Core Viewpoint - Hunan Xiangjia Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. maintains a long-term credit rating of A+ for its main entity and the "Xiangjia Convertible Bond," with a stable outlook, reflecting its competitive advantages in the poultry supply chain and improved financial performance in 2024 [1][3][4]. Company Overview - The company operates as a comprehensive poultry supply chain provider, covering breeding, slaughtering, and sales, with a competitive edge in processing and cold chain logistics [3][5]. - As of the end of 2024, the company reported total assets of 41.67 billion yuan and equity of 18.07 billion yuan, with a total revenue of 42.04 billion yuan and a profit of 1.11 billion yuan [9][10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue growth of 8.06% year-on-year, driven by a 16.22% increase in ice-fresh product sales, benefiting from expanded supermarket sales channels [5][20]. - The company turned a profit in 2024, with a total profit of 1.11 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 1.41 billion yuan in the previous year [4][21]. Debt and Capital Expenditure - The company's total debt increased by 14.99% by the end of 2024, influenced by significant capital expenditures for ongoing projects, leading to a heavier debt burden [6][10]. - As of March 2025, the company has ongoing projects requiring an additional investment of 413 million yuan, indicating potential financial pressure [6][10]. Industry Analysis - The poultry industry is experiencing fluctuations in demand and prices, with the average price of chicken feed decreasing by 11.05% in 2024, impacting overall production costs [14][16]. - The market for yellow-feathered chickens is expected to grow, driven by consumer demand for high-quality, healthy food, despite ongoing challenges such as feed cost volatility and food safety issues [16][17]. Competitive Position - The company has established a robust marketing system for ice-fresh poultry products, with a sales network covering 30 provinces and major clients including large supermarket chains [5][17]. - The industry is consolidating, with larger companies like Xiangjia gaining market share, as smaller producers exit or join cooperative systems [15][16].

Group 1 - The SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery industry rose by 5.02% from January to May 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 7.43 percentage points [13][14] - Most sub-sectors recorded positive returns, with only planting and fishery sectors showing negative returns of -1.58% and -0.07% respectively [14] - Approximately 70% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, with three stocks increasing over 100%, the highest being Yizhi Magic Yam at 209.66% [15] Group 2 - The overall PB of the SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery industry increased from a low of 2.31 times at the beginning of the year to 2.68 times, with a current PB of approximately 2.66 times as of June 13, 2025, reflecting a 15% recovery from the low [20] - The pig breeding sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in supply, with the number of breeding sows reaching 40.38 million heads by the end of April 2025, slightly above the normal holding capacity [21][23] - The average price of pigs as of June 13, 2025, was 14.04 yuan/kg, down 10.8% from the beginning of the year and 26.1% year-on-year, with expectations for a price rebound in Q4 2025 [27] Group 3 - The total feed production in China is expected to rebound in 2025 after a decline in 2024, with a total production of 49.2 million tons in the first two months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [54] - The average price of corn in China rose from approximately 2,122 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to over 2,400 yuan/ton, reflecting a 13.3% increase [56] - The pet health market is anticipated to grow rapidly, with significant expansion potential in the domestic market for pet food and supplies, benefiting quality domestic leaders [5][6]

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,384.82, down 0.44%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10,162.18, down 0.86% [4] Non-Bank Financial Sector - The report highlights an increase in share buybacks among brokerages, with six firms having repurchased a total of 129 million shares for 1.31 billion yuan as of June 5. This reflects management's confidence in their company's value and aims to optimize capital structure [7] - The average price-to-book ratio for the securities industry is currently at 1.33x, which is at the 38.20% percentile since 2018, indicating a certain level of value in the sector [7] - The report suggests that the ongoing reforms in the capital market will clarify the development paths for the industry, with brokerages focusing on mergers and acquisitions to enhance capital quality [7] Chemical Raw Materials Sector - The new materials sector saw a slight increase, with the New Materials Index rising by 0.77%, although it underperformed compared to the ChiNext Index [8] - The report notes that the National Development and Reform Commission has issued guidelines to encourage the use of green electricity, which is expected to drive the wind power installation market [10] - The wind power sector is projected to see new installations of approximately 105-115 GW in 2025, with a significant portion coming from onshore wind [10] Agriculture Sector - The report indicates a decline in pig prices, with average prices in key provinces dropping by 3.15% to 3.46% as of June 6. The average pork price fell by 1.11% [11] - The report expresses optimism about the operational outlook for Haida Group, citing potential growth from its overseas feed business and a recovery in the feed industry due to lower raw material prices [11] - The report emphasizes that the current cycle in the pig farming industry may lead to a prolonged profitability period, contrary to market pessimism [11]

