Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report Core Viewpoints - On January 22, 2026, most domestic commodity futures markets closed higher, with chemicals leading the gains [14]. - The US economy maintains a "slight to moderate" expansion, inflation continues to cool, and consumption shows a "K-shaped" characteristic [14]. - In 2025, China's consumer market scale exceeded 50 trillion yuan, with service retail sales growing faster. In 2026, consumption is expected to grow steadily [14]. - In the short term, risk assets may continue to adjust, but in the medium term, it is recommended to go long on stock indices, non - ferrous metals, gold, and silver [14]. Summary by Directory Financial Market Fluctuations - **Stock Index Futures**: On January 22, 2026, the CSI 300 futures price was 4719.4, down 0.26; the SSE 50 futures price was 3061.2, down 0.61; the CSI 500 futures price was 8400, up 0.25; the CSI 1000 futures price was 8292.6, up 0.56 [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year treasury bond futures price was 102.408, down 0.02; the 5 - year was 105.835, down 0.04; the 10 - year was 108.15, down 0.04; the 30 - year was 112.17, down 0.03 [3]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index was 98.7693, up 0.23; the US dollar central parity rate was 6.9646, down 57 pips [3]. - **Interest Rates**: The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate was 1.4952%, up 0.04%; the 10 - year Chinese treasury bond yield was 1.8312%, down 0.14 bp; the 10 - year US treasury bond yield was 4.26%, down 4 bp [3]. Popular Industry Fluctuations - On January 22, 2026, industries such as national defense and military industry, steel, and petroleum and petrochemicals had relatively large daily increases, while industries such as food and beverage, non - bank finance, and banking had declines [6]. Overseas Commodity Fluctuations - **Energy**: On January 21, 2026, NYMEX WTI crude oil was at $59.52, up 0.3%; ICE Brent crude was at $64.62, up 0.67%; NYMEX natural gas was at $3.891, up 25.39%; ICE UK natural gas was at $105.29, up 12.07% [9]. - **Precious Metals**: COMEX gold was at $4769.1, up 3.78%; COMEX silver was at $94.46, up 6.69% [9]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: LME copper was at $12810, up 0.44%; LME aluminum was at $3115, up 0.24%; LME zinc was at $3175, up 0.06% [9]. - **Agricultural Products**: CBOT soybeans were at $1053, down 0.45%; CBOT soybean oil was at $54.05, up 2.83%; CBOT corn was at $424, down 0.18% [9]. Domestic Commodity Fluctuations - On January 22, 2026, most domestic commodities rose. Chemicals, new energy materials, non - metal building materials, energy products, etc. all had increases, while precious metals had declines [14]. Macro Summary - **Today's Market**: Domestic commodity futures markets closed mostly higher, with chemicals leading the gains [14]. - **Overseas Macro**: The US economy maintains a "slight to moderate" expansion, inflation cools, and consumption shows a "K - shaped" characteristic. Attention should be paid to upcoming GDP and inflation data [14]. - **Domestic Macro**: In 2025, China's consumer market scale exceeded 50 trillion yuan, and in 2026, consumption is expected to grow steadily [14]. - **Asset Views**: The scenario of no interest rate cut in January is basically confirmed, and the first interest rate cut by the Fed within the year is expected to be postponed to June. Short - term risk assets may adjust, while in the medium - term, it is recommended to go long on certain assets [14]. Viewpoint Highlights - **Financial**: Stock markets continue to wait for the main line, and bond markets still have disturbing factors. The short - term judgments for stock index futures, index options, and treasury bond futures are oscillatory rise, oscillation, and oscillation respectively [15]. - **Precious Metals**: After oscillatory adjustment, they maintain an upward trend. Gold and silver are expected to rise oscillatory [15]. - **Shipping**: Pay attention to the resumption of voyages in the far - month. The short - term judgment for the container shipping European line is oscillation [15]. - **Black Building Materials**: Fundamentals are lackluster. Most varieties are expected to oscillate [15]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Wait for the macro - situation to become clearer. Base metals are oscillating and consolidating. Some varieties are expected to rise oscillatory, while others are expected to oscillate [15]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: The trade tension eases slightly, but the supply - demand pattern is still under pressure. Most varieties are expected to oscillate [17]. - **Agriculture**: Sentiment warms up but trends diverge. Some varieties are expected to rise oscillatory, while others are expected to oscillate or decline oscillatory [17].

