Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and other countries, particularly focusing on tariff negotiations and their implications for various industries and markets [1][5]. Group 1: Tariff and Trade Negotiations - U.S. President Trump announced plans to negotiate tariffs with multiple countries, including the EU, and has already sent letters to over 20 national leaders regarding new tariffs set to take effect on August 1 [1]. - A 50% tariff on all copper imports to the U.S. was also announced, indicating a significant escalation in trade tensions [1]. Group 2: Key Commodities - **Glass and Soda Ash**: Glass futures have rebounded due to summer maintenance leading to supply contraction, with inventory decreasing by 970,000 heavy boxes to 57.34 million heavy boxes [2][15]. Soda ash inventory increased by 33,000 tons to 1.864 million tons, indicating a need for time to digest current stock levels [2][15]. - **Stock Indices**: U.S. stock indices saw slight fluctuations with a market turnover of 1.48 trillion yuan. The financing balance increased by 2.082 billion yuan to 1.862586 trillion yuan, suggesting a growing interest in long-term investments [3][9]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Weekly lithium carbonate production decreased by 644 tons to 18,123 tons, while inventory rose by 1,510 tons to 138,347 tons, indicating a mixed market sentiment with potential price fluctuations ahead [4][21]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - China's total goods trade for the first half of the year reached 21.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, with exports growing by 7.2% and imports declining by 2.7% [6]. - The People's Bank of China reported a 7.1% year-on-year increase in RMB loans, with the total social financing scale growing by 8.9% [8]. Group 4: Market Trends - **Bond Market**: The yield on 10-year government bonds rose to 1.668%, with the central bank conducting a net injection of 119.7 billion yuan to maintain liquidity [10]. - **Energy Sector**: Oil prices are under pressure due to uncertainties surrounding global tariffs and production increases from OPEC, which may affect demand forecasts [11]. - **Agricultural Products**: The USDA report indicated a reduction in U.S. soybean planting area, which may impact future prices and market dynamics [25].

加强金融审判工作依法严惩操纵市场等金融领域违法犯罪 《中共中央关于加强新时代审判工作的意见》发布 对话合作才是正道海关总署：中美双方团队正在加紧落实伦敦框架有关成果 对美国关税威胁"绝对不可接受" 欧盟准备对720亿欧元美国商品征收反制关税 《中共中央关于加强新时代审判工作的意见》7月14日发布。意见指出，加强金融审判工作。依法严惩操纵市场、内幕交易、非法集资、贷款诈骗、洗钱等 金融领域违法犯罪，加强金融领域非法中介乱象协同治理，促进金融市场健康发展。完善数字货币、移动支付、互联网金融、跨境金融资产交易等新兴领域 金融纠纷审理规则。健全金融领域行政执法和司法审判衔接机制。（新华社） 7月14日，中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会联合发布《绿色金融支持项目目录（2025年版）》，自2025年10月1日起施行。为加强绿色金融市场流 动性，提升绿色金融资产管理效率、降低识别成本，《绿色金融支持项目目录（2025年版）》统一适用于各类绿色金融产品。沪深北交易所上市及股票发 行、新三板挂牌及股票发行业务暂不适用。（新华财经） 据人民银行，6月末，广义货币（M2)余额330.29万亿元，同比增长8.3%。狭义货币（M ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Weilan Lithium Chip, is experiencing significant growth in its operating performance, primarily driven by the high increase in its lithium battery business, with a projected net profit for the first half of 2025 expected to be between 300 million to 360 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 79.29% to 115.15% [1][2]. Business Performance - In 2024, Weilan Lithium Chip achieved a revenue of 6.756 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.38%, and a net profit of 488 million yuan, up 246.43% [2]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.728 billion yuan, a 20.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 142 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 100.56% [2]. - The estimated net profit for the second quarter of 2025 is projected to be between 158 million to 218 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of approximately 62.89% to 124.74% [3]. Business Segments - Weilan Lithium Chip has diversified its operations into three main business segments: LED chips, lithium batteries, and metal logistics, following two strategic transformations [2]. - The company has over 20 subsidiaries and a solid business presence across various locations, including Suzhou, Shanghai, Dongguan, Huai'an, and Yangzhou [2]. Global Expansion - The company has made significant strides in expanding its overseas business, with nearly 50% of its total revenue from overseas orders in 2024 [5]. - Notable international contracts include a 2022 order for 87 million cylindrical lithium batteries from Bosch, valued at approximately 95.85 million USD, and a three-year supply agreement with Stanley Black & Decker [4][5]. Research and Development - Research and development (R&D) is a key factor in maintaining the company's competitiveness, with R&D expenses increasing from 157 million yuan in 2020 to 416 million yuan in 2024, totaling 1.599 billion yuan over five years [6]. - In the first quarter of 2025, R&D expenses reached 124 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.11%, accounting for 7.2% of total revenue [6].

