税收作为经济运行的"晴雨表"，成为经济向好发展的印证。 财政部数据显示，今年前8个月，全国一般公共预算收入148198亿元，同比增长0.3%。其中，全国税收 收入121085亿元，同比微增0.02%。这是今年以来全国税收收入累计增速首次由负转正。 中诚信国际研究院分析师汪苑晖表示，前8月全国税收收入增速结束17个月负增长态势，是2024年以来 首次转正。主要税种方面，今年前8个月，国内增值税收入为47389亿元，同比增长3.2%，收入增速较 前7个月略有加快；企业所得税收入为31477亿元，同比增长0.3%，这是今年以来企业所得税收入累计 增速首次由负转正；国内消费税收入为11523亿元，同比增长2%；个人所得税收入为10547亿元，同比 增长8.9%。 "增速方面，个人所得税增速领跑主要税种，主要与去年相关税收优惠政策实施形成的低基数有关，同 时也与资本市场交易活跃、部分居民收入提升等有关。"汪苑晖说。 （文章来源：中国经营报） 今年以来，一般公共预算收入增速延续负增长态势、但降幅逐月收窄，7月全国一般公共预算收入累计 同比增速在年内首次转正，8月延续回暖态势，累计同比增长0.3%，高于年初预算目标增速（0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall fiscal revenue in China has shown stability and growth in the first eight months of 2025, reflecting a positive economic trend, with tax revenue turning from negative to positive for the first time this year [3][4]. Fiscal Revenue - The total general public budget revenue reached 148,198 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [3]. - Tax revenue amounted to 121,085 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.02% year-on-year, marking the first positive growth in tax revenue this year [3][4]. - The four major tax categories all experienced growth: - Domestic VAT: approximately 47,000 billion yuan, up 3.2% [5]. - Corporate income tax: approximately 32,000 billion yuan, up 0.3%, indicating a potential improvement in corporate profitability [5]. - Domestic consumption tax: approximately 12,000 billion yuan, up 2% [5]. - Personal income tax: approximately 11,000 billion yuan, up 8.9%, linked to increased property income for certain demographics [5]. Non-Tax Revenue - Non-tax revenue reached 27,113 billion yuan, growing by 1.5%, significantly lower than the 11.7% growth seen in the same period last year [6]. Government Fund Revenue - Government fund budget revenue totaled 26,449 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.4%, with land use rights transfer income at 19,263 billion yuan, down 4.7% [7]. Government Debt and Expenditure - Net financing of government bonds reached 10.27 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.63 trillion yuan year-on-year, indicating increased government borrowing to support fiscal spending [9]. - General public budget expenditure was 179,324 billion yuan, up 3.1%, with significant investments in social security, education, and healthcare [11]. - Government fund budget expenditure was 62,602 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 30%, primarily directed towards major project construction to stabilize the economy [11].

Core Viewpoint - The overall fiscal revenue in China has shown stability and growth in the first eight months of 2025, reflecting a positive economic trend, with tax revenue growth turning from negative to positive for the first time this year [2][3]. Group 1: Fiscal Revenue Overview - National general public budget revenue reached 148198 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [2]. - National tax revenue totaled 121085 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.02%, marking the first positive growth in tax revenue this year [2]. - The four major tax categories (domestic VAT, corporate income tax, domestic consumption tax, and individual income tax) all maintained growth in the first eight months [2]. Group 2: Tax Revenue Breakdown - Domestic VAT, the largest tax source, generated approximately 47000 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2% [2]. - Corporate income tax, the second-largest source, amounted to about 32000 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, indicating a potential improvement in corporate profitability [2]. - Domestic consumption tax generated around 12000 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2% [2]. - Individual income tax reached approximately 11000 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 8.9%, attributed to rising property income among certain demographics [2]. Group 3: Non-Tax Revenue and Government Fund Income - Non-tax revenue for the first eight months was 27113 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.5%, significantly lower than the previous year's growth rate of 11.7% [3]. - Government fund budget revenue, primarily from land sales, was 26449 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.4%, with land use rights transfer income at 19263 billion yuan, down 4.7% [4]. Group 4: Fiscal Expenditure and Debt Financing - National general public budget expenditure reached 179324 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with a focus on social welfare and employment, education, and health care [6]. - Social security and employment expenditure exceeded 30000 billion yuan, growing by 10% year-on-year [6]. - Government bond net financing for the first eight months was 102700 billion yuan, an increase of 46300 billion yuan year-on-year, supporting a more proactive fiscal policy [6].

