三季度以来，创业板指凭借凌厉的涨势成为市场焦点。Wind数据显示，截至9月12日收盘，创业板指年内涨幅达41%，其中6月23日行情启动以来累计上涨 50%，较同期沪深300指数的涨幅高出近33个百分点。值得关注的是，强势领跑后，创业板指估值仍具优势。其市盈率（TTM）近10年分位数为40%，显著 低于上证指数、沪深300、中证500、科创综指等宽基指数。 | 序号 | 指数代码 | 指数名称 | 今年以来 | 6月23日 | 近5年市盈率 | 近10年市盈率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 涨幅% | | 以来涨幅%(PE,TTM)分位数 | (PE,TTM)分位数 | | l | 399006. SZ | 创业板指 | 41.04 | 50. 28 | 58.27 | 40.25 | | ​​​ | 000680. SH | 科创综指 | 43.66 | 38. 45 | 97.28 | 97.28 | | 3 | 000905. SH | 中证500 | 24. 84 | 26.74 | 99.86 | 80. 65 | | 4 ...

Group 1 - In the past five trading days, a total of 265 companies were investigated by institutions, with a significant focus on companies like Jing Sheng Machinery, Aeston, and Guanghe Technology [1] - Among the companies surveyed, 49 received attention from more than 20 institutions, with Jing Sheng Machinery being the most popular, attracting 229 institutions [1][2] - The types of institutions involved in the surveys included 222 securities companies, 180 fund companies, and 97 private equity firms, indicating a diverse interest in the market [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital inflow, 22 stocks among those surveyed saw net inflows, with Cambridge Technology leading with a net inflow of 1.308 billion yuan [1] - The stocks that experienced the highest price increases included Kaipu Cloud, Cambridge Technology, and Jiechuang Intelligent, with respective increases of 36.96%, 25.61%, and 20.40% [2] - Conversely, some stocks faced declines, such as Aipeng Medical, Focai Technology, and Jiaxian Co., with decreases of 7.79%, 4.86%, and 3.96% respectively [2] Group 3 - The most frequently surveyed companies included Lingnan Holdings, Zhou Dashing, and Yaguang Technology, each being surveyed three times [1] - The survey data indicates a concentrated interest in specific sectors, particularly in power equipment and machinery, as evidenced by the number of institutions involved [1][2] - The overall market performance of surveyed stocks shows a mix of gains and losses, reflecting varying investor sentiment and market conditions [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" [3] Core Insights - The 2025 Huawei Connect Conference will focus on the theme of "Leaping Industry Intelligence" and will showcase Huawei's latest initiatives in comprehensive intelligence strategy, including new digital infrastructure products and industry-specific solutions [1] - The conference's Embodied Intelligence Innovation Forum aims to discuss advancements in Huawei Cloud's CloudRobo platform, emphasizing data collection, reasoning training, and open collaboration to promote the evolution of embodied intelligence towards autonomy and generalization [2] - The report anticipates that the conference will generate significant market attention, potentially leading to a "September Market Surge" for Huawei-related investments, as embodied intelligence is on the verge of a breakthrough characterized by cost reduction and expanded application scenarios [3] Summary by Sections Strategic Overview - The report highlights the importance of building a global open collaboration ecosystem to enhance the capabilities of embodied intelligence, with a focus on standardization, data, and industry positioning [2] Technological Development - Huawei Cloud's CloudRobo platform is designed to empower embodied intelligence, addressing the challenges of data, training, and operation within the industry chain, providing a comprehensive technical support base for enterprises [2] Ecosystem Collaboration - The forum will feature discussions with Huawei Cloud customers and partners, sharing practical experiences in implementing embodied intelligence, thereby fostering innovation and collaboration across the industry chain [2] Market Performance - The report notes a strong historical performance with absolute returns of 21% over 1 month, 43% over 3 months, and 104% over 12 months, indicating robust market interest in the sector [5] - The total market capitalization of the industry is reported at 123.369 billion, with a total revenue of 346.28 billion and a net profit of 13.44 billion [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Xinhenghui's stock price increased by 1.78% on September 12, with a trading volume of 863 million yuan, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1][2] - On September 12, Xinhenghui had a financing purchase amount of 99.44 million yuan, with a net financing purchase of 10.84 million yuan, suggesting strong investor interest [1][2] - As of September 12, the total balance of margin trading for Xinhenghui was 442 million yuan, which represents 10.51% of its circulating market value [2] Group 2 - Xinhenghui Electronic Co., Ltd. was established on December 7, 2017, and is located in Zibo City, Shandong Province. The company specializes in smart card business, etched lead frame business, and IoT eSIM chip testing services [2] - The revenue composition of Xinhenghui's main business includes smart card business (59.74%), etched lead frame (28.34%), IoT eSIM chip testing (6.16%), and others (5.76%) [2] - For the first half of 2025, Xinhenghui achieved an operating income of 474 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.51%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 88.95 million yuan, a decrease of 11.94% year-on-year [2]

