Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the light industry and textile sector, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance in the coming months [4][6][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent joint issuance of a consumption promotion plan by six government departments, focusing on enhancing supply-demand matching in consumer goods, which is expected to benefit the light textile sector [6][7]. - Four main investment themes are identified: emotional consumption, intelligent consumer goods, brand apparel, and manufacturing upgrades, each presenting unique opportunities for growth [6][7][8]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Overview - The light industry index increased by 4.17%, ranking 5th among 28 industries, while the textile and apparel index rose by 2.75%, ranking 16th [6][11]. - Key sub-sectors within the light industry showed positive performance, with packaging printing up by 5.46% and cultural products by 4.81% [6][11]. Investment Themes 1. **Emotional Consumption**: The report emphasizes the importance of IP-driven products in creating demand, particularly in the cultural and pet economy sectors [6][7]. 2. **Intelligent Consumer Goods**: The ongoing advancements in AI and related standards are expected to drive the adoption of smart consumer products, with a focus on AI glasses and smart home products [6][7]. 3. **Brand Apparel**: The report notes a favorable environment for domestic brands due to increased recognition and innovation in consumer experiences [6][7]. 4. **Manufacturing Upgrades**: There is a focus on new textile materials and environmentally friendly products, highlighting companies with strong R&D capabilities [6][7]. Key Company Recommendations - Companies such as Bubble Mart and Morning Glory are highlighted for their strong growth potential and innovative capabilities in the emotional consumption and cultural product sectors [6][7]. - In the home furnishings sector, companies like Kuka Home and Xilinmen are recommended due to their robust e-commerce performance [6][7]. - For brand apparel, companies like Anta Sports and Li Ning are noted for their potential in functional footwear and apparel [6][7]. Raw Material Trends - The report tracks fluctuations in raw material prices, noting recent increases in cotton prices and stable pricing in certain paper products, which may impact production costs [19][22][39].

hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 01 日 证券研究报告 纺织服饰 | 服装家纺 港股|公司点评报告 证券分析师 符超然 SAC：S1350525050004 fuchaoran@huayuanstock.com 联系人 周宸宇 zhouchenyu@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 11 | 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | 4.96 | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | | | 5.37/3.46 | | 元） | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | | | 57,683.58 | | 流通市值（百万港元） | | | | 57,683.58 | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | 42.99 | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | 波司登(03998.HK) 投资评级： 买入（维持） ——收入及利润正增长，全新设计师系列推动品牌价值提升 投资要点： 风险提示。新品推广不及预期风险，极端气候影响风险，内外需不及预期风险。 | 盈利预测与估值（人民 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300952 | 恒辉安防 | 34.02 | 14.58% | 19.91万 | | 6.67亿 | | 002563 | 森马服饰 | 6.68 | 10.05% | 66.63万 | | 4.38亿 | | 001234 | 泰草士 | 31.59 | 9.99% | 5.82万 | | 1.82亿 | | 603557 | ST起步 | 2.76 | 4.94% | 9910.0 | | 273.52万 | | 603196 | 日播时尚 | 24.96 | 3.23% | 6.57万 | | 1.64亿 | | 603958 | 哈森股份 | 16.11 | 2.35% | 8.43万 | | 1.38亿 | | 603511 | 爱草股份 | 16.15 | 1.83% | 3.45万 | | 5580.07万 | | 603608 | 天创时尚 | 7.21 | 1.55% | 12.83万 | | 9413.06万 ...

