Group 1 - The U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on imported copper semi-finished products and high-copper-content derivatives starting from August 1 [1] Group 2 - South Korea's President Lee Jae-myung confirmed a trade agreement with the U.S., which includes a $350 billion investment, with $150 billion allocated specifically for shipbuilding cooperation [2] - The trade agreement aims to eliminate uncertainties in South Korea's export environment and supports Korean companies in entering the U.S. market across various sectors [2] - The U.S. will reduce tariffs on South Korean automobiles to 15%, while South Korea will not further open its rice and beef markets [2] Group 3 - President Trump announced a "comprehensive" trade agreement with South Korea, which includes a $350 billion investment for U.S.-controlled projects and a commitment to purchase $100 billion worth of liquefied natural gas or other energy products [3] - The agreement stipulates that South Korea will open its market to U.S. products, including automobiles, trucks, and agricultural products, while the U.S. will not face tariffs [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent trade agreement between South Korea and the United States aims to eliminate uncertainties in South Korea's export environment and involves significant financial commitments from both sides [1][2]. Group 1: Trade Agreement Details - South Korea will invest $350 billion in the U.S., with $150 billion allocated specifically for U.S.-South Korea shipbuilding cooperation [1]. - The U.S. will reduce tariffs on South Korean automobiles to 15%, while South Korea will not further open its rice and beef markets to the U.S. [2]. - The agreement includes South Korea's commitment to purchase $100 billion worth of liquefied natural gas or other energy products from the U.S. [2]. Group 2: Political Statements - U.S. President Trump announced that the trade agreement is "comprehensive and complete," indicating a significant shift in trade relations [2][3]. - Both countries will fully open their markets to each other's products, including automobiles, trucks, and agricultural products [3].

Group 1 - The U.S. government announced a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives, effective from August 1 [1][2] - The new tariffs are part of a broader strategy to boost domestic industries and address trade imbalances, following previous tariffs on steel and aluminum [2] - The tariffs will not apply to copper raw materials and scrap, which are exempt from the "Section 232" provisions [1][2] Group 2 - Following the announcement, copper prices in New York plummeted over 18% within minutes [2] - The White House indicated that these copper tariffs will not be cumulative with additional tariffs on automobile imports [2] - There is a requirement for 25% of high-quality copper scrap and raw copper products to be sold domestically, although this is not expected to have immediate significant impact [2]

Group 1 - The agreement between the US and EU involves a 15% tariff on most EU exports to the US, a reduction from the previously threatened 30% [1][3] - The EU is expected to invest $600 billion in the US and purchase $750 billion worth of energy products, which has sparked criticism within the EU [1][3][11] - The agreement is seen as a political victory for Trump, as it reflects a shift in US trade policy and a compromise from the EU under pressure [3][4][7] Group 2 - The 15% tariff is viewed as a challenge for some, but it retains access for the EU to the US market, which is crucial for European economies [4][5] - The impact of the tariff is asymmetric; while it may significantly affect export-oriented industries like the German automotive sector, the overall economic impact on the EU is considered manageable [5] - There are significant internal divisions within the EU regarding the agreement, with some member states expressing dissatisfaction and others accepting it more readily [8][9] Group 3 - The $750 billion energy purchase plan is controversial, as it requires the EU to double its energy imports from the US compared to previous years, raising questions about feasibility [11][12][13] - The energy procurement is complicated by the fact that most energy purchases are handled by private companies, which are driven by market conditions rather than EU directives [13] - Some analysts suggest that the energy procurement could be spread over a longer period, potentially aligning with market realities and easing the burden on EU companies [14]

此外，关于协定中约定欧盟将在美国投资并购买美国能源，西雅尔多认为，一家公司是否在美国投 资，是该公司自己决定的，欧盟委员会与此无关。美欧之间没有油气运输管线，如何将能源运至欧洲？ 当地时间7月27日，美国总统特朗普表示，美国已与欧盟达成新贸易协议，对欧盟输美商品征收 15%的关税。冯德莱恩称，15%税率是欧委会能够达成的最佳结果。此外，钢铁和铝、芯片、烈酒三大 关键领域的关税协议仍待定。特朗普称，欧盟还承诺购买美国7500亿美元的能源产品，并在美追加投资 6000亿美元。此外，欧盟将大规模购买美国军事装备。协议达成后，欧洲各界人士纷纷发声，对此表示 批评或担忧。 (总台记者 卜卫军) 当地时间29日，匈牙利外长西雅尔多在一期播出的网络节目中表示，美欧贸易协定将重创欧洲支柱 产业——汽车业。 西雅尔多说，在美欧新的贸易协定框架内，欧洲汽车供应商向美国支付的出口关税是现行关税的6 倍，而欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩却为此高兴。"不会感到羞愧吗？竟然有这样一个人代表欧盟"。 ...

