Core Viewpoint - The beef cattle farming industry in Guyuan City, Ningxia, is a key agricultural sector that supports poverty alleviation and rural revitalization, with a projected cattle population of 1.06 million by the end of 2024, accounting for 43.27% of the region's total [1] Financial Support and Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) in Guyuan has implemented targeted financial policies to support the healthy development of the beef cattle industry, including measures to prevent banks from indiscriminately withdrawing loans from farmers and agricultural enterprises [2] - As of the end of August, the total loan balance for the beef cattle industry in Guyuan reached 17.57 billion, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.20% [1][2] - The PBOC has established a mechanism for government and financial institutions to connect with key projects, enhancing the financing capabilities for small and micro enterprises in the beef cattle sector [2] Credit System Development - The PBOC has expanded its credit system by implementing a "credit + loan" model, resulting in the establishment of credit archives for 1,841 new agricultural entities and a loan balance of 879 million [3] - A total of 25 credit towns and 445 credit villages have been recognized, with 130,500 credit users identified [3] Innovative Financing Products - The local government has introduced policies to facilitate live cattle collateral loans, enhancing risk management and efficiency in financing [4] - The PBOC has recorded the identification information of approximately 5,500 cattle and issued live cattle collateral loans totaling 44 million [4] - Innovative loan products like "Smart Animal Husbandry Loan" have been developed, utilizing digital identification and monitoring of livestock to provide low-cost financing [4] Risk Prevention and Coordination - Financial institutions are encouraged to conduct on-site investigations to assess funding needs and monitor loan quality, aiming to prevent potential defaults [5][6] - A comprehensive credit model involving government, banks, collateral, insurance, and refinancing has been proposed to mitigate credit risks [6] - As of the end of August, 169,300 cattle have been insured, providing risk coverage of 1.645 billion for 10,200 farming households [6]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Beef Cattle Industry Industry Overview - The beef cattle industry is experiencing significant capacity reduction due to deep losses in 2024, leading to the culling of young and pregnant cows. The trend of capacity reduction is expected to continue into 2025, albeit at a slower pace. The southern regions have seen an 8% decline in cow inventory, with some areas experiencing reductions of up to 30% [1][2][3] - The supply of calves has noticeably decreased, with calf prices doubling at the beginning of 2025, indicating a future tightening of beef supply [1][2] Key Supporting Factors for the Beef Cattle Cycle 1. **Capacity Reduction**: The domestic beef cattle farming industry has faced supply shocks, leading to the culling of inefficient cows and the introduction of new breeding stock. The trend of culling continues into 2025, with calf supply significantly reduced [2][3] 2. **Global Price Transmission**: Major beef-producing countries like the US, Brazil, and Australia have also undergone capacity reductions. The CME live cattle futures price has doubled since 2020, and this global price increase is transmitted to the domestic market, supporting domestic beef prices [2][3] 3. **Policy Support**: The Chinese government is implementing measures to protect domestic farming, including an investigation into import safeguards that has affected import volumes, allowing the domestic market time to adjust [3] Market Conditions for 2025 and Beyond - In 2025, there will be a shortage of calves but an adequate supply of fattened cattle and finished meat. The impact of previous capacity reductions has not fully materialized, leading to a continued influx of cow meat into the market [4] - The price uptrend is expected to officially begin in 2026, with prices anticipated to rise significantly due to the effects of the severe capacity reduction in 2024, continuing through 2027 and possibly into 2028 [4] Characteristics of the Beef Cattle Industry Chain - The beef cattle industry chain includes upstream feed, midstream fattening and slaughter, and downstream consumption. Feed costs account for 50%-70% of farming costs, with a long growth cycle and low breeding efficiency [5] - The industry is characterized by low concentration, with the top 50 companies holding a small share of total inventory [5] Global and Domestic Meat Trade Dynamics - The top ten beef-producing countries account for 87% of global production, with the US being the largest producer at over 12 million tons. China produces around 8 million tons but still imports approximately 2.8 million tons, primarily from South America [6] - China's demand significantly influences global trade structures, with Brazil being the largest supplier, followed by Argentina and Australia [6] Cost Disparities in Beef Cattle Farming - Domestic beef cattle farming costs are significantly higher than in Brazil due to factors such as scarce pasture resources and high feed and labor costs. Domestic costs range from 10,000 to 20,000 yuan, while Brazilian costs are between 5,000 to 8,000 yuan [8] - The low level of industrialization and efficiency in domestic beef production contributes to these high costs [7][8] Historical Price Trends - Since 2000, domestic beef prices have generally trended upward, with a notable decline in 2023 due to increased supply and reduced consumption growth. This marked the first historical price drop, with inventory levels declining for two consecutive years [9] Current and Future Supply-Demand Situation - Domestic per capita beef consumption remains low compared to countries like Japan and South Korea, indicating significant growth potential. The consumption of high-quality beef is growing faster than that of regular beef, with premium varieties seeing growth rates of up to 30% [10] Investment Opportunities - The current phase represents a critical price turning point in the Chinese beef cattle market. Companies such as YouRan MuYe, China Shengmu, and Modern Farming are recommended for investment due to their ability to generate cash flow through the culling of dairy cows and their growth potential in the beef market [11][12]

