美国对全球加关税，最后导致大家报复美国加关税，不和美国贸易，难道美国觉得不对外贸 易对美国有好处吗？这样不是和闭关锁国差不多了？我感觉这是不现实的，关税战必然不持 久。 drwangting 别高估了美国人的抵抗力。 美国的经济70%是消费。其中，绝大多数的增量都是靠着有钱人，因为60%的穷人早就过着 pay check to pay check的日子，早榨干了。 40%的富人为什么这两年愿意花钱，因为股市大赚了。现在股市几天跌了15%，相当于上海 房子一年多的跌幅了。反正，上海人是不愿意多消费了，美国富人愿意消费吗？并且，贸易 战继续打下去，损失的也是跨国公司的利润，有可能利润进一步下跌，从而股市进一步下 跌，而股市下跌富人就更不愿意消费，最后公司的利润再下跌，这就是反身性。 同时，作为穷人，所有made in china的便宜货都没了，超市肯定要涨价吧，而且不但中国制 造的东西涨价，美国制造的也会跟着涨价。因为富人不消费，工作都有可能丢了。再加上 DOGE裁员，怒火都在懂王身上，有个火星就能点着了。 所以，对美国来说，贸易战，一定要迅速打，赚便宜，迅速结束。不然，整个经济就会出大 问题，而明年就是中期选举 ...

Group 1 - The four major municipalities in China (Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, and Chongqing) are experiencing a population crisis in 2024, with no growth in their resident populations [2][7] - Beijing's resident population is projected to be 21.83 million by the end of 2024, a decrease of 26,000 from the previous year [3] - Shanghai's resident population is expected to be 24.80 million, with a reduction of 71,900, marking the largest decline among major cities [4] - Chongqing's population is forecasted to be 31.90 million, down by 9,600, following a significant drop of 219,100 in 2023, the highest in the country [5] - Tianjin's population remains stable at 13.64 million, showing no growth [6] Group 2 - The overall population growth in key cities has significantly slowed down, moving away from rapid growth patterns seen in the past [10] - Shenzhen and Guangzhou are currently leading in population growth, contrasting with the declines in the four major municipalities [9] - The average annual population increase for Shenzhen from 2010 to 2020 was over 700,000, while current growth has dropped to below 200,000 [11][12] - From 2021 to 2024, only the four major municipalities have shown negative population growth [14] Group 3 - Beijing and Shanghai are categorized as one type of municipality, while Tianjin and Chongqing are classified as another, with differing population dynamics [18] - The population decline in Beijing and Shanghai is attributed to self-imposed population caps, with Beijing actively relocating non-capital functions [19][20] - In contrast, Tianjin and Chongqing have implemented talent attraction initiatives, such as Tianjin's "Haihe Talent Plan," but still face population declines [23][24] Group 4 - Tianjin's population decline is primarily due to industrial adjustments, with a significant reliance on outdated industries [28][37] - The city's industrial structure is heavily weighted towards traditional sectors, with new industries contributing less than 20% to industrial profits [33] - The natural population decrease in Tianjin is exacerbated by a birth rate of 4.47‰ and a death rate of 7.04‰ in 2023, leading to a natural growth rate of -2.57‰ [39] Group 5 - Chongqing's population decline is influenced by a high rural population with low income levels, leading to a weak population competitiveness [51][59] - The city has a significant rural demographic, with 933,020 residents in rural areas as of 2022, contributing to out-migration [52][54] - Despite a population decrease, Chongqing's automotive industry saw a 26.7% increase in value added in 2023, indicating potential for economic growth [71]

Group 1 - The U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Wilbur Ross, indicated that President Trump is seeking a compromise with Canada and Mexico regarding the 25% additional tariffs imposed on them, with a relief plan expected to be announced soon [1] - The USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) allows for tariff-free cross-border flow of auto parts and semi-finished products, which can be assembled into complete vehicles, potentially qualifying for relief under the new tariff regime [1] - Despite the implementation of the additional tariffs, the provisions of the USMCA remain valid, and discussions are ongoing with Canada and Mexico to find a resolution [1]