Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" recommendation for the non-ferrous metals industry [7] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 6.19% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 7th among 31 first-level industries [2][14] - Energy metals and industrial metals led the gains with increases of 8.28% and 8.09% respectively, while precious metals saw a slight decline of -0.53% [2][14] - The price of cobalt has been on the rise due to supply constraints, particularly following the extension of the cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo [4][5] Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals index rose 6.19% from June 20 to July 4, 2025, with energy metals and industrial metals showing the highest gains [2][14] - Precious metals experienced a slight decline, while small metals and new metal materials saw positive growth [2][14] Precious Metals - As of July 4, COMEX gold closed at $3,336 per ounce, down 1.43% over the past two weeks, but up 24.89% year-to-date [21][22] - COMEX silver closed at $37.04 per ounce, up 3.03% over the past two weeks and 23.53% year-to-date [22][26] Industrial Metals - LME copper closed at $9,970.50 per ton, with a slight increase of 0.26% over the past two weeks and a year-to-date increase of 14.79% [30] - LME aluminum closed at $2,587 per ton, up 2.29% over the past two weeks [30][33] Small Metals - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) price was 173,000 CNY per ton, up 0.58% over the past two weeks [36] - LME tin price was $33,585 per ton, up 3.95% over the past two weeks [36] Rare Earths - The rare earth price index was 182.25 as of July 4, showing a slight increase of 0.04% over the past two weeks [45] - Prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide and lanthanum oxide remained stable, while cerium oxide saw a significant year-to-date increase of 36.25% [45][46] Energy Metals - Electrolytic cobalt averaged 251,750 CNY per ton, up 7.36% over the past two weeks and 46.79% year-to-date [51] - Sulfuric cobalt (≥20.5%) averaged 48,850 CNY per ton, up 2.41% over the past two weeks and 78.94% year-to-date [51][54]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent breakthrough of the Shanghai Composite Index above 3450 points has significantly boosted market sentiment and expanded the profit-making effect among investors [1][2] - Institutions believe that while short-term sentiment indicators are relatively high, the market may enter a consolidation phase after a round of valuation expansion. However, in the medium to long term, unexpected policy measures or breakthroughs in the technology sector could catalyze a strong upward trend [1][2] - The current market environment resembles that of late 2014, with investors accumulating profit-making effects in various sectors, which could lead to a sustained increase in risk appetite and a recovery in new product launches [2][3] Group 2 - Analysts suggest focusing on structural opportunities within the semi-annual report disclosures, as the A-share market typically revolves around these reports during July and August [4] - Investment recommendations include three main lines: industries with strong industrial trends such as AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, sectors driven by performance and valuation matching like communications and electronics, and thematic sectors related to "anti-involution" such as new energy [4] - The peak of earnings forecasts for listed companies is expected in mid-July, with both positive and pessimistic earnings expectations being key focus areas for the next investment phase [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for the sector [2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a rebound in gold prices and a gradual increase in demand for base metals, suggesting a favorable market environment for investments in these sectors [4][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic factors, including U.S. fiscal policies and central bank actions, which could influence commodity prices and investment strategies [4][23]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.40%, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 1.25%, and the CSI 300 Index gained 1.54%. The non-ferrous metals index increased by 1.03%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.51 percentage points [5][11]. - Year-to-date, the non-ferrous metals index has risen by 19.21%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 18.00 percentage points [9][11]. Price Changes - Precious metals saw a weekly increase, with gold prices rising by 1.84% and silver by 2.68%. In contrast, industrial metals experienced mixed results, with copper up by 1.54% and zinc down by 1.98% [4][11][16]. - The report notes significant price fluctuations in lithium and cobalt, with lithium prices for battery-grade carbonate increasing by 2.05% [4][16]. Key Company Valuations - The report provides a detailed valuation of key companies in the metals sector, indicating potential investment opportunities. For instance, Zijin Mining is valued at a PE ratio of 25 for 2023, while Huayou Cobalt has a PE of 19 [20][21]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable earnings and strong dividend yields, such as Baosteel and Shandong Steel, as they may offer attractive investment returns [4][21]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that copper supply is tightening, with domestic social inventory increasing to 131,800 tons, while the operating rates for copper products have decreased [32][48]. - In the aluminum sector, the report notes a decline in the operating rate of downstream processing enterprises, which may impact future demand [48][50]. Growth Cycle Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies within the stable supply-demand framework of the new energy manufacturing sector, highlighting firms like Huafeng Aluminum and Asia-Pacific Technology as potential candidates [4][20].

