Wind统计显示，11月24日，申万31个一级行业中有14个行业获融资净买入，其中，传媒行业获融资净 买入额居首，当日净买入8.47亿元；获融资净买入居前的行业还有国防军工、交通运输、银行、农林牧 渔、有色金属等。 个股方面，11月24日，有1745只个股获融资净买入，净买入金额在3000万元以上的有113股。其中，17 股获融资净买入额超1亿元。蓝色光标获融资净买入额居首，净买入3.93亿元；融资净买入金额居前的 还有寒武纪、天齐锂业、融捷股份、易点天下、张江高科、天海防务、华友钴业、长芯博创等股。 ...

Strong Stocks - As of November 24, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05% to 3836.77 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.37% to 12585.08 points, and the ChiNext Index went up by 0.31% to 2929.04 points [1] - A total of 79 stocks in the A-share market hit the daily limit up, with the top three strong stocks being Guosheng Technology (603778), Aerospace Development (000547), and Guofeng New Materials (000859) [1] - The top 10 strong stocks showed significant trading activity, with Guosheng Technology achieving 11 consecutive trading days with 7 limit ups and a turnover rate of 19.73%, while Aerospace Development had 7 consecutive days with 6 limit ups and a turnover rate of 33.61% [1] Strong Concept Sectors - The top three concept sectors based on A-share performance were the China Shipbuilding System, Xiaohongshu Concept, and Military Information Technology, with respective increases of 6.63%, 4.76%, and 4.63% [2] - The China Shipbuilding System had 30% of its component stocks hitting the daily limit up, while 100% of its component stocks were in the rising category [2] - The Military Information Technology sector had 6.54% of its component stocks hitting the daily limit up, with 94.39% of its stocks showing an increase [2]

2025 年 11 月 24 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 分析师：马遥识途 资格证书：S1330524050001 联系邮箱：mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话：15201282186 相关研究 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.10 — 2025.11.14） 2025.11.19 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.03 — 2025.11.07） 2025.11.14 一周市场回顾 （2025.11.17—2025.11.21） A 股市场： ◼ 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 3.90%，收于 3834.89 点，深证成指下跌 5.13%，收于 12538.07 点，创业板指下跌 6.15%，收于 2920.08 点。 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.27 — 2025.10.31） 2025.11.03 融资融券： 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 1 / 7 市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别下跌 2.72%、下跌 3.88%、下跌 3.77%，成长风格类板块代表指 ...

Economic Overview - The A-share market has shown a decline in sectors such as energy metals, power equipment, and electronics, while defensive sectors like agriculture, home appliances, and banking have performed relatively better [1] - Fixed asset investment has decreased by 1.7% year-on-year from January to October, with a notable decline in real estate investment by 14.7% [2] - Industrial production has slowed down, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1% for the first ten months, and a drop to 4.9% in October compared to the previous month [2] Financial Data - In October, new RMB loans amounted to 220 billion, a decrease of 280 billion compared to the same month last year, while the social financing scale increased by 816.1 billion, down by 595.9 billion year-on-year [3] - M2 growth has slowed to 8.2%, down from 8.4%, and M1 growth has decreased to 6.2%, reflecting a cautious approach from enterprises towards investment [3] Market Sentiment - The Federal Reserve's hawkish signals have raised concerns about persistent inflation, leading to a decrease in expectations for interest rate cuts in December [4] - The domestic economic data has shown a downward trend, suggesting that the stock index may enter a phase of adjustment in the short term [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations and adjustments last week, with the margin balance reported at 24,614.50 billion yuan as of November 21, and a decrease in financing balance by 29.52 billion yuan [1][2]. Financing Balance Changes - Among the 31 industries tracked, only 8 saw an increase in financing balance, with the top three being Defense and Military, Media, and Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery, which had net purchases of 1.006 billion yuan, 492 million yuan, and 274 million yuan respectively [1][3]. - The remaining 23 industries experienced a decrease in financing balance, with Electronics, Electric Power Equipment, and Nonferrous Metals leading in net sales at 10.934 billion yuan, 5.322 billion yuan, and 3.601 billion yuan respectively [1][3]. Individual Stock Performance - Last week, financing clients increased their positions in 65 stocks by over 100 million yuan, with the top ten stocks being Ningde Times, Zhongji Xuchuang, Aerospace Development, Bluefocus, Jianghuai Automobile, BOE Technology Group, RDA Microelectronics, Founder Technology, Zhongjin Gold, and Huadian Technology, with net purchases of 2.105 billion yuan, 582 million yuan, 417 million yuan, 378 million yuan, 336 million yuan, 334 million yuan, 259 million yuan, 256 million yuan, 246 million yuan, and 242 million yuan respectively [4][5]. - The stocks with the highest increase in financing clients' positions generally saw positive market performance, with Aerospace Development rising over 31% [4].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing recovery in various industries, particularly in technology and consumption sectors, with a focus on the resilience of growth in the face of macroeconomic challenges [5][9][17] - The investment strategy for 2026 highlights a shift from extreme growth to balanced allocation, with specific attention to sectors like artificial intelligence, traditional industries benefiting from AI integration, and consumer sectors poised for recovery [9][28] Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market has shown volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,834.89, down 2.45%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12,538.07, down 3.41% [3][10] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 16.14 and 47.93, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [10][11] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have experienced slight declines, with the Dow down 0.67% and the S&P 500 down 0.45% [4] Industry Strategies - The report outlines a new recovery cycle in the machinery sector, with a notable 30.12% increase in the CITIC Machinery Index, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 14.11 percentage points [14][15] - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its upward trend, driven by domestic demand and technological advancements, with a focus on AI and autonomous driving technologies [17][20] Key Data Updates - The lithium battery sector has shown significant growth, with a 12.81% increase in revenue and a 28.38% increase in net profit in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating strong demand in both power and energy storage batteries [28][29] - The agricultural sector has faced challenges, with pig prices declining by 11.46% month-on-month in October 2025, reflecting supply and demand dynamics [30] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong recovery potential, such as food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods, while also considering the impact of government policies aimed at stabilizing growth [25][27] - Specific investment opportunities are highlighted in the AI sector, particularly in companies involved in AI hardware and software, as well as those in the semiconductor supply chain [21][22]

