Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The planting industry is focusing on enhancing crop yields and ensuring food security through advanced agricultural technologies and policies [1][12] - The pig farming sector is currently experiencing significant losses, with average losses per head reaching 244.70 yuan for self-bred pigs and 375.29 yuan for purchased piglets, indicating a need for capacity reduction [2][13] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in pig prices due to government policies aimed at reducing breeding sow numbers and improving overall industry efficiency [5][13] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasized the importance of increasing crop yields and implementing comprehensive solutions tailored to specific regions and crops [1][12] - The report highlights the potential for genetically modified crops to significantly enhance yields and self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][12] - Recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs is reported at 11.14 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 4.95%, reflecting an oversupply in the market [2][13] - The industry is facing deep losses, prompting a proactive reduction in production capacity, with a target to decrease the breeding sow population by approximately 1 million [5][13] - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and other companies with strong financial positions and cost improvements [5][13] Key Agricultural Products - Corn: The average price is 2276.08 yuan/ton, down 1.61% week-on-week [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2450.11 yuan/ton, up 0.30% week-on-week [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 3988.53 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.03% [41] - Cotton: The average price is 14580 yuan/ton, down 0.98% week-on-week [45] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.64 yuan/kg, down 0.75% week-on-week [52] - Vitamin E is priced at 43.10 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease of 12.58% [52]

Core Insights - The report from Huazhong Securities indicates that Haida Group's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months of 2025 reached 4.14 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with Q3 profit growth slowing due to losses in the pig farming business [1][2] - The company has announced a plan for a spin-off listing, focusing on deepening its development in overseas markets [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's feed sales amounted to approximately 14.7 million tons (including 1.05 million tons of domestic sales), reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25% [1] - The external sales of feed increased by approximately 2.84 million tons, with poultry feed external sales up 24%, pig feed external sales up 43%, and aquatic feed external sales up 16% [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The company aims for a total external feed sales increase of over 5 million tons for the entire year, with overseas feed sales expected to maintain a high growth rate of 40% [2] - Projections for external feed sales from 2025 to 2027 are 29.53 million tons, 32.46 million tons, and 35.67 million tons, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.9%, 9.9%, and 9.9% respectively [2] - The expected number of pigs slaughtered is 6.48 million heads for 2025 and 2026, and 6.8 million heads for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 0%, and 5% respectively [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve main business revenues of 141.48 billion yuan, 159.84 billion yuan, and 181.16 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.5%, 13.0%, and 13.3% respectively [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.01 billion yuan, 5.80 billion yuan, and 6.22 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.3%, 15.7%, and 7.3% respectively [2] - The previous estimates for net profit in 2025, 2026, and 2027 were 5.16 billion yuan, 5.50 billion yuan, and 5.91 billion yuan, with the downward adjustment mainly due to changes in feed sales, feed profit per ton, pig slaughter volume, and pig price expectations [2]

Core Insights - Guangdong Yuehai Feed Group's subsidiary Anhui Yuehai Feed has officially launched its 100,000-ton aquatic feed production facility in Wuhu, marking the completion of the company's strategic triangle layout in East China [1][2] Company Overview - Anhui Yuehai was established in July 2019 and is the core implementation entity of Yuehai Feed's listed fundraising projects, with a total investment of 170 million yuan (approximately 24.1 million USD), of which 110 million yuan (approximately 15.5 million USD) is raised funds [1] - The new facility covers over 60 acres with a building area of 43,000 square meters and includes two production lines for puffed feed with a capacity of 10 tons per hour and one production line for shrimp feed with a capacity of 5 tons per hour, achieving an annual production capacity exceeding 100,000 tons [1] Product and Market Strategy - The product matrix includes over ten core products under the "Yuehai" and "Haixuan" brands, such as shrimp feed, bass feed, and yellow catfish feed, with a sales network covering East and Central China [1] - The facility aims to meet the diverse needs of specialized aquatic farming in Anhui and surrounding provinces, providing localized supply services within a 300-kilometer radius to reduce procurement and transportation costs [1] Technological and Quality Control Advancements - Anhui Yuehai leverages two provincial-level research platforms to synchronize production processes with industry advancements, employing cutting-edge production equipment to enhance feed stability and palatability [2] - The company has established a comprehensive quality control system and adheres to the group's "four guarantees" standards, with over 25% of its 135 employees being professional technical personnel [2] Strategic Goals and Market Positioning - The chairman of Yuehai Feed, Zheng Shixuan, outlined a "three highs and three lows" technical strategy aimed at increasing growth rates by 10%, reducing feed conversion ratios by 10%, and cutting losses by 50%, thereby providing low-cost and efficient solutions [2] - The new facility is positioned as a high-quality, high-price, and high-cost-performance operation, with a goal of securing 37,000 tons of orders through special investment policies and promotional activities [2] - The establishment of the Anhui base is seen as a critical step in the company's national expansion strategy, enhancing its capacity network and solidifying its position in the specialized aquatic feed sector [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Soybean Oil**: The main futures price of soybean oil has been fluctuating and adjusting this week. China's soybean oil inventory continues to accumulate, with sufficient supply and a weak current situation. In the fourth quarter, which is the traditional consumption peak season for soybean oil, and as it is currently the most cost - effective oil, the inventory is expected to stop increasing and decline, and the futures price center of soybean oil is expected to move up slightly. It is advisable to hold long positions in the main contract of soybean oil, with support levels at 8150 - 8200 yuan/ton and pressure levels at 8400 - 8450 yuan/ton [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: Rapeseed oil futures have been weakening. The market is worried about the possible consultation on the import control policy of Canadian rapeseed between the two countries, which suppresses the rapeseed oil futures price. The policy expectation mainly affects the market sentiment. The basis price in the spot market has risen slightly today, showing a divergence from the futures price. The inventory of rapeseed oil is continuously decreasing, and enterprises are strongly willing to support prices. The basis of rapeseed oil remains stable, and the market is in a stalemate. It is recommended to temporarily wait and see for the unilateral operation of the 01 contract or buy options to protect existing positions. The support level of the main 01 contract of rapeseed oil is 9800 - 9820 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 10020 - 10050 yuan/ton [4]. - **Palm Oil**: The main contract of palm oil has been weakly adjusting this week. The inventory pressure in the palm oil - producing areas in Southeast Asia is not large, and the inventory is expected to enter the November production - reduction season lightly. Coupled with Indonesia's test of B50, the supply - demand of palm oil is expected to narrow in the fourth quarter, and the medium - to - long - term bullish view remains unchanged. Aggressive strategies can consider holding long positions or buying out - of - the - money call options after the price stabilizes. The support level of the main contract of palm oil is 9230 - 9270 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 9650 - 9680 yuan/ton [5]. - **Soybean Meal and Bean No. 2**: The main contract of soybean meal futures has broken through the support level and declined. The U.S. soybean crushing volume exceeds market expectations, and Sino - U.S. trade frictions continue. The current weather in the world's major soybean - producing areas is relatively good, which is suitable for the harvest of U.S. soybeans and the sowing of Brazilian soybeans, and the upward driving force of U.S. soybeans is also insufficient. China's domestic inventory of oil - pressing soybeans and soybean meal is relatively sufficient, and the supply remains loose. It is advisable to lightly short the main contract of soybean meal unilaterally or consider selling out - of - the - money call options. For arbitrage, consider going long on the oil - meal ratio of the 01 contract of soybeans. The support level of the main contract of soybean meal is 2800 - 2830 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 2960 - 2970 yuan/ton. The support level of the main contract of Bean No. 2 is 3500 - 3530 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 3675 - 