Core Points - Yongjie New Materials (603271) closed at 36.07 yuan on July 4, 2025, down 0.52% from the previous week [1] - The company's market capitalization is currently 7.096 billion yuan, ranking 43rd out of 60 in the industrial metals sector and 2252nd out of 5149 in the A-share market [1] Company Announcements - The company’s board approved the use of up to 500 million yuan of temporarily idle raised funds for cash management [1] - Recently, the company invested 130 million yuan in a structured deposit product with CITIC Bank, which has a projected annual yield of 1.00%-2.15% [1] - The previous structured deposit investment of 130 million yuan matured, returning the principal along with a profit of 673,200 yuan [1] - The raised funds are primarily intended for a project to upgrade the production of 45,000 tons of high-precision aluminum foil for lithium batteries [1] - The company plans to adjust its investment strategy based on economic conditions and financial market changes to manage investment risks [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [57]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry has seen a 7.18% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.92 percentage points, ranking third among 31 industries [3][12]. - The energy metals sector led the gains with a 9.83% increase, followed by industrial metals at 9.26%, while precious metals saw a decline of 1.09% [12][19]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the rare earth industry, driven by recovering export demand and emerging applications in humanoid robotics [51]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of July 3, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has increased by 21.14% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 20.30 percentage points, ranking first among 31 industries [12]. - The report notes that the industrial metals prices have rebounded due to improving global macro sentiment and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve [52][54]. Price Analysis - As of July 2, 2025, LME copper was priced at $10,010 per ton, aluminum at $2,614.50 per ton, and nickel at $15,340 per ton [24][54]. - Precious metals prices included COMEX gold at $3,368.70 per ounce and silver at $36.79 per ounce [36][50]. Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce announced an acceleration in the review of export licenses for rare earths, indicating a commitment to maintaining global supply chain stability [51]. - The Federal Reserve's Chairman Powell stated that the timing of potential interest rate cuts remains uncertain, which may impact gold prices in the short term [50][43]. Company Announcements - Companies such as China Rare Earth (000831), Jinchuan Group (300748), and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) are highlighted for their strong performance and growth potential in the rare earth sector [51][55]. - Zijin Mining (601899) is noted for its significant resource reserves and recent acquisition activities, enhancing its market position [55].

Core Insights - The report from the China Listed Companies Association indicates that 5,412 listed companies have published their 2024 annual reports, with a total cash dividend amounting to nearly 2.4 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [1][2] - In 2024, the total operating revenue of listed companies reached 71.98 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.46% in Q4 and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 8.11%, indicating a positive trend in company performance [1] - The net profit for listed companies in Q1 2025 was 1.49 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 89.71%, further solidifying the recovery trend [1] Company Performance - High-tech manufacturing companies saw a revenue increase of 6.66% in 2024, driven by policies promoting innovation and industrial upgrades [1] - The advanced manufacturing sectors, including humanoid robots and aerospace, experienced significant growth, with the industrial metals sector's revenue and net profit increasing by 6.92% and 29.22%, respectively [2] - The insurance and securities sectors reported substantial growth, with the five major listed insurance companies achieving a net profit increase of 110% [2] R&D Investment - Total R&D investment by listed companies reached 1.88 trillion yuan in 2024, an increase of nearly 60 billion yuan from the previous year, accounting for 51.96% of the national R&D expenditure [2] Dividend and Buyback Trends - A total of 3,751 listed companies have announced or implemented cash dividend plans for 2024, with an average dividend payout ratio of 37.78%, and 1,277 companies having a payout ratio exceeding 50% [2] - In 2024, 1,564 new share repurchase plans were announced, with a total proposed repurchase amount of 227.4 billion yuan, and 14 companies planning to repurchase over 1 billion yuan [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the industrial metal sector is experiencing price increases due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with specific impacts on copper, aluminum, and zinc prices [1] - Copper prices are influenced by the U.S. Section 232 investigation into copper imports, leading traders to ship record amounts of copper to the U.S. to avoid potential tariffs, resulting in a significant inventory shortage outside the U.S. [1] - LME deliverable copper inventory has plummeted by approximately 80% this year, with spot prices reaching a premium of $300/ton over three-month futures, the highest since 2021 [1] Group 2 - Aluminum prices are benefiting from supply disruptions in Guinea's bauxite, highlighting the vulnerability of the supply chain [1] - Zinc prices are showing strength due to ongoing depletion of LME inventories [1] - The overall supply-demand