Report Overview - Report Date: November 25, 2025 [2] - Report Type: Pig Daily Report [1] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the long - term, pig slaughter is expected to maintain a slight growth until the first half of next year, and the concentrated second - fattening and pig holding in October have increased the supply pressure before the Spring Festival. In the short - term, the planned sales volume in November decreased by 3.27% compared with the actual sales volume in October. The demand for terminal consumption has increased due to the cooling weather, but the enthusiasm for second - fattening is weak. Spot prices are likely to fluctuate mainly, while futures prices are expected to continue to be weak in the medium - to - long term [8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 24th, the main 2601 contract of live pigs opened slightly higher, then rose and fell back, closing up at the end of the session. The highest price was 11,480 yuan/ton, the lowest was 11,360 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 11,400 yuan/ton, down 0.04% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index increased by 7,940 lots to 381,487 lots [7]. - **Spot Market**: On the 24th, the average price of ternary pigs nationwide was 11.57 yuan/kg, down 0.04 yuan/kg from the previous day [7]. - **Supply and Demand Analysis**: In the long - term, pig slaughter will increase slightly until the first half of next year. In the short - term, the planned sales volume in November decreased. The demand for terminal consumption increased due to the cooling weather, and the orders of slaughtering enterprises increased. However, the enthusiasm for second - fattening is weak [8]. 3.2 Industry News - No industry news is provided in the report. 3.3 Data Overview - **Profit and Cost**: As of the week ending November 21, the average profit per self - bred and self - raised pig was - 96.6 yuan/head, a weekly decrease of 25 yuan/head; the profit per pig purchased as a piglet was - 273 yuan/head, a weekly increase of 2 yuan/head. The cost of fattening a 110 - kg pig to 140 kg was 14.47 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.04 yuan/kg from the previous week; the cost of fattening a 125 - kg pig to 150 kg was 14.89 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.04 yuan/kg from the previous week [18]. - **Average Slaughter Weight**: As of the week ending November 21, the average slaughter weight of live pigs was 128.81 kg, an increase of 0.33 kg from the previous week (a weekly increase of 0.26%), an increase of 0.91 kg from the previous month (a monthly increase of 0.71%), and an increase of 2.08 kg from the same period last year (an annual increase of 1.64%) [18].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The agricultural sector has shown defensive characteristics amid recent market adjustments, with the agricultural index down 3.45%, ranking 9th among 31 primary industries [5][12] - The pig market is experiencing weak prices, with a stabilization around 11.50 CNY/kg, driven by seasonal demand expectations, but overall supply exceeds demand, limiting price increases [5][16] - October saw a significant reduction in pig production capacity, with the number of breeding sows falling below 40 million for the first time in 17 months, indicating a potential for price increases in the second half of 2026 [6][18] - The white feather chicken market is facing stable chick prices but declining meat prices, with a notable decrease in the number of breeding chicks updated, indicating supply chain pressures [30][31] Summary by Sections Market Review - The agricultural sector demonstrated resilience with a smaller adjustment compared to the broader market, as the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 fell by 3.90% and 3.77% respectively [12] - Among agricultural sub-sectors, only aquaculture and seeds saw price increases, while others declined [15] Livestock Industry Tracking Pigs - Prices are fluctuating around 11.50 CNY/kg, with expectations of a demand increase due to seasonal factors, but slaughter rates remain low [16] - Losses in pig farming are increasing, with self-bred pigs losing an average of 136 CNY per head, and purchased piglets losing 235 CNY per head [17] - The Ministry of Agriculture reported a 1.1% decrease in breeding stock in October, with a target of reducing 1 million sows being halfway achieved [18][19] White Feather Chicken - Chick prices remain stable at 3.7 CNY per chick, with average profits around 0.8 CNY per chick, while meat prices have slightly decreased to 3.52 CNY per jin [30] - The number of breeding chicks updated has decreased significantly, with a 19.01% drop compared to the previous year, indicating potential supply issues [30][31] Planting Industry Tracking - Sugar prices have decreased to 5512 CNY/ton, down 148 CNY from the previous week [35] - Soybean prices have also fallen, with Brazilian soybeans at 3816 CNY/ton, down 7.4% [35] - Corn prices have shown an upward trend, reaching 2227 CNY/ton, an increase of 16 CNY from the previous week [37]