Group 1 - The Canadian Federal Court overturned the government's order to shut down TikTok's operations in Canada, allowing the app to continue operating temporarily and requiring a review by the Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry [1][2] - The previous order was issued by the Canadian government citing national security risks, but the court's decision indicates a potential shift in the government's stance towards TikTok and its operations in Canada [1][2] - TikTok's Canadian spokesperson welcomed the court's decision, emphasizing the importance of retaining the Canadian team for future growth and investment, which could benefit the local economy and job market [2] Group 2 - The recent diplomatic visit by the Canadian Prime Minister to China has led to a thawing of relations, with both countries reaching a consensus on trade issues, including a strategic agreement allowing the import of Chinese electric vehicles at a preferential tax rate [3][4] - The agreement is significant for diversifying Canada's automotive market and addressing unemployment in the sector, while also providing opportunities for Canadian agricultural products in the Chinese market [3] - China's Ministry of Commerce expressed that Canada's adjustment regarding the import of Chinese electric vehicles is a positive step towards market expansion [3][4]

Core Insights - Algeria's non-hydrocarbon exports are experiencing accelerated growth, reflecting the effectiveness of the new economic policy aimed at diversification [2] Group 1: Economic Policy and Export Growth - The country has restructured its foreign trade management system and optimized export rules and processes, which has significantly boosted non-hydrocarbon export growth [2] - Various facilitation measures in administration, taxation, and customs have been introduced to support this growth [2] Group 2: Export Performance and Future Goals - Non-hydrocarbon export value increased from $2.2 billion in 2020 to $5.1 billion in 2023, with projections of reaching $7 billion in 2024 [2] - The Algerian Cement Group announced an export target of 5 million tons by 2025, increasing to 6 million tons by 2026 [2] - Key industries such as steel, agricultural products, home appliances, mining, and pharmaceuticals have shown outstanding performance [2] Group 3: Collaboration and Market Expansion - Enhanced communication and collaboration between the government and enterprises have been crucial in eliminating barriers and expanding market opportunities [2] - This collaboration marks a new phase of high-quality development for Algeria's non-hydrocarbon exports [2]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for high-growth sectors, suggesting that they possess investment value in the medium to long term [3][9]. Core Insights - The A-share market has experienced a pullback, influenced by policy guidance, leading to a rational market return. Short-term themes have adjusted, but the market is expected to benefit from a slow bull trend after consolidation [3][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting industries with upward momentum, particularly as selling pressure diminishes [3][9]. Summary by Sections Stock Market Factor Tracking - The market style remains biased towards small-cap stocks, with a continued preference for growth over value styles. Both small-cap and growth style volatilities have reached near one-year highs, indicating increased fluctuations in returns between styles [10][11]. - The report notes a rebound in the dispersion of excess returns across industries, while the speed of industry rotation continues to decline. The proportion of rising stocks in the 300 and 500 indices has significantly decreased [10][11]. - Market activity shows a decline in volatility for most indices, except for the 1000 index, while turnover rates are on the rise [10][11]. Commodity Market Factor Tracking - The energy and precious metals sectors have seen an increase in trend strength, while other sectors have experienced a decline. The basis momentum for precious metals and agricultural products has risen, contrasting with declines in other sectors [23][28]. - Volatility remains high for precious metals and non-ferrous metals, while black and energy sectors have seen slight decreases in volatility. Liquidity has decreased in precious metals and energy sectors, with other sectors experiencing increases [23][28]. Options Market Factor Tracking - Implied volatility for the Shanghai 50 and CSI 1000 indices has begun to decline from recent highs. The skew in volatility indicates a decrease in bullish sentiment and an increase in bearish sentiment, suggesting that market participants perceive a lower risk of significant declines in small-cap stocks in the short term [31][32]. Convertible Bond Market Factor Tracking - The convertible bond market has experienced wide fluctuations. The premium rate for bonds convertible at 100 yuan has stabilized, showing a slight adjustment, while the proportion of low-premium convertible bonds has increased. However, market transaction volumes remain high [33][34].