9月17日，财政部公布2025年1—8月财政收支情况： 一、全国一般公共预算收支情况 （一）一般公共预算收入情况。 1—8月，全国一般公共预算收入148198亿元，同比增长0.3%。其中，全国税收收入121085亿元，同比 微增0.02%；非税收入27113亿元，同比增长1.5%。分中央和地方看，中央一般公共预算收入64268亿 元，同比下降1.7%；地方一般公共预算本级收入83930亿元，同比增长1.8%。 主要税收收入项目情况如下： 1.国内增值税47389亿元，同比增长3.2%。 2.国内消费税11523亿元，同比增长2%。 3.企业所得税31477亿元，同比增长0.3%。 4.个人所得税10547亿元，同比增长8.9%。 5.进口货物增值税、消费税11770亿元，同比下降6.7%。关税1527亿元，同比下降6.5%。 6.出口退税15766亿元，同比增长9%。 7.城市维护建设税3471亿元，同比增长2.9%。 8.车辆购置税1334亿元，同比下降17.7%。 9.印花税2844亿元，同比增长27.4%。其中，证券交易印花税1187亿元，同比增长81.7%。 主要支出科目情况如下： 10.资源税194 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to July, the national general public budget revenue reached 13.58 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, marking the first positive growth in revenue this year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Tax revenue for the same period was 11.09 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, while non-tax revenue was 2.49 trillion yuan, an increase of 2% [1] - The domestic value-added tax generated approximately 4.26 trillion yuan, up 3% year-on-year, indicating stable growth in industrial and service sectors [2] - Corporate income tax revenue was about 3.06 trillion yuan, down 0.4%, reflecting pressure on corporate profits [2] - Import goods value-added tax and consumption tax totaled 1.03 trillion yuan, down 6.1%, consistent with weak import trends [2] - Personal income tax revenue reached 927.9 billion yuan, up 8.8%, attributed to stable growth in resident income and improved tax administration [2] Monthly Trends - From April onwards, monthly tax revenue has shown continuous positive growth for four consecutive months, with July seeing a significant increase of 5% [4][6] - The cumulative decline in tax revenue narrowed significantly, with the year-on-year decline for the first seven months reducing from -1.2% in the first half to -0.3% [6] Sector Performance - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing and modern services showed good tax revenue performance, with specific growth rates of 33% for railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment, and 12.7% for scientific research and technical services [6] Government Expenditure - General public budget expenditure for the first seven months was 16.07 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, with significant growth in social security and employment spending by 9.8% [10] - The total government expenditure, including special bonds, showed a strong increase of 31.7% [10] - The broad fiscal expenditure, combining general public budget and government fund budget, grew by 8.9% compared to the same period last year, indicating robust fiscal support for economic growth [10]

Core Viewpoint - The fiscal revenue in China showed a slight year-on-year growth of 0.1% in the first seven months of 2023, marking the first positive growth this year, driven by improved economic conditions and various policy measures [1][7]. Revenue Breakdown - Total public budget revenue reached 13.58 trillion yuan, with tax revenue at 11.09 trillion yuan, down 0.3%, and non-tax revenue at 2.49 trillion yuan, up 2% [1]. - Domestic value-added tax revenue was approximately 4.26 trillion yuan, up 3%, indicating stable growth in industrial and service sectors [2]. - Corporate income tax revenue was about 3.06 trillion yuan, down 0.4%, reflecting pressure on corporate profits [2]. - Import goods value-added tax and consumption tax totaled 1.03 trillion yuan, down 6.1%, consistent with weak import trends [2]. - Personal income tax revenue was 927.9 billion yuan, up 8.8%, linked to stable growth in resident income and improved tax administration [2]. Monthly Trends - From April onwards, monthly tax revenue has shown continuous positive growth for four months, with July seeing a significant increase of 5% [4][6]. - The cumulative decline in tax revenue narrowed from 1.2% in the first half to 0.3% in the first seven months [6]. Sector Performance - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing and modern services showed positive tax revenue growth, with specific increases of 33% in railway and aerospace equipment, 10.1% in computer and communication equipment, and 12.7% in scientific research services [6]. Government Expenditure - Total public budget expenditure reached 16.07 trillion yuan, up 3.4%, with significant increases in social security (9.8%) and education (5.7%) spending [10]. - The overall fiscal expenditure, including government bonds, grew by 8.9% compared to the previous year, indicating strong fiscal support for economic growth [10].