Core Viewpoint - The company has significantly reduced its costs, leading to a competitive advantage over peers, primarily due to improvements in production performance and a decrease in period expenses [1] Group 1: Cost Reduction Factors - The complete cost of pig farming for the company is approximately 11.3 yuan/kg as of October 2025 [1] - The main reasons for the cost reduction include enhanced production performance and lower period expenses [1] - Despite a slight increase in feed prices since the beginning of the year, the company's continuous improvement in production performance and management has resulted in a month-on-month decline in total farming costs [1] Group 2: Future Strategies - The company plans to focus on business and organizational management to seek innovative breakthroughs in pig farming technology [1] - There will be ongoing efforts to promote and replicate successful management experiences across internal operations to improve the performance of underperforming farms [1] - The aim is to enhance overall efficiency and further reduce costs through effective internal management [1]

Core Viewpoint - The largest shareholder of Gaole Co., Ltd. is planning to transfer its shares or delegate voting rights, which may lead to a change in control of the company [2]. Group 1: Shareholder Changes - On January 24, Gaole Co., Ltd. announced that its largest shareholder, Huadong Group, is planning to transfer its shares or delegate voting rights, potentially resulting in a change of control [2]. - The company's stock was suspended from trading starting November 25, 2025, due to this significant announcement, with an expected suspension period of no more than two trading days [3]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Prior to the suspension, on November 24, Gaole Co., Ltd. saw its stock price hit the daily limit up, closing at 4.81 yuan per share, reflecting a 10.07% increase, with a market capitalization of 4.556 billion yuan [5]. Group 3: Historical Context - Huadong Group became the controlling shareholder of Gaole Co., Ltd. in November 2022 through a share transfer and voting rights delegation, acquiring 133 million shares (14% of total shares) and additional voting rights for 73.31 million shares (7.74% of total shares), totaling 21.74% voting rights [8][11]. - The group had previously planned to increase its stake to 33.85% through a private placement, but this plan was not executed [11]. Group 4: Business Transformation Challenges - Huadong Group, established in 2003, has a background in the feed industry and has expanded into a full industry chain covering pig farming, slaughtering, and meat processing. In contrast, Gaole Co., Ltd. primarily operates in the toy and internet education sectors [13]. - The company had announced plans to leverage Huadong Group's technology to transform its business, including a strategic cooperation agreement to invest approximately 2 billion yuan in a 2GWh solid-state battery project in Yiwu [13]. - However, as of September this year, there has been no substantial progress on the battery project, and the company has not generated any revenue from this sector [14]. Group 5: Financial Performance - Gaole Co., Ltd. has faced ongoing financial difficulties, reporting a net loss for six consecutive years since 2019. In the first three quarters of this year, the company achieved a revenue of 226 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.06%, but still reported a net loss of 11.67 million yuan [15].

11月25日，罗牛山盘中上涨2.18%，截至11:19，报8.44元/股，成交3.70亿元，换手率3.86%，总市值 97.19亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出897.90万元，特大单买入1624.75万元，占比4.39%，卖出2769.99万元， 占比7.49%；大单买入6991.12万元，占比18.89%，卖出6743.79万元，占比18.22%。 罗牛山今年以来股价涨27.11%，近5个交易日涨0.12%，近20日涨23.57%，近60日涨30.85%。 资料显示，罗牛山股份有限公司位于海南省海口市美兰区国兴大道5号海南大厦农信楼12楼，成立日期 1987年12月19日，上市日期1997年6月11日，公司主营业务涉及生猪养殖和屠宰加工业务、冷链业务、 房地产业务和教育服务业务。主营业务收入构成为：畜牧业64.60%，农副食品加工业13.46%，教育业 7.73%，房地产业7.16%，仓储物流业4.05%，其他2.99%。 罗牛山所属申万行业为：农林牧渔-养殖业-生猪养殖。所属概念板块包括：海南自贸区、职业教育、生 态农业、小盘、乡村振兴等。 截至11月20日，罗牛山股东户数8.68万，较上期减少7. ...

