8月上半月，即期市场机构发起方偏向买汇方向，月末卖汇需求明显增强，带动全月总体转向净卖 汇。数据显示，上半月，即期市场机构发起方日均净买汇6.99亿美元，交易需求偏向买汇方向；下半 月，买卖压力逐步反转，日均净卖汇11.42亿美元，主要系最后两个交易日卖汇力量较强，全月日均净 卖汇1.78亿美元。在交易行为上，8月市场羊群效应指数为63.52，较7月小幅下降0.49点，高于近一年历 史平均值62.65点水平。 今年8月，银行间外汇市场交投平稳，外汇市场日均成交量同比小幅下降。来自中国外汇交易中心 （以下简称"交易中心"）最新数据显示，8月银行间外汇市场日均交易量1918.60亿美元，同比下降 1.29%，环比下降7.06%。其中，人民币外汇市场日均交易量为1360.28亿美元，同比下降9.32%，环比下 降7.65%。外币对市场和外币利率市场交易活跃，同比增速仍维持在20%以上。 交易中心数据显示，8月初，在岸人民币汇率整体维持在7.1650至7.1950区间；下旬，伴随美元指数 震荡走弱，人民币汇率中间价调升节奏加快引导市场预期，叠加国内股市上涨吸引跨境资金流入，股市 汇市联动效应提升，推动人民币汇率走强。 ...

在国际金融的大棋盘上，一场惊心动魄的博弈正在上演。中国与日本，一个在疯狂抛售美债，似在逃离一场即将到来的风暴；一个却紧紧攥着巨额美债，仿 佛在走向一个未知的深渊。这背后究竟隐藏着怎样的秘密？是中国的远见卓识，还是日本的无奈之举？让我们一同揭开这层面纱。 真不是咱危言耸听，此前俄罗斯那3000亿外汇储备的血泪教训还历历在目。俄乌冲突一爆发，欧美直接将其外汇储备锁死，俄罗斯连一分钱都动不了，这简 直比抢劫还狠！更离谱的是，那些美债产生的利息，居然被偷偷转去给乌克兰当军费了，这操作简直绝了！ 这事儿一曝光，全世界都瞬间清醒：美元资产哪是什么"保险柜"，分明就是美国精心布置的陷阱！这谁还敢放心把钱存里面啊。 中国能不着急吗？以前咱们买石油、跟其他国家做生意，都得先把钱换成美元，这就等于在中间多了一道"美国关卡"。这可都是咱们几十年辛辛苦苦攒下的 家底啊，哪能眼睁睁看着被美国拿捏得死死的？ 看看中国这几年的动作，那叫一个果断！一边疯狂抛美债，一边黄金储备蹭蹭往上涨，现在手里都攥着近2400吨黄金了，比很多发达国家都多。黄金这东 西，不管在哪个国家、哪个年代，那价值都是杠杠的，比天天疯狂印钱的美元靠谱多了。 还有啊，中国 ...

周三（9月24日）亚市早盘，现货黄金一度触及3791美元/盎司的纪录高位，随后回落，因鲍威尔讲话提 升市场波动性。目前市场对降息的定价显得非常激进，但美联储内部显然存在分歧。展望后市，金价的 短期走势将紧密围绕鲍威尔讲话和PCE数据展开，波动性可能加剧。截至发稿金价最新报3765.99美元/ 盎司，涨幅0.06%，最高上探3769.79美元/盎司，最低触及3758.49美元/盎司。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> ★★外汇： 从技术上来看，美指周二上涨在97.50之下遇阻，下跌在97.20之上受到支持，意味着美元短线上涨后有 可能保持下跌的走势。如果美指今天上涨在97.45之下遇阻，后市下跌的目标将会指向97.15--97.05之 间。今天美指短线阻力在97.40--97.45，短线重要阻力在97.55--97.60。今天美指短线支持在97.15- -97.20，短线重要支持在97.05--97.10。 欧美周二下跌在1.1775之上受到支持，上涨在1.1820之下遇阻，意味着欧美短线下跌后有可能保持上涨 的走势。如果欧美今天下跌在1.1785之上企稳，后市上涨的目标将会指向1.1830--1.1845之间 ...