| 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3834.89 | -2.45% | -96.16 | | 深证成指 | 12538.07 | -3.41% | -442.75 | | 沪深 300 | 4453.61 | -2.44% | -111.34 | | 创业板 | 2920.08 | -4.02% | -122.26 | | 科创 50 | 1285.83 | -3.19% | -42.36 | | 北证 50 | 1377.39 | -4.71% | -68.15 | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： 证券研究报告 2025 年 11 月 24 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指失守 3900 点 市场表现： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概念板块表现前五 ◼ | | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 传媒 | -0.32% | 综合 | -5.50% | ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan emphasizes a positive outlook for the Chinese market despite recent volatility, suggesting that the market is entering a favorable phase for investment as it approaches a critical window of policy and liquidity support from December to February [1][2]. Market Analysis - The Chinese stock market has experienced significant declines, with the ChiNext index down 12%, the STAR 50 index nearly 20%, and the Hang Seng Tech index down 22%, indicating that the market has already released much of its risk [1]. - The report highlights that the current pessimism among investors is driven by year-end profit protection, reduced positions, and external factors such as the cooling of Fed rate cut expectations and increased volatility in U.S. markets [1][2]. Investment Strategy - Guotai Junan recommends increasing exposure to the Chinese market, particularly in technology, financial services, and consumer sectors, as the market is expected to stabilize and embark on a rally [1][3]. - Specific sectors to focus on include: - **Technology**: Growth in AI applications and infrastructure, with recommendations for internet, media, computing, and manufacturing sectors [3]. - **Financial Services**: Anticipated reforms in the capital market and early bank dividends, with a focus on brokerage and insurance stocks [3]. - **Consumer Goods**: Opportunities in low-priced, low-inventory consumer stocks, particularly in food, beverages, and tourism sectors, as macroeconomic risks decrease [3]. Future Outlook - The Chinese capital market is positioned for significant growth, with expectations of double-digit profit growth in non-financial sectors by 2026, driven by improved cash flows and reduced debt [2]. - The report suggests that the historical "guaranteed return" mindset is shifting, leading to increased asset management demand and a potential influx of new capital into the market [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market has entered a critical zone after panic selling, presenting a buying opportunity as the period from December to February is expected to see a convergence of policies, liquidity, and fundamentals [1][2]. Market Analysis - The recent panic selling has significantly released market risks, with the Chinese stock market now in a favorable position for recovery. The Shanghai Composite Index has seen a 5% pullback, while the ChiNext Index has dropped 12%, the STAR Market 20%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index 22%, indicating that the adjustment period aligns with previous bull market corrections [2][3]. - The upcoming economic work conference is anticipated to set new expectations for the market, especially given the current economic slowdown and the importance of growth rates for the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][3]. - The merger of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) signifies an acceleration in capital market reforms, with the rapid approval of 16 hard-tech ETFs reflecting regulatory commitment to stabilize the market [2][3]. Capital Market Outlook - The Chinese capital market is in a significant growth cycle, with substantial upward potential for stock indices. The factors that previously caused valuation discounts have dissipated, leading to a more stable outlook for the Chinese economy and capital markets [3]. - The demand for asset management is expected to surge, with projections indicating that the scale of new market entrants in 2026 may exceed current consensus estimates [3]. Investment Strategy - The focus for the upcoming cross-year market is on technology, financial services, and consumer sectors. Key recommendations include: 1. **Technology Growth**: Increased application of AI and a shortage of domestic computing infrastructure, with recommendations for investments in Hong Kong internet/media/computer sectors and manufacturing [4]. 2. **Financial Sector**: Anticipated reforms in capital markets are expected to boost risk appetite, with recommendations for brokerage and insurance stocks [4]. 3. **Consumer Sector**: After three years of adjustment, consumer stocks are positioned for structural opportunities, particularly in food, beverage, agriculture, and tourism sectors [4]. Thematic Recommendations - Focus on AI applications, robotics, domestic consumption, and infrastructure investments in Xinjiang, particularly in clean energy and power grid sectors [4].

Core Viewpoint - The current market is in a "three-phase overlap" characterized by a mid-bull market consolidation period, a critical phase for verifying economic conditions, and a performance policy gap, leading to increased market volatility and year-end profit-taking by investors [1][2]. Market Environment - Recent overseas disturbances have affected market liquidity expectations, with fluctuating predictions regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions for December [1][3]. - The strong performance of Nvidia's earnings report has been overshadowed by concerns over the sustainability of AI spending, impacting investor sentiment in the A-share market [1][4]. Investment Strategy - The long-term slow bull market trend remains unchanged, while short-term strategies should focus on opportunistic positioning, particularly in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference in mid-December [1][5]. - Investors are advised to monitor support levels at the 60-day and half-year moving averages, as well as market volume conditions during potential adjustments [1][5]. Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch include banking, oil and petrochemicals, steel, agriculture, lithium batteries, and new materials, reflecting areas of potential growth and stability [1][5].