美股崩了！ 当地时间8月1日，美股三大股指全线下跌。截至发稿，道指跌1.6%，纳指跌超2.3%，标普500指数跌超1.8%。全市超4500股下跌。 7月31日，美国总统特朗普签署行政命令，对多个国家和地区征收10%至41%不等的"对等关税"，并将生效期从8月1日推迟至8月7日。 除了"对等关税"外，特朗普曾预告将在未来几周推出药品、半导体、关键矿产及其他重要工业产品的单独关税，所以贸易不确定性风险料将持续存在。同 时，美国法院还在评估"对等关税"本身的合法性。 亚马逊市值蒸发超万亿元 美元闪崩，金价狂飙，油价大跌 8月1日，美股科技七巨头全线跳水，亚马逊一度跌超7%，市值蒸发1780亿美元（约合人民币1.28万亿元），英伟达跌超3%，市值蒸发超1400亿美元（约 合人民币1万亿元），Meta、特斯拉跌超2%，谷歌、微软、苹果均下跌。 美元指数闪崩，短时间内连续跌破100、99两大整数关口。 | 国际油价大跌，WTI和布伦特原油期货均跌超1.8%。 | | --- | 与此同时，国际金价直线拉升，纽约黄金期货涨超1.5%，站上3400美元。 金融咨询机构Camarco的Kim Heuacker解读称："下周随着 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Asian stock market is showing increased sensitivity to global macroeconomic data, particularly after key countries release economic data and central bank policy updates [1] - Recent performance indicates a 0.7% decline in the MSCI Asia Pacific (excluding Japan) index, although it is still on track for a fourth consecutive month of gains [1] - The decline is primarily attributed to underwhelming economic activity in certain Asian economies and significant fluctuations in commodity prices [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for July in the region fell short of market expectations, indicating weakened business activity and raising concerns about the economic recovery outlook [1] - The Japanese yen strengthened following the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain interest rates while raising its annual inflation forecast, signaling a potential future interest rate hike [1] Group 3: U.S. Economic Context - The market is closely monitoring the trade agreement between the U.S. and South Korea, as well as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy [5] - The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates for the fifth consecutive time, with rare dissent from two members, indicating internal disagreements on the interest rate path [5] - Despite a stronger-than-expected GDP growth in the second quarter, core data suggests that economic momentum may be weakening [5] Group 4: Technology Sector Performance - Strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Meta have led to a 1.2% increase in Nasdaq futures and a 0.8% rise in S&P 500 futures, indicating robust profitability in large tech firms, particularly in cloud computing and AI advertising [6] - This performance provides positive support for the overall market [6] Group 5: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to closely monitor inflation and growth data from major economies, as uncertainty in monetary policy may lead to continued volatility in exchange rates and stock markets [6] - It is recommended that investors adjust their positions to manage risk exposure and capitalize on trading opportunities amid market fluctuations [6]

Group 1: Federal Reserve Decisions - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change [1] - The Fed's statement indicated a slowdown in U.S. economic growth in the first half of the year, suggesting potential grounds for future rate cuts if the trend continues [1] - Two Fed governors voted against the rate decision, reflecting external pressures, particularly from President Trump, who advocated for lower rates [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - Fed Chair Powell stated it is too early to determine if a rate cut will occur in September, emphasizing the need for more economic information before making a decision [2] - Experts predict that the Fed may not cut rates until December, as inflation is expected to rise and economic growth to slow, indicating a cautious approach [3] Group 3: Market Reactions - Gold prices fell over 1.5%, dropping below $1,280 per ounce, with significant declines in U.S. gold and silver companies [4] - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Nvidia rising over 2% and Apple declining more than 1% [5] - Several tech companies reported strong earnings, with Qualcomm's adjusted net profit at $2.67 billion (up 25%), Microsoft's net profit at $27.2 billion (up 24%), and META's net profit at $18.34 billion (up 36%) [6] Group 4: Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.82%, with many Chinese concept stocks experiencing declines, including NIO and New Oriental dropping over 4% [7] Group 5: Copper Market - Following President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products, New York copper prices plummeted over 18% [8]

