【今日焦点】 比亚迪(002594.SZ)：8月新能源汽车销量17.5万辆、同比增长184.84% 比亚迪(002594.SZ)披露2022年8月产销快报，新能源汽车单月销量174,915辆，同比增长184.84%；1-8月，累计销量 978,795辆，同比增长267.31%。公司2022年8月海外销售新能源乘用车合计5092辆。 中科电气(300035.SZ)：子公司拟与重庆弗迪共设负极材料合资公司 中科电气(300035.SZ)公布，公司于2022年9月2日召开第五届董事会第十五次会议，审议通过《关于公司全资子公司与 重庆弗迪签署合资经营协议暨设立合资公司的议案》，同意公司全资子公司中科星城科技与重庆弗迪签署《合资经营 协议》，双方拟确定战略合作关系，并合作设立合资公司，合资公司注册资本为10亿元人民币，其中，中科星城科技 或其控股子公司认缴6.5亿元，重庆弗迪或其控股子公司认缴3.5亿元，该合资公司将专注于负极材料制造，并优先向 重庆弗迪及其关联方供应。 豫园股份(600655.SH)：拟协议转让金徽酒13%的股份、计划未来6个月内继续减持其5%以上的股票 豫园股份(600655.SH)公布，公司及其海 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of correction after reaching new highs, with micro-cap stocks performing well, indicating potential investment opportunities and risks in the upcoming weeks [1][4]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has rebounded 25 trading days since the low on April 7, with the Shanghai 50 Index reaching a new high since November last year, which is seen as a significant market highlight [1][4]. - The rebound percentages for major indices are approximately 12% for the Shanghai Composite, Shanghai 50, and CSI 300, while micro-cap indices like CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 have rebounded around 20% and 33% respectively [4]. Market Outlook - Two scenarios are anticipated for the upcoming week: 1. If the market reaches a new high and breaks the March peak, it would indicate a continuation of the upward trend [3]. 2. If it fails to reach a new high, a normal correction of about 38.2% is expected, with a critical support level around 3273 points [3][11]. Regulatory Changes - The recent amendments to the Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures by the CSRC are expected to boost market confidence and enhance the enthusiasm for mergers and acquisitions among listed companies [8]. - Key changes include the establishment of a phased payment mechanism for restructuring shares and the introduction of a simplified review process [8]. Upcoming Events - Significant economic data releases, including retail sales and industrial output for April, are expected next week, which could influence market sentiment [5]. - The 2025 Global Investor Conference will be held on May 19-20, focusing on active mergers and acquisitions, which may present investment opportunities [8][10]. Sector Focus - The market is currently characterized by short-lived hot sectors, with a focus on sectors such as military, textiles, logistics, and AI technologies [6][10]. - The shipping sector has shown a breakthrough in its index, indicating potential for further activity [10]. Investment Strategy - Given the current market conditions, a cautious approach is recommended, focusing on short-term trading rather than chasing already heated sectors [11]. - Investors are advised to monitor the performance of the Shanghai Composite Index closely, particularly the support levels around the recent lows [11].

Group 1 - Li Ka-shing's company, CK Hutchison Holdings, initially planned to sell 43 ports to BlackRock, including two strategically important ports in the Panama Canal, which could strengthen U.S. leverage against China [2][4] - The sale was seen as a move to curry favor with the U.S. amid escalating U.S.-China tensions, particularly given the strategic significance of the ports for trade between China and the Americas [2][4] - Following the announcement, the Chinese government quickly initiated a review process to prevent the sale, indicating the ports' importance to national interests [6] Group 2 - A sudden shift occurred when the U.S. and China reached an agreement to lower tariffs to 10%, which was a significant concession from the U.S. side, previously imposing much higher tariffs [9][11] - The agreement was seen as a potential stabilizing factor for trade relations, with implications for other countries observing the U.S.-China dynamic [11] - The Chinese government's strong response to the initial sale proposal, coupled with the tariff agreement, led to Li Ka-shing's decision to abandon the port sale, reflecting a change in strategy [12][14] Group 3 - The Chinese government criticized the idea of selling the ports to the U.S., suggesting that such actions would be viewed unfavorably by the Chinese public and could be seen as capitulation [14][16] - The commentary from Chinese officials emphasized the need for businesses to resist external pressures and not to compromise national interests [16] - The overall situation illustrates the complex interplay between corporate decisions and national policy, particularly in the context of U.S.-China relations [16]

