Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report From November 10 - 14, bond - type ETFs had a net capital outflow of 550 million yuan. Credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 370 million yuan, net inflows of 1.21 billion yuan, and net outflows of 1.39 billion yuan respectively. In terms of performance, compared with the previous week, the weekly cumulative unit - net - value changes of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 0.01%, + 0.06%, and + 0.43% respectively, with the net value of convertible - bond ETFs continuously recovering [2][13]. Summary by Directory 1. Issuance Progress Tracking - Last week, there were no newly issued bond ETFs [3][17]. - A list of bond ETFs issued this year was provided, including details such as fund names, issuance shares, issuance scales, issuance announcement dates, fund establishment dates, and performance comparison benchmarks [18]. 2. Existing Product Tracking - As of November 14, 2025, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were 146.9 billion yuan, 376.9 billion yuan, and 65.7 billion yuan respectively, with credit - bond ETFs accounting for 63.9% of the total scale. Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF and Boshi Convertible - bond ETF had the top two circulating market values [19]. - Compared with the previous week, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs increased by 1.35 billion yuan, decreased by 130 million yuan, and decreased by 980 million yuan respectively. Products with obvious scale growth last week included Pengyang ChinaBond - 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF and Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF [21]. - Among credit - bond ETFs, the circulating market values of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 120 billion yuan and 251.7 billion yuan respectively, decreasing by 1.58 billion yuan and 70 million yuan compared with the previous week [23]. 3. ETF Performance Tracking - Based on the average trends of the cumulative unit net values of 16 interest - rate bond ETFs and 35 credit - bond ETFs, the cumulative unit net values of interest - rate bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs closed at 1.19 and 1.03 respectively [26]. - As of November 14, taking February 7 as the base date, the average cumulative return of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs rose to 0.81%; taking July 17 as the base date, the cumulative return of science - innovation bond ETFs marginally recovered to 0.09% [5][30]. 4. Premium/Discount Rate Tracking - The average premium/discount rates of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs last week were - 0.18%, + 0.01%, and - 0.04% respectively. The average trading price of credit - bond ETFs was lower than the fund's unit net value, indicating low allocation sentiment. Specifically, the weekly average premium/discount rates of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were - 0.30% and - 0.16% respectively [6][36]. 5. Turnover Rate Tracking - Last week, the turnover rates of interest - rate bond ETFs > credit - bond ETFs > convertible - bond ETFs. The weekly turnover rates of all three types of products declined, falling to 125%, 121%, and 87% respectively. Specifically, products such as Haifutong Shanghai Stock Exchange 5 - year Local Government Bond ETF, Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark - Market - Making Treasury Bond ETF, and Guotai CSI AAA Science - Innovation Corporate Bond ETF had relatively high turnover rates [7][41]. - A detailed list of 53 bond ETFs' existing details and weekly performance was provided, including circulating market values, weekly changes, weekly net - value changes, cumulative returns this year, weekly average premium/discount rates, and weekly turnover rates [45].

Group 1 - The core view of the report indicates that credit bond ETFs will continue to attract capital inflows, with a notable recovery in liquidity observed in October [5][8] - The total circulation scale of credit bond ETFs has approached 500 billion yuan, significantly surpassing that of interest rate bond ETFs, reflecting a strong market sentiment [5][8] - The report anticipates that the credit bond ETF's discount rate may further compress, although transitioning to a premium without a major market event remains challenging [5][10] Group 2 - The report highlights that the issuance volume of credit bonds has increased, with a net financing of 92 billion yuan recorded, indicating a positive shift in the financing landscape [29][30] - The average coupon rates for newly issued AAA and AA+ rated bonds have decreased, with the average rates at 2.07% and 2.27% respectively, showing a downward trend in financing costs [29][30] - The credit spreads across various grades have narrowed, particularly for longer maturities, with significant compressions observed in the AA grade [32][34]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has declined following global stock market trends, while the bond market has shown positive performance, particularly in the technology innovation bond ETF, which has seen significant gains since late September [1] Market Performance - Since the end of September, the market has experienced increased risk aversion due to trade tensions, leading to a recovery trend in rate bonds and credit bonds ETFs, with the technology innovation bond ETF South (159700) rising by 89 basis points from September 26 to the present [1] - The technology innovation bond ETF South (159700) has seen a substantial increase in its share volume, growing by 7,356 million shares, representing a growth rate of 166.13% since its launch in July [1] Central Bank Actions - The central bank has resumed operations for government bond purchases, signaling a loosening monetary policy. On November 5, it conducted a 700 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to inject medium-term liquidity into the banking system, helping to maintain a stable and ample funding environment [1] Policy Support for Technology Innovation Bonds - The government continues to implement policies to support the development of technology innovation bonds, including establishing a green channel for reviews and encouraging market makers to provide liquidity, indicating a potential for continued expansion in the technology innovation bond market [1] - Guohai Securities highlights the certainty of ongoing expansion for technology innovation bond ETFs, ensuring a favorable development trend and good liquidity advantages, making it a focus for continued attention [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (October 27 - October 31), bond - type ETFs had a net capital inflow of 12.7 billion yuan. Credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs had net inflows of 9.9 billion yuan, 4.5 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 1.7 billion yuan respectively. Their cumulative unit net value weekly growth rates were +0.26%, +0.42%, and +0.69% respectively, with a slight recovery in net values [2][13]. - Recently, interest - rate bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs continued the recovery trend, with cumulative unit net values closing at 1.19 and 1.04 respectively. As of October 31, the cumulative yield of benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs increased to 0.95% (with February 7 as the base date), and the cumulative yield of science - innovation bond ETFs marginally recovered to 0.13% (with July 17 as the base date), entering the positive range [5][32]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Issuance Progress Tracking - No new bond ETFs were issued last week [3][17]. 3.2 Stock Product Tracking - As of October 31, 2025, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were 140.9 billion yuan, 375.5 billion yuan, and 67.8 billion yuan respectively. The scale of credit - bond ETFs accounted for 64.3%. Compared with last week, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs increased by 5.41 billion yuan, 4.93 billion yuan, and decreased by 1.18 billion yuan respectively. Products with significant scale growth last week included Tianhong CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF and Penghua 0 - 4 Local Government Bonds, with a year - on - year scale growth of over 3 billion yuan [4][19][21]. - Among credit - bond ETFs, the circulating market values of benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 122.2 billion yuan and 252.1 billion yuan respectively, increasing by 760 million yuan and 7.47 billion yuan compared with last week [24]. 3.3 ETF Performance Tracking - Based on the average trends of the cumulative unit net values of 16 interest - rate bond ETFs and 35 credit - bond ETFs, recently, interest - rate bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs continued the recovery trend, with cumulative unit net values closing at 1.19 and 1.04 respectively [27]. - As of October 31, with February 7 as the base date, the average cumulative yield of benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs increased to 0.95%; with July 17 as the base date, the cumulative yield of science - innovation bond ETFs marginally recovered to 0.13%, entering the positive range [5][32]. 3.4 Premium/Discount Rate Tracking - Last week, the average premium/discount rates of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 0.09%, - 0.02%, and - 0.03% respectively. The average trading price of ETFs was lower than the fund's unit net value, indicating low allocation sentiment. Specifically, the weekly average premium/discount rates of benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were - 0.13% and - 0.10% respectively [6][37]. 3.5 Turnover Rate Tracking - Last week, the turnover rate was interest - rate bond ETFs > credit - bond ETFs > convertible - bond ETFs. The weekly turnover rates of the three types of products all increased marginally, reaching 162%, 150%, and 107% respectively. Specifically, products such as Haifutong Shanghai Stock Exchange 5 - year Local Government Bond ETF, Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - making Treasury Bond ETF among interest - rate bond ETFs, and Huaan CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF, Science - innovation Bond ETF Yongying among science - innovation bond ETFs had relatively high turnover rates [7][42].

