格隆汇9月25日｜港股三大指数早盘冲高午后回落，恒生科技指数小幅收跌0.13%，国企指数微幅上涨 0.01%，恒生科技指数涨0.89%盘中曾大涨2%。盘面上，大型科技股多数维持上涨行情，小米涨 4.48%，京东涨3.46%，百度涨2.33%，快手涨1.69%，腾讯、美团勉强飘红，阿里巴巴、网易转跌超 1%；全球第二大铜矿发生事故，供应趋紧促金属铜价走高，铜业股全天强势领涨，其中，中国大冶有 色金属飙涨25%表现最为抢眼，中国有色矿业涨11%，黄金股紫金矿业盘中再创历史新高；汽车股集体 上涨，奇瑞汽车首日上市一度大涨近14%，零跑、小鹏、理想、蔚来、比亚迪齐涨；锂电池股、化妆品 股、半导体芯片股、航空股、生物医药股普遍表现活跃。另一方面，内银股走低大市相对承压，其中， 中信银行跌近3%，工行、中行。建行均跌超2%，家电股、脑机接口概念股、乳制品股、港口及海运股 纷纷走低。(格隆汇) ...

金价刚冲上3749.27美元/盎司的历史新高，白银也连着涨了三天，逼近44美元/盎司的逾14年高点。金银 齐飙，这波狂潮到底是机会还是陷阱？ 你有没有留意到，最近身边谈论黄金的人增多了？路上遇到的阿姨攥着金镯子念叨幸好早买了，办公室 同事对着手机里的贵金属K线叹气又没跟上。 最让人期待的是，这波狂潮可能才刚开头。花旗的分析师都说了，2026年这波行情说不定能蔓延到铜和 铝。 可现在呢？一边是降息预期撑着科技股往上走，一边是大家心里揣着对经济的慌。 就像有人既想享受蛋糕的甜，又怕吃多了闹肚子，只能一手握着眼下的收益，一手攥着避险的黄金，这 种矛盾劲儿，估计只有投资者自己能懂。 再说说白银，这波真是把黄金平替的角色演活了！为啥白银能跟上？人家可是身兼两职的狠角色！ 既有贵金属的金融属性，又有实打实的工业用处，电子、光伏、新能源哪样都离不开它。但咱可得清醒 点，白银这东西，脾气比黄金暴多了！它的市场规模还不到黄金的十分之一，一点资金就能搅得价格上 蹿下跳。 2010、2011年那波投机狂潮还记得吗？银价飙上去又摔下来，直接让需求停滞了十多年！所以啊，黄金 适合稳稳当当地给portfolio添点保障，白银更像个野马， ...

Group 1 - The global economy is currently in a "high volatility, low growth" phase, with structural opportunities still present, particularly driven by the AI revolution [9][10][31] - The U.S. stock market is experiencing "K-shaped differentiation," where a small number of stocks are driving index gains while the majority are underperforming [12][20] - From 2010 to the present, only 12.5% of companies have contributed to the S&P 500 index, indicating significant market concentration [12][21] Group 2 - Despite potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, these will not address current inflation, weak demand, or high valuation levels in the U.S. stock market [2][21] - The median PE and PB ratios in the U.S. are at historical highs, suggesting a bubble in the market [21] Group 3 - The A-share market has valuation advantages, with the CSI 300 index's PE ratio around 14, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 29 and Nasdaq's 41 [23] - However, corporate earnings growth in China remains a concern, with a reported average growth of only 2.5% in the first half of the year, below the GDP growth of 5.3% [25][26] Group 4 - Gold is viewed positively, with a recommendation of 20% allocation in asset allocation strategies, reflecting a long-term bullish outlook [28][29] - Commodities related to AI and new energy, such as copper, aluminum, and rare earths, are expected to continue rising [30] Group 5 - The technology sector is anticipated to undergo a reshuffling, leading to the emergence of new industry "giants" post-restructuring [4][33] - Long-term optimism remains for technology and AI sectors, as well as for innovative pharmaceuticals related to aging populations [34]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a low-open and high-rise trend in the morning session, halting a consecutive decline [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index led the gains, closing up 2.19%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.91% and the National Enterprises Index increased by 1.13% [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks rebounded collectively, with Alibaba rising over 6%, Kuaishou up more than 4%, and JD.com and Meituan also showing positive movement [1] - Semiconductor stocks saw significant increases, benefiting from anticipated silicon wafer price hikes, with leading company SMIC rising over 7% to reach a new historical high [1] - Other active sectors included robotics, mobile gaming, home appliances, brain-computer interface concepts, and gambling stocks [1] Declining Sectors - Conversely, the film and entertainment sector experienced widespread declines, along with education, biomedicine, building materials, and coal stocks [1] - Apple-related stocks continued to experience a pullback from the previous day [1]

