汽车行业周报 多家车企推购置税补贴方案，鸿蒙智行单月交付创新高 中游制造/汽车 11 月 30 日至 12 月 6 日，汽车行业整体上涨 1.3%。本周，部分新势力发布 11 月交付量。鸿蒙智行全系 11 月交付新车 81,864 台，同比增长 89.61%，创下单 月交付历史新高；零跑实现销量 70,327 台，持续刷新单月交付新纪录；小鹏汽 车 11 月交付新车 36,728 台，同比增长 19%；蔚来汽车 11 月交付新车 36,275 台，同比增长 76.3%；理想汽车 11 月交付新车 33,181 辆，环比有所提升。 ❑ 市场板块行情回顾 本周 CS 汽车+1.3%。本周（11 月 30 日至 12 月 6 日，下同）上证 A 指涨跌 幅为+0.4%，深证 A 指涨跌幅为+0.6%，创业板涨跌幅为+1.9%。本周各行业 板块多数上涨，涨幅较大的行业板块为 CS 有色金属（+5.1%）、CS 通信 （+3.7%）和 CS 国防军工（+3.5%），下跌的行业板块为 CS 传媒（-3.6%）、 CS 房地产（-2.1%）和 CS 食品饮料（-1.9%）。 汽车产业链各板块行情：本周，汽车行业二级板块全面 ...

2025 年 12 月 07 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn 曹操出行发布 [Table_Title] Robotaxi 战略目标，2025 年前 11 个月汽车以旧换新超 1120 万辆 ——汽车行业周报 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | 2025/12/05 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 汽车 | -2.0% | -1.2% | 17.4% | | 沪深 300 | -0.9% | 2.8% | 16.9% | 相关报告 《汽车行业周报：阿维塔递交港股 IPO 申请，"蔚 小理"相继披露三季度财报（推荐）*汽车*戴畅》 ——2025-12-01 《汽车行业周报：广州车展开幕，小鹏 X9 增程版/ 享界 S9 新款上市，华为举办乾崑大会（推荐）* 汽车*戴畅》——2025-11-24 《汽车行业周报：10 月乘用车批发同比增 7.5%， 上汽智己 LS9 上市（推荐）*汽车*戴畅》—— 2025-11-18 年底多家车企发布购车 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车行业周报（20251201-20251207） 行业研究 汽车 2025 年 12 月 07 日 推荐（维持） 板块触底有望提前，关注 26 年 beta 反弹机会 华创证券研究所 | 证券分析师：张程航 | 证券分析师：夏凉 | 证券分析师：李昊岚 | 联系人：张睿希 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 电话：021-20572543 | 电话：021-20572532 | 邮箱：lihaolan@hcyjs.com | 邮箱：zhangruixi@hcyjs.com | | 邮箱：zhangchenghang@hcyjs.com | 邮箱：xialiang@hcyjs.com | 执业编号：S0360524010003 | | | 执业编号：S0360519070003 | 执业编号：S0360522030001 | | | 本周我们更新了明年年度策略，相较于前几年，2026 年确实市场一致预期相对较高，我 们观点简言之：1）销量展望没那么悲观，所以会有 beta 反弹机会；2）整车投资依然以 个股为主，零部件以新产业为主。 4Q 汽车基本面低于预期，这 ...

证券研究报告 汽车周观点： 曹操出行Robotaxi战略升级，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年12月7日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.12.1-2025.12.7 2 ◼ 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序：SW商用载客车(4.5%) >SW汽车零部件(1.8%) >SW汽车 （1.4%） >SＷ商用载货车(0.5%) >SW乘用车（0.2%) 。本周已覆盖标的中国重汽 H、新泉股份、拓普集团、星宇股份、沪光股份涨幅前五。 （ ◼ 本周团队研究成果：外发小鹏汽车深度报告，外发宇通客车11月销量点评。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）曹操出行举行Robotaxi战略升级发布会，提出"十年百城千 亿"战略目标，并发布首个未来城市交通枢纽"绿色智能通行岛"；2）拓普集团正 推进H股上市；3）德赛西威拟成立惠州市川行致远科技有限公司开展Robovan业务； 4）文远知行一段式端到端ADAS方案问鼎中国智驾大赛。 板块最新观点 3 ◼ Q4重视AI智能车投资机会 ◼ 本 ...