3700 yuan/ton [5]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The sentiment of rapeseed meal has been weak. The market generally expects that the two countries may consult on the rapeseed trade policy. Rapeseed meal is facing the dual pressures of the seasonal consumption off - season and the squeeze of substitute varieties, and the terminal purchasing willingness is low. The continuous weakness of soybean meal also drags down rapeseed meal. It is necessary to focus on the results of Sino - Canadian trade negotiations and wait and see before the policy is clear. Consider going long on the oil - meal ratio of the 01 contract of rapeseed. The support level of the main contract of rapeseed meal is 2230 - 2250 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 2400 - 2430 yuan/ton [5][6]. - **Bean No. 1**: The futures price of Bean No. 1 has risen this week. The new - season soybeans in the Northeast market have basically completed the harvest, and the grain trading enterprises are actively purchasing. The high - protein soybeans are in short supply and the price is firm, while the low - protein soybeans have a weak price. With the concentrated listing of soybeans in the Northeast and the low valuation of Bean No. 1 and the reluctance of farmers to sell, the domestic soybean price is running strongly. It is advisable to hold long positions in the main contract of Bean No. 1. The pressure level of the 11 contract of Bean No. 1 is in the range of 4050 - 4080 yuan/ton, and the support level is in the range of 3900 - 3930 yuan/ton [6]. - **Peanuts**: The spot price of peanuts has remained stable over the weekend. The probability of purchasing U.S. soybeans has increased due to the new round of Sino - U.S. trade negotiations. The planting area of new - season peanuts has increased this year, and the planting cost has decreased year - on - year. Currently, the area and quantity of peanut listing are gradually increasing, with upward pressure. However, the futures price has reflected the expected increase in production, and the yield per unit in some areas of Henan is not good, so the downward space of the futures price is limited. It is recommended to pay attention to the purchasing dynamics of oil - pressing plants and the new - season procurement situation. The futures price is expected to fluctuate in the short term. The support level of the 01 contract is 7900 - 7550 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 8020 - 8160 yuan/ton [6]. - **Corn and Corn Starch**: The futures prices of corn and corn starch have shown a low - level oscillating trend this week. In the external market, there is a game between the harvest pressure in the Northern Hemisphere and the good export of U.S. corn, and the sowing in South America has started smoothly, so the overall futures price is expected to remain oscillating at a low level. In the domestic market, the new - season harvest is progressing, and the continuous rainy weather in North China has brought new differences to the market. After the futures price refreshed the low point, the market has entered a new game. Considering that the new - season harvest is still in progress, the listing pressure may not be fully reflected, and the futures price is still in the process of finding the bottom. It is recommended to hold short positions cautiously or pay attention to the reverse spread of the 1 - 5 spread of corn. For options, consider selling out - of - the - money call options. The support range of the 01 contract of corn is 2000 - 2020 yuan/ton, and the pressure range is 2180 - 2200 yuan/ton. The support range of the 11 contract of corn starch is 2340 - 2350 yuan/ton, and the pressure range is 2480 - 2500 yuan/ton [7]. - **Hogs**: The spot price of hogs has been fluctuating narrowly over the weekend. Recently, the hog price has fallen below the breeding cost, and the hog - grain ratio has quickly fallen below 5:1, with significantly reduced breeding profits. Under the atmosphere of "anti - involution" to limit production capacity, the near - end slaughter of hogs has increased. The futures price of hogs has hit a new annual low. This week, the national average spot price of hogs is about 10.67 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.23 yuan/kg compared with last Friday. Before the festival, the slaughter volume rebounded significantly month - on - month, was at a high level year - on - year, and was higher than that in 2023. The near - end farmers are actively slaughtering, and the supply of standard hogs is loose. The price of 7 - kg piglets has fallen close to the slaughter cost. In terms of the futures price, the Sino - U.S. restart of negotiations is expected to make the agricultural product index oscillate weakly as a whole, and the futures price of hogs is currently at a premium to the spot price. The 01 contract refers to the range of 11000 - 13000 points. Cautious investors can hold the reverse spread of shorting the near - month contract and going long on the far - month contract, and aggressive investors can buy the 2605 contract