记者丨张嘉钰 王应贵 编辑丨陈思颖 和佳 据央视新闻报道，当地时间9月23日，美联储主席鲍威尔就政策动向及经济形势表态， 指出就 业市场下行风险增大，是促使美联储上周采取降息行动的关键原因 。 图源：新华社 鲍威尔同时指出，消费者支出已出现放缓迹象，企业信心受不确定性影响，劳动力市场活力有 所减弱。他判断，关税可能会在未来几个季度导致通胀有所上升，但关税带来的通胀可能"相 对短暂"，美联储将防范一次性物价上涨演变为持续性问题。 另据wind，鲍威尔同日在一场公开讲话中表示， 当前资产价格整体处于"较高水平"，引发市 场对估值过热的担忧，主要股指随即转跌。 市场上，当地时间9月23日，美股三大指数集体收跌，道指跌0.19%，纳指跌0.95%，标普500 指数跌0.55%。 | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 46292.78 | 22573.47 | 6656.92 | | -88.76 -0.19% -215.51 -0.95% -36.83 -0.55% | | | | 中国金龙 | 纳指100期货 | 标普500期货 | | 8391.62 | 248 ...

Group 1: Gold Price Trends - The international gold price has risen significantly, leading to an increase in domestic gold jewelry prices, with some brands reaching 1100 yuan per gram as of September 23 [1] - The current high gold prices coincide with the traditional consumption peak season, prompting changes in consumer behavior in the gold market [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior in Xiamen - In Xiamen, there is a notable trend of consumers opting for larger wedding gold ornaments, with heavier pieces (35-50 grams) currently in high demand and often sold out [5][7] - Many consumers are bringing old gold to exchange for new pieces, taking advantage of promotions that waive additional costs except for labor fees [7] Group 3: Product Offerings and Market Dynamics - Various gold brands are launching co-branded products to capture market share, although these items often come with a premium price and are typically smaller in weight [9] - Products priced between 1000 to 3000 yuan are particularly popular, along with 1-gram gold notes and bars that appeal to younger consumers as gifts [11] Group 4: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to the Federal Reserve's easing monetary policy, with market expectations for two more rate cuts this year [12] - The dollar has weakened significantly, with the dollar index dropping over 10% this year, which has positively impacted gold prices, which have increased by over 40% [12][14] Group 5: Future Market Outlook - Experts predict that the dollar may continue to weaken, as the economic advantages of the U.S. compared to emerging markets are diminishing [14] - There is a growing trend among global investors to diversify away from U.S. assets, which may further support gold prices as central banks increase their gold reserves [16]

智通财经APP获悉，周二，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美国经济正面临"滞胀式"挑战，经济增长和就业市 场出现明显疲软，而通胀仍处于高位。这种"上下两难"的局面使货币政策制定者面临艰难抉择。 鲍威尔指出："短期内通胀风险偏向上行，就业风险偏向下行，这是一个极具挑战性的局面。双向风险 意味着没有任何一条道路是无风险的。" 经济增长放缓与通胀压力并存 鲍威尔表示，最新数据显示，美国经济增速正在放缓，失业率虽然仍处低位，但已出现轻微上升。同 时，住房市场依旧疲软，消费者支出出现降温迹象，而通胀水平仍高于美联储2%的目标。这种局面被 RSM US首席经济学家Joe Brusuelas称为"轻度滞胀(stagflation-lite)"，即经济增长疲软但物价依然高企。 鲍威尔还强调，近期联邦政策的变化正在深刻重塑美国经济结构，包括贸易、移民、财政、监管以及地 缘政治方面。他警告称："这些政策仍在不断演变，其长期影响需要时间才能完全显现。" 首次降息为"风险管理式"操作 受鲍威尔讲话影响，美国国债收益率五日来首次回落，10年期国债收益率降至4.11%。当天，美国财政 部两年期国债拍卖结果显示需求强劲，本周还将陆续发行五年期和七年 ...