Group 1: Quantitative Credit Strategy - The recent medium to long-term strategies have shown strong cumulative returns, with perpetual bond duration, secondary bond bullet-type, and secondary bond duration strategies achieving cumulative excess returns of 13bp, 11.2bp, and 11.1bp respectively [2][12] - The secondary bond duration strategy has rebounded significantly, but its volatility is much higher than that of the downshift strategy, which has a cumulative return of 9.2bp, demonstrating both low volatility and strong recovery advantages [2][12] Group 2: ETF Trends - From October 13 to October 17, bond ETFs experienced a net outflow of 13.36 billion yuan, with credit bond ETFs, interest rate bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs seeing net outflows of 7.46 billion yuan, 4.96 billion yuan, and 0.94 billion yuan respectively [3][16] - In terms of performance, credit bond ETFs, interest rate bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs had weekly net value changes of +0.11%, +0.32%, and -1.77% respectively, indicating a significant pullback in convertible bond ETFs while credit and interest rate bond ETFs showed marginal recovery [3][16] Group 3: Yield Heatmap of Coupon Assets - As of October 20, 2025, the yields of non-financial and non-real estate corporate bonds have mostly declined, particularly for public offerings of private enterprises within one year [4][19] - The yields of financial bonds have generally decreased, with bank subordinated bonds performing well, especially the yields of 3-5 year perpetual bonds from state-owned banks and city commercial banks dropping by over 4.5bp [4][19] Group 4: Long-term Credit Bond Tracking - The number of transactions for long-term credit bonds has not increased significantly, with a total of 276 transactions for bonds with a duration of 7 years or more during the week of October 13 to October 17, indicating ongoing concerns about duration risk in the market [5][21] - The improvement in transaction numbers is more concentrated in secondary capital bonds and interest rate bonds, suggesting a cautious market sentiment towards long-term credit bonds [5][21] Group 5: Local Government Bond Supply and Trading - During the week of October 13 to October 17, 7-10 year local government bonds outperformed the same duration national and credit bonds, with indices for these bonds rising by 0.32% and 0.58% respectively [6][25] - The performance of bonds with a duration of over 10 years was weaker compared to national bonds, which saw a weekly increase of over 1% [6][25]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core View Last week (10/13 - 10/17), bond - type ETFs had a net capital outflow of 13.36 billion yuan. Convertible bond ETFs had a large drawdown, while the net values of credit bond and interest - rate bond ETFs showed marginal recovery. There was no new issuance of bond ETFs. The market values of interest - rate, credit, and convertible bond ETFs all decreased compared to the previous week. The average trading price of credit bond ETFs was lower than the fund's unit net value, indicating low allocation sentiment. The weekly turnover rates of all three types of products increased significantly [2][13][17]. 3. Section Summaries 3.1 Issuance Progress Tracking - No new bond ETFs were issued last week [17]. 3.2 Stock Product Tracking - As of October 17, 2025, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs were 134.1 billion yuan, 368.2 billion yuan, and 66 billion yuan respectively, with credit bond ETFs accounting for 64.8% of the total. Haifutong China Short - term Financing ETF and Bosera Convertible Bond ETF had the top two circulating market values [19]. - Compared to the previous week, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs decreased by 3.76 billion yuan, 3.41 billion yuan, and 2.16 billion yuan respectively. Products with a market value reduction of over 1.5 billion yuan last week included Haifutong China Short - term Financing ETF, Bosera Convertible Bond ETF, etc. [21]. - Among credit bond ETFs, the circulating market values of benchmark - making credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 122 billion yuan and 246.5 billion yuan respectively, decreasing by 450 million yuan and 5.18 billion yuan compared to the previous week [24]. 3.3 ETF Performance Tracking - Recently, the market has been oscillating within a range. In the past two weeks, the cumulative unit net values of interest - rate bond ETFs and credit bond ETFs closed at 1.18 and 1.02 respectively [27]. - As of October 17, based on February 7 as the base date, the average cumulative return of benchmark - making credit bond ETFs rose to 0.42%. Based on July 17 as the base date, the cumulative return of science - innovation bond ETFs marginally recovered to - 0.30% but still remained in the negative range [32]. 3.4 Premium/Discount Rate Tracking - Last week, the average premium/discount rates of credit bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs were - 0.15%, + 0.001%, and + 0.04% respectively. The average trading price of credit bond ETFs was lower than the fund's unit net value, indicating low allocation sentiment. Specifically, the average weekly premium/discount rates of benchmark - making credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were - 0.21% and - 0.15% respectively [37]. 