FICC日报 | 2025-06-04 股指低开高走，金融板块表现强势 市场分析 特朗普提高关税。国内方面，美方称中方违反日内瓦会谈共识，对此，外交部发言人林剑表示，商务部发言人此 前已就此阐明中方严正立场。日内瓦共识是中美双方在相互尊重、平等协商的原则下达成的。美方在毫无事实根 据的情况下，对中方抹黑指责，出台对华芯片出口管制、暂停对华芯片设计软件销售、宣布撤销中国留学生签证 等极端打压措施，严重破坏日内瓦共识，也损害了中方正当权益。中方对此坚决反对，已提出严正交涉。林剑强 调，施压和胁迫不是同中方打交道的正确方式。我们督促美方尊重事实，停止散布虚假信息，纠正有关错误做法， 以实际行动维护双方达成的共识。海外方面，特朗普宣布将进口钢铁和铝及其衍生制品的关税从25%提高至50%， 该关税政策自美国东部时间2025年6月4日凌晨00时01分起生效。美国从英国进口的钢铝关税仍将维持在25%。 股指上涨。现货市场，A股三大指数低开高走，上证指数涨0.43%收于33631.98点，创业板指涨0.48%。行业方面， 板块指数涨多跌少，美容护理、纺织服饰、银行行业领涨，家用电器、钢铁、煤炭行业跌幅居前。当日沪深两市 成交 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant rise in stock prices for companies like Pop Mart, Lao Pu Gold, and Mixue Ice City, indicating a continued increase in "new consumption" trends supported by government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand [1] - The issuance of the "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption" by higher authorities aims to enhance consumption and expand domestic demand across various sectors, particularly benefiting the large consumption sector, including food and beverage, and beauty care industries [1] - The emotional and experiential consumption sectors are rapidly developing, with a focus on the symbolic and content value of products, driven by changing psychological demands across different social stages [3] Group 2 - The gold category is experiencing an increase in craftsmanship value and consumer attributes, leading to market expansion, with innovations like ancient method gold appealing to younger consumers' aesthetic and value retention needs [3] - The tea and coffee sectors are facing product, channel, and technological iterations, indicating structural high growth potential despite differing core capabilities [4] - The acceleration of AI commercialization is evident, with new technologies being applied to physical devices like AI glasses and toys, enhancing efficiency and commercial viability in sectors such as human resources, e-commerce, and education [5] Group 3 - Traditional retail has faced challenges but is undergoing strong transformation, shifting core capabilities from site selection to product selection, forming competitive advantages through efficient aggregation, scale effects, and fulfillment capabilities [6] - New retail channels, such as discount snacks and urban outlet stores, are achieving economies of scale, while instant retail is leveraging fulfillment efficiency to capture market share [6] - The "Su Super" league has significantly boosted local tourism and consumption, with events driving engagement and promotional activities enhancing local economic activity [6] Group 4 - The collaboration between the banking sector and tourism industry is emerging as a vital engine for market vitality, with strategic partnerships like that between Agricultural Bank of China and Tongcheng Travel aiming to integrate financial resources with tourism scenarios [8] - This partnership focuses on credit support, consumption promotion, and member services, exploring high-quality development paths in the "tourism + finance" ecosystem [8] Group 5 - The long-term strategic direction of expanding domestic demand suggests a sustained focus on large consumption, particularly in new consumption areas such as IP economy, instant retail, and cross-border e-commerce [9] - Companies benefiting from consumption upgrades and innovative business models, especially those making significant progress in AI, domestic trends, and international strategies, are recommended for priority investment [9]

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight rebound with all three major indices closing higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3361.98, up 0.43% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.14 trillion, an increase of 22.3 billion compared to the previous trading day [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), and Banking (up 1.98%) [1] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), and Coal (down 0.84%) [1] Concept Indices - Notable concept indices that performed well included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (up 4.23%), Cell Immunotherapy (up 3.87%), and Football Concept (up 3.56%) [2] - Underperforming concept indices included Special Steel Concept (down 0.93%) and Medical Waste Treatment (down 0.51%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a range-bound and consolidating trend, with a focus on sectors such as Finance, Pharmaceutical Biology, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and Non-ferrous Metals [4] - The upcoming mid-year performance expectations are anticipated to drive structural market trends, with fundamentals becoming a key factor [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a rebound on June 3, with broad-based gains across indices, indicating a positive market response to domestic demand and policy support despite external trade tensions [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The market is characterized by "domestic demand-driven and policy-supported" dynamics, with financials, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption sectors attracting significant capital [2][10]. - Recent developments in U.S. tariff issues have heightened market risk aversion, leading to a surge in gold prices and declines in Hong Kong stocks, but the A-share market showed resilience by recovering losses [2][3]. Sector Performance - The consumer sector, particularly in beauty care, maternal and infant care, and pet products, has become a safe haven for funds due to policy support and consumption recovery [3][9]. - The banking sector is favored for its "high dividend and low volatility" characteristics, with several banks reaching historical highs amid increased institutional investment [7][10]. - The precious metals sector is gaining traction as a hedge against geopolitical conflicts and U.S. debt risks, becoming a core tool for mitigating uncertainty [3][9]. Structural Trends - The innovation drug sector is witnessing a fundamental reversal, driven by significant advancements showcased at international conferences, boosting industry confidence [4][9]. - Conversely, sectors like home appliances and steel are experiencing declines due to tariff impacts and reduced earnings certainty, reflecting a market strategy of "avoiding external demand and protecting internal demand" [5][10]. Outlook - Looking ahead to June, the marginal impact of tariff issues is expected to weaken, with domestic policies and industry fundamentals remaining focal points [6]. - In the absence of major catalysts, broad indices are likely to maintain a sideways trend, with structural opportunities emerging in new consumption, defensive sectors, and performance reversals in pharmaceuticals and beauty care [6][9].