- The report tracks quantitative factors in the equity market, highlighting that the market style remains tilted towards small-cap and growth-oriented stocks, with increased volatility in style performance and widened return differences between styles[10][11] - In terms of market structure, the dispersion of excess returns across industries has risen, while industry rotation speed has decreased. The proportion of rising constituent stocks in indices like CSI 300 and CSI 500 has declined. Additionally, the concentration of trading in the top 100 stocks remained stable, while the top 5 industries saw a slight increase in trading concentration[10][11] - Market activity indicators show a decline in market volatility across most indices except CSI 1000, while turnover rates have continued to rise[10][11] - In the commodity market, the trend strength of precious metals and energy chemicals has increased, while other sectors have seen a decline. Basis momentum for precious metals and agricultural products has risen, whereas other sectors have declined. Volatility remains high for precious metals and base metals, with slight decreases in energy chemicals and black metals. Liquidity has decreased for precious metals and energy chemicals but increased for other sectors[23][28] - In the options market, implied volatility for SSE 50 and CSI 1000 has decreased from previous highs. The skewness of call options has declined, while that of put options has increased. Despite this, the skewness of CSI 1000 put options remains negative, indicating that market participants perceive a low risk of significant declines in small-cap stocks in the short term[31][32] - In the convertible bond market, the market experienced wide fluctuations. The premium rate for bonds convertible at par value has stabilized with slight adjustments, while the pure bond premium rate for debt-oriented groups has continued to rise. The proportion of low-conversion-premium bonds has also increased. However, trading volume in the market remains high and has not weakened[33][39]

1月18日，苏丹通讯社报道，欧拜伊德农产品市场的阿拉伯胶价格达到每肯特56万苏丹镑，白芝麻14万 苏丹镑，花生12.5万苏丹镑，新收的去壳花生每吨400万苏丹镑，旧的去壳花生每吨380万苏丹镑。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - This season, the high cost of apple warehouse receipts due to a low premium fruit rate strongly supports the apple futures price. As of January 14, 2026, the cold - storage inventory of apples in major producing areas was 7.0466 million tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 162,500 tons. The de - stocking speed accelerated compared to the previous week but was lower than the same period last year. Considering this year's later Spring Festival, the peak sales period is also postponed, and current demand is acceptable. With low cold - storage inventory, if the normal de - stocking volume is maintained, the later apple supply will be tight. The market previously expected weak apple demand, causing the May contract to decline slightly recently. If apple demand remains normal later, the May contract price is likely to rise [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Information - **Spot Price**: The Fuji apple price index was 109.79, up 0.66 from the next working - day's price. The prices of various apple varieties such as Luochuan semi - commodity paper - bagged 70, Qixia first and second - grade paper - bagged 80, and Penglai first and second - grade paper - bagged 80 remained stable. The average wholesale price of 6 kinds of fruits was 7.93, up 0.13 from the next working - day's price [2]. - **Futures Price**: AP01 was 8210, up 22 from the previous close; AP05 was 9489, up 71; AP10 was 8292, up 35. The spreads AP01 - AP05 was - 1279, down 49; AP05 - AP10 was 1197, up 36; AP10 - AP01 was 82, up 13 [2]. - **Basis**: The basis of Qixia first and second - grade 80 against AP01 was - 10, down 22 from the previous trading day; against AP05 was - 1289, down 71; against AP10 was - 92, down 32 [2]. 