Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations today, with over 1,700 stocks rising [1] - The hydropower concept led the gains, with companies like Iron Construction Heavy Industry and Deep Water Regulation Institute hitting the 20% limit up [1] - Other concepts such as hyperbaric oxygen chambers, cell immunotherapy, CPO, and weight loss drugs also saw significant increases [1] Declining Concepts - Concepts such as military equipment restructuring, China Shipbuilding Industry Group, Hainan Free Trade Zone, and Chengfei concepts were among the biggest decliners [2] Shareholder Information - A total of 94 stocks reported their latest shareholder numbers as of July 20, with 16 stocks showing a continuous decline in shareholder numbers for three or more periods [3] - Notably, Guoyuan Securities and Zhongyuan Media have seen their shareholder numbers decrease for 12 and 9 consecutive periods, respectively [4] - The latest shareholder numbers for Guoyuan Securities stand at 93,749, while Zhongyuan Media has 17,042 [4] Industry Concentration - Industries with concentrated shareholder declines include machinery equipment, non-bank financials, and basic chemicals, with 3, 2, and 2 stocks respectively [4] - Stocks with significant declines in shareholder numbers include Yiyi Co., Double Elephant, and AVIC High-Tech, with declines of 9.33%, 7.38%, and 6.66% respectively [4] Stock Performance - Among the stocks with declining shareholder numbers, 14 have seen their prices rise, while 2 have fallen, with notable increases in stocks like Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong [4] - A total of 38 stocks have net purchases of leveraged funds exceeding 100 million yuan [5] Financing Activity - As of July 22, the total market financing balance reached 1.93 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.355 billion yuan from the previous trading day [6] - On July 22, 1,944 stocks received net financing purchases, with 615 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan [6] - Shenghong Technology topped the list with a net purchase of 526 million yuan, followed by Sany Heavy Industry and TBEA with 431 million yuan and 357 million yuan respectively [6][7]

Core Insights - As of July 22, the latest market financing balance reached 1,919.613 billion yuan, an increase of 15.048 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Among the 23 primary industries under Shenwan, the electronic industry saw the largest increase in financing balance, rising by 2.381 billion yuan [1] - The industries with notable increases in financing balance also include pharmaceuticals, electric equipment, and machinery, with increases of 1.413 billion yuan, 1.359 billion yuan, and 1.126 billion yuan respectively [1] - Conversely, eight industries experienced a decrease in financing balance, with the computer, home appliance, and retail industries seeing the largest declines of 0.114 billion yuan, 0.095595 billion yuan, and 0.090656 billion yuan respectively [2] Industry Financing Balance Changes - The coal industry had the highest growth rate in financing balance, with a latest balance of 15.839 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.48% increase [1] - Other industries with significant increases include construction decoration, banking, and building materials, with growth rates of 2.25%, 1.70%, and 1.65% respectively [1] - The steel, retail, and home appliance industries reported the largest declines in financing balance, with latest balances of 14.479 billion yuan, 21.545 billion yuan, and 26.662 billion yuan, showing decreases of 0.48%, 0.42%, and 0.36% respectively [2]

Group 1 - The main focus of the news is the significant net inflow of funds into the steel sector, particularly Baosteel Co., which saw a net purchase of 570 million yuan, leading the market [1][3] - Other sectors that experienced net inflows include pharmaceuticals, securities, and banking, while mechanical equipment, new energy, and defense industries faced substantial outflows [1][2] - Baosteel Co. ranked first in net inflow among individual stocks, followed by N Shanda and Xue Ren Group, indicating strong investor interest in these companies [3] Group 2 - The mechanical equipment sector had the highest net outflow, totaling 5.43 billion yuan, reflecting a negative sentiment towards this industry [2] - The new energy sector also faced a significant outflow of 5.26 billion yuan, indicating potential challenges or concerns within this market [2] - In terms of individual stocks, Hainan Huatie experienced the largest net outflow of 536 million yuan, suggesting a lack of confidence from investors [4]