Report Overview - Report Title: Global Asset Market Performance - Major Asset Morning Report - Report Date: September 24, 2025 - Research Team: Macro Team of the Research Center 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The report presents the performance data of various global asset markets on September 23, 2025, including 10 - year and 2 - year government bond yields of major economies, exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies, major economy stock indices, credit bond indices, stock index futures trading data, and government bond futures trading data. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Global Asset Market Performance - Bond Yields - **10 - Year Government Bond Yields**: On September 23, 2025, the 10 - year government bond yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.107%, 4.679%, 3.563% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.041 (US) to 0.004 (France), with weekly changes from - 0.030 (Switzerland) to 0.078 (US), monthly changes from - 0.155 (US) to 0.065 (France), and annual changes from - 0.220 (Switzerland) to 0.912 (UK) [2]. - **2 - Year Government Bond Yields**: On September 23, 2025, the 2 - year government bond yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.570%, 3.950%, 2.019% respectively. The latest changes ranged from 0.000 (US, Japan) to 0.011 (South Korea), with weekly changes from - 0.014 (China 1Y) to 0.058 (Japan), monthly changes from - 0.012 (UK) to 0.084 (Germany), and annual changes from - 0.432 (South Korea) to 0.544 (Japan) [2]. 3.2 Global Asset Market Performance - Exchange Rates - **US Dollar against Major Emerging - Economy Currencies**: On September 23, 2025, the exchange rates of the US dollar against the Brazilian real, South African rand, etc. were 5.282, 17.245 respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.99% (Brazil) to 0.24% (South Korean won), with weekly changes from - 0.54% (South African rand) to 1.09% (South Korean won), monthly changes from - 2.75% (Brazil) to 0.05% (South Korean won), and annual changes from - 5.07% (Brazil) to 4.58% (South Korean won) [2]. - **Renminbi**: On September 23, 2025, the on - shore RMB, off - shore RMB, and the central parity rate were 7.113, 7.113, 7.106 respectively. The latest changes were - 0.02%, - 0.03%, - 0.07% respectively, with weekly changes of - 0.02%, 0.12%, 0.04% respectively, monthly changes of - 0.55%, - 0.56%, - 0.18% respectively, and annual changes of 0.23%, 0.18%, 0.04% respectively [2]. 3.3 Global Asset Market Performance - Stock Indices - **Major Economy Stock Indices**: On September 23, 2025, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and NASDAQ were 6656.920, 46292.780, 22573.470 respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.95% (NASDAQ) to 0.59% (Mexican stock index), with weekly changes from - 0.03% (Spanish stock index) to 1.21% (German DAX), monthly changes from - 2.24% (German DAX) to 7.29% (Mexican stock index), and annual changes from 5.45% (French CAC) to 31.35% (Spanish stock index) [2]. 3.4 Global Asset Market Performance - Credit Bond Indices - **Credit Bond Indices**: The latest changes of the US investment - grade credit bond index, euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index, etc. ranged from - 0.03% (euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index) to 0.40% (emerging - economy high - yield credit bond index), with weekly changes from - 0.39% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 0.27% (euro - zone high - yield credit bond index), monthly changes from 0.26% (euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index) to 1.61% (US investment - grade credit bond index), and annual changes from 3.66% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 13.30% (emerging - economy high - yield credit bond index) [2][3]. 3.5 Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 3821.83, 4519.78, 2919.51 respectively, with changes of - 0.18%, - 0.06%, - 0.09% respectively [4]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of the CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 500 were 14.01, 11.64, 34.17 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.04, 0.07, - 0.25 respectively [4]. - **Fund Flow**: The latest values of the fund flow of A - shares, the main board, and small - and medium - sized enterprise boards were - 1566.78, - 1050.60, etc., with 5 - day average values of - 1037.14, - 806.14, etc. respectively [4]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, and SSE 50 were 24943.82, 6805.14, 1689.87 respectively, with环比 changes of 3728.99, 1173.65, 125.86 respectively [4]. - **Main Contract Premium/Discount**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC were - 35.98, 5.49, - 240.11 respectively, with premiums/discounts of - 0.80%, 0.19%, - 3.34% respectively [4]. 3.6 Government Bond Futures Trading Data - **Government Bond Futures**: The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 107.715, 105.625, 107.385, 105.505 respectively, with changes of 0.13%, 0.09%, 0.12%, 0.09% respectively [5]. - **Funding Rates**: The funding rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M were 1.4619%, 1.5218%, 1.5620% respectively, with daily changes of - 7.00 BP, - 1.00 BP, 0.00 BP respectively [5].