分析师：黄冬祎 S0340523020001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： huangdongyi@dgzq.com.cn 农林牧渔行业 超配（维持） 农林牧渔行业双周报（2025/5/23-2025/6/5） 行 业 优质农业龙头推进国际化战略 2025 年 6 月 6 日 投资要点： 风险提示：疫病大规模爆发，价格下行，自然灾害，市场竞争加剧等。 所 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn SW农林牧渔行业跑赢沪深300指数。2025年5月23日—2025年6月5日，SW 农林牧渔行业上涨1.23%，跑赢同期沪深300指数约2.16个百分点；细分板 块中，仅动物保健录得负收益，下跌1.25%；饲料、渔业、养殖业、农产 品加工和种植业均录得正收益，分别上涨2.74%、2.45%、1.14%、0.96%和 0.61%。估值方面，截至2025年6月5 ...

Group 1: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector's performance saw a decline, with the HuShen 300 index down by 0.18% and the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector down by 0.36% during the week of May 19-25, 2025 [4] - Pig prices showed a mixed trend, with the average price of external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 14.05, 15.39, and 14.25 yuan per kilogram respectively, reflecting a week-on-week change of -2.09%, +0.65%, and -3.72% [4] - The report highlights the potential recovery in the feed industry due to declining upstream raw material prices and improving downstream farming conditions, particularly for Hai Da Group, which is expected to see an upward trend in its business fundamentals [4] Group 2: AI Computing Industry Insights - The AI computing industry is experiencing sustained high demand, particularly from the internet and intelligent computing centers, with a rapid push for domestic procurement of AI computing power [6] - Major domestic AI chip manufacturers like Huawei, Haiguang Information, and Cambricon are accelerating their performance and capacity breakthroughs, with Huawei's Ascend 910B chip being comparable to NVIDIA's A100 [6] - The AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with IDC forecasting that the market size will reach 25.3 billion USD by 2028, driven by strong demand from domestic internet companies and intelligent computing centers [6]

Group 1 - The overall performance of the agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming industry, is currently under pressure, with the average pig price showing a decline in several key provinces [1] - The average price of pork is 20.95 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase of 0.05% week-on-week, while the average price of piglets remains stable at 28.00 yuan/kg [1] - The self-breeding profit stands at 48.21 yuan per head, while the profit from purchasing piglets is negative at -16.06 yuan per head, indicating challenges in the market [1] Group 2 - The feed industry is expected to see a recovery in its business environment due to falling raw material prices and improving conditions in the breeding sector, with Hai Da Group positioned for potential growth [2] - The current cycle in the pig farming industry is characterized by a focus on reducing debt rather than rapidly increasing production capacity, with expectations for profitability to begin in Q2 2024 [2] - The market may be overly pessimistic regarding the impact of rising pig production capacity on profitability, potentially overlooking the positive effects of declining raw material costs and anticipated demand recovery in 2025 [2] Group 3 - The poultry industry, particularly the meat chicken sector, may experience performance improvements driven by new demand in 2025, with Saint Agriculture positioned at the bottom of its performance and valuation cycle [3] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be crucial for pet food brands, with a focus on brands that can lead market trends and show profit improvements, recommending domestic brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. [3]