Macro Strategy - The "Great Beautiful Act" has been quickly implemented, but its distribution effects and the tightening fiscal impact from excluding extended and expanded tax cuts limit its growth stimulus for the US economy [1][24] - The act's characteristic of "increasing deficits first, reducing deficits later" implies a risk of a "fiscal cliff" around 2028 [1][24] - In the short term, concerns about the impact of US Treasury issuance on market liquidity and yield premiums are not excessive; however, the long-term path dependency of unsustainable US government debt makes it difficult for Treasury yield premiums to decrease [1][24] Fixed Income - The "stock-bond seesaw" effect is evident as the stock market stabilizes, influencing bond yields; the 10-year government bond yield rose from 1.641% to 1.666% during the week [3][5] - The bond market's reaction to Trump's threats of additional tariffs on BRICS countries was muted, indicating a limited impact on bond yields [3][5] - The bond yield's upward trend is expected to continue, influenced by stock market performance, but the extent of the increase is likely to be limited [5] Industry Insights - Wanda Film's diversified layout in esports and concert live streaming is expected to create new growth points, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.0 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan, respectively [8] - Lianlian Digital is projected to achieve a reasonable P/S valuation of 8.0x and 7.0x for 2025 and 2026, respectively, as it continues to expand its business [10] - Youyou Foods has revised its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 232 million, 285 million, and 329 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 47.2%, 23.2%, and 15.3% [11] - Siyi Electric's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 1.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46%, driven by strong overseas orders [14][15] - The energy sector, represented by Furan Energy, anticipates stable growth in natural gas supply and a steady increase in new energy business, with net profit forecasts of 872 million, 922 million, and 976 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12] - The lithium battery sector, represented by Weilan Lithium Core, has revised its profit expectations upwards, forecasting net profits of 750 million, 1 billion, and 1.31 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting significant growth [13] - The pharmaceutical sector, represented by Lianbang Pharmaceutical, is expected to see revenue growth driven by innovative drug development, with net profits projected at 3.11 billion, 3.10 billion, and 3.38 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [21]

Group 1 - The A-share market has recently experienced a "anti-involution" theme rally, with sectors such as steel, polysilicon, and glass seeing significant growth. The "anti-involution" theme is expected to become one of the main investment lines in the near future as it spreads across various industries [1] - Securities firms have shown considerable interest in the "anti-involution" theme, with dozens of firms publishing over a hundred reports and articles related to it since July. The most covered industries include building materials, steel, photovoltaics, and coal [1] - Analysts suggest that the implementation of "anti-involution" policies is likely to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity, improving the net asset return rates in related industries, which would be a significant benefit for the stock market [1] Group 2 - "Expectation management" is the primary method of the current "anti-involution" policy. Traditional cyclical industries like coal and steel have largely cleared their outdated production capacity, and the concentration of industries has significantly increased [2] - The impact of the "anti-involution" policy may vary by industry. Some sectors, such as photovoltaics and lithium batteries, still have growth potential, making direct capacity clearance less likely, while traditional industries with higher capacity utilization and low product prices may see more significant effects on profitability [2] - A report from Huachuang Securities identified potential beneficiary industries of the "anti-involution" measures, with coal mining, coke, and ordinary steel being the most frequently mentioned. Other industries like passenger vehicles and wind power equipment were also highlighted as potential beneficiaries [2]