| 总量研究 2 | | | --- | --- | | 本周观点 | 2 | | 重点报告 | 2 | | 行业研究 3 | | | 本周观点 | 3 | | 重点报告 | 4 | | 公司研究 5 | | | 重点报告 5 | | | 重点报告摘要 6 | | | 总量研究 6 | | | 行业研究 8 | | | 公司研究 10 | | 一周观点 总量研究 本周观点 | 领域 | 一周观点 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 市场大方向或仍处在牛市中，不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比，当前指数仍然 | | | 策略 | 有相当大的上涨空间，但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，牛市持续的时间或许要比涨 | 张宇生 | | | 幅更加重要。不过短期来看，市场可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于 | | | | 稳健，股市短期或以震荡蓄势为主。 | | | | 本周国内权益市场指数震荡下行，各类行业主题基金表现不佳，金融地产主题基金相对抗跌。 | | | 金工 | 不同投资范围的 ETF 资金均呈现流入，各宽基主题 ETF 受被动资金显著加仓，TMT 主 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-woven fabric industry chain, recommending continued investment opportunities in this sector [2][7]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector underperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 2.8%, lagging behind the SW All A index by 0.2 percentage points [2][3]. - Recent industry data indicates a 3.5% year-on-year growth in retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles, totaling 1,205.3 billion yuan from January to October [20][25]. - Exports of textiles and apparel saw a significant decline, with October figures showing a 12.6% year-on-year drop, amounting to 22.26 billion USD [24][27]. - Cotton prices have shown a slight increase, with the national cotton price B index at 14,858 yuan per ton, up 0.8% [29]. - Australian wool prices have stabilized and increased, with the index at 978 cents per kilogram, reflecting a 32.0% year-on-year rise [31]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - The report highlights the strong performance of Yanjiang, which reached a new high in stock price, and continues to recommend investment in the non-woven fabric industry chain [7][9]. - Yanjiang's deep ties with major international brands are expected to drive significant growth, with a potential market size exceeding 500 billion yuan for heat-resistant non-woven fabrics [7]. - Other companies like Noble and Jieya are also noted for their strong market positions and growth potential [7]. Apparel Sector - Bosideng's mid-term performance met expectations, with a 1.4% increase in revenue to 8.93 billion yuan and a 5.3% rise in net profit to 1.19 billion yuan [9][10]. - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the women's clothing sector, which has seen a turnaround in market expectations [10]. Market Trends - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in domestic demand, particularly in new consumption areas such as outdoor sports and discount retail [2][8]. - The global tariff situation is stabilizing, which is expected to maintain the competitive edge of core manufacturing [2][8]. Key Data Points - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles from January to October reached 1,205.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.5% [20][25]. - Textile and apparel exports in October were 22.26 billion USD, down 12.6% year-on-year, with specific declines in textile and clothing categories [24][27]. - Cotton prices have increased slightly, with the national cotton price B index at 14,858 yuan per ton [29]. - Australian wool prices have shown significant year-on-year increases, with the index at 978 cents per kilogram [31].

Investment Rating - The textile and apparel industry is rated as "Neutral" [2] Core Views - The textile and apparel sector underperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 2.8% from November 24 to November 28, lagging behind the SW All A index by 0.2 percentage points [3][4] - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles reached 1,205.3 billion yuan from January to October, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.5% [3][21] - Textile and apparel exports in October amounted to 22.26 billion USD, down 12.6% year-on-year, with specific declines in textile yarns and fabrics by 9.0% and clothing by 16.0% [3][25] - Cotton prices increased slightly, with the national cotton price B index at 14,858 yuan/ton, up 0.8% [3][32] - Australian wool prices showed significant increases, with the index at 978 cents/kg, up 32.0% year-on-year [3][34] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector's performance was weaker than the market, with the SW textile and apparel index increasing by 2.8%, while the SW apparel and home textiles index rose by 3.0%, and the SW textile manufacturing index increased by 2.7% [3][4] Recent Industry Data - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles totaled 1,205.3 billion yuan from January to October, reflecting a 3.5% year-on-year increase [3][21] - In October, textile and apparel exports were 22.26 billion USD, a decline of 12.6% year-on-year, with textile yarns and fabrics down 9.0% and clothing down 16.0% [3][25] - Cotton prices rose slightly, with the national cotton price B index at 14,858 yuan/ton, up 0.8% [3][32] - Australian wool prices increased, with the index at 978 cents/kg, up 32.0% year-on-year [3][34] Sector Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of specific companies within the non-woven fabric industry, recommending continued investment in the entire non-woven fabric supply chain [3][8] - The report notes that the outdoor sports segment is expected to see growth, with companies like Bosideng and Anta being highlighted for their potential [3][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of new consumer trends and the potential for recovery in domestic demand in 2026 [3][10]

