2026 年 02 月 27 日 "申万宏源十大金股组合" —— 2026 年第 3 期：3 月 1 日-3 月 31 日 组合说明： ⚫ "金股组合"一方面体现申万宏源未来 1 个月的大势研判观点及风格判断结论，另一方面 体现我们申万宏源整体研究团队的研究能力与市场竞争力，在严格的申报筛选流程下，我 们从全行业的角度为投资者精选个股，力求为投资者提供踏实的研究支持。本次报告对上 期金股组合进行更新。 上期组合回顾： 本期策略判断： 本期金股组合：(具体推荐逻辑详见正文第 3 部分十大金股组合) 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 证券分析师 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雪蓉 A0230 ...

Core Viewpoint - The trading activity of various ETFs, particularly in the technology and materials sectors, remains robust, with significant transaction volumes reported for both domestic and cross-border ETFs. Group 1: Domestic ETFs - The active trading of domestic ETFs includes the following: - Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) with a trading volume of 1.847 billion yuan and a price decrease of 1.25% [2] - Nonferrous Metals ETF (512400) showing a trading volume of 1.355 billion yuan and a price increase of 1.5% [2] - Power Grid Equipment ETF (159326) with a trading volume of 1.280 billion yuan and a price decrease of 1.67% [2] - Other notable ETFs include Semiconductor Equipment ETF (159516) with a trading volume of 1.006 billion yuan and a price decrease of 2.77% [2], and Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF (588170) with a trading volume of 0.951 billion yuan and a price decrease of 2.73% [2]. Group 2: Cross-Border ETFs - The cross-border ETF market shows significant activity, particularly: - Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) with a trading volume of 3.451 billion yuan and no price change [4] - Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180) with a trading volume of 2.749 billion yuan and a price increase of 0.15% [4] - Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) with a trading volume of 2.158 billion yuan and a price decrease of 1.06% [4]. Group 3: Rare Earth ETFs - Rare Earth ETFs are experiencing notable performance: - Rare Earth ETF (159713) increased by 2.7% with a trading volume of 0.173 billion yuan [6] - The ETF tracks the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index, which reflects a high concentration of companies involved in rare earth mining, processing, and trading [7]. - The index's major constituents include: - Northern Rare Earth (600111) with a weight of 14.90% [8] - Goldwind Technology (002202) with a weight of 7.08% [8] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) with a weight of 6.81% [8].

Core Insights - The report anticipates a fluctuating upward trend in the index, with a primary focus on style rebalancing [4][5] - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery after initial volatility, with significant performance differences among major indices [5][6] Domestic Policy and Market Liquidity - The People's Bank of China conducted a 600 billion MLF operation and net injected 300 billion, marking the 12th consecutive month of increased liquidity to ensure reasonable liquidity before and after the Spring Festival [2] - The strengthening of the RMB has stabilized expectations for cross-border capital flows [2] Sector Performance - In the technology sector, midstream high-end manufacturing has led the gains, particularly in defense, machinery, and power equipment, driven by geopolitical tensions and domestic equipment renewal cycles [2] - In the cyclical sector, building materials, steel, and coal have outperformed, with glass fiber leading due to supply-side optimization and demand from AI and new energy [3] - Conversely, the non-ferrous metals sector has seen a pullback due to fluctuating expectations around U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and geopolitical disturbances [3] Market Trends and Historical Context - Historical data from 2010 to 2025 indicates a high probability of the Shanghai Composite Index rising in the month following the Spring Festival, particularly after a month of adjustment or fluctuation [6] - The report suggests that the market is likely to follow a "diffusion" model of industry rotation rather than a dramatic style switch, with a focus on moderate rebalancing [6] Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on "supply constraints + visible profits" as dual main lines, particularly in midstream high-end manufacturing [6] - The core trading logic around the AI chain continues to revolve around profit visibility and supply shortages, with a cautious approach to market liquidity [6] - Opportunities for Chinese manufacturing to expand overseas are highlighted, particularly in sectors like power equipment and engineering machinery [6] Recommended Stocks - The March stock selection includes a mix of sectors such as central enterprise dividend ETFs, hospitality, electronics, military, machinery, beverages, and communications [10]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Teread Electric Co., Ltd. has submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, signaling a new chapter in capital operations after over a decade in the A-share market, with a focus on international expansion and enhancing core equipment capabilities in the new power system [1] Group 1: Business Structure and Growth - The company has established a dual-driven growth model centered on high-voltage prefabricated substations and electric vehicle charging networks, positioning itself as the largest manufacturer of high-voltage prefabricated substations globally and one of China's largest electric vehicle charging equipment manufacturers [2] - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 12.691 billion yuan, projected to increase to 15.374 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.1%, while net profit is expected to rise from 527 million yuan to 939 million yuan, a growth of 78.3% [2] Group 2: Industry Environment - The global energy structure transformation and power system upgrades provide significant opportunities for the prefabricated substation business, with a projected compound annual growth rate of over 27% in the global prefabricated substation market from 2020 to 2024 [3] - China has become the largest market for electric vehicles, with the charging network evolving from a basic infrastructure to an energy regulation node, benefiting the company through its advanced charging technology and platform operations [3] Group 3: Strategic Intent and International Expansion - The company plans to use the funds raised to develop high-voltage AC/DC prefabricated substations for data center power supply, enhance technical research capabilities, and establish a global operations center, focusing on integrated solutions for artificial intelligence data centers [4] - The company has already sold products to over 60 countries and regions, establishing a marketing and service network in areas such as the Middle East and Southeast Asia, which will enhance brand recognition and facilitate future overseas projects [5]