Group 1 - The company, Hunan Baile Engineering Technology Co., Ltd., expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB -38 million to -57 million for the first half of 2025 [2][3] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders, after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, is projected to be RMB -36 million to -55 million [2][3] - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025 [2] Group 2 - In the same period of the previous year, the company reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB -134 million and a net loss of RMB -141 million after deducting non-recurring gains and losses [4] - The earnings per share for the first half of 2024 was reported at RMB -0.27 [5] Group 3 - The primary reasons for the expected loss in the first half of 2025 include a sluggish macroeconomic environment, technological obsolescence, and overcapacity in the downstream markets of new energy and traditional energy [6] - Some clients have reduced or canceled their capacity expansion plans, leading to decreased equipment investment demand and prolonged project acceptance cycles, which have increased costs [6] - Intense competition in the domestic lithium battery equipment and petrochemical industries has resulted in a decline in gross margins for the company's orders [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jinjou Yongshan Lithium Industry Co., Ltd., anticipates a significant net loss for the first half of 2025, primarily due to declining lithium salt prices and market conditions [2][3]. Group 1: Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company to be between -172.5 million RMB and -116 million RMB for the first half of 2025 [2][3]. - The forecasted net profit, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is projected to be between -196 million RMB and -132 million RMB [2][3]. Group 2: Previous Year Comparison - In the same period last year, the company reported a total profit of 95.96 million RMB and a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company of 66.82 million RMB [5]. - The net profit, after excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was -8.30 million RMB [5]. Group 3: Reasons for Expected Loss - The lithium salt market continues to experience an oversupply, leading to further price declines, which adversely affects the company's operations despite efforts to increase production and optimize costs [7]. - The company faces reduced gross margins and increased inventory impairment risks in its lithium salt segment [7]. Group 4: Non-Recurring Gains and Losses - The expected non-recurring gains and losses for the period are estimated to be between 16 million RMB and 23.5 million RMB, primarily due to benefits from VAT policies and other government subsidies [8]. Group 5: Accounting and Other Influences - The accounting treatment is not expected to have a significant impact on the company's performance forecast [9]. - There are no other significant factors that could materially affect the performance forecast [9].

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Kanglongda Special Protective Technology Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve a turnaround in net profit for the first half of 2025, with projected net profit ranging from 85 million to 120 million yuan, compared to a loss in the same period last year [2][3]. Performance Forecast - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025 [2]. - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company between 85 million and 120 million yuan, indicating a significant improvement from the previous year's loss [3]. - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 10 million and 45 million yuan [3]. Previous Year Performance - In the same period last year, the total profit was -44,955,864.91 yuan, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of -50,129,607.57 yuan [5]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -24,007,994.14 yuan, and the earnings per share were -0.31 yuan [5]. Reasons for Profit Turnaround - The hand protection product business has benefited from strategic advantages in the Vietnam base, which has improved production and sales rates, contributing significantly compared to the previous year [5]. - The lithium salt product business continues to face challenges due to low market prices and demand, leading to ongoing inventory impairment provisions [5]. - The transfer of the subsidiary Global Glove and Safety Manufacturing, Inc. to Globus Americas Holdings, LLC has generated substantial investment income [7]. Non-Operating Gains and Losses - The company has a significant volume of foreign exchange settlement business primarily in USD, and previous losses from foreign exchange derivative transactions have been settled, with no major impact on current performance [7].

| 证券代码：002460 证券简称：赣锋锂业 编号：临2025-087 | | | --- | --- | | 江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司 | | | 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没 | | | 有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 | | | 一、本期业绩预计情况 | | | √亏损 ?同向上升 ?同向下降 | ?扭亏为盈 | | 项目 本报告期 上年同期 | | | 归属上市公司股 亏损： | | | – 30,000 万元 万元 | 亏损：55,000 | | 东的净利润 76,037.69 万元 | | | 扣除非经常性损 亏损： | | | 万元 –50,000 万元 | 亏损：95,000 | | 益后的净利润 16,039.11 万元 | | | 基本每股收益 亏损：0.27 元/股–0.15 元/股 亏损：0.38 元/股 | | | 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 | | | 本次业绩预告相关的财务数据是公司财务部门初步测算的结果， | | | 未经会计师事务所审计。 | | | 三、业绩变动原因 | | | 电池板块的产能有序释放、销售增长，但公司整体经营业绩遭受一 ...

证券代码：002240 证券简称：盛新锂能 公告编号：2025-039 盛新锂能集团股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 （一）业绩预告期间 （二）业绩预告情况 预计的业绩：√亏损 □扭亏为盈 □同向上升 □同向下降 项目 本报告期 上年同期 归属于上市公司股 亏损：72,000.00 万元-85,000.00 万元 亏损：18,694.79 万元 东的净利润 比上年同期下降：285.13%-354.67% 扣除非经常性损益 亏损：76,000.00 万元-89,000.00 万元 亏损：28,271.65 万元 后的净利润 比上年同期下降：168.82%-214.80% 基本每股收益 亏损：0.79 元/股-0.93 元/股 亏损：0.20 元/股 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本次业绩预告相关的财务数据未经过会计师事务所预审计。 三、业绩变动原因说明 公司 2025 年上半年业绩较上年同期下降，主要受行业供需格局等因素影响， 锂产品的市场价格在第二季度继续下跌，使得公司毛利较上年同期有所下降，同 时公司根据会计准 ...