3.2 Market News and Views - **Market News**: As of January 23, 2026, the cold - storage inventory of apples in major producing areas was 6.8278 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4% with a narrowing decline. In December 2025, the export volume of fresh apples was about 156,500 tons, a month - on - month increase of 28.63% and a year - on - year increase of 26.76%; the import volume was 3100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 21.31% and a year - on - year increase of 20.02%. The annual cumulative import volume in 2025 was 116,800 tons, a year - on - year increase of 19.72%. In the Shandong production area, the price of high - quality apples remained stable, while the price of low - quality apples declined slightly. The market arrival was stable, and the mainstream market was stable. The mainstream transaction price of semi - commodity apples in Luochuan, Shaanxi, was 3.8 - 4.2 yuan per jin [7]. - **Trading Logic**: High - cost warehouse receipts support the futures price. Low cold - storage inventory and a later Spring Festival may lead to tight supply if the de - stocking volume is normal. The May contract may rise if demand remains normal [5]. - **Trading Strategy**: Hold long positions in the May contract, short the October contract on rallies. Go long on the May contract and short the October contract for arbitrage. It is recommended to wait and see for options [8]. 3.3 Relevant Attachments - The report includes 10 figures, such as the price of Qixia first and second - grade paper - bagged 80 apples, the price of Luochuan semi - commodity paper - bagged 70 apples, the basis of AP contracts, and the spreads of different AP contracts, as well as the arrival volume of apples in wholesale markets, the price of 6 kinds of fruits, the cold - storage inventory of apples nationwide, and the cold - storage apple de - stocking volume [10][11][12]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a pullback after reaching highs, with market guidance leading to a rational return and short-term adjustments in themes [1][4] - In the medium to long term, market consolidation is expected to benefit a slow bull market, with high-growth sectors presenting investment value [1][4] - Short-term volatility may occur, but it is recommended to focus on sectors with upward momentum after the weight pressure diminishes [1][4] Equity Market Factors - The market style remains biased towards small-cap stocks, while the growth style continues to favor growth stocks [6][8] - Both small-cap and growth style volatilities have risen to near one-year highs, with increased volatility in the return differences between styles [6][8] - The excess return dispersion among industries has rebounded, while the speed of industry rotation continues to decline [6][8] Trading Activity - The proportion of rising stocks in the 300 and 500 indices has significantly decreased [6] - The trading concentration remains stable, with the top 100 stocks' trading volume holding steady and the top five industries' trading volume share slightly increasing [6][7] Market Liquidity - Market volatility, except for the 1000 index, has generally decreased, while the turnover rate is on an upward trend [7][8] Commodity Market Factors - In the commodity market, the energy and precious metals sectors have seen an increase in trend strength, while other sectors have experienced a decline [21][22] - The basis momentum for precious metals and agricultural products has risen, while other sectors have shown a downward trend [21][22] - Volatility in precious metals and non-ferrous metals remains high, while the volatility in black and energy sectors has slightly decreased [21][22] Options Market Factors - The implied volatility of the Shanghai Composite and CSI 1000 has started to decline from its peak, indicating a cooling market sentiment [28] - The skewness of call options has decreased while that of put options has increased, suggesting a reduction in market exuberance [28] Convertible Bond Market Factors - The convertible bond market has experienced wide fluctuations, with the premium rate for bonds at 100 yuan halting its upward trend and showing a slight adjustment [29] - The proportion of low premium convertible bonds has increased, while market transaction volumes remain high [29]