人民日报记者 刘温馨 读者关切 现在，我国制造能力很强，消费需求也很旺，但仍然存在一些消费品"想买的买不到、想卖的卖不 掉"的情况。如何增强消费品供需适配性，更好解决这一问题？ "推动供需总体适配能最大程度激发消费潜力，促进经济循环畅通。"工业和信息化部相关负责人表 示。老百姓想要什么、喜欢什么，企业就琢磨什么、生产什么，这样广大消费者能买到更称心的东西、 享受到更满意的服务，企业的产品也能更加适销对路、优质优价。 当前，我国消费品品种总量达2.3亿种，家电、家具、文体用品、服装家纺等100多个品类产量全球 第一。在强大的制造能力支撑下，消费品企业能够快速响应技术的升级和消费者需求的细微变化，不断 对产品进行迭代创新。 如何加快实现生产和消费从量到质转变，形成供给与消费良性互动、相互促进的格局？《实施方 案》列明了不少具体举措。 供给端，加速新技术创新应用，扩大特色和新型产品供给。布局智能网联新能源汽车、智能家居、 消费电子等新领域新赛道，打造百个标志性产品、百家创新企业和一批新产品首用场景样板。加大生成 式人工智能、3D数字化设计等新工具应用，开发人工智能终端产品，提供娱乐、健康、陪护等生活服 务。 需求端 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][37][42]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 1.4% to 8.93 billion yuan and a net profit growth of 5.3% to 1.19 billion yuan for the first half of the 2025/26 fiscal year [1][10]. - The brand's down jacket segment continues to lead growth, with a revenue increase of 8.3% to 6.57 billion yuan, despite challenges in other segments [1][15]. - The company has successfully reduced inventory by 20.3% and improved cash flow, maintaining a stable dividend payout with a mid-term dividend of 6.3 HKD cents, up 5% year-on-year [2][28]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of the 2025/26 fiscal year, the company achieved a revenue of 89.3 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.4% and 5.3% year-on-year increase, respectively [1][10]. - The overall gross margin increased by 0.1 percentage points to 50.0%, driven by the growth in the down jacket business [1][23]. Business Segments - **Brand Down Jackets**: Revenue increased by 8.3% to 6.57 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 59.1%, a decrease of 2.0 percentage points [1][15]. - **OEM Processing**: Revenue decreased by 11.8% to 2.04 billion yuan, but the gross margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 20.5% [15][23]. - **Women's Wear**: Revenue fell by 18.6% to 250 million yuan, with a gross margin of 59.9% [15][23]. - **Diversified Apparel**: Revenue decreased by 45.3% to 60 million yuan, primarily due to a decline in the school uniform business [16][23]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on brand leadership and product innovation by collaborating with top international designers to enhance its high-end image and market recognition [3][31]. - Digital transformation efforts include establishing an AI innovation lab in collaboration with Zhejiang University to improve design efficiency [3][32]. - The company is optimizing its channel strategy, with online revenue growth of 2.4% and a net increase of 85 self-operated stores and 285 dealer stores [3][33]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates accelerated growth in the second half of the fiscal year, supported by strong sales performance in the down jacket segment since October [4][37]. - Profit forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 are projected at 3.91 billion, 4.30 billion, and 4.73 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.1%, 10.2%, and 10.0% [4][39].

从资金流向上来看，当日服装家纺板块主力资金净流出1.64亿元，游资资金净流出4720.07万元，散户资 金净流入2.11亿元。服装家纺板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，11月28日服装家纺板块较上一交易日上涨1.05%，奥康国际领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3888.6，上涨0.34%。深证成指报收于12984.08，上涨0.85%。服装家纺板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603001 | 奧康国际 | 10.00 | 9.41% | 18.24万 | | 1.77亿 | | 300005 | 探路者 | 11.73 | 5.96% | 68.38万 | | 7.94亿 | | 603557 | ST起步 | 2.63 | 5.20% | 0 9.04万 | | 2338.08万 | | 002397 | 梦洁股份 | 4.37 | 5.05% | 53.05万 | | 2.29亿 | | 601566 | 九牧王 | 13.42 | 4. ...

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively declined in November, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.67% to close at 3888 points, ending a six-month streak of gains [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 2.95% to 12984 points, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 4.23% to 3052 points, marking the second consecutive month of decline for both indices [1] - The North Star 50 Index experienced a significant drop of 12.32% to 1387 points, and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index fell by 6.24% to 1327 points [1] Sector Performance - The top five performing sectors over the past 20 trading days included: - Pharmaceutical Commerce up by 6.65% - Education up by 5.1% - Petroleum Processing and Trade up by 4.83% - Cultural Media up by 4.71% - Apparel and Home Textiles up by 4.5% [1] - Conversely, the bottom five sectors were: - Securities down by 6.16% - Electrical Machinery down by 5.85% - Automation Equipment down by 5.33% - Automotive Parts down by 5.07% - Medical Services down by 4.58% [1] Individual Stock Performance - The top five individual stocks in terms of gains for November were: - Dapeng Industrial up by 553.33% - Danna Biotechnology up by 378.07% - South Network Digital up by 334.45% - Beikong Detection up by 264.63% - Hengkun New Materials up by 228.29% [1] - The bottom five individual stocks in terms of losses were: - Heyuan Biotechnology down by 36.06% - *ST Changyao down by 31.96% - Huide Technology down by 31.47% - Degute down by 29.26% - Bangji Technology down by 26.96% [1]