when the price falls below the breeding cost in the medium - term and sell deep out - of - the - money call options with a strike price above 15000 points to reduce the bottom - fishing cost [8][9]. - **Eggs**: The spot price of eggs has been generally stable with a slight weakness over the weekend. After the seasonal decline, the egg price has stabilized. Since the 10 contract is in the off - season after the Mid - Autumn Festival, the futures price has a weak follow - up to the spot price. Currently, the egg index continues to oscillate at the bottom and has reached a historical low. In October, the terminal consumption is expected to decline month - on - month, the current stocking demand has weakened, and farmers are gradually increasing the culling of laying hens, and the price of culled hens has also declined. The supply - demand pattern has marginally improved. The national spot price over the weekend is about 3.00 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.01 yuan/jin compared with last Friday. Fundamentally, the current egg price is at a relatively low level, and the inventory of laying hens is at a historical high. It is necessary to wait for farmers to increase the culling of laying hens to drive the reduction of production capacity. Aggressive investors can buy the 2512 contract unilaterally at low prices in the short - term. Since the egg index has approached the historical low level, it is advisable to be cautious about short - selling in speculative trading or buy the positive spread between the 12 - 1 month contracts at low prices [9]. 3. Summaries Based on the Table of Contents 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendation 3.1.1 Market Analysis - **Soybean Oil 01**: The fundamental situation has not changed much, affected by the significant fluctuations of crude oil recently. The current supply is sufficient, and the supply - demand is expected to improve in the fourth quarter. The market is expected to oscillate strongly, and it is advisable to hold long positions lightly [12]. - **Rapeseed Oil 01**: The purchase of rapeseed is relatively small, and it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in Sino - Canadian trade relations. The market is expected to oscillate within a range, and it is advisable to wait and see [12]. - **Palm 01**: The production of Malaysian palm oil exceeds market expectations, but the inventory pressure in the producing areas is not large. Indonesia plans to promote B50, and the downward space of the palm oil price is limited. The medium - to - long - term bullish view remains unchanged. It is advisable to hold long positions [12]. - **Soybean Meal 01**: The current inventory of oil - pressing soybeans and soybean meal is sufficient, and the feed demand for soybean meal is expected to weaken in the fourth quarter, with insufficient bullish driving forces. The bullish expectation lies in the continuous Sino - U.S. trade frictions. The market is expected to oscillate widely, and it is advisable to wait and see [12]. - **Rapeseed Meal 01**: The market is affected by the expected relaxation of trade policies and the weakening of demand. It is necessary to pay attention to Sino - Canadian trade policies. The market is expected to oscillate and adjust, and it is advisable to wait and see [12]. - **Corn 01**: The overall pressure environment remains unchanged, with short - term rhythm disturbances. However, the harvest is still in progress, and the pressure has not been fully released. The market is expected to oscillate weakly, and it is advisable to hold short positions cautiously [12]. - **Starch 11**: The price of corn, the cost end, is expected to face pressure, and the enterprise's inventory accumulation expectation puts pressure on the spot price. The market is expected to oscillate weakly, and it is advisable to hold short positions cautiously [12]. - **Hogs 01**: The feed price has stopped falling and rebounded, and there are policies to reduce production capacity in the industry. The market is expected to oscillate at a low level, and it is advisable to mainly wait and see [12]. - **Eggs 12**: Affected by production capacity pressure and the expectation of the consumption peak season, the market is expected to find the bottom through oscillation, and it is advisable to buy at low prices [12]. 3.1.2 Basis and Spot - Futures Strategies The report provides the spot prices, price changes, basis of the main contracts, and basis changes of various varieties in different sectors, including soybeans, peanuts, oils, proteins, energy and by - products, and livestock products [13]. 3.2 Second Part: Key Data Tracking Table 3.2.1 Fats and Oils - **Daily Data**: The report provides the import cost data of fats and oils, including the arrival premium, CBOT soybean futures price, CNF arrival price, soybean import arrival duty - paid price, and the cost of soybean meal when the crushing profit is 0 for different shipping dates of soybeans from Brazil, Argentina, and the U.S. Gulf. It also provides relevant data for rapeseed and palm oil shipping dates [14][16]. - **Weekly Data**: The report provides the weekly data of fats and oils, including the inventory and operating rate of soybeans, rapeseed, palm oil, and peanuts, as well as the inventory of related products such as soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, and rapeseed oil [17]. 