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铂钯系列(二):全球铂金供需格局
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-07-23 11:52
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The global platinum supply is highly concentrated with low elasticity, and the output of major producers is insufficient. In 2024, the global platinum output declined, and it is expected to continue to decline in 2025. The demand for platinum in different regions and fields varies, and the global platinum market has a supply - demand gap [1][4][11] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1.1 Global Platinum Supply Pattern - **Supply Concentration**: South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Russia are the main suppliers of global platinum. In 2024, South Africa's platinum output decreased by 4% year - on - year to 120 tons, accounting for 71% of the global total. Zimbabwe and Russia each accounted for 11%, and other countries accounted for 8% [1] - **Supply Constraints**: Long - term trends, sub - optimal new project implementation, mine depletion, and shutdowns have continuously restricted supply, resulting in insufficient output elasticity of major global platinum producers. In 2024, factors such as power outages in Brazil and Zimbabwe, restructuring in North America, and early production decline in Canada dragged down platinum output [1] - **Production and Recycling in 2024**: The global platinum output in 2024 was 195.9 tons. The global mined platinum volume decreased by 567 kg year - on - year to 155.9 tons, and the global recycled platinum accounted for 20.4%, with the recycling volume increasing by 3% year - on - year to 39.97 tons [4] - **Production Forecast for 2025**: It is expected that the global mined platinum volume will decline by 4% year - on - year to 150.1 tons in 2025 due to the decline in South African output and the restructuring of Stillwater in North America. The catalyst recycling volume is expected to improve significantly, but the US tariff on cars may drag down the US platinum recycling volume [4] 1.2 Platinum Global Balance - **Consumption Regions and Fields**: The main consumption regions of global platinum are China, Europe, North America, and Japan. China's demand accounts for 26% of the global total, with industrial demand being the largest. Western Europe and North America account for 20% and 18% respectively, with automotive catalyst demand being the largest. Japan accounts for 9%, mainly in automotive catalysts and jewelry. India's industrial demand is small, but its automotive catalyst and jewelry demand are increasing, and it may exceed Japan in the future [6] - **Demand in 2024**: In 2024, the global demand for platinum group metals decreased by 1.6% year - on - year to 198 tons, with a supply gap of 1.98 tons. Automotive industry demand decreased by 3% to 63.4 tons, jewelry demand decreased slightly by 0.3 tons to 38.3 tons, industrial demand remained flat at 63.4 tons, and hydrogen energy demand increased slightly by 0.3 tons to 2 tons, accounting for 1% [11] - **Global Platinum Balance Table**: The table shows the changes in mine production, recycling, total demand, and supply - demand balance of global platinum from 2017 to 2025f. The supply gap is expected to widen in 2025 [13]
南非统计局:南非贵金属产量5月同比下降0.6%;南非5月矿业总产出同比下降0.2%,市场预期下降5.4%。
news flash· 2025-07-15 09:35
Core Insights - South Africa's precious metal production decreased by 0.6% year-on-year in May [1] - The total mining output in South Africa fell by 0.2% year-on-year in May, which was better than the market expectation of a 5.4% decline [1]
金银涨势动人,33吨金银精矿在墨西哥被劫
news flash· 2025-07-11 06:38
Group 1 - The article highlights a significant robbery in Mexico where armed thieves hijacked a truck carrying 33 tons of gold and silver concentrate, belonging to Grupo Minero Bacis [1] - Although the truck was recovered, the trailer containing the precious metals remains missing, indicating a serious security issue in the region [1] - The incident underscores a rising trend in highway robberies in Mexico, with a robbery occurring every 50 minutes, reflecting broader concerns about safety and crime in the mining sector [1] Group 2 - The backdrop of this robbery is the increasing prices of gold and silver driven by global economic uncertainty, which may attract more criminal activity targeting precious metals [1] - Grupo Minero Bacis, as a mining company, faces heightened risks associated with transporting valuable resources in a volatile security environment [1]
黄金成逆袭法宝!加拿大股指上半年跑赢标普500
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-01 13:20
Group 1 - The Canadian stock market outperformed the US market in the first half of the year, driven by a record surge in gold prices, with the S&P/TSX Composite Index rising 8.6% compared to the S&P 500's 5.5% increase [1][3] - Half of the gains in the S&P/TSX Composite Index were attributed to gold and silver stocks, with significant contributions from companies like Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. [4] - Analysts express concerns that the gold-driven rally may not continue in the second half of the year due to reduced geopolitical and trade risks, which have previously contributed to market uncertainty [4] Group 2 - The energy sector is dragging down earnings expectations for the S&P/TSX, with a significant decline in revenue forecasts since April, primarily due to the struggling energy sector [4] - Despite the challenges, there are growth opportunities in Canadian stocks, as global investors are increasingly allocating funds to the Toronto Stock Exchange, attracted by its high weights in materials, energy, and financial sectors [5] - The S&P/TSX Composite Index has a price-to-earnings ratio of 17, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 24, indicating a favorable valuation narrative for Canadian stocks [5]
黄金狂潮托举加拿大股指狂奔!上半年飙涨8.6%碾压标普500
智通财经网· 2025-07-01 12:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite ongoing trade tensions and economic weakness, Canada's main stock index outperformed the U.S. benchmark index in the first half of the year, driven by record increases in gold prices [1] - As of June 30, the S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 8.6% year-to-date, surpassing the S&P 500's 5.5% increase during the same period, with a 15% increase in U.S. dollar terms [1] - Investors have flocked to gold and precious metal mining stocks as a hedge against risks from U.S. tariffs and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, contributing to the rise of the Toronto index [1] Group 2 - Four out of the top ten performing stocks in the first half were precious metal stocks, with Agnico Eagle Mines and Wheaton Precious Metals among them, and Lundin Gold leading with a nearly 135% increase [3] - There is uncertainty about whether the gold-led rally will continue in the second half of the year as geopolitical and trade risks have diminished, leading to a decline in gold prices [3] - Despite the challenges, there are other growth opportunities in Canadian stocks, as global investors are injecting funds into the Toronto Stock Exchange due to its high exposure to materials, energy, and financial sectors [3] Group 3 - The new Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is advocating for a pro-investment and growth-oriented economic agenda, which could positively impact the market [4] - The S&P/TSX Composite Index has a price-to-earnings ratio of 17, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 24, indicating potential valuation opportunities [4] - There is a fundamental story based on government policy changes and a valuation story for Canadian stocks, suggesting a favorable investment environment [4]
关税担忧缓解 英国富时100指数突破3月创下的收盘新高
news flash· 2025-06-10 08:02
金十数据6月10日讯,由于经济前景改善和贸易紧张局势缓解,英国富时100指数势将自3月份以来首次 收于创纪录高位,收复因关税引发的暴跌。这个出口导向型指数上涨0.4%,至8871.41点,超过了3月份 的高点8871.31点。英国富时100指数正在追赶全球股市基准指数和欧洲主要股指德国DAX指数,这两个 指数在4月份的暴跌后都重新创下了历史新高。英国富时100指数仍比盘中纪录高点8908.82点低0.4%, 市场情绪依然脆弱,因为伦敦面临大批公司将上市地点迁至美国,并搁置IPO的问题。国防承包商巴布 考克国际集团(Babcock)、贝宜系统公司(BAE Systems)以及贵金属矿业公司弗雷斯尼洛(Fresnillo Plc)是今年该指数涨幅最大的公司。 关税担忧缓解 英国富时100指数突破3月创下的收盘新高 ...