他举了个例子，2018年三四季度时，挪威新能源的渗透率是20%-25%，现在是97%-98%，这就叫趋势。 就像中国每年新能源车的渗透率大大上升一样，新能源车的技术优势越来越被（消费者）认可。 专题：2025广州国际车展 责任编辑：王翔 新浪科技讯 11月21日午间消息，在广州车展上，蔚来汽车创始人、董事长、CEO李斌表示，"一般来 说，（每年）一季度油车的渗透率会高一些。主要因为四季度新能源车因购置税补贴等原因有一些提前 释放。但我觉得明年一季度还真不好说，新能源车可能仍能保持不错的市场份额。" ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant adjustment with all three major indices declining, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.88% to 3857.24 points, the Shenzhen Component dropped by 2.72%, and the ChiNext Index plummeted by 3.18% [1] - The Hong Kong market also weakened, with the Hang Seng Index down by 2.21% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 3.32%, reflecting a global decline in risk appetite as the year-end approaches [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led the decline with a drop of 4.77%, while steel, basic chemicals, power equipment, and telecommunications sectors all fell by over 3.5%, indicating profit-taking behavior from investors in previously high-performing sectors [1] - Defensive sectors such as agriculture, home appliances, and food and beverage showed resilience, with declines not exceeding 0.6%, attracting funds seeking safety [1] Notable Highlights - Despite the overall market downturn, the China Shipbuilding Industry Index surged by 4.7%, driven by policy and funding support, particularly in the defense and high-end manufacturing sectors [2] - The recent adjustment in the market correlates with a significant drop in U.S. stocks, particularly the Nasdaq and S&P 500, influenced by concerns over AI valuation bubbles, cooling expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, and technical selling pressure [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a phase of "structural differentiation and volatile consolidation," with a noticeable decline in the willingness to invest due to external pressures from U.S. market dynamics [3] - There is a shift in investment style towards balanced and defensive strategies, moving away from growth sectors, although technology sectors representing new productive forces remain a long-term focus [3] - The current market decline is viewed as a test of patience for investors, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a focus on value amidst short-term volatility [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.88% to 3857.24 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 2.72%, and the ChiNext Index plunging by 3.18% [1] - The trading volume reached 1.3 trillion yuan, indicating a notable increase in activity [1] - This adjustment is not an isolated event but is closely linked to the overnight decline in the US stock market [1][2] Sector Performance - Almost all sectors saw declines, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the drop at 4.77%, and both the steel and basic chemicals sectors falling over 3.5% [1] - The electronics sector also experienced a 3.53% decline, reflecting the global weakness in semiconductors [1] - Defensive sectors showed relative resilience, highlighting a shift in capital towards safer investments [1] Policy and Strategic Insights - The rise of the China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (CSIC) by 4.7% amidst the market downturn indicates a strong performance from state-owned enterprises, driven by government policies emphasizing "military strength through technology" and "self-reliance in high-end manufacturing" [1] - The market is witnessing an increase in expectations for strategic consolidation among state-owned enterprises [1] Global Market Influence - The adjustment in the A-share market is closely tied to the significant declines in the US stock market, with the Nasdaq down by 2.15% and the S&P 500 down by 1.56% [2] - Concerns over AI valuation bubbles, a sudden drop in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, and concentrated technical sell-offs are contributing to the bearish sentiment [2] - The lithium and new energy vehicle sectors have seen substantial corrections, with the lithium index plummeting by 9.43%, reflecting a market reassessment of overly optimistic expectations [2] Future Outlook - The market may enter a phase of structural differentiation, with a noticeable contraction in risk appetite and a shift towards balanced asset allocation [2] - Despite short-term external pressures, the long-term focus on new productive forces represented by technology remains unchanged, suggesting a need to wait for more favorable conditions for investment [2]

2025 年 11 月 21 日 星期五 ➢ 每日大市点评 11 月 20 日，港股缺乏向上推动力。除美国 12 月减息的不确定性外，中日关系紧张亦增加市场风险情绪，加上近期迎来 多达 28 只股份将陆续解禁，为港股带来调整压力。周四恒生指数最终收报 25,835 点，微涨 4 点（0.02%）；恒生科技指 数下跌 32 点（0.6%），收报 5,574 点；全天大市成交额稍稍扩大至 2,451 亿元。港股通净流入增长至接近 160 亿元，是 近一个月以来单日净流入金额最高。盘面上，市场传闻政府将推出新一轮房地产刺激措施，消息导致内房股周四造好， 碧桂园（2007 HK）涨 3.1%；万科（2202 HK）涨 3.7%；中海外（688 HK）涨 2.5%。11 月 19 日宁德时代（3750 HK）有 7,000 多万股 H 股解禁，周四股价下挫 5.7%。除了宁德时代，年底前还有曹操出行（2643 HK）、英诺赛科（2577 HK） 和药捷安康（2617 HK）等较大规模股份解禁。投资者警惕基金在假期前减持股份。 美股方面，英伟达季度业绩强劲，令市场对人工智能前景重启乐观情绪；加上延迟发布的美国 9 月非农 ...