金银比翼同飞之际，以大宗商品全球主管马克西米利安·莱顿（Maximilian Layton）为首的花旗策略师团 队预测："在美联储新鸽派领导层在2026年5~6月上任的前景、美国实际利率下降及美元承压的推动下， 黄金和白银的牛市行情将进一步扩大，并最终在2026年延伸至铜和铝领域。" 金价再创新高，开启长牛模式 23日，金价涨至3790美元/盎司，此前两个交易日连续上涨。 本轮金价上涨最直接的引擎，无疑是市场对美联储将进一步降息的强烈预期。虽然美联储主席鲍威尔仍 强调未来降息路径将保持谨慎，但市场仍预计美联储未来将大幅降息。 瑞士宝盛新世纪思维研究主管曼克（Carsten Menke）在本次降息前后对一财记者表示，过去几周，货 币政策无疑是投资需求增加的主要推动力，短线交易员与市场跟风者担心自己会错过这一波上涨，进一 步推动了投资需求的增长。同时，美国经济正显示出明显的降温迹象，提高了市场对美国降息和美元走 软的预期。由于美国总统特朗普持续施加压力，市场担心美联储的独立性。此外，除了投资需求增加的 强劲支撑外，我们预计在当前的季节性疲软之后，央行将重新加强购买。因此，我们坚持对黄金持建设 性看法。 美联储上周 ...

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping by 2.6% at one point and ultimately closing down 1.45% [2] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.7%, narrowly holding above the 26,000-point mark, while the National Enterprises Index decreased by 0.86% [2] Stock Movements - Major technology stocks experienced widespread declines, with Baidu falling over 5%, JD.com down 4.4%, Meituan dropping nearly 3%, and Xiaomi down over 1% [4] - Tencent saw a decline of nearly 1%, while Alibaba managed to remain slightly positive [4] - Apple-related stocks faced significant pullbacks, with Lens Technology (300433) dropping over 7% and other related stocks like Weishi Technology and QiuTai Technology falling over 3% [4] Sector Performance - Various sectors including real estate, automotive, Chinese brokerage firms, steel, lithium battery, gaming, shipping, aviation, and semiconductor stocks showed generally poor performance [4] - Conversely, vocational education stocks rose, with the Ministry of Education announcing the establishment of the world's largest vocational education system, leading to stocks like Think Tank Education rising over 6% and New Oriental gaining nearly 2% [4] - Gold stocks were active as spot gold reached a historical high, reflecting strong performance in that sector [4] New Listings - Newly listed stocks saw significant gains, with a new group rising nearly 44% on their first trading day and Yunzhihui Technology soaring over 103% [4] - Other notable movements included Mixue Group rising by 4.7% and Kangfang Biologics increasing by 4.28%, while Guotai Junan International fell by 11.57% and Canggang Railway dropped by 12.5% [4] - Shangaog Holdings surged by 22.25% and Hong Kong Broadband increased by 15.85% [4]

牛市来了还没上车？上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限 量发放！先到先得！ 9月23日，市场探底回升，创业板尾盘快速翻红。截至收盘，沪指跌0.18%，深成指跌0.29%，创业 板指涨0.21%。 板块方面，港口航运、银行等板块涨幅居前，旅游、华为、小金属等板块跌幅居前。 全市场超4200家股票下跌。沪深两市成交额2.49万亿元，较上一个交易日放量3729亿。 从 个股到 指数，今天市场经历了比较剧烈的波动。 上午10:33，全市场下跌家数短暂突破了5000家；盘中多数时候都不少于4800家。 指数方面，近期比较强势的深指、创指和科创50，都在向下突破5日或10日线后略有回升，回调幅度"尚 可接受"。而本就走势不佳的沪指，即便有银行、红利等板块支撑，仍然一度失守3800点关口，也下穿了 30日线。 此外，反映全市场表现的万得全A指数，以及全A平均股价，盘中均触及30日线，说明截至当时， 大部分 股票已经走弱。 回顾这些指标，并 不是为了唤起大家的恐慌 和悲观。而是 提醒大家： 在盘中跌幅最大时，保持冷静，锚定下方的支撑位进行应对 ，才更重要。 或者说，在今天这样的大幅回调发生 ...