Group 1 - On September 12, among the 31 first-level industries tracked by Shenwan, 21 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics industry leading at a net inflow of 4.645 billion yuan [1] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows included non-ferrous metals, banking, machinery and equipment, telecommunications, electric power equipment, and pharmaceuticals, each exceeding 600 million yuan in net inflows [1] Group 2 - A total of 1,794 individual stocks received net financing inflows on September 12, with 53 stocks having net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - Among these, 20 stocks had net inflows over 200 million yuan, with Chipone Technology leading at a net inflow of 964 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks with high net inflows included Cambricon Technologies, Luxshare Precision, Northern Rare Earth, Sieng, and Newyeason, each with net inflows exceeding 500 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing inflow of southbound funds into Hong Kong stocks, making them a focal point for global capital allocation towards Chinese assets. As of September 12, 2025, the net inflow of southbound funds reached 1,072.886 billion HKD, contributing to a year-to-date increase of 31.55% in the Hang Seng Index and 28.46% in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index [1][2] - The launch of the first Hong Kong large-cap 30 ETF by Huabao Fund aims to provide investors with an innovative tool to capture investment opportunities in "core Chinese assets" within the Hong Kong market. This ETF tracks the Hang Seng China (Hong Kong-listed) 30 Index, which consists of the 30 largest companies listed in Hong Kong [1][2] - The investment logic for Hong Kong stocks has shifted from "offshore marketization" to "onshore marketization," with a more diversified investment style and an expansion of profit models, which supports the sustainability of the Hong Kong stock market [2] Group 2 - The Hang Seng China (Hong Kong-listed) 30 Index exhibits higher concentration and lower volatility compared to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Index. The top ten constituent stocks account for 74% of the index, significantly higher than the 56% for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index [3][4] - The index has shown significant excess returns since its base date of January 3, 2000, with a cumulative increase of 368.50% by August 31, 2025, outperforming the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Index by 14.90% and 320.66%, respectively [5] - As of the end of August 2025, the Hang Seng China (Hong Kong-listed) 30 Index has a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8, which is more favorable compared to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index's 10.2, indicating a better valuation advantage [7] Group 3 - Huabao Fund has established itself as a leading player in the ETF market, with a total asset management scale of 121.98 billion CNY as of September 11, 2025, and five ETFs exceeding 10 billion CNY in size, making it one of the companies with the most large-scale industry-themed ETFs [9][10] - The fund has developed a diverse range of ETFs focusing on high-tech strategic emerging industries, including medical, financial technology, and internet sectors, contributing to a robust "hard technology" ETF product matrix [10][11] - Huabao Fund has also focused on creating a "high dividend ETF family," which includes various high-dividend ETFs, catering to long-term capital allocation strategies [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - Global stock indices mostly rose last week, with the Asia-Pacific market leading, as the Hang Seng Tech Index surged by 5.3% [1] - The A-share market exhibited a V-shaped trend, with the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index both increasing by 2.1% [1] Group 2: Brokerage Strategies - CITIC Securities emphasizes that the current market rally is largely related to overseas exposure, recommending a focus on resources, new productive forces, and overseas expansion [1] - Huatai Securities' multi-dimensional timing model has achieved a cumulative return of 40.41% this year, continuing to favor A-shares, particularly in sectors like liquor, precious metals, banking, and oil [2] - Everbright Securities maintains a bullish outlook on the bull market, focusing on TMT sectors, citing reasonable market valuations and new positive factors emerging [2] Group 3: Capital Flows and Market Sentiment - CICC notes an acceleration of southbound capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks, with the Hang Seng Index surpassing 26,000 points, and suggests that fundamental structures remain a stable choice [3] - Xinda Securities identifies September as a watershed for fast and slow bull markets, indicating that the current