Macro News - Financial regulatory authorities announced a series of measures to support the stability of the capital market, which have shown effectiveness over the past year [1] - In August, the total market value of A-shares exceeded 100 trillion yuan, indicating the success of capital market reforms [1] - The capital market is expected to transition from being policy-driven to being driven by internal dynamics, better serving high-quality economic development [1] Industry News - The State Administration for Market Regulation has drafted a consultation document focusing on regulating platform fees and merchant entry in the food delivery sector, aiming to enhance service quality and reduce merchant burdens [4] - The draft prohibits platforms from forcing merchants to share promotional costs and mandates fair compensation for delivery personnel, including limits on working hours and fatigue alerts [4] - The National Energy Administration is addressing "involution" competition in the photovoltaic industry to promote quality upgrades and enhance the competitiveness of renewable energy sources [5] - The price of live pigs has reached a yearly low due to oversupply, with prices dropping to 12.59 yuan per kilogram, a 10.4% decrease from earlier in the month and a 24.4% drop from the year's peak [7][6] Sector Opportunities - A report from China International Capital Corporation indicates that the upgrade to 800V HVDC in AI power supply architecture may position SST as the optimal technology route, with certain companies already applying SST products in mixed microgrid projects [8] - CITIC Securities highlights that a significant reduction in breeding cows since 2024 has led to a shortage in supply, driving up live cattle prices, with expectations for continued price increases due to supply pressures anticipated by 2026 [8]

Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that the price of medium live cattle in the national market reached 28.15 yuan per kilogram in August 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.3 yuan per kilogram, which corresponds to a growth rate of 1.1% [1] - The year-on-year growth rate for the same period is reported at 4.8%, with a decrease in the decline rate by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The data source for the national medium live cattle market price statistics is the National Bureau of Statistics [2]

R&D Timeline - The joint research team initiated the development of the "Kongshan Cattle 1" breeding chip in October 2023, with the first batch expected to be completed by May 2025 [2][4] Development Goals - By 2027, the plan includes establishing 100 beef cattle characteristic towns, creating 1,000 demonstration villages for cow breeding, supporting 25,000 breeding households, increasing the cow stock by 160,000, and achieving a self-sufficiency rate of over 80% for breeding sources [2][5] Industry Achievements - Two beef cattle breeding farms have been established, with 209 large-scale farms and 1,296 moderately sized farms developed, alongside 53 key beef cattle development towns and 17 provincial standardized breeding farms [3][6] - The "Kongshan Cattle 1" breeding chip is the first of its kind in China and was recognized as a local breed by the National Animal Genetic Resources Committee in 2024 [3][5] Cost Reduction and Efficiency - The breeding chip is expected to reduce breeding costs by approximately 40% and shorten the breeding cycle by 10 to 15 years, providing a scientific basis for breeding direction [4][5] Industry Chain Development - The region has established a comprehensive industry chain encompassing breeding, slaughtering, processing, and marketing, with two large beef cattle trading markets and a specialized slaughterhouse capable of processing 30,000 cattle annually [7][8] - The local market has seen the successful cultivation of national standard grade 4 snowflake beef, with research on feed formulas achieving significant results [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the agricultural sector is experiencing a recovery, with specific segments such as the pig and beef industries showing signs of improvement. Cost reduction and efficiency enhancement are key drivers for performance improvement in the pig sector, while the beef sector is witnessing a rebound from a cyclical low [6][7][47]. Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The pig sector has shown significant improvement in performance, with 15 listed pig companies achieving a revenue of 196.98 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 16.33 billion yuan, up 625% year-on-year [9]. - The average pig price has been under pressure, dropping to a low of 13.96 yuan/kg in June 2025. However, leading companies like Muyuan and Wens continue to maintain high profitability per head due to their efficiency advantages [15][42]. - Recommendations include focusing on low-cost, high-certainty leaders such as Muyuan and Wens, as well as high-growth small pig companies like Shennong Group and Juxing Agriculture [7][43]. 2. Beef Industry - The beef sector is experiencing a cyclical recovery, with live cattle prices increasing significantly since mid-February 2025. As of September 8, 2025, the prices for fattened bulls, calves, and cull cows have risen by 2.39, 8.33, and 3.18 yuan/kg respectively [47]. - The report notes that the overall beef market is supported by a trend towards protein upgrading, which is expected to continue despite economic fluctuations [57]. 3. Animal Health Sector - The animal health sector is stabilizing, with a focus on the development of pet business. The rapid release of pet vaccines is anticipated to enhance valuations across companies [7]. 4. Seed Industry - The seed market is shifting from quantity to quality competition, with a focus on superior varieties as the core competitiveness of seed companies. The report emphasizes the importance of resource integration and mergers in the seed industry [7]. Companies with strong variety reserves, such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech, are expected to benefit [7].

