Economic Overview - In the first quarter, the province achieved a GDP of 13,543.49 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.3% [1] - The primary industry added value was 828.69 billion yuan, growing by 3.2%; the secondary industry added value was 5,344.85 billion yuan, growing by 6.4%; and the tertiary industry added value was 7,369.95 billion yuan, growing by 6.5% [1] Agriculture - The agricultural sector's added value was 876.42 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.4% [1] - Key agricultural products showed stable production, with pork output at 968,400 tons, increasing by 6.2% [1] - Vegetable production reached 10,076,000 tons, growing by 3.8%, while fruit production increased by 10.1% to 284,500 tons [1] Industrial Production - The added value of large-scale industrial enterprises grew by 8.1%, accelerating by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - High-tech manufacturing saw a significant increase of 21.4%, contributing 36.4% to the growth of large-scale industry [1] - Major industries such as electrical, computer communication electronics, and chemicals experienced substantial growth rates, with electrical industry growing by 22.8% [1] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 6.5%, with transportation and warehousing increasing by 13.7% [3] - The revenue of large-scale service enterprises reached 2,129.54 billion yuan, growing by 13.8% [3] - Financial institutions reported a deposit balance of 99,630.54 billion yuan, increasing by 8.7% year-on-year [3] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) grew by 6.6%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 12.1% [4] - Infrastructure investment rose by 4.4%, while real estate development investment declined by 5.5% [4] - High-tech industry investment increased by 12.8%, with aerospace and computer equipment manufacturing seeing significant growth [4] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 6,887.19 billion yuan, growing by 7.3% [5] - Sales of home appliances and furniture saw substantial increases, with growth rates of 21.1% and 26.3% respectively [5] - Online retail sales grew by 24.3%, indicating a strong shift towards e-commerce [6] Trade and Exports - The province's total import and export volume reached 1,743.1 billion yuan, with exports growing by 22.4% [7] - General trade accounted for 80.9% of the total trade volume, indicating a robust trade structure [7] - Machinery and electrical products exports increased by 19.2%, making up 54.7% of total exports [7] Employment and Income - The urban unemployment rate averaged 5.4%, remaining stable compared to the previous year [9] - The per capita disposable income for residents was 11,075 yuan, growing by 5.4% [10] - The income gap between urban and rural residents narrowed, with the ratio decreasing to 2.06 [10]

Economic Overview - The GDP of Guangxi Autonomous Region reached 683.39 billion yuan in Q1, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 50.67 billion yuan, growing by 4.1%; the secondary industry added value was 224.32 billion yuan, growing by 6.7%; and the tertiary industry added value was 408.41 billion yuan, growing by 5.6% [1] Agriculture - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery increased by 4.1% year-on-year [1] - Key growth areas included planting (4.4%), forestry (9.7%), and aquaculture (6.1%) [1] - Significant increases in livestock production were noted, with poultry egg production rising by 32.8% [1] Industrial Production - Industrial output value for large-scale enterprises grew by 8.5% year-on-year, with manufacturing leading at 10.5% [1] - High-tech manufacturing saw a remarkable increase of 30.1% year-on-year [1] - Notable growth in specific sectors included electrical machinery (77.9%) and paper products (48.2%) [1] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 5.6% year-on-year, with profit-oriented services increasing by 12.4% [2] - High-tech service industry revenue surged by 21.4%, with legal services and technology transfer services growing significantly [2] Consumer Market - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.6% year-on-year, with dining revenues up by 4.5% [3] - Notable growth in specific retail categories included cultural goods (63.1%) and home appliances (36.1%) [3] - Online retail sales of physical goods grew by 11.3% [3] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment rose by 5.4% year-on-year, with industrial investment increasing by 18.4% [4] - Manufacturing investment saw a significant rise of 20.2% [4] - Infrastructure investment grew by 4.6%, with water management increasing by 73.3% [4] Foreign Trade - Total foreign trade volume reached 187.33 billion yuan, with exports growing by 42.4% [5] - Processing trade saw a substantial increase of 63.4% [5] - Exports of industrial products rose by 35.0%, with machinery and specialized equipment leading the growth [5] Financial Sector - Public budget expenditure reached 165.73 billion yuan, with 78.6% allocated to social welfare [6] - The balance of deposits and loans showed growth of 5.7% and 8.0%, respectively [6] Consumer Prices - Consumer prices overall decreased by 0.2%, with urban prices falling by 0.4% [6] Income and Employment - Per capita disposable income reached 9,221 yuan, with a nominal growth of 5.7% [7] - Urban employment figures showed 103,100 new jobs created in Q1 [7]