bull market may have policy catalysts that could lead to a significant bull market [4] Group 4: Sector Focus - CITIC Jiantou highlights the importance of focusing on sectors with strong fundamentals, such as AI, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while also monitoring inflation trends [5] - Huaxi Securities believes that the A-share "slow bull" market will continue, with high-growth sectors likely to benefit from policy support and increased capital inflows [6] - Dongwu Securities recommends actively positioning in the AI industry chain, particularly in segments that may serve as "call options" due to potential breakthroughs [7] Group 5: Emerging Technologies - Galaxy Securities reports that the satellite internet sector is poised for growth, with advancements in satellite communication transitioning from "connectivity" to "intelligence," reshaping the industry [8]

Group 1 - The US and China held talks in Madrid on September 14 regarding trade issues, including unilateral tariffs and export controls [1] - The Chinese government is encouraging private investment in new productivity, emerging services, and new infrastructure [2] - The US Department of Commerce added several Chinese entities to its export control "entity list," which China strongly opposes [3] - China initiated anti-dumping investigations on imported simulation chips from the US and launched a discrimination investigation regarding US measures in the integrated circuit sector [4] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China reported that the social financing scale increased by 26.56 trillion yuan in the first eight months of 2025, up 4.66 trillion yuan year-on-year [5] - The National Bureau of Statistics is set to release key economic data, including industrial added value and fixed asset investment [6] - The Ministry of Finance announced early issuance of local government debt limits to address hidden debt [7] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released a plan for the automotive industry aiming for approximately 32.3 million vehicle sales in 2025, a 3% increase [8] - The National Internet Information Office is drafting regulations to promote the use of electronic documents and digital currency in cross-border payments [9] - The National Health Commission's draft for national standards on pre-prepared food safety has passed expert review [10] Group 4 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is investigating *ST Dongtong for serious financial fraud, proposing fines totaling 2.29 billion yuan [11] - Dongcai Technology announced that its high-speed electronic resin has been supplied to major server systems including Nvidia and Huawei [12] - Tuojing Technology plans to raise up to 4.6 billion yuan for high-end semiconductor equipment projects [13] - GoerTek announced plans to acquire 100% of Shanghai Aolai through a capital increase of 530 million yuan [14] - TCL Technology intends to invest approximately 29.5 billion yuan in an 8.6-generation printed OLED production line [15] Group 5 - The US stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.59% and the Nasdaq up 0.44%, driven by large tech stocks [20] - Nvidia is reportedly scaling back its cloud computing efforts, particularly its DGX Cloud service [21] - Economists predict that the Federal Reserve may implement two to three interest rate cuts by the end of the year [22]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to restart interest rate cuts in September 2024, with three cuts anticipated in 2024, but no cuts since then due to various uncertainties [1] - Recent U.S. inflation data shows a slight increase, with the August CPI rising 2.9% year-on-year and core CPI at 3.1%, compared to 2.7% and 3.0% respectively in the previous month [1] - Non-farm employment data for August indicates an increase of 22,000 jobs, which is below market expectations, and a significant downward revision of 911,000 jobs for the period from April 2024 to March 2025 [1] Group 2 - The market probability for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in September exceeds 90%, with probabilities for cuts in October and December also above 70% [1][3] - Historical analysis shows that during previous Fed rate cut cycles, sectors such as non-bank financials and growth stocks in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks tend to perform well [6][7] - In the short term (around 11 weeks), sectors benefiting from market activity, such as non-bank financials, have shown strong performance, while in the medium term (around 20 weeks), sectors like computers, electronics, and communications in A-shares have led in gains [6][7]

证券研究报告 2025 年 9 月 15 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 市场冲高回落，三大指数集体收跌 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3870.60 | -0.12% | -4.71 | | | 深证成指 | 12924.13 | -0.43% | -55.76 | | | 沪深 300 | 4522.00 | -0.57% | -26.04 | | | 创业板 | 3020.42 | -1.09% | -33.33 | | | 科创 50 | 1338.02 | 0.90% | 11.99 | | | 北证 50 | 1600.88 | -2.11% | -34.55 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色金属 | 1.96 ...