Group 1: Automotive Industry - The delivery data for new forces in November shows a weakening of the year-end peak season effect, with significant purchase discounts from automakers [1] - Recommended stocks include NIO and Xpeng Motors, with a focus on low valuation and performance realization [1] - In the parts sector, recommended stocks are Fuyao Glass for its strong performance and overseas expansion, and Wuxi Zhenhua, Huguang Co., and Bojun Technology for their cheap valuations [1] Group 2: Aerospace and Construction Materials - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a new phase of rapid development, with a three-year action plan recently announced [2] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in the rocket sector with companies like Chaojie Co., Gaohua Technology, and Zhongheng Design, as well as in the satellite sector with firms such as Shaanxi Huada and Shanghai Port [2] Group 3: Real Estate - The sales amount for the top 100 real estate companies in November was 244.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.8% and a month-on-month decrease of 11.7% [3] - Cumulative sales for the top 100 companies from January to November reached 3 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 18.8%, indicating a worsening trend [3] - Investment suggestions focus on structural alpha opportunities, recommending China Jinmao, China Merchants Shekou, China Resources Mixc Life, and Greentown Service [3] Group 4: Company Research - Water Sheep Co. has announced an employee stock ownership plan, reflecting confidence in long-term development [4] - The plan involves up to 938 participants and a funding source of no more than 51.04 million yuan, with shares repurchased at 20.46 yuan per share [4] - The repurchased shares will not exceed 2.49 million shares, accounting for 0.64% of the total share capital [4]

从A股和港股、美股的汽车整车企业股市值走势来看，今年港股的市值走势表现相对较强，相对于美股的市值走势，港股市值走势的上市趋势是比较明显 的，从2024年1月份的港股的整车企业市值合计0.8万亿元规模，到2025年的11月份达到1.6万亿元，港股的汽车股的规模实现了市值大幅增长的特征，其中 有新股上市的因素，也有股票市值的增值因素。 而国内A股市场总体来看，从2023年1月份的5800亿元到2025年11月份的10000亿元，总体增长相对比较平缓。而美股市场从87000亿元上升到152000亿 元，增长幅度也相对较大。 2、整车企业市值变化对比 智通财经APP获悉，崔东树发布11月汽车整车上市公司市值变化分析。世界整车企业市值中，美股市场的规模最大，2025年11月份达到14.5万亿元的规 模，环比10月降4%，同比增20%。而港股市场也达到了1.65万亿元(不含小米)的规模，环比10月降5%，同比增31%。国内A股市场达到9623亿元的规模， 环比10月降6%，同比增4%。 把中国车企和零部件企业的A股、港股、美股的三地市值汇总看，11月股票市值的汽车零部件占比39.6%(同期37.9%)表现较强，整车企业市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced its first significant adjustment after a slow bull run in November, with various brokerages providing research reports that serve as important guides for understanding company values and predicting future trends [2][9]. Group 1: Key Insights from Citic Securities - Citic Securities believes the market adjustment may present a good opportunity for building positions, with a focus on structural selection amid macroeconomic challenges [2][3]. - In November, Citic Securities covered 186 listed companies, with the highest target price increase for Great Wall Motors at 73.52%, indicating significant upside potential [3][5]. Group 2: High Target Price Companies from Huatai Securities - Huatai Securities identified seven major investment themes for 2026, with 27 companies having target price increases exceeding 50%, including SAIC Motor and China State Construction [7][8]. - Notably, Huatai Securities adjusted the target price for SMIC from 238 yuan to 196 yuan, still reflecting a 72.54% upside potential [7]. Group 3: Insights from Guotai Junan - Guotai Junan sees a favorable window for policy and liquidity in late 2025 to early 2026, with 23 companies having target price increases over 50%, led by Beijing Human Resources with a target price of 35.6 yuan [9][10]. - The company has seen a decline of 5.68% this year despite the bullish outlook [9]. Group 4: Focus on Baijiu Stocks from Huachuang Securities - Huachuang Securities maintains an optimistic long-term outlook, particularly for liquor stocks, with 10 companies having target price increases over 50%, including Kweichow Moutai with a target price of 2600 yuan [11][13]. - Kweichow Moutai has repurchased over 6 billion yuan worth of shares this year, indicating strong confidence in its future performance [11]. Group 5: Insights from Guotou Securities - Guotou Securities highlighted a structural shift in the A-share market, with 2 companies having target price increases over 50%, including Yunda Co. with a target price of 27.94 yuan [15][16]. - The firm anticipates significant profit recovery in wind turbine manufacturing due to rising prices [15]. Group 6: Insights from Dongfang Securities - Dongfang Securities covered 74 companies in November, with 3 having target price increases over 50%, including Aikodi with a target price of 30.5 yuan [17][21]. - The company is expected to expand its robot parts product matrix, projecting significant profit growth in the coming years [17].