3.2.2 Feed The report provides the weekly data of corn and corn starch, including the consumption of corn by deep - processing enterprises, the inventory of corn by deep - processing enterprises, the operating rate of starch enterprises, and the inventory of starch enterprises [18]. 3.2.3 Livestock Farming - **Hogs**: The report provides the key weekly data of the hog market, including the spot price, breeding cost, profit, slaughter data, and other indicators [19]. - **Eggs**: The report provides the key weekly data of the egg market, including supply - side indicators such as the laying rate, the proportion of different sizes of eggs, the age of culled hens, and the supply of culled hens, demand - side indicators such as inventory, and profit - related indicators [20]. 3.3 Third Part: Fundamental Tracking Charts - **Livestock Farming (Hogs and Eggs)**: The report provides charts of the closing price of the main contract of hogs, the closing price of the main contract of eggs, the spot price of hogs, the price of piglets, the price of white - striped pork, the spot price of eggs, the price of chicken chicks, and the price of culled hens [22][24][25]. - **Fats and Oils**: - **Palm Oil**: The report provides charts of the monthly production, export volume, and ending inventory of Malaysian palm oil, the import parity profit of palm oil, the import volume, domestic inventory, daily trading volume, price spreads, and basis of palm oil [32][33][36]. - **Soybean Oil**: The report provides charts of the U.S. soybean crushing volume, U.S. soybean oil inventory, soybean crushing profit, domestic soybean oil mill operating rate, domestic soybean oil inventory, daily trading volume, price spreads, and basis of soybean oil [39][40][44]. - **Peanuts**: The report provides charts of the arrival and shipment volume of peanuts in domestic wholesale markets, the daily crushing profit of peanuts, the weekly raw material procurement volume of some oil - pressing plants, the weekly operating rate of peanuts, the inventory of peanuts and peanut oil in oil - pressing plants, the monthly import volume of peanuts, price spreads, and basis of peanuts [46][48]. - **Feed**: - **Corn**: The report provides charts of the spot price, closing price, basis, price spreads, port inventory, import volume, consumption by deep - processing enterprises, inventory of deep - processing enterprises, ethanol processing profit, and price difference between corn and wheat of corn [50][52][55]. - **Corn Starch**: The report provides charts of the spot price, closing price, basis, price difference with corn, enterprise operating rate, inventory, price difference with flour, and weekly profit of corn starch [59][61][62]. - **Rapeseed**: The report provides charts of the spot price of rapeseed meal, the spot price of imported fourth - grade rapeseed oil, basis, inventory of rapeseed and rapeseed meal in coastal oil mills, inventory of rapeseed oil, rapeseed crushing volume, domestic rapeseed crushing profit, and the delivery volume of rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil in coastal areas [64][66][68]. - **Soybean Meal**: The report provides charts of the flowering rate and pod - setting rate of U.S. soybeans, the inventory of soybeans in national ports, and the inventory of soybean meal in domestic mainstream oil mills [73][75]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Option Situation of Feed, Livestock Farming, and Fats and Oils The report provides charts of the historical volatility of rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, and peanuts, as well as the trading volume, open interest,

Core Insights - Guangdong Haid Group Co., Ltd. held a performance briefing on October 18-19, 2025, attracting participation from 172 institutions, including Cephei Capital Management (Hong Kong) Limited [1] - The company reported a strong performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a revenue of 96.094 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.142 billion yuan, up 14.31% year-on-year [1] Business Highlights and Spin-off Dynamics - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary Haid Holdings for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with ongoing restructuring of relevant subsidiaries to enhance global competitiveness and market influence [2] - The company aims for a total feed sales target of 51.5 million tons by 2030, with a focus on increasing domestic capacity utilization and market share while expanding overseas [3] - The overseas feed sales saw a year-on-year growth of approximately 40% in the first half of the year, with continued growth in the third quarter [3] - The company is shifting towards a light-asset expansion model for poultry feed production, while the aquaculture sector is expected to maintain profitability or break-even in most species [3] - The spin-off is intended to enhance international influence, broaden financing channels, and improve overall value and capital structure [3]