本周，创业板中盘200指数上涨2.9%，创业板成长指数上涨2.3%，创业板指数上涨1.0%。 S 创业板成长指数 由创业板中成长风格突出、业绩增长较高、预期 盈利较好流动性好的50只股票组成,电力设备、 医药生物、通信行业合计占比约60% 注1:目前全市场跟踪创业板指数的ETF共17只,跟踪创业板中盘200指数的ETF共5只,跟踪创业板成长指 数的ETF共1只,跟踪同一指数的不同ETF产品的费率、跟踪误差、规模等有所不同。银行,互联网平台等 相关销售机构提供可场外投资的ETF联接基金。低费率产品,其管理费率0.15%/年,托管费率0.05%/年。 注2:数据来自Nind,指数涨跌幅截至2026年2月27日收盘,指数滚动市盈率及其所处分位截至2026年2月 26日。滚动市盈率=总市值/Σ近四个季度归属母公司股东的净利润,该估值指标和企业盈利紧密相关, 适用于盈利相对稳定且受周期影响较小的行业。指数滚动市盈率所处分位指该指数历史上滚动币盈率低 于当前滚动市盈率的时间占比,信值分位低表示相对便宜。分位区间为指数发布日至2026年2月26日,其 中,创业板指数发布日为2010年6月1日,创业板中盘200指数发布日为2 ...

2026 年 2 月 27 日 总量研究 节后表现值得期待 ——2026 年 3 月 A 股及港股月度金股组合 要点 2 月 A 股港股出现分化 2月A股主要指数涨多跌少，行业端分化明显，综合、建筑材料、国防军工涨幅 居前。受市场情绪积极、风险偏好维持高位等因素影响，2月（截至26日），A 股主要指数大多出现上涨，其中中证1000涨幅最大，2月份累计上涨了2.9%，而 科创50跌幅最大，累计下跌了1.6%。 2月港股市场出现回调。2月受外围市场波动、市场情绪回落等因素影响，港股 市场整体走势偏震荡。截至2026年2月26日，恒生香港35、恒生指数、恒生综合 指数、恒生中国企业指数、恒生科技的涨幅分别为3.9%、-3.7%、-3.8%、-5.4%、 -10.6%。 A股观点：表现值得期待，把握成长与顺周期两条主线 未来将进入到经济数据与政策验证阶段，市场表现值得期待。在春节之后，市场 交易热度会出现季节性回升，奠定了未来市场表现的基础。同时，未来一个月市 场将进入到密集的数据与政策验证期。1、2 月份的一系列经济金融数据将会逐 步披露，奠定市场对于全年经济的基础预期。总体来看，3 月份权益市场机会仍 然大于风险 ...

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——2月井喷！中国AI调用量首超美国，四款大模型霸榜全球前五，国产算力需 求正经历指数级增长 （记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，盛弘股份2月27日晚间发布2025年度业绩快报，营业收入约34.63亿元，同比增加14.07%； 归属于上市公司股东的净利润约4.74亿元，同比增加10.58%；基本每股收益1.523元，同比增加 10.02%。 ...

报告期内，影响经营业绩的主要因素：（1）受新能源上网电价市场化改革政策影响，部分SVG产品客 户为规避电价波动可能带来的亏损风险，选择推迟或暂缓项目并网进度，进而导致设备安装调试工作延 迟，公司相关收入确认减少，影响利润减少；（2）报告期内市场竞争加剧，公司主要产品面临价格下 行压力，进一步挤压了公司利润空间，导致利润同比减少。 格隆汇2月27日丨新风光(688663.SH)公布2025年年度业绩快报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入 200,851.72万元，同比减少9.87%；实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润9,520.88万元，同比减少47.11%； 实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润9,113.13万元，同比减少46.69%；基本每股收益 0.69元，同比减少46.51%。 ...

消息面上，据报道，美国多家技术巨头企业代表拟于下周前往白宫面见总统特朗普，其间将签署书面文 件，承诺自行供应或购买人工智能数据中心所需电力。光大证券认为，美国缺电问题带来电力系统可靠 性需求提升，燃气轮机、电力设备等方向有望充分受益。兴业证券此前指出，重庆机电同时参股重庆康 明斯和重庆日立能源，未来两大增长级受益于数据中心和电网建设。 重庆机电(02722)尾盘涨超8%，高见3.68港元创历史新高。截至发稿，涨8.55%，报3.68港元，成交额 1.07亿港元。 ...

消息面上，据报道，美国多家技术巨头企业代表拟于下周前往白宫面见总统特朗普，其间将签署书面文 件，承诺自行供应或购买人工智能数据中心所需电力。光大证券认为，美国缺电问题带来电力系统可靠 性需求提升，燃气轮机、电力设备等方向有望充分受益。兴业证券此前指出，重庆机电同时参股重庆康 明斯和重庆日立能源，未来两大增长级受益于数据中心和电网建设。 智通财经APP获悉，重庆机电(02722)尾盘涨超8%，高见3.68港元创历史新高。截至发稿，涨8.55%，报 3.68港元，成交额1.07亿港元。 ...