2025 年 5 月 12 日深夜，长和集团突然发布公告，宣布其 228 亿美元的全球港口交易必须满足 "监管部门批准、无违法情形、股东同意、 常规条款" 四大条件。这份看似常规的商业声明，实则是中美博弈尘埃落定后，李嘉诚家族向中国监管部门递交的 "投名状"。当美国对 华关税从 25% 骤降至 10%，骑墙者终于意识到：在民族复兴的洪流中，没有中间地带可容身。 一、四大条件背后的妥协与无奈 长和提出的四大条件，表面上是商业谈判的标准流程，实则暗藏玄机。 首先，监管部门批准被列为首要条件。国家市场监督管理总局早在 3 月 28 日就启动了反垄断审查，首次援引《反垄断法》第二条对境外 交易实施 "长臂管辖"。这并非偶然 —— 长和拟出售的 43 个港口中，巴拿马运河两端的巴尔博亚港和克里斯托瓦尔港，扼守全球 6% 海 运贸易量，而中国作为巴拿马运河第二大用户，年贸易额超 6000 亿美元。若这些港口落入美国贝莱德财团（董事会含三名五角大楼前高 官）之手，中国商船可能面临歧视性收费或通行限制，甚至物流数据被监控。此前高通收购恩智浦因中国反垄断压力被迫剥离业务，已 是前车之鉴。 其次，无违法情形的提出，无异于承认此前 ...

21世纪经济报道记者舒晓婷 北京报道 "目前，包括比亚迪在内的很多风能、光伏、新能源领域的中国企业已经在巴伊亚州进行投资，建立工 厂，为当地创造就业岗位。希望未来能够在原有基础上拓宽合作，吸引更多行业的中国企业投资，包括 引入先进科技、创新产品，建立研发中心等。"巴西巴伊亚州州长热罗尼莫·罗德里格斯近日接受21世纪 经济报道记者采访时表示。 中国现代国际关系研究院拉美研究所所长孙岩峰接受21世纪经济报道记者采访时指出，中巴两国元首会 晤成果颇丰，合作领域广泛，合作共识坚定，既有对传统农牧产品贸易结构的完善，又在优化"贸易基 本大盘"的基础上提出新的合作增量，即加强高新科技合作。这体现了中巴合作的战略性与时代引领 性。 （中国-巴西商业研讨会现场 舒晓婷 /摄） 巴西港航业的长期发展潜力大 近年来，中国对巴西投资稳步增长，累计投资超过700亿美元，投资领域从以往传统能源、电力、基础 设施、制造业等扩展至新能源、数字科技、金融服务、生物医药等新兴产业。 志合者，不以山海为远。伴随巴西总统卢拉访华取得诸多成果，中巴合作开启新的篇章，为双边企业注 入更强信心。据央视报道，5月10日至5月14日，巴西总统卢拉对华进行国 ...

上交所：2025年5月12日至2025年5月16日，上交所公司监管部门共发送监管工作函12份；通过事中事后 监管，要求上市公司披露补充、更正类公告11份。同时，加大信息披露和股价异常的联动监管，针对公 司披露敏感信息或股价发生明显异常的，提请启动内幕交易、异常交易核查10单。2025年5月12日至 2025年5月16日，上交所对163起拉抬打压、虚假申报等证券异常交易行为采取了书面警示等监管措施， 对*ST锦港（600190）等退市风险警示股票进行重点监控，对29起上市公司重大事项等进行专项核查， 向证监会上报涉嫌违法违规案件线索1起。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the deepening economic and trade cooperation between Jiangsu enterprises and Latin America, with a reported import and export value of 115.89 billion yuan in the first four months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.9% [1] - Jiangsu enterprises are shifting their focus from single markets to emerging markets like Brazil, as exemplified by Changzhou Xinqida Electric Co., which has established a stable supply chain for its smart vacuum cleaners in Brazil, leveraging innovative technologies such as 5G connectivity and ground recognition [1] - The Changzhou Customs has implemented facilitation measures like "direct pick-up at the ship" and "direct loading at the port" to optimize logistics costs for enterprises, while also enhancing their awareness of trade dynamics and technical standards in Latin American countries [1] Group 2 - Latin America is identified as an emerging market for automotive consumption, with Jiangsu Taicang Port being the largest automotive export hub in the Yangtze River basin, reporting a 140% year-on-year increase in automotive exports to 28 Latin American countries, totaling 149,600 vehicles in the first four months [2] - To ensure efficient automotive exports to Latin America, Taicang Customs has actively promoted customs policies and conducted on-site cargo monitoring at key transportation sites, ensuring compliance and efficient loading of vessels [2] - The opening of the international shipping route between Suzhou Port and the Peru-based Qian Kai Port has significantly reduced the shipping time from 35 days to 23 days, achieving over 20% savings in logistics costs, thus enhancing connectivity between China and South American countries [2]