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to July, the national general public budget revenue reached 13.58 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, marking the first positive growth in revenue for the year [1] - Tax revenue totaled 11.09 trillion yuan, a slight decline of 0.3% year-on-year, while non-tax revenue increased by 2% to 2.49 trillion yuan [1] - The recovery in fiscal revenue growth in July was attributed to improved corporate profit expectations and the wealth effect from the rising Shanghai Composite Index [1] Tax Revenue Breakdown - Domestic value-added tax revenue was approximately 4.26 trillion yuan, up 3% year-on-year, indicating stable growth in industrial and service sectors [2] - Corporate income tax revenue was about 3.06 trillion yuan, down 0.4%, reflecting pressure on corporate profits [2] - Import goods value-added tax and consumption tax totaled 1.03 trillion yuan, down 6.1%, consistent with weak import trends [2] - Personal income tax revenue reached 927.9 billion yuan, up 8.8%, supported by stable growth in resident income and improved tax administration [2] - Securities transaction stamp duty revenue was 936 billion yuan, up 62.5%, indicating active capital market trading [2] Monthly Trends - From April onwards, monthly tax revenue has shown continuous positive growth for four consecutive months, with July seeing a significant increase of 5% [2][4] - The cumulative decline in tax revenue narrowed significantly, with a reduction of 0.3% for the first seven months compared to a 1.2% decline in the first half of the year [4] Sector Performance - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing and modern services showed strong tax revenue performance, with notable increases in specific industries like railway and aerospace equipment [5] - The overall tax revenue performance is expected to improve in the second half of the year, driven by stable economic conditions and active capital markets [6] Government Expenditure - From January to July, national general public budget expenditure reached 16.07 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, with significant growth in social security, education, and health expenditures [9] - The issuance of government bonds has accelerated, contributing to a stronger fiscal expenditure environment [9] - The broad fiscal expenditure, combining general public budget and government fund expenditures, grew by 8.9% year-on-year, marking a strong performance [10]

National General Public Budget Revenue - National general public budget revenue for January to July reached 135839 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [1] - Tax revenue amounted to 110933 billion, showing a decline of 0.3% year-on-year, while non-tax revenue was 24906 billion, increasing by 2% [1] - Central government revenue was 58538 billion, down 2% year-on-year, while local government revenue was 77301 billion, up 1.8% [1] Major Tax Revenue Items - Domestic value-added tax collected was 42551 billion, reflecting a growth of 3% [2] - Domestic consumption tax totaled 10213 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [3] - Corporate income tax revenue was 30566 billion, showing a slight decline of 0.4% [4] - Personal income tax reached 9279 billion, marking an increase of 8.8% [5] - Import VAT and consumption tax amounted to 10300 billion, down 6.1%, while customs duties were 1316 billion, decreasing by 6.5% [6] - Export tax rebates were 14065 billion, up 9.7% [7] - Urban maintenance and construction tax was 3105 billion, increasing by 2.7% [8] - Vehicle purchase tax was 1183 billion, down significantly by 18.4% [9] - Stamp duty revenue was 2559 billion, with a notable increase of 20.7%, including a 62.5% rise in securities transaction stamp duty [10] - Resource tax collected was 1747 billion, down 1.6% [11] - Decrease in deed tax revenue to 2694 billion, down 15% [12] - Property tax revenue was 3201 billion, increasing by 11.2% [13] - Urban land use tax reached 1653 billion, up 5.8% [14] - Land value increment tax was 2786 billion, down 17.8% [15] - Cultivated land occupation tax was 918 billion, increasing by 3.1% [16] - Environmental protection tax revenue was 190 billion, up 12.5% [17] - Other tax revenues totaled 737 billion, with a slight increase of 0.9% [18] National General Public Budget