Summary of the Conference Call Company Overview - The company discussed is Aptar, which operates primarily in the pharmaceutical, beauty, personal care, home care, food, and beverage sectors [2][3][5] - Approximately 46% of Aptar's business is in the pharmaceutical sector, which is the most profitable and rapidly growing segment [3][11] Key Business Segments Pharmaceutical Business - The pharmaceutical segment includes proprietary dispensing devices such as nasal sprays and injectables, notably GLP-1 [3][11] - The company has increased its core sales growth rate for the pharmaceutical business to 7-11% from a previous range of 6-10% [11] - The pharmaceutical business has a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 8% over the last decade [11] - The segment contributes nearly 70% of the company's EBITDA [17] Beauty and Personal Care - The beauty segment has faced challenges but is expected to improve due to cost improvements and productivity enhancements [12][34] - China is a significant market for beauty products, with the average consumer basket containing twice as many beauty products compared to the West [34][55] - The company has undergone a significant renovation process in its beauty business, including upgrading assets and reducing non-competitive plants [34] Closures Business - The closures segment is known for innovative products like the upside-down ketchup bottle, which has expanded into various condiments and personal care products [36][38] - This segment is primarily US-focused and has been able to drive growth through converting markets to use Aptar's products [41] Financial Performance and Targets - The adjusted EBITDA target for the total company has been increased to 21-23% [11] - The return on invested capital target has been raised to 11-13% [11] - The company has returned nearly $800 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks from 2019 to 2024 [13] - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 1.16, allowing for continued investment in growth opportunities [14] Sustainability and Competitive Advantage - Sustainability is a core part of Aptar's business model, providing a competitive advantage [7][15] - The company has received recognition for its sustainability efforts, including being in the top 1% of companies ranked by EcoVadis [15][16] Market Trends and Growth Drivers - There is a trend of repurposing existing drugs for nasal delivery, which is driving growth in the pharmaceutical segment [22][24] - The rise in allergic rhinitis cases, particularly in Asia, is another growth driver for the pharmaceutical business [24][25] - The company benefits from its intellectual property, allowing it to maintain revenue even when products go generic or over-the-counter [25][26] Customer Dynamics and Market Conditions - Customer conversations indicate a cautious approach to strategic actions due to ongoing tariff uncertainties [45][46] - The company has observed a resurgence in consumer confidence in China, which is expected to positively impact the beauty segment [54][55] Conclusion - Aptar is positioned for long-term growth with a focus on innovation, sustainability, and a strong balance sheet, despite facing challenges in certain segments [11][12][14]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.43% closing at 3361.98 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.16% at 10057.17 points, the ChiNext Index up by 0.48% at 2002.70 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index up by 0.48% at 981.71 points [1][12] - Overall, 3390 stocks rose while 1782 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 1141.4 billion yuan, an increase of 2.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the sectors that saw gains included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), Comprehensive (up 2.02%), Banking (up 1.98%), and Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (up 1.80%) [1][12] - The sectors that experienced declines included Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), Coal (down 0.84%), Building Materials (down 0.52%), and Environmental Protection (down 0.40%) [1][12] Concept Sectors - The top-performing concept sectors today included Gold and Jewelry, Medical Beauty, Dairy Industry, Gene Testing, CRO, Anti-Cancer, Rare Earth, Biological Vaccines, Innovative Drugs, and Medical Supplies Export [2][11] - Conversely, sectors such as Automotive Complete Vehicles, Wireless Charging, and Excavators experienced pullbacks [11]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.36% as of 13:58, with a trading volume of 779.15 million shares and a turnover of 936.02 billion yuan, representing a 0.34% increase compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Beauty Care: Increased by 4.10% with a transaction amount of 10.36 billion yuan, led by Shuiyang Co., which rose by 15.15% [1]. - Comprehensive: Increased by 2.16% with a transaction amount of 2.24 billion yuan, led by Nanjing Xinbai, which rose by 6.23% [1]. - Textile and Apparel: Increased by 2.03% with a transaction amount of 13.61 billion yuan, led by Mankalon, which rose by 19.98% [1]. - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Household Appliances: Decreased by 1.87% with a transaction amount of 15.38 billion yuan, led by Midea Group, which fell by 4.17% [2]. - Steel: Decreased by 1.37% with a transaction amount of 4.86 billion yuan, led by Benxi Steel, which fell by 6.75% [2]. - Coal: Decreased by 1.09% with a transaction amount of 5.21 billion yuan, led by Anyuan Coal Industry, which fell by 4.32% [2]. Detailed Industry Data - The following table summarizes the performance of various industries: | Industry | Change (%) | Transaction Amount (billion yuan) | Change from Previous Day (%) | Leading Stock | Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Beauty Care | 4.10 | 10.36 | 34.48 | Shuiyang Co. | 15.15 | | Comprehensive | 2.16 | 2.24 | 12.95 | Nanjing Xinbai | 6.23 | | Textile and Apparel | 2.03 | 13.61 | 15.61 | Mankalon | 19.98 | | Household Appliances | -1.87 | 15.38 | 17.34 | Midea Group | -4.17 | | Steel | -1.37 | 4.86 | 31.69 | Benxi Steel | -6.75 | | Coal | -1.09 | 5.21 | 45.64 | Anyuan Coal Industry | -4.32 | [1][2]