Group 1 - The core theme of the press conference was to highlight the achievements of the financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing long-term perspectives rather than short-term policy adjustments [1] - As of June 2023, China's banking sector total assets reached nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally, while the stock and bond markets ranked second in the world [1] - China has maintained its position as the world's largest holder of foreign exchange reserves for 20 consecutive years, and has made significant advancements in green finance, inclusive finance, and digital finance [1][2] Group 2 - The modern monetary policy framework in China is gradually taking shape, with effective policy transmission supporting the real economy [2] - The average annual growth rate of loans to technology-based SMEs, inclusive micro-enterprises, and green loans exceeded 20% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2] - The People's Bank of China has implemented a series of monetary policies since September 2024 to stabilize market expectations and boost confidence, contributing to economic recovery and high-quality development [2] Group 3 - Significant progress has been made in preventing and mitigating financial risks, with a focus on orderly handling of prominent risk points in the financial sector [3] - The financial system in China is overall stable, with financial institutions remaining healthy and the market operating smoothly [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period saw five key advancements in financial sector openness, including deepening institutional openness and enhancing the international status of the renminbi [3] Group 4 - By the end of July 2023, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, with stock holdings exceeding 3 trillion yuan and bond holdings around 4 trillion yuan [4] Group 5 - The People's Bank of China is focused on improving the central bank system and enhancing financial security under open conditions, aiming to support high-quality economic development [5] - The central bank is working on a dual-pillar framework for monetary policy and macro-prudential policy to achieve currency stability and financial stability [5][6] Group 6 - The financial market infrastructure is being strengthened, with the introduction of a "technology board" in the bond market and a multi-layered bond market framework being established [6] - The central bank is committed to deepening high-level financial openness and promoting the internationalization of the renminbi [6] Group 7 - The balance between short-term and long-term goals, as well as the health of the financial system and support for the real economy, is crucial for maintaining financial stability [7] - The importance of market discipline and the need for a robust risk management framework are emphasized to prevent moral hazards [8] Group 8 - The regulatory authority has prioritized the prevention and resolution of financial risks, with significant achievements in managing risks associated with small and medium-sized financial institutions [9] - The number of high-risk institutions and the scale of high-risk assets have significantly decreased, indicating that financial risks are controllable [9]

| | | --- | | come of a propo con con-come and con- | | | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/09/23 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/09/22 | 4.148 | 4.712 | 3.559 | 2.747 | 3.543 | 3.297 | 0.169 | 3.402 | | 最新变化 | 0.020 | -0.002 | 0.006 | 0.001 | 0.011 | 0.004 | -0.009 | 0.010 | | 一周变化 | 0.109 | 0.080 | 0.081 | 0.057 | 0.070 | 0.054 | -0.050 | 0.068 | | 一月变化 | -0.128 | 0.021 | 0.050 | ...