Core Viewpoint - Lude Environment (688156.SH) announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Lude Biological Environmental Technology (Bozhou) Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Bozhou Lude"), plans to implement a capital increase and introduce investors, which will enhance its operational funds and improve its asset-liability structure [1] Group 1: Investment Details - Bozhou Ketu Investment Fund will contribute 20 million RMB to subscribe for an additional registered capital of 20 million RMB in Bozhou Lude [1] - Bozhou Life and Health Industry Fund will contribute 10 million RMB to subscribe for an additional registered capital of 10 million RMB in Bozhou Lude [1] - The company will waive its preemptive subscription rights for this capital increase [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The Bozhou Ketu Investment Fund primarily invests in high-tech fields such as biomedicine, focusing on advanced technological achievements in Bozhou [1] - The Bozhou Life and Health Fund mainly invests in modern medicine, traditional Chinese medicine, and medical devices, targeting the health industry in Bozhou [1] - The introduction of these funds will deepen cooperation with Anhui Gujing Distillery (000596) and local liquor companies regarding distiller's grains, while also leveraging the "Three Sevens Hundred" goal of revitalizing the beef cattle industry in Bozhou to expand into the Central Plains beef cattle breeding market [1]

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Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of food safety education and hands-on agricultural experience in rural revitalization efforts [2][3][5] - The practice team utilized a dual approach of "food safety education + household surveys" to effectively communicate food safety knowledge to local residents [2][3] - The initiative included addressing health concerns of the elderly, particularly chronic diseases, and promoting healthy eating habits [2][3] Group 2 - The practice team engaged in agricultural activities, such as rice seedling thinning and weed removal, to gain firsthand experience of farming challenges [4][5] - The collaboration with Jiangxi Shenglong Cattle Industry Group highlighted the integration of academic research with industry practices, focusing on beef cattle technology and product development [4] - The experience allowed team members to deepen their understanding of agricultural realities and the significance of food production [4][5]

Core Insights - The meat cattle industry in Haiyuan County is crucial for rural revitalization and increasing farmers' income, experiencing rapid growth due to rising market demand and policy support [1][2] - Financial institutions are focusing on the financing needs of the meat cattle industry, enhancing credit products and services to facilitate industry transformation and upgrading [1][2] Group 1: Industry Development - As of June 2025, Haiyuan County has seen a meat cattle output of 49,900 heads, representing an 18.2% year-on-year increase [1] - The loan balance for the meat cattle industry reached 1.63 billion yuan, accounting for 16% of the agricultural loan balance in Haiyuan County and 38.10% of the total meat cattle loans in Zhongwei City [1] Group 2: Financial Support Mechanisms - The People's Bank of China in Zhongwei City has guided local financial institutions to create a whitelist system for meat cattle farmers, allowing prioritized credit approval and interest rate discounts [2] - Haiyuan Rural Commercial Bank has issued 1.306 billion yuan in loans for the meat cattle industry, making up 19.28% of its total loans [2] Group 3: Tailored Financial Products - Financial institutions have developed specialized credit products for the meat cattle industry, such as "Smart Livestock Loan" and "Agricultural Benefit e-Loan," optimizing loan amounts, terms, and interest rates [4] - Agricultural Bank of Haiyuan has implemented a "5+X" credit model to support impoverished households in expanding production, providing additional credit beyond the initial 50,000 yuan loan [4] Group 4: Risk Management and Insurance - The Haiyuan County government has established a special guarantee fund to support financing for meat cattle enterprises and farmers, offering risk compensation for qualifying guarantee businesses [5] - Insurance companies have expanded coverage for meat cattle insurance, developing products for different growth stages to mitigate risks in the breeding process [5]