银河证券表示，临近年底，市场风险偏好趋于谨慎，港股或延续震荡走势。建议关注以下板块：(1)供 需格局变化下，下游商品价格上涨的周期股或持续反弹。(2)市场风险偏好下降，投资者或转向红利股 寻求防御。(3)中美贸易关系向好发展，中长期利好出海板块。 本文转载自"腾讯自选股"，智通财经编辑：李佛。 招商香港表示，港股在经历10月盘整后，悲观预期逐步出清。该机构认为，随着供需格局改善，中国经 济周期有望迎来景气拐点。科技产业的资本开支和研发投入将逐步转化为企业盈利，成为新的增长引 擎。而在美联储降息周期开启且结束QT缩表，中美政策"双宽松"共振，南向资金和外资将持续流入。 未来基本面改善，盈利预期上修叠加估值修复将驱动港股中长期上行，呈现慢牛趋势。 广发证券表示，港股可能再次迎来布局良机。如果后续美国政府停摆结束、美联储12月降息表态重新转 鸽、美联储停止缩表甚至重启扩表，美元流动性得到缓解，港股可能会出现新一轮上涨。配置上，11月 基本面驱动效应强，仍然采用杠铃策略，以红利为底仓，科技成长博弹性。广发证券称，港股牛市的基 础并未破坏，但演进方式更可能呈现"震荡上行、重心缓升"的特征，而非单边快速上涨，港股的11月 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that the true power in the current technological revolution lies not in the flashy products but in controlling the underlying infrastructure that supports the economy, with key players like Musk and Bezos reshaping their business landscapes around AI-driven systems [1] Group 1: Key Players and Strategies - Musk views AI as integral to embedding intelligence into industrial systems, using it as the foundational logic for his empire, from Tesla's autonomous driving to SpaceX's rocket operations [2][3] - Bezos has returned to the industry with Project Prometheus, focusing on AI in manufacturing and engineering, aiming to rewrite his business landscape from the ground up [4] Group 2: Five Key Sectors - The five critical sectors identified as the new battlegrounds for investment are media, AI, robotics, electric vehicles, and space [5] - Media is seen as a tool for controlling attention and influence, serving as a data entry point for future AI systems [6][7] - AI is shifting from a model competition to a battle for energy and computing power, with data centers being likened to oil fields of the 21st century [8][9] - Robotics is anticipated to become a significant growth engine, with various types of robots being developed across multiple industries [10] - The electric vehicle sector is transitioning from hardware competition to a focus on intelligent systems, with 2026 marked as a pivotal year for autonomous driving [11][12] - Space is viewed as the next frontier for AI, with potential for training AGI in environments that minimize energy consumption and maximize deployment scale [17] Group 3: Infrastructure and Ecosystem - The competition is shifting from software to infrastructure, with the real battle being over who can create the systems that allow AI models to operate and expand in the real world [18] - Key components of this infrastructure include energy, data centers, and media, which are essential for the functioning of AI systems [19]

浙商证券研报指出，浙江荣泰25Q3业绩环比提升明显，行业逆风仍维持较高增速和较高水平盈利质 量。"最严电池安全令"提升绝缘防火云母需求，主业预计稳健增长。公司产品云母结构件为新能源车热 失控防护关键材料，需求预计持续提升。公司大力投入布局，人形机器人零部件业务推进顺利，预计将 迎来爆发。公司作为新能源云母材料赛道龙头，护城河牢固、业绩高成长，人形机器人业务打开成长空 间，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Insights - In 2025, China's new energy vehicle (NEV) ownership is expected to exceed 38 million, accounting for over 10% of total vehicle ownership, with a market penetration rate projected to surpass 60% [1][5] - The shift in consumer decision-making reflects a transition from policy-driven motivations to a focus on user experience, with driving experience, comfort, and intelligent features becoming the primary drivers of purchase decisions [5][6] Market Trends - The average number of factors considered by consumers during the car-buying process has increased from 4.2 to 5.9, with a heightened focus on vehicle safety and intelligent configurations [6] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with consumers increasingly comparing electric models against each other rather than against traditional fuel vehicles [11] User Preferences - Users are moving from "basic anxiety" regarding range to a pursuit of quality, as the average range of pure electric vehicles has improved from 450 km in 2022 to 530 km in 2025 [12] - Key consumer demands include high cost-performance ratio, absolute safety, and advanced intelligent features, which are now essential for market competitiveness [12][21] Future Outlook - The market is expected to face intensified competition by 2026, with challenges such as reduced subsidies and increased product homogeneity, yet opportunities exist for products that genuinely meet consumer needs [22] - The implementation of new safety standards for electric vehicle batteries in July 2026 will raise safety requirements, pushing the industry towards healthier value recovery [22]

Core Insights - Nvidia's earnings report exceeded expectations, potentially stabilizing global tech stocks [2] - The Hong Kong stock market remains relatively stable despite recent fluctuations in tech stocks [1] Market Analysis - The Hong Kong tech sector has faced recent volatility due to three main factors: profit-taking after a rapid rise in Q3, slowing sales growth in the new energy vehicle sector, and fluctuations in the US dollar index and US stock market [1] - Despite these challenges, the fundamentals of major Hong Kong internet companies remain resilient, with Tencent and Xiaomi showing strong operational performance in their Q3 reports [1] Future Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to continue its rate cuts in December, which could benefit growth and tech sectors, making Hong Kong tech stocks more attractive compared to A-shares [1] - Following Nvidia's strong earnings, the valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks is currently lower than 85% of the past five years, suggesting a potential opportunity for long-term investment [2]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up by 0.65%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.7%. Brokerage stocks performed strongly, with China Galaxy, Orient Securities, and Everbright Securities all rising over 4%. However, new energy vehicle makers like Xpeng Motors saw a decline of 1.87% [1] - Huaxin Securities noted that the recent adjustment in the Hong Kong stock market has been relatively large, and valuations are more reasonable, indicating limited further downside. Although risk appetite may not be high towards year-end, sectors with high certainty for 2026 are expected to trend upwards [1] - According to招商香港, after the consolidation in October, pessimistic expectations for the Hong Kong market are gradually clearing. The firm believes that with improvements in supply-demand dynamics, the Chinese economic cycle may reach an inflection point [1] Group 2 - GF Securities suggested that the Hong Kong stock market may present a good opportunity for investment again, especially if the U.S. government shutdown ends and the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance in December [2] - The firm emphasized a "barbell strategy" for investment, focusing on dividend stocks as a base and technology growth stocks for potential upside. They believe the foundation for a bull market in Hong Kong remains intact, but the market may experience a "volatile upward trend" rather than a rapid increase [2] - Galaxy Securities indicated that as the year-end approaches, market risk appetite is becoming cautious, and the Hong Kong stock market may continue its volatile trend. They recommend focusing on sectors such as cyclical stocks benefiting from rising downstream commodity prices and dividend stocks for defensive positioning [2]