一季度，全区农林牧渔业总产值126.69亿元，同比增长2.2%。主要农产品供给稳定，蔬菜及食用菌产量 增长3.7%，瓜果产量增长16.0%，水产品产量增长3.1%。肉牛出栏较快增长，肉牛出栏31.32万头，同比 增长8.0%。 二、工业生产稳步加快 一季度，全区规模以上工业增加值同比增长9.6%，比1-2月份加快3.4个百分点。分三大门类看，采矿业 增加值同比增长8.6%，制造业增长11.5%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长6.1%。分经济类型 看，国有控股企业增加值同比增长4.4%，民营企业增长15.0%；大中型企业增长10.1%，小微企业增长 8.4%。分产品看，工业发电量同比增长5.1%、烧碱增长3.1%、电石增长2.9%、化学农药原药增长 27.6%、初级形态塑料增长4.8%、化学药品原药增长25.0%、水泥增长35.3%、钢材增长39.0%、铁合金 增长12.1%、铝材增长8.5%、金属切削机床增长32.3%、矿山专用设备增长27.8%。 三、投资增长势头强劲 一季度，全区固定资产投资同比增长16.7%。分产业看，第一产业投资同比增长31.3%，第二产业投资 增长39.1%，第三产业投资下降1 ...

中国经济网4月28日讯据甘肃省统计局消息，根据地区生产总值统一核算结果，一季度，全省地区生产 总值3118.7亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长6.2%。其中，第一产业增加值199.1亿元，增长6.6%；第 二产业增加值1022.7亿元，增长8.1%；第三产业增加值1896.9亿元，增长5.2%。 一、农业生产形势良好，畜牧业较快发展 一季度，全省农林牧渔业增加值同比增长6.8%。蔬菜种植面积、产量预计分别增长5.5%和6.5%。猪牛 羊禽肉产量44.5万吨，增长4.6%。其中，猪肉、牛肉、羊肉、禽肉产量分别增长0.8%、6.4%、8.3%和 23.4%。一季度末，生猪、牛存栏分别下降2.5%、1.0%，羊、家禽存栏分别增长4.4%、10.2%；一季 度，生猪、牛、羊、家禽出栏分别增长0.3%、6.4%、8.3%、23.4%。 二、工业生产快速增长，企业效益持续向好 一季度，全省规模以上工业增加值同比增长11.0%。分三大门类看，采矿业增长6.7%，制造业增长 12.4%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长14.0%。全省规模以上工业有生产活动的38个行业大 类中，28个行业实现增长。其中，有色金属冶炼和压延加 ...

Economic Overview - The GDP of Shanxi Province in Q1 reached 561.128 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [1] - The primary industry added value was 17.012 billion yuan, growing by 3.5%; the secondary industry added value was 219.670 billion yuan, growing by 5.2%; and the tertiary industry added value was 324.446 billion yuan, growing by 4.0% [1] Agriculture - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved an added value of 17.875 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.6% [2] - The pig inventory at the end of Q1 was 8.718 million heads, up by 7.8% year-on-year; however, pig slaughter decreased by 1.7% [2] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 7.7% year-on-year, with mining increasing by 9.3% and manufacturing by 4.7% [3] - New energy equipment manufacturing surged by 250% [3] - The added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 130% in the computer and office equipment sector [3] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 4.0% year-on-year, with accommodation and catering increasing by 5.7% [4] - The information transmission, software, and IT service sector saw a significant growth of 13.1% [4] Investment - Fixed asset investment rose by 7.9% year-on-year, with high-tech industry investment increasing by 33.6% [5] - New residential property sales area reached 4.139 million square meters, growing by 4.1% [5] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 192.75 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [6] - Sales of smart phones surged by 60.3%, and new energy vehicles increased by 44.1% [7] Fiscal and Financial Performance - The general public budget revenue was 90.49 billion yuan, growing by 1.2% year-on-year [8] - The balance of deposits in financial institutions reached 63.7397 trillion yuan, up by 6.4% year-on-year [8] Price Stability - The consumer price index remained stable, with food prices decreasing by 0.9% [9] - The producer price index for industrial producers fell by 7.0% year-on-year [9] Income and Employment - The per capita disposable income reached 8,484 yuan, growing by 5.2% year-on-year [10] - Urban employment increased by 112,000, achieving 24.8% of the annual target [10]