Commodity Market Insights - The domestic commodity market experienced a surge with six major contracts, including glass and industrial silicon, closing at the daily limit up due to "anti-involution" policies driving price increases[2] - The "anti-involution" policy aims to eliminate low-price competition, enhancing expectations for supply-side reforms and leading to price rebounds in various commodities[2] Trade Agreements - The U.S. has reached trade agreements with the Philippines and Indonesia, reducing tariffs on Philippine goods from 20% to 19% and eliminating 99% of tariffs from Indonesia[3] - These agreements are expected to lower global trade uncertainties and signal a new phase in international trade development[3] Automotive Industry Developments - The automotive sector is undergoing a crackdown on irrational competition, with multiple meetings held to address the issue, potentially alleviating price wars in the future[4] - Major automakers like Dongfeng and Changan have expressed support for these regulatory measures[4] Infrastructure Investment Trends - In the first half of 2025, infrastructure investment showed a "blossoming" trend, with the average operating rate of construction machinery at 47.1%, up 4.62% from the previous quarter[4] - The recovery in exports and the initiation of large infrastructure projects are expected to boost domestic demand and improve profit margins in the non-excavation sector from 15% to 20%[4] Financial Market Overview - The latest 10-year government bond yield is at 1.692%, with a change of 1.43 basis points, while the DR007 rate is at 1.474%, down by 1.60 basis points[6] - The USDCNH exchange rate is at 7.1705, with a slight decrease of 0.01%, and the dollar index stands at 97.36, down by 0.49%[8] Investment Sentiment - The A-share market saw significant inflows in sectors such as construction decoration, coal, and electric equipment, indicating strong investor interest[22] - The financing balance in the A-share market reached 1,904.6 billion yuan as of July 21, 2025[15] Risk Factors - Potential risks include insufficient policy support, unexpected adjustments in the real estate market, and escalating tensions between China and the U.S.[27]

市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 07 月 23 日 星期三 [Table_Summary] 概览 【二季度末人民币房地产贷款余额增速回升】据央行统计，二季度末， 人民币房地产贷款余额 53.33 万亿元，同比增长 0.4%，增速比上年 末高 0.6 个百分点，上半年增加 4166 亿元。个人住房贷款余额 37.74 万亿元，同比下降 0.1%，增速比上年末高 1.2 个百分点，上半年增 加 510 亿元。 核心观点 研报精选 【市场回顾】 周二 A 股高开后攻势不减，上证指数涨 0.62%报 3581.86 点，深证成 指涨 0.84%，创业板指涨 0.61%；沪深两市成交额 1.89 万亿元。申万 行业方面，煤炭、建筑材料、建筑装饰等领涨；银行、计算机、通信 领跌。概念板块方面，雅下水电概念、民爆概念、水泥等上涨，MLOps 概念、智谱 AI、华为盘古等下跌。港股方面，香港恒生指数收盘涨 0.54%报25130.03点，恒生科技指数涨0.38%，恒生国企指数涨0.39%； 海外方面，美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指涨 0.4%， ...

点击小程序查看报告原文 公募基金仓位变动：股票仓位小幅上涨，港股加仓，A股仓位下降 2025年二季度A股市场先抑后扬，上证指数上涨3.3%，偏大盘蓝筹的沪深300上涨1.3%，成长风格分化，创业板指上涨2.3%，科创50下跌1.9%，中小市值 的中证1000和中证2000分别上涨2.1%和7.6%，中证红利基本收平。在此背景下，主动偏股型公募基金单季度收益率中位数为2.1%，收益率较上季度有所 回落。 公募基金资产规模扩张，权益资产和债券资产占比均下降。 二季度公募基金整体资产规模扩张，资产总值由上季度的33.8万亿元升至36.7万亿元。其中， 股票资产规模从上季度的6.9万亿元升至7.2万亿元，但股票占资产总值的比重较上季度下降0.9个百分点至19.6%；债券资产占比较上季度下降0.4个百分点 至57.8%；现金资产占比明显上升。 主动偏股型基金规模不变，股票仓位小幅上涨，A股仓位下降；新发基金规模上涨，存量净赎回规模走扩。 主动偏股型基金资产总值约2.6万亿元，较上 季度基本持平；股票资产规模较上季度略降至约2.3万亿元，仓位上涨0.1个百分点至87.5%；A股仓位较一季度进一步下降至70.6%，为近10 ...

Group 1 - The financing balance of A-shares has reached 1.9 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase of 153.99 billion yuan from the previous trading day, the first time it has surpassed this threshold in nearly four months [1] - The financing buy-in amount accounted for 10.29% of the total A-share trading volume, the first time it has exceeded 10% since March 7 [1] - The two markets, Shanghai and Shenzhen, saw their financing balances increase to 9.689 trillion yuan and 9.429 trillion yuan respectively, with notable increases in both markets [1] Group 2 - The activity level of margin trading has rebounded, with net inflow expanding, indicating that individual investors remain the primary source of incremental funds in the market [2] - The electronic, computer, and power equipment industries have emerged as the most favored sectors for financing buy-ins, reflecting a positive investment trend across multiple sectors [2] - In the current financing buy-in wave, the net buy-in amounts for power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and computers reached 77.23 billion yuan, 73.06 billion yuan, and 69.98 billion yuan respectively [3] Group 3 - Specific stocks such as Xinyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Northern Rare Earth have seen net financing buy-ins exceeding 1 billion yuan in July, with Xinyi Technology leading at 16.81 billion yuan [3]

