Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Securities Hong Kong 100 Utilities Index, which has shown an increase of 4.62% over the past month, 3.60% over the past three months, and 2.49% year-to-date [1] - The index is classified according to the China Securities industry classification standards, with a base date of December 31, 2004, and a base point of 1000.0 [1] - The index is fully composed of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with thermal power accounting for 61.92% and gas accounting for 38.08% of the holdings [1] Group 2 - The index sample is adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2] - Adjustments to the index occur in response to changes in the parent index, special events affecting industry classification, or the delisting of sample companies [2]

Market Overview - On July 30, the Hang Seng Index fell by 347 points or 1.4%, closing at 25,176 points, marking the first drop below the 10-day moving average since July 10[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 2.7%, closing at 5,490 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 0.5% due to inflows into state-owned enterprises in energy and telecommunications[1] - Market turnover increased to over HKD 319.7 billion, with net inflows of HKD 11.71 billion through the Stock Connect[1] Sector Performance - The volatility index for the Hang Seng Index dropped by 4.6%, indicating low market risk aversion despite the broader market decline[1] - Key sectors such as oil, food and beverage, coal, telecommunications, electricity, and medical devices continued to rise, while HSBC and Hang Seng Bank saw declines of 3.8% and 7.4% respectively after mid-term earnings announcements[1] Macroeconomic Insights - In the U.S., job vacancies fell to 7.437 million in June, with a job vacancy-to-job seeker ratio around 1.06, indicating a moderate labor market slowdown[2] - The labor supply-demand gap in the U.S. has narrowed to 423,000, suggesting limited risk of inflation spirals similar to 2022, which supports the case for the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts in September[2] Industry Dynamics - The AI sector, particularly Inspur Digital (596 HK), saw a significant rise of 8.8%, driven by strong cloud service revenue and a return to profitability[3] - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index fell by 1.1%, but major companies experienced limited declines, with ongoing support for innovative drug development from the National Healthcare Security Administration[3] Company-Specific Developments - WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) reported a 20.6% increase in revenue to RMB 20.8 billion for the first half of 2025, with Non-IFRS adjusted net profit rising by 44.4% to RMB 6.31 billion[5] - The company’s Tides business saw a remarkable revenue increase of 141.6%, contributing to a 33.5% rise in chemical business revenue[6] - WuXi AppTec announced a mid-term dividend of RMB 3.50 per 10 shares, enhancing market confidence and potentially increasing the dividend yield to over 35% in 2025[7] Real Estate Market Trends - New home sales in 30 major cities fell by 16.8% year-on-year, with a slight month-on-month increase of 4.7%[9] - The inventory-to-sales ratio for major cities rose to 129.8, indicating a growing supply relative to sales, with first-tier cities at 79.6[11] - Land transaction volumes dropped by 48.6% year-on-year, reflecting a significant slowdown in the real estate market[12]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining policy continuity and stability while enhancing flexibility and foresight in macroeconomic policies, particularly in light of the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" discussions [2][10][12] - The meeting highlighted the strong resilience and vitality of the economy, with a GDP growth rate of 5.3% in the first half of the year, exceeding the annual target [10][12] - There is a renewed focus on domestic demand and the "dual circulation" strategy, which aims to promote both domestic and international economic cycles [10][12] Economic Policy Developments - The report indicates that macroeconomic policies will continue to exert influence and may be adjusted as necessary, particularly emphasizing the role of major economic provinces in driving national growth [10][12] - Fiscal policies will prioritize the acceleration of government bond issuance and the effectiveness of these policies, with a noted emphasis on improving the efficiency of fund utilization [10][12] - The monetary policy will focus on reducing the overall financing costs for society, with no immediate plans for interest rate cuts or reserve requirement ratio reductions [10][12] Key Sectoral Focus - The report outlines a shift towards enhancing service consumption and fostering industrial competitiveness, with a strong emphasis on "high-quality" investments [10][12] - The meeting reiterated the importance of "anti-involution" measures, aiming to optimize market competition and promote technological innovation [10][12] - In the real estate sector, there is a commitment to high-quality urban renewal initiatives, reflecting a shift in urbanization strategies [10][12] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the adjustments in capacity pricing for coal and gas power plants in Guangdong will significantly improve the profitability of these sectors, with expected annual revenue increases for specific companies [18][22] - The anticipated rise in capacity pricing is expected to stabilize the earnings outlook for coal-fired power companies, enhancing their operational viability [18][22] - The report highlights the strong growth potential in the education sector, particularly in new business areas, despite challenges in traditional segments [17][19]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guoneng (Lianjiang) Port Power Co., Ltd., is pioneering noise reduction technologies in the thermal power industry, aligning with China's "dual carbon" strategy to achieve sustainable development while maintaining high operational efficiency [2][12]. Group 1: Project Overview - Guoneng Lianjiang Company operates a power plant with an annual generation capacity exceeding 100 billion kilowatt-hours, implementing innovative noise control measures to redefine ecological boundaries in the thermal power sector [2]. - The company has initiated an environmental noise reduction project that integrates advanced technologies to address the challenges of noise pollution from power generation processes [4][5]. Group 2: Technical Innovations - The project employs a multi-physical field collaborative optimization approach, addressing noise issues through innovative solutions such as vibration suppression and noise reduction technologies [8][9]. - The company has developed a "structural decoupling" vibration control scheme, achieving over 95% vibration isolation efficiency and a sound insulation level exceeding 35 decibels [9]. - The use of aerospace-grade aerogel materials in the insulation of major pipelines has resulted in significant improvements in both sound insulation and thermal conductivity, achieving a sound transmission class (STC) of 45 and a thermal conductivity of ≤0.023 W/(m·K) [10]. Group 3: Project Management and Execution - The project commenced in August 2024 and faced challenges such as adverse weather conditions and complex construction environments, necessitating a robust management framework that integrates safety, quality, and progress control [15][17]. - A comprehensive quality management system was established, ensuring that all acoustic materials were rigorously tested and monitored throughout the construction process, achieving a 100% pass rate at key quality control points [16]. Group 4: Environmental Impact and Recognition - The noise reduction project has successfully lowered noise levels at various sensitive points, with reductions exceeding 15 dB(A) in critical areas, surpassing national standards [17]. - The project has been recognized for its innovative contributions to noise control in the power industry, with two core technology patents accepted by the National Intellectual Property Administration [12].