6 月 3 日 A 股市场低开高走，宽基指数普涨，6月录得开门红。市场运行逻辑方面，"避险+消费"双轮驱 动的主线依然清晰，银行、新消费、创新药等板块持续获得资金青睐。 银行股的强势不仅源于其低估值和高股息属性对中长期资金的吸引力，部分个股入选重要指数样本也带 来增量资金预期。 消息面上，近期美国关税问题再生波澜，市场避险情绪升温，6月2日黄金大涨，港股全线收跌。就3日 表现看，港股收复昨日失地，A股也是低开高走，表明市场对关税不确定性已对贸易摩擦的边际影响逐 步脱敏 。 逻辑上，证监会此前明确表示，A 股上市公司近九成收入来自国内，且对美出口占比不足 10% 的企业 达 91%，叠加 "东升西落" 叙事下全球资本再平衡，美国金融市场波动反而凸显中国资产的稳定性。 题材热点方面呈现快速轮动态势。稳定币概念持续发酵，特别是数字货币与跨境支付方向表现强势，主 要受市场对相关领域潜在政策进展预期的推动。军工板块中无人机方向异军突起，多股涨停，行业前景 向好及潜在需求复苏预期成为重要驱动因素。受地方性足球赛事带动文旅消费等消息刺激，足球概念股 也出现明显拉升。此外，黄金概念股表现也较为抢眼。 这种分化折射出市场在不确 ...

Market Overview - The consumer sector is showing signs of recovery, leading to a strong rally in bank stocks, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.48% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.35% on the first trading day of June [2][5] - The total market turnover for the half-day session was 763.9 billion CNY, slightly down from the previous day, with 3,437 stocks rising, 241 unchanged, and 1,734 declining [5] Consumer Sector - The consumer sector is rebounding, with significant gains in gold and jewelry, medical beauty, online gaming, and innovative drug concepts [5][12] - Notable stocks in the beauty and healthcare sector include Water Sheep Co. and Beitaini, which saw increases of over 10% [9] - The gold and jewelry concept stocks surged, with Man Ka Long hitting the daily limit and West Gold also reaching the limit [14][15] Bank Sector - Bank stocks experienced a strong surge, with Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank hitting the daily limit and reaching a new high of 9.86 CNY per share, bringing its total market value to 95.1 billion CNY [18] - Other banks such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Industrial Bank also saw significant increases, with some stocks reaching historical highs [19] - The inclusion of Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank in major indices like the CSI 300 and SSE 180 is expected to enhance its market visibility and investor interest [18] Gold Market - COMEX gold futures rose by 2.74% to 3,406.4 USD per ounce, supported by concerns over trade uncertainties [15] - The gold jewelry sector is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by consumer demand for fashionable and meaningful products [17]

（原标题：今日68只A股封板 美容护理行业涨幅最大） 证券时报•数据宝统计，截至上午收盘，今日沪指涨0.48%，A股成交量636.80亿股，成交金额7638.85亿元，比上一个交易日减少0.93%。个股方 面，3437只个股上涨，其中涨停68只，1735只个股下跌，其中跌停5只。从申万行业来看，美容护理、综合、纺织服饰等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为 3.61%、2.25%、1.73%；钢铁、家用电器、煤炭等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为1.50%、1.48%、0.88%。（数据宝） 今日各行业表现（截至上午收盘） | 申万行业 | 行业 | 成交额 | 比上日 | | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 涨跌 | （亿元） | （%） | 领涨（跌）股 | （%） | | | （%） | | | | | | 美容护理 | 3.61 | 81.35 24.94 | | 水羊股份 | 12.61 | | 综合 | 2.25 | 17.50 | 5.79 | 特力A | 4.95 | | 纺织服饰 | 1.73 | 109.34 | 9.09 | 曼卡龙 | 19.98 | ...