Core Insights - The A-share market showed a strong performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.62% to 3581.86 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.84% [2][7] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.89 trillion yuan, indicating robust market activity [2][7] - Among the sectors, coal, building materials, and construction decoration led the gains, while banking, computer, and communication sectors lagged [2][7] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index closed up 0.54% at 25,130.03 points, reflecting positive sentiment [2][7] Market Performance - As of July 15, 2025, 1517 A-share companies disclosed their mid-year performance forecasts, with a disclosure rate of 27.99% [9] - Of these, 660 companies, or 43.51%, reported positive performance forecasts, with 412 companies expecting profit increases [9][10] - The growth sectors showed a pre-forecast positive rate of 46.59%, while the consumer and stable sectors followed closely [10] Industry Analysis - Nine primary industries reported a positive forecast rate exceeding 50%, with non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, and agriculture showing the highest rates [10] - The agriculture sector projected a remarkable net profit growth of 1448.38%, while sectors like real estate and textiles faced significant profit pressures [10] - Overall, the A-share market is expected to perform well in the first half of 2025, with a general positive outlook across various industries [11]

点击小程序查看报告原文 公募基金仓位变动：股票仓位小幅上涨，港股加仓，A股仓位下降 2025年二季度A股市场先抑后扬，上证指数上涨3.3%，偏大盘蓝筹的沪深300上涨1.3%，成长风格分化，创业板指上涨2.3%，科创50下跌1.9%，中小市值 的中证1000和中证2000分别上涨2.1%和7.6%，中证红利基本收平。在此背景下，主动偏股型公募基金单季度收益率中位数为2.1%，收益率较上季度有所 回落。 公募基金资产规模扩张，权益资产和债券资产占比均下降。 二季度公募基金整体资产规模扩张，资产总值由上季度的33.8万亿元升至36.7万亿元。其中， 股票资产规模从上季度的6.9万亿元升至7.2万亿元，但股票占资产总值的比重较上季度下降0.9个百分点至19.6%；债券资产占比较上季度下降0.4个百分点 至57.8%；现金资产占比明显上升。 主动偏股型基金规模不变，股票仓位小幅上涨，A股仓位下降；新发基金规模上涨，存量净赎回规模走扩。 主动偏股型基金资产总值约2.6万亿元，较上 季度基本持平；股票资产规模较上季度略降至约2.3万亿元，仓位上涨0.1个百分点至87.5%；A股仓位较一季度进一步下降至70.6%，为近10 ...

Group 1 - The financing balance of A-shares has reached 1.9 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase of 153.99 billion yuan from the previous trading day, the first time it has surpassed this threshold in nearly four months [1] - The financing buy-in amount accounted for 10.29% of the total A-share trading volume, the first time it has exceeded 10% since March 7 [1] - The two markets, Shanghai and Shenzhen, saw their financing balances increase to 9.689 trillion yuan and 9.429 trillion yuan respectively, with notable increases in both markets [1] Group 2 - The activity level of margin trading has rebounded, with net inflow expanding, indicating that individual investors remain the primary source of incremental funds in the market [2] - The electronic, computer, and power equipment industries have emerged as the most favored sectors for financing buy-ins, reflecting a positive investment trend across multiple sectors [2] - In the current financing buy-in wave, the net buy-in amounts for power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and computers reached 77.23 billion yuan, 73.06 billion yuan, and 69.98 billion yuan respectively [3] Group 3 - Specific stocks such as Xinyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Northern Rare Earth have seen net financing buy-ins exceeding 1 billion yuan in July, with Xinyi Technology leading at 16.81 billion yuan [3]

Group 1 - The "anti-involution" trend is expected to continue, with positive performance in related sectors following the July 1 policy announcement. This trend is based on the expectation of improved industry performance and sustained demand, which may enhance the space for the "anti-involution" market [4][24]. - The U.S. tariff policy impact has dulled, with the recent extension of tariff exemptions and adjustments indicating a less aggressive stance, which may limit its overall market impact [4][30]. - As of July 20, 2025, 43.7% of the 1,547 listed companies that disclosed earnings forecasts reported positive expectations, particularly in sectors like non-bank financials, metals, and construction materials [4][31]. Group 2 - The GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 was 5.3%, exceeding the annual target, with the second quarter showing a slight decline to 5.2% due to external factors. The first and third industries saw growth, while the second industry experienced a decline [34][35]. - The "anti-involution" policies have led to active responses from various industries, including steel, photovoltaic, and automotive sectors, which are expected to benefit from these measures [12][40]. - The focus on technology and advanced manufacturing sectors is highlighted, with significant opportunities in military, low-altitude economy, AI, and robotics, driven by favorable policies and high industry sentiment [40].

周二（7月22日），A股牛市氛围渐浓，三大指数均年内新高，作为行情旗手，互联网金融午后走高， 金融科技板块成功收涨。其中，东信和平两连板股价创历史新高，恒宝股份大涨超6%，天阳科技、银 之杰涨超4%，大智慧、指南针、同花顺等多只互联网金融股涨超2%。 热门ETF方面，规模、流动性同类断层第一的金融科技ETF（159851）盘中多次冲高，场内价格收涨 0.12%，守住20日均线，全天溢价交易，成交额达6.87亿元，资金当日净申购2.61亿份。 或因牛市预期大增叠加题材股趋势，金融科技作为牛市急先锋，近期资金面异常火爆！数据显示，金融 科技ETF（159851）已连续10日吸金，累计金额近20亿元！展望后市，大盘+题材端共振，金融科技板 块配置机会仍值得重点关注。 大盘上，市场增量政策持续推出，市场交投情绪大幅回升。今日两市成交额逼近2万亿元，此外，据机 构统计，2025H1日均股基成交额达到15703亿元，同比提升63%。非银金融行业作为资本市场的重要参 与者，后续有望持续受益于市场环境改善。 从中长期投资逻辑来看，金融科技板块弹性十足，对流动性改善反映迅速，目前市场交投活跃度提升明 显，金融科技板块有望持续受 ...