Key Points - The article discusses significant events in the private equity fund market from November 17 to November 23, highlighting various government-led and market-driven funds established to support innovation and technology sectors [5]. Government-Backed Funds - Hong Kong has launched a HKD 10 billion Innovation and Technology Industry Fund, focusing on five key sectors including life sciences and AI, with a target of establishing multiple sub-funds totaling at least HKD 40 billion [7]. - Sichuan Province has established a CNY 10 billion electronic information sub-fund, the largest in its government fund system, aimed at strategic projects in the electronic information sector [8]. - Hangzhou has set up a CNY 2 billion "Run Miao Fund" to address early-stage financing challenges for tech startups, focusing on projects with valuations under CNY 100 million [8]. - A CNY 10 billion pig industry chain fund is being established in Sichuan to support the development of the pig industry cluster [9]. - The Nantong Baoyuehu Science and Technology Mother Fund is seeking managers for sub-funds focusing on strategic emerging industries [9]. - Nanjing is selecting managers for a CNY 200 million silicon-based micro-display industry fund, with a focus on local investments [9]. - Hainan is looking for managers for a CNY 500 million healthcare fund targeting seed and early-stage tech companies [10]. - The Yulin Science and Technology Innovation City Fund has been established with a CNY 200 million scale, focusing on various strategic emerging industries [10]. Market-Driven Funds - Wuhan has established a CNY 1 billion Future Intelligent Venture Capital Fund, focusing on private equity investment management [12]. - Nanjing has launched a CNY 1 billion artificial intelligence fund, targeting cutting-edge fields like AI and big data [12]. - Zhengzhou has registered a CNY 200 million angel investment fund aimed at supporting early-stage tech startups [12]. - The Chuchang Tongda Industrial Fund has completed registration with an initial scale of CNY 14 million, focusing on the life sciences sector [13][14]. - The Anhui Huidao Transportation Science and Technology Fund has been established with a scale of CNY 1 billion, focusing on transportation technology [14]. - The Yantai Happiness New City Mother Fund has been set up with a CNY 1 billion scale, focusing on private equity investments [15]. - A CNY 3 billion investment fund for new materials has been established, with a focus on unlisted companies in the new materials sector [18]. - The Hangzhou Guoling Yuanqi Fund has been established with a total scale of CNY 1 billion, focusing on energy-related projects [18].

Industry Overview - The pig farming industry is undergoing significant adjustments, with many leading companies halting multiple breeding projects and closing some pig farms due to persistent low prices, high breeding costs, and market supply-demand imbalances [1] - Companies are adopting a "reduce weight to move forward" strategy by terminating projects, relinquishing farm leases, and optimizing assets to cope with the industry's downturn [1] - The overall consensus in the industry is to shrink production capacity and optimize structures to mitigate risks associated with oversupply and low prices [2] Policy Alignment - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has approved guidelines to strengthen comprehensive capacity regulation and promote high-quality development in the pig industry, encouraging large enterprises to improve quality and supporting small farms to develop moderate-scale operations [2] - The proactive capacity reduction by companies aligns with these policies, reflecting a response to market realities and a strategic layout for stable future development [2] Company Performance - A company known for "Qingyuan Chicken" has achieved counter-cyclical growth in pig farming despite the overall industry contraction, having started in 2003 with a focus on breeding Qingyuan Chicken [4] - The company has diversified into pig farming since 2012, establishing a dual business model of "chicken and pig farming," with pig products now accounting for over 60% of its revenue [4] - In 2024, the company is expected to have a pig output of 1.4 million heads, ranking eighth among pig farming enterprises in Southwest China, with a pig gross profit per head ranking second among large-scale farming companies nationwide [4] Business Strategy - The company is extending its industrial chain downstream to mitigate cyclical fluctuations, with revenue from fresh and other products increasing from 8.9% in 2022 to 13.0% in the first half of 2025 [5] - Funds raised from the upcoming Hong Kong listing will primarily be used for meat processing, offline dining services, and technology research and development, including the establishment of a smart agricultural product processing industrial park [5] - This full-chain model allows the company to avoid raw material price volatility and enhance product value, although it requires significant financial strength and operational capability [5] Leadership and Capital Support - The company's growth is attributed to the commitment of its founding team and capital support, with a family governance structure that includes the founders and their son, who manages digitalization and supply chain [6] - The company has completed eight rounds of financing, with a valuation of approximately 5.6 billion yuan following the latest round in August 2025, indicating a determination to expand and optimize through capital markets [6] - Previous attempts to list on A-shares were unsuccessful, but the shift to the Hong Kong market reflects the company's ambition for further growth [6]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Minsheng Securities highlights the cyclical recovery in the livestock industry, emphasizing the valuation shift for leading companies in the sector [1] Livestock Industry - The domestic livestock cycle is expected to reverse, with both domestic and international beef and raw milk markets likely to experience upward momentum [1] - Official capacity regulation in the pig industry is anticipated to accelerate cash flow improvements for leading enterprises, potentially transforming them into dividend stocks as industry capacity contracts [1] - In the poultry sector, limited supply fluctuations are expected, with market conditions likely to improve alongside demand recovery, allowing leading companies to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns [1] Feed Industry - The deepening industrialization of livestock and poultry farming, along with clear industry segmentation, positions leading feed companies to further enhance their competitive advantages through technology and service [1] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a scarce growth sector, expected to benefit from demographic changes [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended livestock companies include: - For livestock: Youran Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu [1] - For pigs: Huazhong Holdings, Dekang Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Tiankang Biological, and Shennong Group [1] - For poultry: Lihua Stock, Yisheng Shares, and Shennong Development [1] - For feed: Haida Group [1] - For pets: Guibao Pet [1]