Core Viewpoint - The supply side of non-financial enterprises in the A-share market is still in a bottoming phase, with both inventory and capacity remaining weak, but there are signs of marginal recovery on the demand side [1][3][6]. Supply Side Analysis - The supply side is characterized by weak replenishment and expansion intentions, with inventory growth for Q1 2025 at -1.63% year-on-year and stock growth at -4.46%, both showing declines compared to 2024 [1][3]. - The capacity utilization rate for Q1 2025 is at 2.32, down 0.04 from 2024, marking 12 consecutive quarters of decline since mid-2022 [3]. - Expansionary capital expenditure for Q1 2025 has a year-on-year decline of 20.69%, the first negative value since 2018, indicating weak investment intentions among listed companies [3]. Industry Focus - Key industries to focus on include those with relatively tight supply and good profitability, those that have shown signs of recovery from the bottom, and those still on the left side of the turning point but entering the later stages of clearing [1][10]. - Specific industries identified for potential support to performance include metal products, broiler farming, entertainment products, and gaming, with only the entertainment products sector showing high levels of expansionary capital expenditure [1][70]. Detailed Industry Breakdown Cyclical Sector - Industries with tight supply include those with high capacity utilization and low inventory, indicating potential for profitability improvement [12]. - Industries at the bottom include construction materials, chemicals, and photovoltaic power, which are experiencing supply structure optimization [12][25]. Manufacturing Sector - Tight supply industries include cable components, photovoltaic auxiliary materials, and metal products, with low expansionary capital expenditure [26][40]. - Bottomed industries include the new energy chain and military electronics, which are likely to face hard constraints on future production capacity [26][37]. Consumer Sector - Tight supply industries include broiler farming and entertainment products, with the latter showing high expansionary capital expenditure [41][54]. - Bottomed industries include pharmaceuticals and food processing, with signs of marginal improvement in capacity utilization and profitability [41][49]. TMT Sector - Tight supply industries include gaming, with low expansionary capital expenditure, indicating hard constraints on future supply [55][69]. - Industries at the bottom include electronic components and security equipment, with potential for recovery in capacity utilization and profitability [55][63].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the pig price is expected to remain weak in the short term, with an overall supply surplus anticipated for the year, leading to a bearish outlook on prices [2][15] - The report suggests a shift from "cyclical thinking" to focusing on "quality and price" in investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of operational efficiency among different companies [4][16] - The outbreak of avian influenza in Brazil is expected to impact chicken prices positively in the domestic market, while the industry is seeing a concentration of profit margins towards upstream sources [5][17] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The latest pig price is reported at 14.58 CNY/kg, with an average weight of 129.71 kg for market pigs. The price for 15 kg piglets is 630 CNY/head, and the price difference for 175 kg market pigs has decreased to 0.36 CNY/kg [3][15] - The number of breeding sows in March was 40.39 million, a year-on-year increase of 1.2% and a decrease of 0.96% from the end of 2024, indicating a stable production capacity [3][15] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the pig farming sector, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, due to their strong profit certainty in 2025 [4][16] 2. Poultry Industry - The outbreak of avian influenza in Brazil may lead to trade bans, which could support a rebound in domestic chicken prices. The current price for broiler chickens is 7.4 CNY/kg, with a slight decrease from the previous month [5][17] - The report identifies two main investment lines: high-return quality imported breeding stock and comprehensive industry leaders like San Nong Development [5][17] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to its cash flow turning point and high overseas growth potential. The fish prices have increased, while feed prices have decreased, indicating a recovery in aquaculture profitability [6][19] - The report notes that the capital expansion phase has ended, and leading companies are entering a new phase of stable cash flow [7][19] 4. Pet Industry - In April 2025, the sales figures for pet food showed a decline, with cat and dog food sales at 810 million CNY and 380 million CNY, respectively, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 4.7% and 6.2% [9][20] - The report highlights the strong performance of domestic brands like Mai Fudi and the growth of companies like Zhongchong, which are gaining market share [10][24] 5. Agricultural Products - The report indicates that domestic agricultural products are less affected by tariffs, with a potential upward trend in prices due to reduced imports. The forecast for corn imports has been adjusted down to 7 million tons for the 2024/2025 period [11][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of agricultural stocks as a defensive asset class, suggesting that the sector is currently undervalued [11][26] 6. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 3889 points, up 1.12% from the previous week, while the agriculture index rose slightly by 0.05% to 2621 points [27][29] - The report notes that the pet food sector performed the best among sub-sectors, with a significant increase of 10.93% [27][29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the pig price is expected to maintain fluctuations in the short term, with a slight increase in production capacity observed in April. The current pig price is 14.79 CNY/kg, with an average weight of 129.71 kg for market pigs [6][20] - The report suggests a shift from "cyclical thinking" to focusing on financial performance, emphasizing that the efficiency differences among companies are significant. It recommends focusing on leading companies in the pig farming sector, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group, due to their strong profit certainty in 2025 [7][21] - The poultry sector is experiencing a rebound in chicken prices, with the latest prices for broiler chickens at 7.46 CNY/kg and chick prices at 3.1 CNY each. The report indicates that the industry is facing quality issues with breeding stock, leading to a concentration of profits towards upstream sources [8][22] - In the feed sector, the report recommends Haida Group due to its cash flow turning point and overseas growth potential. The fish prices have shown positive trends, with various species experiencing year-on-year increases [9][23][24] - The pet industry is noted for its continuous growth, with sales data indicating a decline in some segments but strong performance from certain brands like MaiFudi and Fuleijiate. The report emphasizes the importance of domestic brands and their market performance [13][25][29] - The agricultural products sector is expected to see price increases due to reduced imports and a focus on domestic supply, with the report highlighting the importance of improving farmers' income through price adjustments [16][31] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - Short-term pig prices are expected to fluctuate, with a current price of 14.79 CNY/kg and an average weight of 129.71 kg for market pigs. The production capacity is slightly increasing, with a total of 40.39 million breeding sows reported [6][20] - The report suggests that the overall supply of pigs is expected to be high, leading to a weak price outlook in the medium to long term [20][21] 2. Poultry Industry - Chicken prices are rebounding, with broiler prices at 7.46 CNY/kg and chick prices at 3.1 CNY each. The report indicates that the industry is facing quality issues with breeding stock, leading to a concentration of profits towards upstream sources [8][22] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to its cash flow turning point and overseas growth potential. Fish prices have shown positive trends, with various species experiencing year-on-year increases [9][23][24] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry is noted for its continuous growth, with sales data indicating a decline in some segments but strong performance from certain brands like MaiFudi and Fuleijiate. The report emphasizes the importance of domestic brands and their market performance [13][25][29] 5. Agricultural Products - The agricultural products sector is expected to see price increases due to reduced imports and a focus on domestic supply, with the report highlighting the importance of improving farmers' income through price adjustments [16][31]