3.5 Turnover Rate Tracking - Last week, the turnover rate of interest - rate bond ETFs > credit bond ETFs > convertible bond ETFs. The weekly turnover rates of all three types of products increased significantly, rising to 187%, 143%, and 109% respectively. Specifically, interest - rate bond ETFs such as Haifutong Shanghai 5 - year Local Government Bond ETF and Huaxia Shanghai Benchmark - making Treasury Bond ETF had relatively high turnover rates [42].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - In September 2025, the year - on - year declines of CPI and PPI narrowed, and inflation continued to recover. CPI was dragged down by food and energy sub - items, but the year - on - year growth of core CPI returned to 1%, and consumer goods prices recovered. PPI year - on - year continued to recover, with a slowdown in month - on - month growth, showing a characteristic that the upstream was better than the downstream. Overall, the price in September continued the recovery trend, and with the boost of policies in the fourth quarter, prices were expected to continue to recover. For the bond market, the internal "re - inflation" and policy trading logic would suppress the downward space of interest rates [5][6] 3. Summary According to Related Content CPI Analysis - Food and energy continued to drag down CPI year - on - year. The price drops of pork, fresh vegetables, eggs, and fresh fruits dragged down CPI year - on - year by 0.78pct, and the energy price drop dragged down CPI year - on - year by 0.2pct. The core CPI year - on - year accelerated its increase and returned to 1% after a year and a half. Service prices remained stable, with a year - on - year growth of 0.6%, the same as last month. In addition, the year - on - year decline of consumer goods prices in September narrowed by 0.2pct compared with last month, the first narrowing since June [2][3] PPI Analysis - PPI year - on - year continued to recover, and month - on - month growth slowed down, partly affected by imported factors such as crude oil, with the upstream performing better than the downstream. The year - on - year growth of ex - factory prices of production materials fully recovered. The year - on - year growth rates of mining, raw materials, and processing industries were - 9%, - 2.9%, and - 1.7% respectively, with growth rates increasing by 2.5pct, 1.2pct, and 0.5pct respectively compared with last month. The ex - factory prices of domestic coal, ferrous metals and other industries increased year - on - year continuously, while the ex - factory prices of domestic crude oil, chemical and other downstream industries were affected by the decline of international oil prices. The year - on - year growth of ex - factory prices of living materials remained stable, with the prices of daily necessities recovering and the prices of durable goods dragging down. In September, the year - on - year growth rates of food, clothing, daily necessities, and durable goods were - 1.7%, - 0.3%, 0.7%, and - 3.9% respectively, with growth rates remaining the same, decreasing by 0.3pct, increasing by 0.3pct, and decreasing by 0.2pct respectively compared with last month. The ex - factory prices of green and high - end industries increased year - on - year, such as aircraft manufacturing (1.4%), electronic special material manufacturing (1.2%), waste resource comprehensive utilization industry (0.9%), and wearable smart device manufacturing (0.1%) [4] Overall Outlook - In September, the price continued the recovery trend. Except for imported factors and the drag of some agricultural products, the internal "re - inflation" momentum was continuous and conductive. The market still had a strong expectation of "re - inflation" from the pricing of commodity futures contracts. With the boost of policies in the fourth quarter to the fundamentals and expectations, prices were expected to continue to recover. For the bond market, the internal "re - inflation" and policy trading logic would suppress the downward space of interest rates. Overseas risk events that were still undetermined recently had a short - term impact on the bond market. If returning to the internal narrative, if "re - inflation" was realized, the decline of real interest rates might have an "equivalent" effect of interest rate cuts, and the market should not have too high expectations for monetary easing [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growing importance of bond ETFs in the current investment landscape, particularly for bank wealth management companies facing an "asset shortage" and seeking refined investment management tools [1][3]. - The recent launch of the second batch of 14 sci-tech bond ETFs has increased the total number of such products to 24, indicating a significant uptick in market interest and investment [1][2]. - As of September 24, the total scale of the first batch of sci-tech bond ETFs reached 128.57 billion, with several products exceeding 15 billion, showcasing robust demand and growth in this sector [1][2]. Group 2 - Wealth management funds have become a crucial driver of the growth in sci-tech bond ETF scales, with institutions like Xingyin Wealth and Zhaoyin Wealth actively participating in the market [2][3]. - The dual considerations of optimizing asset allocation and enhancing liquidity are key reasons why bank wealth management funds favor bond ETFs, allowing for diversified and efficient investment strategies [3][4]. - Bond ETFs offer superior liquidity compared to other fixed-income assets, with mechanisms such as T+0 trading and the ability to pledge for financing, making them attractive to institutional investors [4][5]. Group 3 - The article warns of potential market volatility due to "coupon-snatching" behavior by institutions, which may lead to mispricing of component bonds within the ETFs [4][6]. - The rapid influx of new capital into credit bond ETFs has created a "snatching" phenomenon, where institutions preemptively purchase related component bonds, leading to increased trading activity and turnover rates [5][6]. - Analysts caution about the re-pricing risks associated with component bonds of sci-tech bond ETFs, particularly in a volatile market environment where large sell-offs could exacerbate losses [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Last week (9/15 - 9/19), bond - type ETFs had a total net capital outflow of 5.1 billion yuan, with interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs having net outflows of 1.9 billion yuan, 0.7 billion yuan, and 2.5 billion yuan respectively. Convertible - bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs had significant drawdowns, while the net value of interest - rate bond ETFs changed little [2][11]. - The second batch of sci - tech bond ETFs will be listed on September 24. With the establishment of these 14 new funds, the total scale of sci - tech bond ETFs has exceeded 170 billion yuan, and the overall scale of bond ETFs has exceeded 600 billion yuan for the first time [3][14]. Summary by Directory 1. Issuance Progress Tracking - The second batch of 14 sci - tech bond ETFs from 14 public funds such as ICBC Credit Suisse Fund and Morgan Fund started issuing on September 12. They were submitted on August 20, approved on September 8, and scheduled for issuance on September 12. The total issuance scale of these 14 sci - tech bond ETFs reached 40.786 billion yuan, and 13 of them had an issuance scale of over 2.9 billion yuan [3][14]. 2. Existing Product Tracking - As of September 19, 2025, the circulating market values of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were 140 billion yuan, 355.8 billion yuan, and 70.1 billion yuan respectively, with credit - bond ETFs accounting for 63% of the scale. Compared with last week, their circulating market values decreased by 2.2 billion yuan, 0.02 billion yuan, and 3.6 billion yuan respectively [4][16]. - Among credit - bond ETFs, the circulating market values of benchmark - making credit - bond ETFs and sci - tech bond ETFs were 123.7 billion yuan and 125.9 billion yuan respectively, with a decrease of 0.6 billion yuan and an increase of 2.3 billion yuan compared to last week [19]. 3. ETF Performance Tracking - Recently, the market has shown range - bound fluctuations. In the past two weeks, the cumulative unit net values of interest - rate bond ETFs and credit - bond ETFs closed at 1.18 and 1.02 respectively [23]. - As of September 19, with February 7 as the base date, the average cumulative yield of benchmark - making credit - bond ETFs dropped to 0.30%; with July 17 as the base date, the cumulative yield of sci - tech bond ETFs dropped to - 0.46% and remained in the negative range [24]. 4. Premium/Discount Rate Tracking - Last week, the average premium/discount rates of credit - bond ETFs, interest - rate bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 0.17%, - 0.03%, and - 0.15% respectively, indicating that the average trading price was lower than the fund's unit net value and the allocation sentiment was low. Specifically, the weekly average premium/discount rates of benchmark - making credit - bond ETFs and sci - tech bond ETFs were - 0.23% and - 0.06% respectively [6][30]. 5. Turnover Rate Tracking - Last week, the turnover rate was in the order of interest - rate bond ETFs > convertible - bond ETFs > credit - bond ETFs. The weekly turnover rate of interest - rate bond ETFs rose to 179%, that of credit - bond ETFs remained around 89%, and that of convertible - bond ETFs dropped to 100%. Specifically, products like Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark - Making Treasury Bond ETF and Haitong Shanghai Stock Exchange 5 - Year Local Government Bond ETF had relatively high turnover rates [6][36].

Group 1 - The first batch of Sci-Tech Bond ETFs has achieved significant growth, with a total scale exceeding 1119.35 billion yuan, representing an increase of 286.15% since its launch [1][2] - Eight out of the ten initial Sci-Tech Bond ETFs have surpassed the 10 billion yuan mark, with the largest being the Jiashi Sci-Tech Bond ETF at 16 billion yuan [1] - The market is preparing for a second batch of Sci-Tech Bond ETFs, with multiple fund companies actively working on their applications, indicating strong competition and demand [3] Group 2 - The launch of the first batch of Sci-Tech Bond ETFs has reshaped the bond ETF market landscape, expanding the total number of bond ETFs to 39, including various types such as credit bond ETFs and convertible bond ETFs [2] - There remains a gap in the market for comprehensive bond, green bond, and central enterprise theme ETFs, suggesting potential areas for future development [2] - The second batch of Sci-Tech Bond ETFs is expected to maintain similar tracking indices as the first batch, focusing on AAA-rated technology innovation company bonds [3]