中国经济网4月28日讯据海南省统计局消息，根据地区生产总值统一核算结果，全省地区生产总值 1904.17亿元，按不变价格计算，同比增长4.0%。分产业看，第一产业增加值393.45亿元，增长4.8%； 第二产业增加值292.33亿元，增长8.0%；第三产业增加值1218.39亿元，增长2.9%。 五、市场销售稳中有升，以旧换新相关商品销售增长较快 一季度，全省社会消费品零售总额649.55亿元，同比增长4.2%，比上年全年加快8.4个百分点。按消费 类型分，全省商品零售573.43亿元，同比增长5.0%；餐饮收入76.13亿元，同比下降1.5%。基本生活类 商品销售较好，限额以上单位粮油食品类、饮料类商品零售额分别增长17.4%、11.6%。全省积极推动 消费品以旧换新加力扩围，促消费取得积极成效。限额以上单位家用电器和音像器材类、文化办公用品 类、家具类、通讯器材类商品零售额分别增长24.0%、83.0%、172.0%、4.4%。汽车类商品零售额增长 70.9%，其中新能源汽车增长147.4%。城乡市场共同壮大，城镇消费品零售额增长4.7%，乡村消费品零 售额增长2.1%，比上年全年分别加快9.4、4个百分 ...

Economic Overview - The province achieved a GDP of 823.57 billion yuan in Q1, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6% at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 25.40 billion yuan, growing by 2.8%; the secondary industry added value was 333.44 billion yuan, increasing by 6.5%; the tertiary industry added value was 464.72 billion yuan, rising by 5.1% [1] Agriculture - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector's added value grew by 2.8% year-on-year [2] - Crop production showed good performance with a 4.1% increase in added value; vegetable and edible fungus output reached 3.41 million tons, up by 4.3% [2] - Livestock production remained stable, with total meat output at 403,000 tons, down by 4.1%; pig production decreased by 4.7%, while beef and lamb production increased by 3.9% and 3.5%, respectively [2] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 9.9% year-on-year, accelerating by 2.1 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] - Mining industry added value increased by 11.9%, manufacturing by 9.0%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water supply by 3.2% [3] - Energy industry maintained rapid growth with an 8.8% increase; coal mining and washing grew by 12.3%, while oil and gas extraction rose by 8.3% [3] - Non-energy industries achieved double-digit growth, with added value increasing by 11.8%; equipment manufacturing led this growth with a 14.4% increase [3] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 5.1% year-on-year [4] - Wholesale and retail trade increased by 6.6%, accommodation and catering by 6.1%, and transportation, warehousing, and postal services by 6.0% [4] - Modern service industries showed strong growth, with leasing and business services revenue up by 19.5% and cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors growing by 17.0% [4] Investment - Fixed asset investment increased by 5.8% year-on-year, with the first industry investment rising by 30.7% and the second industry by 19.2% [5] - Industrial investment grew by 21.7%, with manufacturing investment up by 28.8% and industrial technological transformation investment increasing by 22.8% [5] - Private investment saw a significant rise of 21.3%, while real estate development investment grew by 1.6% [5] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 290.41 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year [6] - Urban retail sales were 257.59 billion yuan, increasing by 5.3%, while rural retail sales reached 32.82 billion yuan, up by 6.1% [6] - Significant growth in the sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, with a 30.4% increase; communication equipment sales surged by 78.2% [6] Foreign Trade - The total import and export value was 111.28 billion yuan, down by 1.5% year-on-year; exports were 77.35 billion yuan, up by 2.8%, while imports fell by 10.0% [8] - The trade surplus was 43.43 billion yuan, with mechanical and electrical products exports growing by 5.2%, accounting for 85.3% of total exports [8]