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant reduction in the proportion of stocks with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1-2x, dropping from approximately 45% in early April to below 30% by late July, indicating a market trend towards eliminating low PB stocks [1][11][12] - Historical analysis shows that the complete elimination of 1-2x PB stocks occurred only during specific periods, such as 2014-2015, driven primarily by active leverage in the market [14][17][22] - The report identifies necessary but insufficient conditions for the systematic elimination of 1-2x PB stocks, including the continuous expansion of profit effects, influx of incremental funds, and alignment of fundamental expectations across various styles [2][26] Group 2 - The "anti-involution" phenomenon is characterized by a two-phase excess return path in heavy asset industries, transitioning from "ROA→, PB↑" to "ROA↑, PB→" [3][36] - The report references the previous supply-side structural reforms in 2016, where industries like coal and steel experienced significant price and volume reversals, driven by policy changes that addressed overcapacity [29][32] - Current core industries under the "anti-involution" theme include photovoltaic materials, cement, and basic chemicals, with a focus on selecting companies that maintain cash flow despite profit losses [39][43]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][6][10]. Core Views - The completion of the preliminary design for China's first 1 million kilowatt fourth-generation commercial fast reactor marks a significant advancement in the country's nuclear energy strategy [2][16]. - The public utility sector saw a 7.64% increase in the total market value of fund holdings, reaching 63.28 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a focus on hydropower companies [3][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of coal and electricity prices moving in tandem, which is expected to sustain reasonable profitability for thermal power companies [4][25]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.69%, while the public utility index fell by 0.27% and the environmental index increased by 1.66% [1][15]. - Within the power sector, thermal power decreased by 0.29%, hydropower by 1.31%, while new energy generation rose by 1.24% [1][28]. Important Events - The preliminary design of the CFR1000 fast reactor has been completed, which is crucial for energy security and sustainable development in nuclear energy [2][16]. - In August 2025, the electricity trading price in Jiangsu was 393.8 yuan per megawatt-hour, with a total transaction volume of 12.353 billion kilowatt-hours [2][16]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading new energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [4][25]. - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend hydropower stocks like Yangtze Power for their defensive attributes [4][25]. Fund Holdings - In Q2 2025, the total market value of fund holdings in the public utility sector was 63.28 billion yuan, with a notable increase in hydropower and gas sectors, while thermal power saw a reduction [3][19]. - The environmental sector's fund holdings totaled 7.352 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease from the previous quarter [21][24]. Key Company Predictions and Ratings - Companies such as Huadian International, Longyuan Power, and China Nuclear Power are highlighted with an "Outperform" rating, indicating strong future performance expectations [10][25]. - The report identifies significant investment opportunities in the environmental sector, particularly in waste management and renewable energy technologies [26][24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" and is maintained [11] Core Insights - The heavy stockholding ratio of public funds in the utility sector increased to 1.08% in Q2 2025, up by 0.13 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a recovery in sector allocation [2][6] - The allocation percentage is at the 41.9th percentile historically, while the industry benchmark allocation is 2.72%, resulting in an underweight of -1.64% [2][6] - In the electricity sector, the holding ratios for thermal, hydropower, nuclear, and renewable energy generation are 33.18%, 52.73%, 3.54%, and 10.43% respectively, with changes of -7.65 percentage points, +5.62 percentage points, +0.26 percentage points, and +1.72 percentage points [2][6] Summary by Sections Thermal Power - The thermal power sector continues to see a decline in holdings, with major companies like Huadian International and Zhejiang Energy facing reductions, while others like Guodian Power and Datang Power have seen marginal increases due to their relatively low valuations [6][26] - The overall decline is attributed to several factors, including the timing of dividend payouts and a shift in market preferences towards high-growth sectors [26][27] Hydropower - Despite less rainfall nationwide, core hydropower assets have shown stable growth due to superior dispatch capabilities [7][37] - The valuation of hydropower has become attractive, with significant increases in holdings for companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power, reflecting market preference for core assets [7][37] Renewable Energy - The renewable energy sector has seen a notable recovery in holdings, driven by improved market sentiment and attractive valuations after a prolonged adjustment period [8][44] - The implementation of new regulations has alleviated concerns regarding long-term pricing and returns, signaling the start of a recovery cycle for the sector [8][44] Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector's holdings increased to 3.54%, reflecting a recovery as previous pessimistic expectations have been fully priced in [9][44] - The long-term value of nuclear power remains solid despite short-term price fluctuations [9][44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the industry [3]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a significant drop in new installations of solar and wind power in June, suggesting that the supply-side pressure is easing, and green electricity is expected to experience a reversal [2][10]. - The increase in the proportion of renewable energy is expected to stimulate the demand for flexible power generation, benefiting coal-fired power plants and aiding in the absorption of renewable energy [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on the power sector, particularly coal-fired power companies with resilient quarterly performance and leading firms in flexible coal-fired power transformation [2]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - As of June 30, the total installed power generation capacity in the country reached 3.65 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%. Solar power capacity was 1.1 billion kilowatts, up 54.2%, and wind power capacity was 570 million kilowatts, up 22.7% [7][13]. - In June, new installations of solar and wind power dropped significantly, with solar power adding 14.36 GW and wind power adding 5.11 GW, down 78.56% and 21.21% respectively from May [7][13]. - The average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased by 162 hours year-on-year to 1504 hours [7][13]. Electricity Demand - In June, the total electricity consumption increased by 5.4%, with the first, second, and third industries, as well as residential electricity consumption, showing growth rates of 8.7%, 2.4%, 7.1%, and 4.9% respectively [7][10]. - The third industry's electricity demand showed resilience, with internet and related services growing by 27.4% year-on-year [7][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on coal-fired power companies such as Huaneng International, Huadian International, and Baoneng New Energy, as well as leading firms in flexible coal-fired power transformation like Qingda Environmental Protection [2]. - It also suggests prioritizing undervalued green electricity operators, particularly in the Hong Kong market, and companies with high stock project ratios and short-term revenue certainty [2]. Market Performance - The report notes that during the week of July 21-25, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.67%, while the electricity and public utilities sector index fell by 0.03%, underperforming the broader market [55][56].

Group 1: Metal Sector - China Hongqiao's net profit forecast for 2024 is CNY 223.72 billion, with a PE ratio of 8.14[12] - Hualing Steel's net profit is projected to increase from CNY 20.32 billion in 2024 to CNY 28.54 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19.72[12] - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 17.28 billion in 2024 to CNY 21.01 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 22.97[12] Group 2: Construction and Transportation - Sichuan Road and Bridge's net profit is forecasted to grow from CNY 72.10 billion in 2024 to CNY 82.86 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 10.35[12] - YTO Express's net profit is expected to decrease from CNY 40.12 billion in 2024 to CNY 35.39 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 13.03[12] - China Merchants Highway's net profit is projected to be CNY 55 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 14.56[12] Group 3: Chemical and Energy Sector - Yara International's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 9.50 billion in 2024 to CNY 17.94 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 30.56[12] - Funiu Power's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 28.95 billion, with a PE ratio of 9.18[12] - Huajin's net profit is projected to recover to CNY 0.92 billion in 2025 after a loss of CNY 27.95 billion in 2024[12] Group 4: Strategic Metals and New Materials - Xiamen Tungsten's strategic metal segments are expected to contribute 79% to profits in 2024, with a focus on tungsten and rare earths[21] - Zhongcai Technology's special glass fiber is projected to see significant demand growth due to AI hardware requirements, with expected profits of CNY 0.2 billion in 2024[30] - The company anticipates a profit contribution from special glass fiber of CNY 7.2 billion by 2026[30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that corporate carbon management has become a central task for achieving China's "dual carbon" goals and promoting a comprehensive green transformation of the economy and society [1][2] - The establishment of a multi-layered carbon management policy system is highlighted, which includes local carbon assessments, industry carbon controls, corporate carbon management, project carbon evaluations, and product carbon footprints [2] - Experts noted that while a preliminary carbon management policy framework has been formed, specific details still need to be expedited, with existing regulations facing challenges in practical implementation [2][3] Group 2 - There is a significant differentiation in carbon management across various industries, with high-carbon sectors like thermal power, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting accelerating the establishment of their carbon management systems [3] - The impact of international trade rules is increasing carbon management costs for industries such as photovoltaics and electric vehicles, despite their relatively advanced carbon management frameworks [3] - Recommendations for enhancing corporate carbon management include creating unified national standards, activating green financial tools, and developing a green supply chain to strengthen responsibility and set emission reduction standards [3]