Core Insights - Jinchuan Group Copper Co., Ltd. has successfully obtained dual qualifications for platinum and palladium futures brand registration and delivery warehouse from the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, marking a significant breakthrough for Gansu in the precious metals futures sector [1] - The development reflects Gansu's ongoing efforts to deepen the integration of futures markets with the real economy, establishing a new pattern of "integration of futures and spot" to support high-quality regional economic development [1][7] Group 1: Infrastructure Development - Gansu has established a network of eight futures delivery warehouses and delivery factories in key areas such as Lanzhou New Area, Yongdeng, and Jinchang, covering multiple commodities including aluminum, silicon iron, platinum, palladium, and apples [2] - The delivery warehouse for aluminum ingots and alumina in Lanzhou New Area has become a logistics hub for non-ferrous metals in Northwest China, promoting industrial agglomeration [2] - The establishment of the apple futures delivery warehouse in Jingning County has significantly enhanced the brand value and market influence of "Jingning Apples," positioning it as a center for fruit distribution and price formation in Northwest China [2] Group 2: Brand Certification - Gansu has registered 21 brands as designated delivery products in major futures exchanges, including "Gansu Aluminum," "Jinchuan," "Jiugang," and "Xitie," showcasing the quality control and standardized production capabilities of key industrial enterprises in the province [3] - The successful registration of brands not only enhances market credibility and financing capabilities for enterprises but also integrates Gansu's advantageous products into the national pricing system [3] - The breakthrough of Jinchuan Group in the platinum and palladium futures market exemplifies the financial infrastructure support for Gansu's industries to enter high-value-added sectors [3] Group 3: Service Platforms - Gansu is focused on cultivating a healthy "integration of futures and spot" ecosystem by establishing service support platforms for the integration of production and finance [4] - The province has co-established four production-finance service bases with major domestic futures exchanges, enhancing risk management awareness and capabilities among local SMEs [5] - These platforms not only disseminate knowledge but also attract external financial, informational, and intellectual resources to Gansu, creating a virtuous cycle of resource aggregation and service promotion [5] Group 4: Industry Development - Key enterprises like Jinchuan Group, Jiugang Group, and Baiyin Nonferrous Metals have advanced their risk management models from simple hedging to comprehensive risk control and supply chain optimization [6] - Jinchuan Group has established a robust risk management system, with a hedging scale exceeding 230 billion yuan, covering over 3.3 million tons of metals, serving as a stabilizing force for the industry chain [6] - The successful practices of leading enterprises have encouraged more SMEs in the industry chain to adopt futures tools for price risk management, enhancing production planning and inventory adjustments [6]

中国发展网讯 姜海军 记者李宏伟报道 1月18日，十堰珍品京彩相约——2026南水北调水源地·十堰市绿 色农产品展销暨丹江鲌品牌推介会，在北京四季御园国际大酒店举行。本次活动以国家地理标志产品丹 江鲌为核心亮点，集中展示十堰绿色农产品，现场达成12项合作意向，签约金额达2.9亿元。其中，丹 江鲌签约金额1.6亿元。 签约仪式上，丹江鲌长期供货项目、优质食用菌产品供应和房县黄酒销售项目等12个合作项目成功签 约。北京大型商超、农产品批发市场、生鲜电商、餐饮企业等采购商，围绕丹江鲌供应链稳定性、"带 水运输"活鱼直达技术等细节，与十堰企业展开一对一深度沟通。 湖北省农业农村厅相关领导在致辞中指出，十堰依托南水北调中线工程核心水源地优势发展绿色农业， 丹江鲌作为水源地生态农业的代表，是落实乡村振兴战略、深化京堰对口协作的重要载体，期待其成为 京津冀消费者餐桌上的优质选择。 十堰市农业农村局负责人表示，后续将建立京堰农产品产销对接长效机制，定期组织丹江鲌企业赴京参 展，同时邀请北京采购商实地考察丹江鲌陆基循环桶、工厂化设施养殖基地，持续强化丹江鲌"全国绿 色农产品输出地代表"品牌影响力，让这尾承载十堰生态保护与产业转 ...