Core Viewpoint - Dekang Agriculture (02419) experienced a significant stock price increase, attributed to government policies aimed at stabilizing pig prices and enhancing the quality of the pig industry [1] Company Summary - Dekang Agriculture's stock rose over 6% in early trading, currently at 77.15 HKD with a trading volume of 34.26 million HKD [1] - The company has a competitive advantage in breeding costs, ranking among the top in profitability per head among listed pig companies [1] - Dekang's light asset model has allowed the company to improve its profitability, transitioning from catching up to surpassing competitors [1] Industry Summary - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting to discuss comprehensive capacity regulation to promote high-quality development in the pig industry [1] - The meeting emphasized the need for dynamic supply-demand matching and collaborative enhancement of the industry chain [1] - Analysts predict that the government's commitment to stabilizing pig prices will lead to increased regulatory efforts on industry capacity, benefiting cost-efficient and community-oriented companies [1]

Core Insights - The overall trend in the pig market indicates a continued decline in prices, with a significant drop in live pig prices observed in November, reflecting a supply surplus and weak demand [1][5]. Price Trends - As of mid-November 2025, 30 out of 50 monitored products saw price increases, while 17 experienced declines, with live pig prices reported at 11.6 yuan/kg, down 1.7% from the previous period [1]. - The price of live pigs (external three yuan) fell from 12.05 yuan/kg on November 1 to 11.65 yuan/kg by November 24, marking a 3.3% decrease [1]. Policy and Industry Response - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has proposed measures to strengthen comprehensive capacity regulation in the pig industry, aiming for high-quality development and dynamic supply-demand adjustments [2]. - Analysts suggest that the upcoming southern cured meat season may provide some support for pig prices, but the overall supply-demand imbalance is expected to limit any significant price rebound [2]. Market Dynamics - According to Dongfang Securities, the current low prices for fat and piglets may lead to a market-driven capacity reduction, with historical patterns indicating a likelihood of industry contraction [4]. - The number of breeding sows has decreased significantly, with a reported decline of 90,000 heads in the third quarter and a total below 40 million by the end of October, indicating accelerated capacity reduction [4]. Supply and Demand Outlook - Huatai Futures anticipates that the upcoming months will see increased pressure on pig supply due to concentrated market exits and seasonal peaks in slaughtering, despite ongoing demand growth [4]. - The chief economist at Zheshang Securities notes that the current pig cycle is characterized by shorter cycles and increased volatility, with a supply surplus expected to persist in the near term [5]. - Seasonal demand for cured meats in November and December may provide temporary support for prices, but the overall market remains oversupplied, limiting potential price increases [5].