22日举行的"高质量完成'十四五'规划"发布会上，中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局介绍"十四五"时期金 融业发展成就：金融体制改革全面深化，金融强国建设迈出坚实步伐，资本市场健康稳定发展的态势持续形成并不断巩固，外 汇领域稳步推进高水平开放……跟随海报，一起了解。 新华社权威速览 · 非凡" 防范化解金融风险攻坚 取得重要阶段性成身 重点地区"一省一策"形成改革化险方案 农信社改革蹄疾步稳,过半省份组建省级法人机 清退违法违规股东3600多个 批不法金融集团得到依法处置 为保障性住房等"三大工程" 提供资金支持超1.6万亿元 新华社权威速览 · 非凡 · " 资本市场坚持市场化法治化国际化 截至今年8月底,各类中长期资金合计持有A股流通T 约21.4万亿元,较"十三五"末增长32% 接续推出"科创十六条" "科创板八条""并购六条"等举措 严格出清"害群之马""空売僵尸" "十四五"时期共207家公司平稳退市 新增核准13家外资控股证券基金期货机构来华展业兴业 外资持有A股市值3.4万亿元,269家企业境外上市 创业贷款咨询 新华社权威速览 ·非凡· 外汇市场运行平 加大金融支持实体经济力 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that multiple financial indicators rank among the top globally, with total banking assets nearing 470 trillion yuan, the largest in the world [2][3] - The banking and insurance sectors provided an additional 170 trillion yuan in funding to the real economy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][3] - The average annual growth rates for loans to technology-based SMEs, inclusive small micro loans, and green loans exceeded 20% [2][3] Group 2 - Loans for scientific research technology, medium to long-term loans for manufacturing, and infrastructure loans grew at average rates of 27.2%, 21.7%, and 10.1% respectively [3] - Insurance funds invested over 5.4 trillion yuan in stocks and equity funds, representing an 85% increase from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [3] - The real estate financing coordination mechanism's "white list" project loans exceeded 7 trillion yuan, supporting the construction and delivery of nearly 20 million housing units [3] Group 3 - The foreign exchange market has shown stability, with the holdings of foreign institutions and individuals in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits exceeding 10 trillion yuan [3] - The proportion of the renminbi in cross-border trade increased from 16% to nearly 30%, indicating enhanced resilience in the foreign exchange market [3] - The market-oriented formation mechanism of the renminbi exchange rate is continuously improving, with more effective macro-prudential management in the foreign exchange market [3]

从市场韧性看，企业外汇套期保值的比率已经由2020年的17%上升到30%左右，人民币在跨境贸易中的 占比由16%上升到近30%。朱鹤新进一步指出，近年来面对高波动的国际市场环境，我国跨境资金流动 总体均衡，人民币汇率在主要货币中的表现比较稳健。 中国人民银行副行长、国家外汇局局长朱鹤新9月22日在国新办新闻发布会上介绍"十四五"时期金融业 发展成就时表示，近年来面对高波动的国际市场环境，我国跨境资金流动总体均衡，人民币汇率在主要 货币中表现比较稳健。我国外汇市场运行平稳，不论是活力还是韧性都在增强。展望未来，外汇局应对 外部风险挑战的底气更足。 "十四五"以来，国际金融市场波动加大，我国外汇市场运行平稳。朱鹤新介绍，从市场活力看，2024 年，我国跨境收支规模为14万亿美元，较2020年增长64%，"十四五"时期年均增长速度比"十三五"时期 提高8个百分点。今年前8个月，我国跨境收支同比增长10%，跨境贸易和投融资活动持续活跃。 "展望未来，我国经济基本面长期向好，高水平对外开放稳步推进，这奠定了国际收支自主平衡格局的 稳定。"朱鹤新表示，随着人民币汇率市场化形成机制不断完善，外汇市场宏观审慎管理更加有效，外 ...

一是涉外经济稳健发展，跨境收支展现较强活力。跨境收支可以反映一个国家涉外经济的活跃度。2024 年，我国跨境收支规模为14万亿美元，较2020年增长64%，年均增长速度"十四五"比"十三五"时期提高 8个百分点。今年前8个月，我国跨境收支同比增长10%，跨境贸易和投融资活动持续活跃。 新华财经北京9月22日电（记者翟卓、刘玉龙）国家外汇局数据显示，2024年，我国跨境收支规模及外 汇市场交易量分别为14万亿美元、41万亿美元，较2020年增长64%、37%；企业外汇套期保值的比率也 已由2020年的17%上升到30%左右...... 国家外汇局局长朱鹤新22日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，总的看，"十四五"以来，我国外汇市场运行平 稳，不论是活力还是韧性都在增强。未来国家外汇局将为"十五五"我国外汇市场健康发展提供更加坚实 保障。 二是外汇市场功能更加完备，市场深度拓展。从交易规模看，2024年交易量为41万亿美元，较2020年增 长了37%，即期和衍生品交易同步增长，外汇市场有足够的容量承接各类交易，为高效配置外汇资源创 造良好条件。 从参与主体看，据介绍，截止到今年6月末，已经有703家银行和115家非银机构 ...