Group 1 - Baichuan Energy plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 26.82 million shares, accounting for 2% of the total share capital, due to personal investment and funding needs [1] - Jinhong Gas intends to distribute a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, with the record date on May 15, 2025 [2] - Jiahe Meikang's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% of the total share capital due to liquidity needs [2][3] Group 2 - Jiadu Technology will cancel 10.20 million repurchased shares, reducing its total share capital from 2.143 billion shares to 2.133 billion shares [4] - ILE Home's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 154,250 shares, accounting for 0.4778% of the total share capital, due to funding needs [5] - Lai Yifen has fully removed related batches of its honey date dumpling products from shelves due to consumer health concerns [6][7] Group 3 - CATL's vice chairman Li Ping and spouse plan to donate 4.05 million shares to Fudan University for establishing a research fund, reducing Li Ping's shareholding from 4.58% to 4.48% [8] - Shuanghuan Transmission's shareholders completed their reduction plan, selling a total of 6.69 million shares, accounting for 0.789% of the total share capital [9] - Chengfei Integration reported no significant changes in its business operations or external environment despite stock price fluctuations [10] Group 4 - Guizhou Tire's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake by no less than 50 million yuan and no more than 100 million yuan within six months [11] - *ST Youshu's application to revoke the delisting risk warning has been approved, and its stock will resume trading under a new name [13] - Jingwei Huikai's shareholders plan to reduce their stake by up to 3% of the total share capital due to funding needs [14] Group 5 - Hualan Biological's major shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% of the total share capital due to funding needs [15] - Huyou Pharmaceutical's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 2.997% of the total share capital due to funding needs [16] - Dongpeng Holdings' shareholders plan to reduce their stake by up to 1.5% of the total share capital due to funding needs [17] Group 6 - Keleke's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% of the total share capital due to funding needs [18] - Dongfang Ocean's major shareholder plans to reduce its stake by 1% of the total share capital due to investor redemption requests [19] - Yisheng Shares reported a sales revenue of 141 million yuan from white feather chicken seedlings in April, with a year-on-year decrease of 7.28% [20] Group 7 - Qujiang Cultural Tourism's controlling shareholder's 12 million shares are set to be auctioned due to contractual disputes, representing 4.70% of the total share capital [21] - Duople's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 123,800 shares, accounting for 2% of the total share capital, due to personal funding needs [22][23]