1998年首批五家基金公司获批成立，公募至今已走过27年。从最初"灵魂人物"顶起半边天，到压赛 道"躺赢"，再到如今的基金公司平台化、基金产品工具化，公募行业的发展理念也经过了多次迭代。 这期间，公募行业发展理念呈现出从依赖单个"人"、单个产品，向依赖系统转变，从寻找、等待不确 定的"爆款"产品、明星基金经理，向增强公司整体"体系韧性"、业务确定性和可预期性转变。 作为国内公募行业的先行者和领军者，早在2023年，成立25年的华夏基金就提出要以多资产全能平 台和资产配置的理念来打通公司的整体业务链条。这使得华夏基金再一次成为 公募行业第一个"摸着 石头过河的人" 。华夏基金总经理李一梅表示，"华夏基金希望能成为资管行业中的'乐高'。" 作为全球著名积木品牌，乐高最伟大的发明不是某个具体模型，而是让每个人都能成为设计师。乐高 最为人所知的特点是其独一无二的组装式设计理念，将每个零件都设计成了标准尺寸，便于组装和拆 卸。乐高零部件的兼容性使得乐高成为无数创作者展示自己想象力的载体。人们通过乐高既可以拼出 简单的房子、汽车，也可以拼出复杂的城市、城堡。 而华夏基金将自己的目标定位为资管行业中的"乐高"，恰恰看到了基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reverted to its previous state before late October, but the upward potential remains constrained. The only industry showing short-term upward movement is optical connectivity, while concerns about the decline in capital expenditure among leading US tech companies in 2026 persist, impacting the AI industry chain [2][3]. Group 1: Market Environment and Trends - Since late November, the macro environment for the A-share market has "reverted," reflecting the characteristics seen before late October. However, the upward space remains limited, with only optical connectivity showing potential for upward breakthroughs [2][3]. - The expectation for stable growth has been adjusted downward, and the anticipated return of the Federal Reserve's easing policies has led to a resurgence in optical connectivity, while other tech growth sectors are experiencing a rebound [2][3]. - The market is currently in a high-level oscillation phase, with the structural characteristics reverting to those observed before late October [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Policy Insights - The core idea of the 2025 Central Economic Work Conference is to "practice internal skills to cope with external challenges," with a focus on maintaining policy momentum in 2024 and potential marginal improvements in 2026 [5][6]. - Key policy points include addressing issues related to development and transformation, emphasizing quality and efficiency, stimulating domestic demand, and promoting technological innovation in key regions [6][7]. - The market anticipates that if economic results improve in the first half of 2026, additional efforts to stabilize growth in the second half are likely [5][7]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Investment Opportunities - The medium-term outlook remains a "two-stage bull market," with the first stage (tech structural bull) already at a high level, and the market currently in a quarterly high-level oscillation phase [7][8]. - The first half of 2026 is expected to favor cyclical and value styles, while the second half may see a comprehensive bull market driven by fundamental improvements and technological trends [7][8]. - Spring market trends are expected to focus on small-scale opportunities, particularly in optical connectivity and other tech sectors, with potential for new high-level oscillation phases [8].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.42% to close at 3897.71 points, with a high of 3908.77 points during the day [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.68% to 13056.7 points, reaching a peak of 13132.81 points [1] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 0.69% to 3071.15 points, with a maximum of 3094.18 points [1] ETF Market Performance - The median return of stock ETFs was -0.7% yesterday [2] - The highest performing scale index ETF was the China Tai Zhongzheng 2000 ETF with a return of 0.52% [2] - The highest performing industry index ETF was the China Tai Zhongzheng All Index Building Materials ETF with a return of 0.46% [2] - The highest performing strategy index ETF was the Great Wall Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF with a return of 0.47% [2] - The highest performing theme index ETF was the China Tai Zhongzheng 5G Communication Theme ETF with a return of 0.53% [2] ETF Performance Rankings - The top three ETFs by return were: - China Tai Zhongzheng 5G Communication Theme ETF (0.53%) - Guotai Zhongzheng 2000 ETF (0.52%) - Great Wall Zhongzheng Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF (0.47%) [4] - The top three ETFs by decline were: - GF Zhongzheng Media ETF (-2.3%) - China Tai Zhongzheng Entertainment Media ETF (-2.12%) - Guotai Zhongzheng Film and Television Theme ETF (-2.08%) [4] ETF Fund Flows - The top three ETFs by fund inflow were: - Huabao S&P China A-share Dividend Opportunity ETF (inflow of 369 million yuan) - Wanjia Zhongzheng Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme ETF (inflow of 282 million yuan) - Huabao Zhongzheng All Index Securities Company ETF (inflow of 250 million yuan) [6] - The top three ETFs by fund outflow were: - Penghua Zhongzheng Subdivided Chemical Industry Theme ETF (outflow of 382 million yuan) - Jiashi HuShen 300 ETF (outflow of 342 million yuan) - Huatai Bairui HuShen 300 ETF (outflow of 273 million yuan) [6] ETF Margin Trading Overview - The top three ETFs by margin buying were: - Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 Component ETF (384 million yuan) - Guotai Zhongzheng All Index Securities Company ETF (260 million yuan) - Huabao Zhongzheng Medical ETF (150 million yuan) [8] - The top three ETFs by margin selling were: - Southern Zhongzheng 500 ETF (44.09 million yuan) - Southern Zhongzheng 1000 ETF (27.26 million yuan) - Huatai Bairui HuShen 300 ETF (8.55 million yuan) [9] Industry Insights - The communication industry is experiencing an upturn driven by multiple factors, including accelerated AI development and increased demand for IDC construction [10] - The communication sector has seen a 51.67% increase since early 2025, ranking second among all industries, with certain optical module stocks experiencing nearly tenfold growth [10][11] - Public funds have increased their holdings in the communication sector, exceeding 6.5%, indicating a conservative market valuation that does not fully reflect the sector's high growth potential [11]

Core Insights - On November 28, industry-themed ETF funds experienced a net outflow of 2.494 billion yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 20.054 billion yuan over the past five trading days [1] - A total of 48 industry-themed ETFs saw net inflows, with the Huabao Securities ETF (512000) leading with an increase of 427 million shares and a net inflow of 240 million yuan [1][3] - Conversely, 151 industry-themed ETFs recorded net outflows, with the Guotai Zhongzheng All-Index Securities Company ETF (512880) experiencing the largest outflow of 654 million yuan and a reduction of 556 million shares [1][4] Summary by Category Net Inflows - The Huabao Securities ETF (512000) had a net inflow of 240 million yuan, with a share increase of 427 million, bringing its total shares to 698.47 million [3][5] - Other ETFs with net inflows include: - Penghua Zhongzheng Wine ETF (512690) with a net inflow of 134 million yuan and a share increase of 230 million [3] - Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Artificial Intelligence ETF (589010) with a net inflow of 93 million yuan and a share increase of 69 million [3] Net Outflows - The Guotai Zhongzheng All-Index Securities Company ETF (512880) had the highest net outflow of 654 million yuan, with a share decrease of 556 million, resulting in a total of 504.04 million shares [4][5] - Other ETFs with significant net outflows include: - Huabao Zhongzheng Bank ETF (512800) with a net outflow of 428 million yuan and a share decrease of 512 million [4] - Huaxia Zhongzheng Robot ETF (562500) with a net outflow of 163 million yuan and a share decrease of 173 million [5]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.9% last week, closing at 3834.89 points, with a high of 3992.4 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 5.13%, ending at 12538.07 points, with a peak of 13251.78 points [1] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 6.15%, closing at 2920.08 points, with a maximum of 3137.07 points [1] - Major global indices also declined, with the Nasdaq Composite down 2.74%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.91%, and the S&P 500 down 1.95% [1] - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Hang Seng Index fell by 5.09%, and the Nikkei 225 Index decreased by 3.48% [1] ETF Market Performance - The median weekly return for stock ETFs was -4.56% [2] - The highest weekly return among scale index ETFs was -2.17% for the CCB SSE 50 ETF [2] - The highest weekly return among industry index ETFs was -0.8% for the FTSE China 800 Bank ETF [2] - The highest weekly return among strategy index ETFs was -1.32% for the Harvest CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF [2] - The highest weekly return among theme index ETFs was -0.15% for the Penghua CSI Media ETF [2] ETF Liquidity and Fund Flows - Average daily trading volume for stock ETFs increased by 32.1%, and average daily turnover rose by 6.8% [6] - The top five stock ETFs with the highest fund inflows included the Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF with an inflow of 3.876 billion yuan [8] - The top five stock ETFs with the highest fund outflows included the Hua Bao CSI Bank ETF with an outflow of 321 million yuan [8] Financing and Margin Trading - The financing balance for stock ETFs increased from 47.722 billion yuan to 50.553 billion yuan [9] - The highest financing buy amount was for the