北京时间7月31日凌晨，美国联邦储备委员会结束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之间不变。这一决定符合 市场预期，同时也是今年美联储货币政策会议连续第五次决定维持利率不变。 投票结果为9票赞成、2票反对，1位理事缺席未投票。其中，两张反对票来自由美国总统特朗普任命的两位理事——沃勒和鲍曼，他们倾向于支持降息25 个基点，与特朗普的诉求相呼应。这是自1993年以来，美联储理事首次有两名成员投反对票。 特朗普当天稍早前曾表示，维持高利率正在伤害民众，美联储应该降低利率。在利率决议公布前不久，特朗普还预测，美联储此次可能不会降息，但"听 说9月要降息"。美联储主席鲍威尔则强调，目前仍然存在不确定性，美联储尚未就9月会议做出任何决定。 美联储连续第五次维持利率不变 北京时间周四凌晨，美联储公布最新利率决议。联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）以9比2的投票结果，决定将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之 间不变。 其中，美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒和米歇尔·鲍曼投票反对该决定，支持降息25个基点。这是自1993年以来，美联储理事首次有两名成员投反对票。 联邦公开市场委 ...

Market Overview - On July 29, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.46% to 44,632.99 points, the S&P 500 down 0.3% to 6,370.86 points, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.38% to 21,098.29 points [2][3] - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with Meta down over 2%, Tesla and Apple down over 1%, while Google gained over 1% [3][4] Oil Prices - International oil prices surged significantly on July 29, with U.S. crude oil futures nearing $70 per barrel, closing with an increase of nearly 4% [10] - Brent crude oil also saw a rise of over 3.5% during the trading session [12] Airline and Banking Stocks - U.S. airline stocks fell across the board, with Southwest Airlines down 4.39%, Delta Air Lines down 1.99%, and United Airlines down 1.93% [4] - Most U.S. bank stocks declined, with Citigroup down 1.10%, Wells Fargo down 0.54%, and Bank of America down 0.52% [5] Chinese Concept Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.35%, with notable declines in stocks such as Xiaoma Zhixing and Kingsoft, which dropped over 8% [6] - Li Auto experienced significant volatility, initially rising over 6% before closing down more than 6% [7] - Other Chinese stocks like NIO and Xpeng also saw declines of over 2% [9]

Market Overview - The energy sector led the market with a nearly 1.5% increase, driven by a rebound in oil prices, with WTI crude rising 2.38% to $66.71 per barrel and Brent crude increasing 2.34% to $70.04 per barrel [8] - The S&P 500 index and Nasdaq index have risen approximately 28% and 40% respectively from their lows in April [5] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.14% to close at 44,837.56 points, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.33% to 21,178.58 points, and the S&P 500 increased 0.02% to 6,389.77 points [3] Individual Stocks - Tesla shares rose 3.0% following the announcement of a $16.5 billion chip contract with Samsung Electronics [6] - Nike's stock increased by 3.8% after Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating from "neutral" to "overweight" [7] - Alibaba's shares rose 1.7%, while JD.com increased by 0.1%, but Baidu and NetEase saw declines of 1.5% and 2.6% respectively [4] Economic Indicators - The market is closely watching the June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report and non-farm payroll data to assess the impact of tariffs on consumer prices and the labor market [6] - The Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting is anticipated to maintain stable interest rates, with a 60.4% probability of a rate cut in September according to the FedWatch tool [5]

Core Viewpoint - Investors are overly complacent regarding the upcoming U.S. trade tariff deadline on August 1, with the market currently pricing in a perfect scenario [1] Group 1: Market Concerns - Megan Horneman highlights potential risks including uncertainty around Federal Reserve policies and overbought conditions in the market [1] - There is a concern that if expectations for interest rate cuts are removed and trade issues remain uncertain, the market may experience a valuation correction [1] - Technical indicators suggest that growth stocks, particularly large tech stocks, are in an overbought state, which could disrupt the current market rebound [1] Group 2: Long-term Outlook - Despite a cautious short-term outlook, Horneman remains bullish in the long term, viewing market pullbacks as investment opportunities [2] - International stocks are identified as a preferred choice during market weakness, as they are relatively undervalued compared to the U.S. market [2] - The S&P 500 index has seen a 16% increase over the past three months, while the Nasdaq index has risen by 21% in the same period [2]