Group 1: Market Performance and Fund Profitability - The A-share market experienced a rebound in Q2, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 11% since April 7, leading to significant profitability for public funds, totaling 639 billion yuan in the first half of the year [1][2] - Public funds have achieved profitability for six consecutive quarters, with Q2 profits reaching 386.31 billion yuan, a 52.86% increase from Q1 [2][3] - Equity funds were the main profit drivers, contributing over 52.43% of total industry profits, with active equity funds reversing previous losses to achieve 193.16 billion yuan in profits [2][3] Group 2: Fund Flows and Redemption Trends - Despite improved performance, active equity funds faced significant net redemptions, totaling nearly 176.4 billion units in the first half of the year, indicating a trend of profit-taking [1][3] - The net redemption of active equity funds in Q2 increased by 56.43% compared to Q1, highlighting ongoing investor caution despite recent gains [3] Group 3: Sector Allocation and Fund Manager Adjustments - Fund managers shifted their allocations towards banking, telecommunications, and non-bank financial sectors, with the banking sector seeing substantial increases in holdings [6][8] - The banking sector's holdings increased by 30.65 billion shares, reflecting a positive sentiment towards the sector amid ongoing valuation recovery [8][9] - The electronics, pharmaceutical, and power equipment sectors remain the top three investment focuses for public funds, with notable changes in holdings among major stocks [6][7] Group 4: Performance of Specific Fund Types - QDII funds showed strong performance, with profits reaching 74.77 billion yuan in the first half, a 2.3-fold increase year-on-year [4] - Bond funds reversed previous losses to achieve profits of 96.58 billion yuan in Q2, while money market funds saw a 20% decrease in profits compared to the previous year [3][4] Group 5: Changes in Top Holdings - The top ten holdings of public funds saw adjustments, with significant changes in the number of funds holding major stocks like Ningde Times and Kweichow Moutai, which experienced reductions in holdings [6][7] - The banking sector emerged as a key area for increased allocations, with many banks seeing substantial increases in shareholdings [8][9]

相比一季度， 基金对通信、银行 2个行业的持股市值均增加了逾400亿元 ，对非银金融、国防军 工2个行业的持股市值则均增加了逾200亿元。 对食品饮料行业的持股市值减少最多，减少超 500 亿元 ；对汽车、电力设备、家用电器、机械设备等4个行业的持股市值减少也均超100亿元。 （持股市值变动受持股数和股价变动的双重影响） | 2 | 电力设备 | 232 | 2553 | 2754 | -201 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 | 食品饮料 | 72 | 2432 | 2973 | -541 | | 4 | 医药生物 | 301 | 2354 | 2384 | -30 | | 5 | 銀行 | 41 | 2019 | 1617 | 402 | | б | 非银金融 | ୧୦ | 1984 | 1729 | 255 | | 7 | 汽车 | 149 | 1230 | 1464 | -234 | | 8 | 皇每종鹰 | 104 | 1153 | 1125 | 28 | | 9 | 道信 | 74 | 1017 | 614 | 40B | | 10 | 家用 ...

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基金管理人在二季报中表示，报告期间，本基金保持红利投资的特征。从仓位上看，继续保持相对较高位置，行业分布上较为均衡，持仓个股较为分散，银 行、公用事业、非银等行业配置比例较高；从对组合贡献来看，公用事业、银行、非银正贡献较大，家电、轻工对组合有所拖累。从组合整体表现来看，相 对基准有所跑赢并取得正收益。随着无风险收益率的下行，红利类股票整体的股息率水平依然处于相对有吸引力阶段，后续仍有绝对收益空间。 AI基金海富通红利优选混合A（020695）披露2025年二季报，第二季度基金利润46.07万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0764元。报告期内，基金净值增长 率为6.48%，截至二季度末，基金规模为1158.72万元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至7月21日，单位净值为1.293元。基金经理是江勇，目前管理7只基金近一年均为正收益。其中，截至7月21日，海富通红利 优选混合A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达29.93%；海富通悦享一年持有期混合A最低，为5.65%。 截至6月27日，基金成立以来夏普比率为1.392。 截至7月21日，基金成立以来最大回撤为8.29%。单季度最大回撤出现在2025年二季度，为 ...

Group 1: Market Performance and Drivers - In the first half of 2025, the Hong Kong stock market experienced a strong structural bull market, driven by technology revaluation and AI breakthroughs[2] - The rebound was supported by four main factors: reduced geopolitical risks, a weak dollar environment boosting the RMB, significant liquidity injections by the HKMA, and accelerated inflows from southbound funds[2] - Southbound funds saw a dramatic increase, with a cumulative net purchase of HKD 14.5 trillion, 2.9 times last year's figure, indicating a shift towards diversified allocations beyond financial stocks[26] Group 2: Future Outlook and Risks - The structural bull market is expected to remain resilient, supported by the undervaluation of the RMB and the ongoing inflow of southbound funds, particularly into stable high-dividend bank stocks[2] - Potential short-term volatility may arise from a rebound in the dollar and uncertainties in US-China relations, but the pressure on the RMB is expected to be manageable[3] - Risks include the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts falling short of expectations, domestic fundamentals declining unexpectedly, and renewed tariff pressures from the US[4]