E Fund ChiNext ETF, totaling 801 million yuan [9] ETF Market Size and Composition - The total size of the ETF market reached 55,994.97 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,305.99 billion yuan from the previous week [13] - Stock ETFs accounted for 64.0% of the total ETF market size, with a total size of 35,817.94 billion yuan [15] - The number of stock ETFs in the market was 1,065 out of a total of 1,355 ETFs [10] New ETF Issuance - No new ETFs were issued last week, but eight new ETFs were established, including the Harvest Hang Seng Technology ETF and the Penghua Hang Seng Biotechnology ETF [16] Institutional Insights - Pacific Securities highlighted the importance of advancements in AI foundational model technology, particularly in e-commerce and advertising sectors [16] - Galaxy Securities noted the potential of AI video and social ecosystems, emphasizing the shift towards ecological construction and scene penetration in various industries [17]

Core Insights - The "national team" has significantly increased its holdings in A-shares, with a total market value approaching 4 trillion yuan, focusing heavily on financial stocks [1][4] - The top ten holdings of the "national team" are predominantly from the financial sector, with the largest being the Bank of China, valued at over 1 trillion yuan [1][3] Holdings Overview - As of the end of Q3, the "national team" held over 222 A-share stocks, with a total market value of 3.911 trillion yuan, marking an increase from the previous quarter [4][5] - The top three holdings by market value are Bank of China (1.028 trillion yuan), Agricultural Bank of China (957.73 billion yuan), and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (930.27 billion yuan) [2][3] Sector Focus - The "national team" remains heavily invested in financial stocks, with 9 out of the top 10 holdings being from this sector, accounting for over 83.9% of the total market value of the top ten stocks [3][4] - In addition to financial stocks, the "national team" is diversifying into sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and renewable energy, aligning with national strategic goals [3][4] ETF Investments - The "national team" has also increased its investment in ETFs, with holdings exceeding 40% of the total A-share ETF market, contributing to market stabilization [5][6] - The total market value of ETFs held by the "national team" reached approximately 1.55 trillion yuan, with significant gains from major ETFs like Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF [6][7] Market Conditions - The current market environment is characterized by ample liquidity and favorable policy support, which is benefiting growth-oriented stocks, particularly in the technology sector [7]

Core Viewpoint - The "national team" has significantly increased its holdings in A-shares, focusing primarily on financial stocks, with a total market value approaching 4 trillion yuan as of the end of the third quarter [1][2]. Group 1: National Team Holdings - As of the end of Q3, the "national team" held over 222 A-share stocks, with a total market value of approximately 3.911 trillion yuan, reflecting an increase from the previous quarter [4]. - The top three stocks held by the "national team" in terms of market value are China Bank (1.03 trillion yuan), Agricultural Bank (967.73 billion yuan), and Industrial and Commercial Bank (930.27 billion yuan) [2]. - Financial stocks dominate the "national team's" portfolio, with 9 out of the top 10 holdings being from the financial sector, accounting for over 83.9% of the total market value of the top holdings [2][4]. Group 2: Sector Diversification - In addition to financial stocks, the "national team" has also invested in sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and new energy, aligning with national strategies for technological advancement [3]. - Notable technology stocks included in the "national team's" portfolio are Ultrasonic Electronics, Puxin Co., and Maike Audi, indicating a strategic shift towards innovation-driven sectors [3]. Group 3: ETF Investments - The "national team" has utilized ETFs as a significant investment tool, with holdings in A-share ETFs exceeding 40% of the total A-share ETF market size by the end of Q3 [6]. - Central Huijin Investment has emerged as a major player in the ETF market, holding significant stakes in multiple ETFs, contributing to market stabilization efforts [5][6]. - The performance of ETFs has been strong, with substantial floating profits reported, particularly in broad-based ETFs like the Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which saw floating profits exceeding 550 billion yuan [7].