Group 1 - The decision to extend the US-China tariff truce for 90 days provides a temporary relief for the market, with the S&P 500 futures rising by 0.2% and Asian markets showing moderate gains [1] - European stocks faced pressure due to mixed corporate earnings, with the Stoxx Europe 600 index declining by 0.3%, primarily affected by disappointing results from the banking and automotive sectors [2] - Notable corporate performances included HSBC's stock dropping by 5% due to quarterly profits falling short of expectations, while UBS's stock rose by 3.7% after exceeding profit forecasts [2] Group 2 - Investors are focusing on upcoming key events, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and significant economic data releases, with expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates [3] - The US dollar index decreased by 0.15% to 98.78, while the Korean won appreciated by 0.8% following reports of trade discussions between US and South Korean officials [3] - The 10-year US Treasury yield remained stable at 4.32%, indicating a lack of significant movement in the bond market [4] Group 3 - The Nikkei 225 index closed down by 0.05%, while the Tokyo Stock Exchange index rose by 0.4%, reflecting mixed performance in Japanese markets [4] - Gold prices increased by 0.11% to $3,329.87, and WTI crude oil prices rose by 0.12% to $69.29, indicating a slight uptick in commodity markets [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The domestic commodity futures market had a mixed performance overnight, with most black - series and non - metallic building materials rising, and international oil prices surging due to the US - EU trade agreement. The financial market showed different trends, with A - shares rising, Hong Kong stocks slightly falling, and overseas stock markets having mixed performances. The bond and foreign exchange markets also had their own fluctuations [2][20][32]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Trends - Domestic commodity futures: Most black - series and non - metallic building materials rose, such as a 6.99% increase in coking coal, 5.92% in coke, 5.84% in glass, etc. International oil prices increased, with the US crude oil main contract up 3.81% to $69.25/barrel and Brent crude up 3.53% to $71.77/barrel. International precious metals also rose, while London base metals had a mixed close [2][3]. Important Information Macro - Information - The IMF raised China's 2025 growth rate forecast by 0.8 percentage points to 4.8% due to stronger - than - expected economic activities in the first half of 2025 and lower - than - expected actual tariffs between China and the US [6]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange adjusted the trading fees of glass, soda ash, and caustic soda futures contracts. The domestic refined oil price remained unchanged this round as the adjustment amount per ton was less than 50 yuan. Hainan Development's subsidiary carried out kiln shutdown and production reduction [8][10]. Metal Futures - Domestic component companies slightly increased their quotes due to cost pressure, but downstream acceptance was low. The China Photovoltaic Industry Association refuted rumors about the anti - involution work in the photovoltaic industry [12]. Black - Series Futures - The fourth round of coke price increase was fully implemented. Iron ore inventories at major ports in Australia and Brazil decreased slightly, and the inventory at 47 Chinese ports also declined. Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange resumed and added some futures delivery warehouse businesses. The China Iron and Steel Industry Association emphasized the imbalance between supply and demand in the steel industry and called for industry self - discipline [13][15]. Agricultural Product Futures - July's imported soybean arrivals and oil mill crushings remained high, and the expected end - of - July soybean meal inventory was about 1.1 million tons. Indonesia expected to export more palm oil to India in 2025. EU's imports of palm oil, soybean meal, rapeseed, and soybeans decreased compared to last year. Canada's oilseed processing data showed different trends in June [17][18]. Financial Market Finance - A - shares rose in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.33%, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.64%, and ChiNext Index up 1.86%. Hong Kong stocks slightly fell, but southbound funds continued to flow into the Hong Kong market, and the annual inflow might exceed HK$1 trillion. The number of A - share stocks with a price of over 100 yuan reached 101. Listed companies actively participated in share repurchases. Hong Kong market's trading volume and market value increased compared to last year [20][21][23]. Industry - Domestic refined oil prices remained unchanged this round. The China Photovoltaic Industry Association refuted rumors about anti - involution work. The State Post Bureau and the Ningbo Banking Association addressed industry involution issues [24][25]. Overseas - Trump set a 10 - day deadline for Russia and Ukraine to reach a cease - fire and threatened economic punishment. There were uncertainties in US - India trade relations. The Fed's voting number for the interest - rate decision decreased. The EU planned to buy $40 billion worth of AI chips from the US. US economic data showed a narrowing trade deficit, changes in housing prices, and job vacancies. The Bank of Korea considered further interest - rate cuts [27][28][31]. International Stock Markets - US stocks fell, while European stocks rose. High - end analysts warned about potential stock price damage from tariffs. Boeing's Q2 revenue increased, while Merck & Co. announced a restructuring. Novo Nordisk and Stellantis faced performance challenges [32][33][35]. Commodities - Domestic commodity futures had a mixed overnight performance, with black - series and non - metallic building materials mostly rising. International oil prices increased due to the US - EU agreement. Precious metals rose, and base metals had a mixed close [2][37][39]. Bonds - The domestic bond market adjusted, with yields rising and Treasury bond futures falling. The issuance of panda bonds in the inter - bank market exceeded 100 billion yuan. US bond yields fell due to trade - friction concerns [40]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar depreciated, and the US dollar index rose, with most non - US currencies falling [41][43]. Upcoming Events - There are multiple events scheduled, including Chinese central bank's open - market operations, press conferences, interest - rate decisions by central banks, and corporate earnings reports [45].