Group 1 - The core concern is that investors are overly complacent regarding the upcoming U.S. trade tariff deadline on August 1, with the market currently pricing in a perfect scenario [1] - There are uncertainties surrounding Federal Reserve policies and technical indicators showing overbought conditions, which could lead to a valuation correction in the market [1] - The market has seen significant gains, with the S&P 500 index rising 16% and the Nasdaq index increasing 21% over the past three months [2] Group 2 - The chief investment officer of Verdence Capital Advisors, Megan Horneman, remains bullish in the long term, viewing market pullbacks as investment opportunities, particularly favoring international stocks [1] - Despite high valuation levels, international stocks are considered relatively cheap compared to the U.S. market, indicating a potential rotation of funds into these assets [1] - Trader Guy Adami expressed concerns about the market being somewhat bubble-like, primarily driven by retail investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market has reached new highs, with the S&P 500 index rising by 1.2%, the Nasdaq by 0.8%, and the Dow Jones by 1.5%, while market volatility has decreased as the VIX index fell below 15, marking a five-month low. In this context, the XBIT decentralized exchange platform is emerging as a new choice for investors to manage uncertainty [1][2]. Market Overview - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain interest rates, but market focus has shifted to a nearly 70% probability of a rate cut in September, an increase of 15 percentage points from the previous month. The Fed remains data-dependent, with no immediate action expected unless there is a significant drop in employment or inflation data [2]. - The earnings season for tech stocks is a key short-term variable, with major companies like Apple and Microsoft set to report. The top 10 tech stocks in the S&P 500 account for 37% of its market capitalization, and disappointing earnings could trigger a sell-off [5]. XBIT Platform Advantages - XBIT offers three core advantages for investors seeking to mitigate risks in a volatile market: 1. Military-grade security architecture that includes cold wallet technology and a dynamic clearing engine, which successfully avoided 93% of chain risks during a simulated LUNA crash [6]. 2. Cross-chain protocols and stablecoin settlements that facilitate real-time exchanges with low fees, significantly reducing transaction times and costs in cross-border trade [6]. 3. A regulatory-friendly structure that balances compliance with efficiency, allowing traditional financial institutions to simulate stablecoin issuance on the platform [6]. Market Potential - The global stablecoin market is projected to exceed $2.3 trillion by 2026, with XBIT already positioned to capitalize on this growth. The platform's daily trading volume for its supported stablecoin system has surpassed $800 million [9]. - XBIT's innovative approach includes tokenizing real assets like real estate and art, providing high-net-worth investors with new inflation-hedging options [9]. Investment Logic Reconstruction - XBIT is redefining investment strategies through various scenarios: 1. It serves as a hedging tool during tech stock volatility, allowing investors to profit from shorting tech indices [10]. 2. The platform's event-driven trading module enables rapid execution of trades in response to Federal Reserve announcements, significantly reducing slippage losses [10]. 3. XBIT facilitates direct currency settlements for cross-border e-commerce, drastically lowering transaction fees compared to traditional methods [10]. Conclusion - As the U.S. stock market navigates between policy changes and earnings expectations, XBIT's decentralized exchange platform is gaining attention for its technological advancements and potential to reshape the global trading landscape [12].

Group 1 - Christopher Harvey, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist at Wells Fargo Securities, predicts a double-digit growth for the S&P 500 index in the second half of the year, driven by the resilience of U.S. tech giants [1] - The S&P 500 index is expected to rise to 7007 points by year-end, representing an 11% increase from the current closing price of 6305.60 points [1] - The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have surged 42% since April 9, contributing significantly to the S&P 500's performance [1][2] Group 2 - Concerns about high valuations in the U.S. stock market are countered by the concentration of gains in a few fast-growing tech companies, which insulates the index from broader economic trends [2] - Major contributors to the S&P 500's gains include Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Meta, which together account for over a quarter of the index's increase [2] - The earnings growth of the S&P 500 is primarily driven by beneficiaries of advancements in artificial intelligence, with the "Magnificent Seven" expected to see a combined profit growth of 14% in Q2 [2] Group 3 - Harvey maintained a bullish outlook during market volatility in April, predicting significant market gains while many peers adjusted their forecasts downward [3] - His confidence in the S&P 500's resilience is based on an understanding of President Trump's negotiation style, which tends to escalate before retreating [3][4] Group 4 - Harvey anticipates a favorable macroeconomic environment and loose monetary policy will lead to a 20% increase in the U.S. stock market in both 2023 and 2024, following a strong performance [4] - The S&P 500 has reached new highs multiple times since late June, despite uncertainties surrounding tariffs, economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policies [4] - Increased merger and acquisition activity and a positive consumer outlook are seen as positive factors that may offset existing market risks [4]