Group 1 - The "anti-involution" trend is expected to continue, with positive performance in related sectors following the July 1 policy announcement. This trend is based on the expectation of improved industry performance and sustained demand, which may enhance the space for the "anti-involution" market [4][24]. - The U.S. tariff policy impact has dulled, with the recent extension of tariff exemptions and adjustments indicating a less aggressive stance, which may limit its overall market impact [4][30]. - As of July 20, 2025, 43.7% of the 1,547 listed companies that disclosed earnings forecasts reported positive expectations, particularly in sectors like non-bank financials, metals, and construction materials [4][31]. Group 2 - The GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 was 5.3%, exceeding the annual target, with the second quarter showing a slight decline to 5.2% due to external factors. The first and third industries saw growth, while the second industry experienced a decline [34][35]. - The "anti-involution" policies have led to active responses from various industries, including steel, photovoltaic, and automotive sectors, which are expected to benefit from these measures [12][40]. - The focus on technology and advanced manufacturing sectors is highlighted, with significant opportunities in military, low-altitude economy, AI, and robotics, driven by favorable policies and high industry sentiment [40].

Group 1: Market Performance and Fund Profitability - The A-share market experienced a rebound in Q2, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 11% since April 7, leading to significant profitability for public funds, totaling 639 billion yuan in the first half of the year [1][2] - Public funds have achieved profitability for six consecutive quarters, with Q2 profits reaching 386.31 billion yuan, a 52.86% increase from Q1 [2][3] - Equity funds were the main profit drivers, contributing over 52.43% of total industry profits, with active equity funds reversing previous losses to achieve 193.16 billion yuan in profits [2][3] Group 2: Fund Flows and Redemption Trends - Despite improved performance, active equity funds faced significant net redemptions, totaling nearly 176.4 billion units in the first half of the year, indicating a trend of profit-taking [1][3] - The net redemption of active equity funds in Q2 increased by 56.43% compared to Q1, highlighting ongoing investor caution despite recent gains [3] Group 3: Sector Allocation and Fund Manager Adjustments - Fund managers shifted their allocations towards banking, telecommunications, and non-bank financial sectors, with the banking sector seeing substantial increases in holdings [6][8] - The banking sector's holdings increased by 30.65 billion shares, reflecting a positive sentiment towards the sector amid ongoing valuation recovery [8][9] - The electronics, pharmaceutical, and power equipment sectors remain the top three investment focuses for public funds, with notable changes in holdings among major stocks [6][7] Group 4: Performance of Specific Fund Types - QDII funds showed strong performance, with profits reaching 74.77 billion yuan in the first half, a 2.3-fold increase year-on-year [4] - Bond funds reversed previous losses to achieve profits of 96.58 billion yuan in Q2, while money market funds saw a 20% decrease in profits compared to the previous year [3][4] Group 5: Changes in Top Holdings - The top ten holdings of public funds saw adjustments, with significant changes in the number of funds holding major stocks like Ningde Times and Kweichow Moutai, which experienced reductions in holdings [6][7] - The banking sector emerged as a key area for increased allocations, with many banks seeing substantial increases in shareholdings [8][9]

相比一季度， 基金对通信、银行 2个行业的持股市值均增加了逾400亿元 ，对非银金融、国防军 工2个行业的持股市值则均增加了逾200亿元。 对食品饮料行业的持股市值减少最多，减少超 500 亿元 ；对汽车、电力设备、家用电器、机械设备等4个行业的持股市值减少也均超100亿元。 （持股市值变动受持股数和股价变动的双重影响） | 2 | 电力设备 | 232 | 2553 | 2754 | -201 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 | 食品饮料 | 72 | 2432 | 2973 | -541 | | 4 | 医药生物 | 301 | 2354 | 2384 | -30 | | 5 | 銀行 | 41 | 2019 | 1617 | 402 | | б | 非银金融 | ୧୦ | 1984 | 1729 | 255 | | 7 | 汽车 | 149 | 1230 | 1464 | -234 | | 8 | 皇每종鹰 | 104 | 1153 | 1125 | 28 | | 9 | 道信 | 74 | 1017 | 614 | 40B | | 10 | 家用 ...