金 融 期 货 研 究 | | | 毛磊 | | | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0011222 | | maolei@gtht.com | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 【期指期现数据跟踪】 | | | | | | | | | 期指数据 | | | | | | | | | | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基 差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变 动 | 持仓量 | 变 动 | | 沪深300 | 3907.2 | ↓0.91 | | 2414.6 | | | | | | IF2505 | 3908.2 | ↓0.74 | 1 | 239.3 | 20365 | ↓13325 | 19193 | ↓11402 | | IF2506 | 3872.8 | ↓0.74 | -34.4 | 698.1 | 59965 | ↓21992 | 153318 | ↓11284 | | IF2509 | 3808.2 | ↓0.67 | -99 | 181.5 | 15855 | ↓2926 | 65235 | ↓244 | | I ...

Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the establishment of a new development pattern that prioritizes domestic circulation while promoting international circulation, as a strategic decision based on China's changing development stage and comparative advantages [1] - The Ningbo-Zhoushan Port plays a crucial role in connecting domestic and international markets, facilitating the transportation of bulk commodities and enhancing logistics efficiency [2][7] - The port has seen significant growth, with cargo throughput and container throughput increasing by 17.5% and 36.8% respectively compared to 2020, maintaining its position as the world's first and third largest port [7] Group 2 - The Hainan Free Trade Port is a major strategic decision aimed at promoting innovation and high-level opening-up, serving as a model for domestic and international dual circulation [8][9] - The Yangpu Port has become an important international shipping hub, with new logistics models and expanded capacity enhancing its operational efficiency [11][12] - The port's expansion projects are set to significantly increase its container throughput capacity, supporting the overall development of the Hainan Free Trade Port [13][14] Group 3 - The Suzhou Industrial Park is focusing on building a modern industrial system, integrating advanced manufacturing with digital economy and modern services [15][18] - The park has become a hub for artificial intelligence and digital industries, with over 1800 related enterprises and a production value exceeding 110 billion yuan [18] - Collaborative innovation among enterprises, universities, and research institutions is being promoted to overcome technological challenges and enhance competitiveness [17][18] Group 4 - The China-ASEAN Information Port is a key initiative for enhancing connectivity and cooperation between China and ASEAN countries, with significant progress in digital infrastructure [19][20] - The platform has facilitated cross-border trade, with impressive growth in trade volume with ASEAN, reaching 755.6 billion yuan in 2024 [20][21] - The establishment of various cross-border cooperation platforms has improved efficiency and reduced costs for enterprises engaged in international trade [21][22] Group 5 - BASF Shanshan Battery Materials Co., Ltd. is focusing on R&D in battery materials, responding to strong market demand and achieving significant growth in sales [23][25] - The company is leveraging China's advanced technology and talent pool to enhance its innovation capabilities and maintain a competitive edge in the global market [24][25] - The expansion of production capacity and digitalization initiatives are set to further strengthen the company's position in the battery materials sector [25]

这两天，外贸物流迎来美国线出货高峰，国际货代公司的咨询量出现暴增。这两天，位于广东深圳的盐 田港正紧急调整调度计划，应对美线出货高峰，助力客户快速交付。盐田国际集装箱码头操作服务及发 展部当值经理林日生表示："这是去往美国的一艘船，它在盐田港会操作超过2000多个集装箱，非常 忙，其他船公司全部都在协调码头来调靠泊位，码头每天都有6班（船舶）去往美国。" ...