Group 1 - The strong trade policies of the Trump administration are predicted to cause over $2 trillion in losses to the global economy by 2027 [1] - Current U.S. tariff levels have reached their highest point since the 1930s, being six times higher than at the beginning of Trump's presidency [3] - The impact of protectionist policies is complex, affecting various global manufacturers, including the automotive industry in Japan, textile factories in Vietnam, and U.S. agricultural workers [3] Group 2 - While some losses may be compensated through the restructuring of production chains over time, this process will take time and may reduce U.S. influence over production and logistics [4] - The restructuring is likely to be oriented towards minimizing U.S. impact, suggesting that while aiming to "Make America Great Again," the Trump administration may be setting up long-term economic challenges for the U.S. [4]

当地时间29日，匈牙利外长西雅尔多在一期播出的网络节目中表示，美欧贸易协定将重创欧洲支柱产业 ——汽车业。西雅尔多说，在美欧新的贸易协定框架内，欧洲汽车供应商向美国支付的出口关税是现行 关税的6倍，而欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩却为此高兴。"不会感到羞愧吗？竟然有这样一个人代表欧 盟"。(央视新闻) ...

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is facing a precarious situation with a national debt of $36.7 trillion, equating to $110,000 per citizen, and growing at a rate of $55,000 per second [1] - Interest payments on the debt are projected to consume $1.2 trillion in 2025, surpassing the entire military budget, which could lead to a fiscal crisis [1] - A looming debt ceiling crisis threatens to push the U.S. towards a potential sovereign default, with $10 trillion in debt maturing within the year [1] Government Measures - The U.S. Treasury has implemented "extraordinary measures" to avoid economic collapse, including suspending federal employee retirement fund investments and reallocating public project funds [3] - The Treasury has even opened donation channels via PayPal, but public contributions have only totaled $67.3 million over 26 years, which is negligible compared to the national debt [3] Policy Responses - The Trump administration has proposed selling "golden cards" for $5 million each to wealthy individuals, which would grant them permanent residency in the U.S. This initiative aims to raise $1 trillion but has faced criticism for only covering 8% of interest payments on the debt [4] - The administration has also attempted to pressure allies into converting their U.S. debt holdings into 100-year zero-coupon bonds, effectively shifting the debt burden [6] Trade and Tariff Impacts - The administration's tariff policies have exacerbated economic challenges, maintaining a 49% tariff on Chinese goods and increasing steel and aluminum tariffs on the EU to 25% [7] - Japan has agreed to reduce auto tariffs to 15% but has resisted the debt swap proposal, while the EU is preparing retaliatory measures against U.S. products [7] Economic Consequences - The U.S. economy is experiencing rising inflation, with a current rate of 2.8%, leading to increased household expenses by $1,200 annually [9] - The World Bank has downgraded global growth forecasts from 2.7% to 2.3%, with significant declines in trade volumes expected [10] - The agricultural sector in the U.S. has suffered losses of $22 billion due to retaliatory tariffs, and manufacturing jobs in Mexico are at risk [10]