Core Insights - The banking sector is expected to become a key focus in the current market environment due to its stable dividends and improved yield attractiveness after recent corrections [6][4] - The agricultural sector is showing defensive characteristics amidst market adjustments, with the agricultural index performing relatively well [6][4] Market Overview - As of October 17, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index have P/E ratios at 99.42%, 82.55%, and 47.9% respectively, indicating varying levels of market valuation [1] - The overall market has experienced a decline, with the banking sector demonstrating resilience [6][4] Sector Performance - The banking sector has shown a slight decline of 0.32% but remains above key moving averages, indicating stability [6] - The agricultural sector's index has also shown resilience, with a minor drop of 0.79%, suggesting it may be a good time for investment [6] Fund Flows - The top inflow sector is retail trade with a net inflow of 0.02 billion, while the electronic sector saw the largest outflow of 179.55 billion [2] - The banking ETF has a trading volume of 29.22 billion with a turnover rate of 14.07%, indicating strong investor interest [4] Investment Opportunities - The banking sector is highlighted for its potential as a mainline investment due to stable dividends and attractive yield post-correction [6] - The agricultural sector is considered a good investment opportunity due to its low valuation and defensive nature during market volatility [6]

Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 96.094 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.24% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 4.142 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 14.31% [1] Spin-off Plans - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary, Haida Holdings, for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - Prior to the spin-off, the company will restructure the equity of its overseas subsidiaries related to feed, seedlings, and animal health products under Haida Holdings [1] - This spin-off is a strategic move to enhance the company's international influence and global market competitiveness, aligning with the national "Belt and Road" initiative [1] Strategic Goals - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 51.5 million tons of feed by 2030, focusing on increasing domestic capacity utilization and market share while expanding overseas [2] - The overseas feed sales volume is projected to reach 7.2 million tons by 2030, with the spin-off expected to accelerate this growth [3] Operational Insights - The company reported a 40% year-on-year increase in overseas feed sales in the first half of the year, maintaining strong growth into the third quarter [2] - The feed production capacity utilization has improved due to strong sales growth [2] Future Outlook - The company plans to adopt a light asset model for future expansion in livestock feed production, rather than relying primarily on acquisitions [2] - The overall cost of pig farming is expected to continue improving as the company focuses on team capability building and innovative asset-light models [3] - The company anticipates that most aquaculture species will maintain profitability or break-even next year, despite some external impacts [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a feed sales increase of over 5 million tons, with plans for a spin-off listing to support overseas development [4][6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.3% [3] - The company has established a competitive advantage in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with a focus on feed, seed, and animal health products [5][7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 96.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.2%, and a net profit of 4.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.3% [3] - The company’s feed sales volume for the first half of 2025 was approximately 14.7 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 25% [5] - The company’s projected revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to grow significantly, with main business revenue reaching 141.48 billion yuan in 2025, 159.84 billion yuan in 2026, and 181.16 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 23.5%, 13.0%, and 13.3% respectively [9] Spin-off and Strategic Focus - The company has announced a plan to spin off its subsidiary, Haida International Holdings, for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which will allow it to focus on overseas market development [6][7] - Post-spin-off, the company will maintain a controlling stake in Haida International Holdings and will concentrate on expanding its operations in Asia (excluding East Asia), Africa, and Latin America [7] Future