2025年4月28日 [Table_Title] 美国持续释放关税缓和信号，股指整体反弹 ——股指期货周报 [table_main] 投资要点： 行情走势：上周沪深 300 指数收于 3786.99 点，较前值上升 0.39%；累计成交 10914 亿元，日均成交 2183 亿元，较前值下降 147 亿元。两市融资融券余额 为 17916 亿元。表现较好的前五名行业分别是综合金融(6.07%)、汽车(4.94%)、 通信(3.16%)、电力设备及新能源(3.07%)、综合(2.77%)；表现较差的前五名行 业分别是交通运输(-0.88%)、煤炭(-1.21%)、农林牧渔(-1.38%)、食品饮料(- 2.40%)、消费者服务(-3.70%)。 期现基差行情：IF、IH、IC、IM 当月合约基差分别为-12.19 点、-3.81 点、 -44.98 点、-54.50 点。前一周同期值分别为-6.82 点、-3.10 点、-5.81 点、 6.24 点。 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可[2011]1771号 宏 观 金 融 周 报 跨期价差行情：IF 合约次月-当月、当季-次季、次季-当季价差分别为-35.60 点 ...

核 心 观 点 行业比较：电子和机械设备对美敞口更大。 我国对美国电子商品出口最多，而 交运设备关税税率最高 ，加 征后高达 168% 。从中观行业来看，具体到我国对美出口一级行业，电子、轻工、机械与纺织出口依赖度及 份额均较高。从美国进口来看，电子与轻工对我国进口依赖度与进口份额均较高。综合来看， 电子和机械设 备对美敞口更大 。 上游原材料、制造业受冲击严重，后续去产能对冲。 ① 电 子行业的营收对美敞口较大， 若对美出口全部 消失，对行业总营收的影响约为 3.2% 左右，成本传导为主要机制，后续国内产业政策或将推动国产替代，政 策补贴提振消费电子。 ②机械设备行业的营收对美敞口也较大， 如果对美出口全部消失，对行业总营收的影 响为 4.2% 左右，或将加速行业重组。当前国内设备更新政策已经前置推出，同时城市更新等稳增长政策也有 利于扩大机械设备总需求。往后看，产业升级或将加速。 ③交运设备行业的营收对美敞口较小， 即便对美出 口全部消失，对行业总营收的影响也仅为 1.9% 左右，不过行业利润空间或将被挤压。当前国内促进汽车消费 的相关政策也已经前置落地，后续促内需仍有空间，扩外需方面，"一带一路"共建国 ...

2025 年 4 月 28 日 总量研究 市场波动温和提升，杠铃组合或占优 ——金融工程市场跟踪周报 20250428 要点 上周市场核心观点： 上周（2025.04.21-2025.04.25，下同）A 股窄幅震荡，市场整体表现不佳。主 要宽基指数量能维持近期低位，量能择时指标仍维持谨慎信号。资金面方面，ETF 资金周度净流出，大盘宽基 ETF 为净流出主要方向。市场波动方面，主要宽基 指数截面波动率、时序波动率环比上周皆有上升。 从市场大类因子表现来看，上周市场动量因子占优。结合上证 50 指数层面表现 的相对低迷来看，后市流动性延续宽松背景下，小市值或持续占优。确定性方面， 红利优势仍将维持。"红利+小盘"杠铃组合或为市场探寻方向背景下获取相对 收益的最优选择。 上周市场各指数涨跌不一，上证综指上涨 0.56%，上证 50 下跌 0.33%，沪深 300 上涨 0.38%，中证 500 上涨 1.20%，中证 1000 上涨 1.85%，创业板指上 涨 1.74%，北证 50 指数下跌 2.16%。 截至 2025 年 4 月 25 日，宽基指数来看，上证指数、上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、中 ...