Expenditure - National general public budget expenditure for January to July was 160737 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [19] - Central government expenditure was 23327 billion, up 8.8%, while local government expenditure was 137410 billion, increasing by 2.5% [19] Major Expenditure Items - Education expenditure reached 24438 billion, increasing by 5.7% [20] - Science and technology expenditure was 5330 billion, up 3.2% [21] - Cultural, tourism, sports, and media expenditure totaled 2012 billion, increasing by 5.3% [22] - Social security and employment expenditure was 27621 billion, up 9.8% [22] - Health expenditure reached 12402 billion, increasing by 5.3% [22] - Energy conservation and environmental protection expenditure was 2949 billion, up 4.3% [22] - Urban and rural community expenditure was 11185 billion, down 3.5% [22] - Agriculture, forestry, and water expenditure was 12323 billion, down 7.7% [22] - Transportation expenditure was 6340 billion, down 3.3% [22] - Debt interest payment expenditure was 7573 billion, increasing by 6.4% [22] National Government Fund Budget Revenue - National government fund budget revenue for January to July was 23124 billion, a decrease of 0.7% [23] - Central government fund budget revenue was 2596 billion, up 8.8%, while local government fund budget revenue was 20528 billion, down 1.8% [23] - Revenue from state-owned land use rights transfer was 16950 billion, down 4.6% [23] National Government Fund Budget Expenditure - National government fund budget expenditure for January to July was 54287 billion, a significant increase of 31.7% [23] - Central government fund budget expenditure was 7109 billion, up 4.5 times, while local government fund budget expenditure was 47178 billion, increasing by 18.1% [23] - Expenditure related to state-owned land use rights transfer was 23572 billion, down 6.1% [23]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the disparity between tax revenue growth and nominal GDP growth, highlighting that in 2024, tax revenue growth is expected to lag behind nominal GDP growth by 7.6 percentage points, which poses a constraint on fiscal expansion. The analysis aims to explore whether tax growth can reverse this trend under a more proactive fiscal stance in 2025 [1]. Group 1: Tax Revenue and GDP Growth Patterns - Historical data shows a non-symmetrical fluctuation characteristic between tax revenue growth and nominal GDP growth, with a tax elasticity coefficient of approximately 2, meaning tax revenue growth typically fluctuates around zero when GDP growth is at a 5% baseline [2][7]. - The primary source of tax revenue elasticity is the income tax mechanism, where corporate profits fluctuate more than revenue, and personal income tax features a progressive rate that causes tax growth to exceed income growth [8]. - The decline in tax revenue in 2024 is primarily attributed to decreases in domestic value-added tax, export tax rebates, deed tax, and land value-added tax, with a total decline of 616.4 billion yuan, or 3.4% year-on-year [9][10]. Group 2: Industry Tax Burden Disparities - The concentration of tax revenue is significantly higher than that of GDP, with the top five industries contributing 77.4% of tax revenue compared to 58.8% of GDP [13]. - High tax burden industries include real estate, finance, and leasing services, with tax-to-value-added ratios exceeding 20%, while low tax burden industries are primarily in agriculture, education, and health [14]. - The tax revenue of the manufacturing and wholesale retail sectors is primarily influenced by fluctuations in the Producer Price Index (PPI), while the real estate sector's tax revenue is closely linked to land acquisition and property sales cycles [15][16]. Group 3: Tax Revenue Trends for 2025 - Tax revenue is expected to recover to 2023 levels, with a projected average growth rate of 3.9% across 21 provinces, indicating a potential return to approximately 18 trillion yuan in total tax revenue [19][20]. - The anticipated recovery in tax revenue is supported by a predicted slight improvement in PPI and manageable declines in credit growth, which are expected to stabilize tax income [18]. - Tax reform is seen as a critical opportunity, with the need to address the declining share of tax revenue in GDP and the necessity for adjustments in the central-local fiscal relationship, particularly in light of pressures from the real estate sector [20].