Core Viewpoint - The "National Team," including Central Huijin Investment and its asset management plans, has maintained a stable position in broad-based ETFs while making minor adjustments in sector-specific ETFs, reflecting a strategic approach to stabilize the A-share market [1][2][3]. Group 1: ETF Holdings and Performance - The "National Team" has kept its holdings in broad-based ETFs largely unchanged, with significant performance in the third quarter, where the average increase of ETFs held exceeded 20%, resulting in a scale increase of over 200 billion yuan [2][6]. - As of mid-2025, the "National Team" holds over 40% of the total A-share ETF market, indicating a strong influence on market stability [3]. - The total scale of ETFs held by Central Huijin Investment and its asset management plans reached 1.55 trillion yuan by the end of the third quarter, marking an increase of over 200 billion yuan from the previous quarter [7]. Group 2: Specific ETF Adjustments - Central Huijin Asset Management's two specialized asset management plans have shown more frequent trading activity, including a reduction in holdings of specific ETFs, which should not be interpreted as a broader "National Team" strategy [4][5]. - Notably, the specialized plans reduced their holdings in the Guotai Zhongzheng 800 Automotive and Parts ETF by 800,000 shares in July, and completely divested from the Huaxia Hang Seng China Mainland Enterprises High Dividend ETF [4]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Influences - The significant rebound in the A-share market during the third quarter was a primary driver of the "National Team's" unrealized gains, supported by favorable domestic liquidity conditions and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [8]. - Factors such as policy support, active trading, and capital inflows contributed to the overall positive market performance, with a notable increase in risk appetite among investors [8].

Core Insights - Central Huijin shows strong commitment to broad-based ETFs, maintaining stable holdings while flexibly adjusting industry-themed ETFs [1][3] Group 1: Broad-based ETFs - Central Huijin's holdings in broad-based ETFs remained stable, with 15 out of 21 ETFs held at over 20% share remaining unchanged by the end of Q3 [1] - The number of ETFs held by Central Huijin with over 20% share increased to 16, with a total holding of 194.71 billion shares [1] - Major broad-based ETFs like Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF saw significant net value growth in Q3, with 22 broad-based ETFs growing over 10% [2] Group 2: Industry-themed ETFs - Central Huijin's asset management plans adopted a more flexible strategy for industry-themed ETFs, with lower holding ratios compared to broad-based ETFs [3] - The Huaxia Huijin asset management plan reduced holdings in two industry-themed ETFs, indicating a responsive approach to market trends [3] - Top-performing industry-themed ETFs included Huaxia CSI 5G Communication Theme ETF and Huabao CSI Electronic 50 ETF, with net value growth rates exceeding 40% [4]

Core Viewpoint - Central Huijin's investment strategy reflects a strong commitment to broad-based ETFs while demonstrating flexibility in sector-themed ETFs, indicating a dual approach to asset allocation [1][4]. Group 1: Broad-based ETFs - Central Huijin shows strong holding stability in broad-based ETFs, with 15 out of 21 ETFs held at the end of Q2 remaining unchanged in Q3, maintaining a shareholding ratio above 20% [2]. - The total holdings in broad-based ETFs reached 1,947.11 billion shares for Central Huijin Investment Co. and 1,626.04 billion shares for Central Huijin Asset Management Co. by the end of Q3 [2]. - Notable growth was observed in mainstream broad-based ETFs, with some experiencing net asset value growth rates exceeding 50% in Q3, and 22 ETFs showing growth rates over 10% [2][5]. Group 2: Sector-themed ETFs - Central Huijin's asset management plans exhibit a more flexible adjustment strategy in sector-themed ETFs, with significant reductions in holdings for specific ETFs [4]. - The two asset management plans reduced their holdings in the Guotai CSI 800 Automotive and Parts ETF and completely divested from the Huaxia Hang Seng China Enterprises High Dividend ETF [4]. - High-performing sector-themed ETFs included the Huaxia CSI 5G Communication Theme ETF and the Huabao CSI Electronic 50 ETF, with net asset value growth rates exceeding 40% [5]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - Central Huijin's approach to broad-based and sector-themed ETFs reflects a macroeconomic strategy focused on long-term stability and value discovery, with a lower sensitivity to short-term market fluctuations [3][5]. - The adjustments in sector-themed ETFs are aimed at optimizing returns and managing risks by closely following market trends and industry conditions [5]. - The distinction in strategies for broad-based and sector-themed ETFs illustrates Central Huijin's management philosophy of adapting asset allocation based on economic cycles and industry dynamics [5].