geopolitical risks, and tariff impacts [1] Group 1: Market Opportunities - Domestic demand is seen as a necessary choice for stabilizing growth policies, with a positive outlook on real estate (sales, urban investment), service consumption, and small, high-frequency discretionary consumption [1] - The technology sector is expected to perform well throughout the year, with a focus on rebound opportunities in AI after adjustments [1] - The decline in domestic risk-free interest rates, combined with uncertainties from tariff impacts, suggests that precious metals and public utilities can serve as defensive investments [1]

报 告 正 文 利润增速继续回升。 4月利润增速录得3%，较上月上行0.4%，在去年同期基数走高的情形下仍有回升，环比 增速也高于近五年中位数，指向利润有所改善。从 工企利润的构成 来看，4月工企的营收增速有所回落，主因 当月生产高位回落，且价格拖累扩大，而工企产销率显著上行，对营收起到一定支撑。 分企业类型来看 ，外 商企业增速由负转正，而国企大幅回落。 分行业来看 ，4月上游公用事业、装备制造中的铁路船舶和仪器仪表 以及下游家具等行业利润改善幅度大。 结构上 ，装备制造，特别是高技术制造业利润增长显著加快。 4月营收回落，而利润回升。 2025年4月，规上工企营业收入录得2.6%，较上月有所回落。工企利润增速录得 3%，较上月上行0.4个百分点，在去年同期基数走高的情形下仍有回升，环比增速也高于近五年中位数，指向 利润有所改善。从 工企利润的构成 来看，4月工企的营收增速有所回落，主因当月生产高位回落，且价格拖累 扩大，而工企产销率显著上行，对营收起到一定支撑作用。本月成本费用同比、环比增幅均有回落，推动营收 利润率增速有所上升，是利润增速续升的主要贡献。 往后看 ，当下外部冲击不确定性仍在，企业利润恢复 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the characteristics of local state-owned enterprises in the industry that have issued bonds for the first time from 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, highlighting their focus on industrial transformation and resource integration [3][4] - Over 150 local industrial state-owned enterprises have issued new bonds, primarily concentrated in economically developed regions with minimal negative public sentiment [4][5] - The financial health of these enterprises shows that over 40% have revenues below 500 million and profits below 50 million, indicating a need for improved financial performance [5] Group 2 - The main transformation directions for local state-owned enterprises include state asset operation, cultural tourism, urban comprehensive operation, financial holding/fund equity investment, and park construction and investment operation [6][7] - Core resources for these enterprises include various types of land, properties, financial assets, and public utility assets, which are essential for their operational success [7][8] - The article provides case studies of different types of enterprises that have successfully issued bonds, including engineering construction, state asset operation, equity investment, park operation, cultural tourism, and public utilities [9][10][12][15][22][26] Group 3 - The engineering construction case study highlights a company focused on municipal, highway, and water conservancy projects, with a revenue structure heavily reliant on project management and construction [9][10] - The state asset operation case study describes a company that manages various state assets and engages in food storage and industrial infrastructure development, with a significant portion of its assets in long-term investments [12][14] - The cultural tourism case study emphasizes a company that operates a major tourist attraction, generating substantial revenue from ticket sales and public services [22][24]