Group 1: Automotive Industry - Changan Automobile plans to invest 225 million yuan to enter the robotics sector, establishing Changan Tian Shu Intelligent Robot Technology Co., Ltd. with a total registered capital of 450 million yuan [2][3] - The new company aims to leverage humanoid robot technology to drive Changan's strategic transformation from a traditional automaker to an "intelligent technology ecosystem platform" [3] - The humanoid robotics sector is seen as a significant growth opportunity, with Changan's strong position in data accumulation, supply chain integration, and financial strength potentially leading to enhanced valuation and business synergies in the long term [3][4] Group 2: Vaccine Industry - The vaccine industry continues to see breakthroughs in internationalization and research, with companies like Kangtai Biotech and Zhifei Biological making significant progress in vaccine development [6][9] - The demand for flu vaccines is expected to rise, especially among high-risk groups, as the seasonal flu activity increases [8][9] - The vaccine sector is experiencing structural differentiation, with a focus on innovation and international expansion as key strategies for long-term growth [14][15] Group 3: Medical Services - The medical services sector has shown resilience, with a recent increase in demand driven by seasonal illnesses, despite ongoing cost control pressures from insurance policies [21] - The State Council's initiative to promote provincial-level medical insurance coordination is expected to enhance the efficiency of healthcare resources and provide structural opportunities for the medical industry [19][20] - Investment recommendations focus on high-growth companies in the pharmaceutical outsourcing and consumer healthcare sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the medical services industry [21]

Group 1: New IPO Trends - In November 2025, the A-share market issued 10 new stocks, raising a total of 20.5 billion yuan, a 34% increase month-on-month[7] - The average fundraising rate for newly issued stocks was 94%, with a total of 19.7 billion yuan raised from 6 inquiry-based new stocks, marking a 34% increase from the previous month[10] - The average number of products participating in the inquiry for profitable new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board reached 8,150, a 32% increase from June, setting a new high for the year[21] Group 2: Market Performance - The average first-day closing price increase for new stocks in November was 208%, maintaining a "zero break" status since the beginning of the year[33] - The average first-day price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for new stocks was 36 times, with a 13% discount compared to comparable companies, indicating a narrowing valuation gap[11] - The average return for offline subscription products of 200 million yuan in the A1/A2/A3/B categories was 2.25%/2.20%/2.16%/1.98% respectively[34] Group 3: Regulatory and Market Dynamics - The average "acceptance-issuance" cycle for IPOs was 482 days, a 39% decrease month-on-month, indicating a shortening of the process[56] - As of the end of November 2025, there were 111 IPO projects in the A-share market with a total proposed fundraising of 189.4 billion yuan[56] - Risk factors include potential changes in the pace of IPO reviews, fluctuations in investor participation, and the quality/quantity of submitted projects[61]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive sector [2] Core Insights - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during the week of November 24 to November 28, 2025, with a sector index increase of 3.2% compared to the index's 1.4% rise [5][16] - The report highlights the submission of an IPO application by Avita Technology to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in its global strategy [12][30] - The report notes that the new energy vehicle sales reached 177.2 million units in October 2025, accounting for 51.6% of total new vehicle sales [34] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The automotive sector index increased by 3.2% from November 24 to November 28, 2025, with passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, parts, and services showing respective increases of 2.6%, 2.0%, 3.7%, and 3.9% [5][16] - The report indicates that major players like Li Auto, Xpeng, NIO, and Geely saw stock price increases of 4.8%, 6.9%, 1.3%, 12.2%, and 1.4% respectively during the same period [5][16] Company Performance - NIO reported a revenue of 21.79 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.7%, while its net loss narrowed to 3.48 billion yuan [13][31] - Xpeng's Q3 revenue reached 20.38 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 101.8% [13][31] - Li Auto experienced a decline in deliveries by 39.0% year-on-year, with a revenue drop of 36.2% to 27.365 billion yuan, resulting in a net loss of 624 million yuan [13][31] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a potential decline in passenger vehicle year-on-year growth by the end of 2025 due to high base effects and the temporary withdrawal of certain subsidies [15] - It suggests that the high-end passenger vehicle market may perform better in 2026, particularly for domestic brands with offerings above 300,000 yuan [15] - Recommendations include companies like JAC Motors, Geely, Xpeng, Great Wall Motors, SAIC Motor, Li Auto, Seres, and BYD for passenger vehicles [15] Key Recommendations - For automotive parts, the report recommends companies benefiting from the penetration of high-level intelligence into lower-priced models, including Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Kobot [15][6] - In the commercial vehicle sector, it suggests companies like Weichai Power, Foton Motor, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group as beneficiaries of the recovering demand for heavy trucks [15][6]