dynamics for industrial metals are tightening, with expectations of reduced copper smelting and processing fees potentially leading to production cuts, indicating strong medium to long-term price support [1] Group 3 - The Nonferrous 60 ETF (159881) has risen over 1.3%, tracking the performance of the nonferrous metal industry in the A-share market [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in the mining, smelting, and processing of nonferrous metals, covering various sub-sectors including precious and rare metals [1] - Investors without stock accounts may consider related ETF products such as Guotai Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metal ETF Initiated Link A (013218) and Guotai Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metal ETF Initiated Link C (013219) [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the announcement of a 0.2% dividend for the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331), with the record date on July 3 and payment date on July 8 [1] - Huachuang Securities highlights that high-dividend sectors in the Hong Kong stock market can maintain dividend capabilities and shareholder returns due to stable free cash flow generation, especially in a context where inflation has not yet returned [1] - Companies with abundant free cash flow can sustain dividend performance and convert capital expenditures into elevated ROE, showcasing both defensive and growth characteristics [1] Group 2 - Traditional industries such as banking, ports, and highways are emphasized for their stable earnings and dividends, making them attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [1] - Industrial metals benefit from destocking and demand recovery, while telecom operators are experiencing accelerated free cash flow release due to maturing projects and increasing industry penetration, positioning them as scarce "growth-type cash flow" assets [1] - The Hong Kong stock market is noted for its lower valuations compared to the A-share market and a higher proportion of foreign investment, making it more appealing for international capital allocation, especially in a context of a weakening dollar [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) has distributed dividends for 11 consecutive months since its listing, indicating its potential as a monthly dividend fund [1] - Investors without stock accounts are encouraged to consider the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF Initiated Link A (022274) and Link C (022275) [1]

Group 1 - The spot gold price reached $3320 per ounce on July 1, with a year-to-date increase of over 25% as of June 30 [1] - The gold ETF (518880) showed active performance, rising 0.68% with a trading volume exceeding 1.2 billion yuan, leading among similar products [1] - A report from Galaxy Securities predicts that the COMEX gold price may steadily break through $3300 per ounce, with a potential to reach $3500 per ounce under extreme risk scenarios [1] Group 2 - Ping An Securities indicates that the precious metals market will continue to differentiate in the second half of the year, with gold prices expected to rise due to weakened dollar credit and increased safe-haven demand [2] - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are expected to benefit from a loose monetary environment and tight supply-demand dynamics, leading to amplified price elasticity [2] - The demand resilience in sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics will support energy metals, despite being in a clearing cycle [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - Precious metals are expected to maintain a long-term bullish trend despite a recent 2.8% decline in domestic spot gold prices. The geopolitical instability and the weakening global position of the US dollar are anticipated to provide lasting support for gold prices [4]. - Industrial metal prices showed mixed performance, with copper prices experiencing a 1.3% increase, while aluminum prices fell by 0.5%. The decline in copper exchange inventories has raised concerns about potential short squeezes, which may lead to increased price volatility [4]. - Rare earth prices, particularly praseodymium-neodymium oxides, have seen an upward trend, while tungsten prices remained stable. The recovery in manufacturing is expected to drive demand for tungsten in cutting and wear-resistant tools [4]. - Lithium hydroxide prices have decreased, while cobalt prices have risen. The demand for energy metals is being closely monitored for future growth [4]. - The report recommends investing in the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly precious metals, with companies like Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining being highlighted as potential investment opportunities [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data Review 1.1 Precious Metals - The report indicates a bullish outlook for gold due to geopolitical tensions and the weakening dollar [4]. 1.2 Industrial Metals - SHFE copper price is at 79,920 CNY/ton, with a weekly increase of 1.3%. LME copper price is at 10,051 USD/ton, with a 3.5% weekly increase [27]. 1.3 Minor Metals - Prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxides have increased, while tungsten prices have remained stable [28]. 1.4 Energy Metals - Lithium hydroxide prices have decreased, while cobalt prices have increased. The report emphasizes the need to monitor future demand for energy metals [34]. 2. Market Data - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.91%, and the non-ferrous metal sector increased by 5.11% during the reporting period [35]. 3. Important Events Review - The report highlights ongoing competition in the copper market, with significant pressure on buyers due to declining inventories [42].