Projections - The company’s feed sales volume is projected to reach 29.53 million tons in 2025, 32.46 million tons in 2026, and 35.67 million tons in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 20.9%, 9.9%, and 9.9% [9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.01 billion yuan in 2025, 5.80 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.22 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.3%, 15.7%, and 7.3% respectively [9]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Views - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the feed sector, particularly highlighting Haida Group's performance and its plans for overseas expansion through the spin-off of its subsidiary [3][15]. - The report identifies opportunities in the animal health sector, focusing on the need for innovation to overcome competition and the potential growth in the pet health market [3][16]. - The swine sector is under pressure due to low prices, but there is an expectation of capacity reduction, which could benefit strong companies in the long run [4][17][18]. - The pet sector is experiencing rapid growth, with a focus on domestic brands and high revenue growth companies [5][19][20]. - The dairy and beef sectors are anticipated to enter a new cycle after significant capacity reduction, with potential price increases expected [6][21]. - The poultry sector is facing challenges with breeding stock shortages and demand fluctuations, but there are opportunities for companies that can adapt [7][22][24]. Summary by Sections Feed Sector - Haida Group reported Q3 revenue of 3.726 billion yuan, up 14.43% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.504 billion yuan, up 0.34% [3][15]. - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary for independent operations in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, enhancing its overseas competitiveness [3][15]. Animal Health Sector - The report stresses the importance of new product development to break through market saturation, particularly in the traditional livestock vaccine market [3][16]. - The pet health market is expected to grow due to increasing pet ownership and spending [3][16]. Swine Sector - The average price of live pigs is currently 11.32 yuan/kg, with significant losses reported in the industry [4][17]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong profitability as the market stabilizes [4][18]. Pet Sector - The pet economy is booming, with significant growth in domestic brands and high revenue growth companies [5][19]. - Key recommendations include pet food companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., and pet medical companies like Ruipu Biology [5][20]. Dairy and Beef Sector - The dairy sector is expected to see a price turning point after a period of capacity reduction, with current milk prices at 3.04 yuan/kg [6][21]. - The beef sector may also see price increases, with a focus on companies that can leverage their resources effectively [6][21]. Poultry Sector - The report highlights the need to monitor breeding stock shortages and demand changes, particularly in the white chicken market [7][22]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies that can adapt to these changes, such as Shengnong Development [7][22][24]. Seed Sector - The report anticipates a shift towards biotechnology and transgenic crops, with leading companies expected to gain a competitive edge [10][27]. - Key recommendations include companies like Longping High-tech and Dabeinong [10][28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Views - The report highlights a significant reduction in pig production, with a focus on the long-term performance improvement in the pig farming sector due to recent policies and market dynamics [3][7] - The report identifies various investment opportunities across different segments of the agriculture industry, including pig farming, feed, planting, and pet food sectors [3][54] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The report indicates a confirmed trend of capacity reduction in the pig farming industry, driven by weak prices and policy support [7] - In September, 13 listed pig companies collectively reported a pig output of 13.7586 million heads, a month-on-month decrease of 8.65% but a year-on-year increase of 18.31% [11] - The average selling price of pigs has dropped significantly, with most companies reporting a price decline of around 30% year-on-year [12][13] Feed Sector - The report notes that raw material prices for feed are stabilizing at the bottom, with fluctuations in prices for corn, wheat, and soybean meal [40] - As of October 17, corn prices averaged 2263.14 yuan/ton, down 1.78%, while wheat prices increased slightly to 2451.94 yuan/ton [40] Planting Chain - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the planting and seed industry, with a confirmed upward trend in grain prices [3][54] Pet Food Sector - The pet food industry is experiencing growth, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and a favorable market environment [3][54]