本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任 自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任 何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引 用、删节和修改。 免责声明 热轧卷板产业链日报 2025/10/9 研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | HC 主力合约收盘价(元/吨) | 3,286 | +33↑ HC 主力合约持仓量(手) | 1374586 | +24718↑ | | | HC 合约前20名净持仓(手) | -23,217 | +21390↑ HC1-5合约价差(元/吨) | -7 | -1↓ | | | HC 上期所仓单日报( ...

根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年8月中国家用洗衣机产量为1013万台，同比下降1.6%；2025年1-8月中 国家用洗衣机累计产量为7826.3万台，累计增长7.8%。 上市企业：美的集团（000333）,海尔智家（600690）,格力电器（000651）,惠而浦（600983）,TCL科技 （000100）,创维数字（000810） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国洗衣机行业市场供需态势及投资前景研判报告》 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2020-2025年1-8月中国家用洗衣机产量统计图 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth trends in China's washing machine industry, with a projected production increase and positive market outlook from 2025 to 2031 [1] - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the production of household washing machines in China reached 8.77 million units in July 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.4% [1] - From January to July 2025, the cumulative production of household washing machines in China was 68.128 million units, reflecting a cumulative growth of 9.4% [1] Group 2 - The article references several listed companies in the washing machine sector, including Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric Appliances, Whirlpool, TCL Technology, and Skyworth Digital [1] - The report by Zhiyan Consulting provides insights into the supply and demand dynamics of the washing machine market in China, along with investment prospects for the period from 2025 to 2031 [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and providing comprehensive solutions for investment decision-making [1]

上市企业：美的集团（000333）,海尔智家（600690）,格力电器（000651）,惠而浦（600983）,TCL科技 （000100）,创维数字（000810） 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国洗衣机行业市场供需态势及投资前景研判报告》 2020-2025年1-5月中国家用洗衣机产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年5月中国家用洗衣机产量为941万台，同比增长1.6%；2025年1-5月中 国家用洗衣机累计产量为4911.5万台，累计增长9.3%。 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - On Thursday, the HC2601 contract traded within a range. Mexico is seeking to raise the tariff rate on Asian - made cars by up to 50%. In terms of supply and demand, the weekly output of hot - rolled coils increased after a decline, with a capacity utilization rate of 83.06%. Inventory decreased slightly, and apparent demand increased significantly. Overall, the terminal demand for hot - rolled coils is fairly resilient, with both year - on - year and month - on - month increases in apparent demand, but tariff disruptions have affected market investment sentiment. Technically, for the HC2601 contract, the 1 - hour MACD indicator shows that DIFF and DEA are above the 0 - axis, with the green bar expanding. Short - term trading is recommended, with attention to rhythm and risk control [2] Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the HC main contract was 3,334 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; the trading volume was 1,323,310 lots, up 9,651 lots. The net position of the top 20 in the HC contract was - 113,934 lots, down 7,049 lots. The HC10 - 1 contract spread was 38 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan. The HC Futures Exchange's daily warehouse receipt was 59,441 tons, up 34,382 tons. The HC2601 - RB2601 contract spread was 242 yuan/ton, up 9 yuan [2] Spot Market - The price of 4.75 hot - rolled coils in Hangzhou was 3,410 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Guangzhou it was 3,370 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Wuhan it was 3,430 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; in Tianjin it was 3,320 yuan/ton, unchanged. The basis of the HC main contract was 76 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan. The price difference between Hangzhou hot - rolled coils and rebar was 170 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The price of 61.5% PB iron ore fines at Qingdao Port was 801 yuan/wet ton, up 3 yuan. The market price of Hebei quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke was 1,590 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of 6 - 8mm scrap steel in Tangshan (tax - excluded) was 2,290 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of Hebei Q235 billets was 2,990 yuan/ton, unchanged. The inventory of iron ore at 45 ports was 138.2532 million tons, up 623,000 tons. The inventory of coke at sample coking plants was 406,600 tons, up 9,500 tons. The inventory of coke at sample steel mills was 6.2354 million tons, up 134,200 tons. The inventory of Hebei billets was 1.2895 million tons, down 75,800 tons [2] Industry Situation - The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 80.38%, down 2.80 percentage points; the blast furnace capacity utilization rate was 85.77%, down 4.23 percentage points. The weekly output of hot - rolled coils at sample steel mills was 3.2514 million tons, up 109,000 tons; the capacity utilization rate was 83.06%, up 2.79 percentage points. The factory inventory of hot - rolled coils at sample steel mills was 808,800 tons, up 9,000 tons. The social inventory of hot - rolled coils in 33 cities was 2.9244 million tons, down 19,200 tons. The monthly output of domestic crude steel was 79.66 million tons, down 3.53 million tons. The monthly net export volume of steel was 9.01 million tons, down 380,000 tons [2] Downstream Situation - The monthly output of automobiles was 2.5911 million vehicles, down 203,000 vehicles; the monthly sales volume was 2.5934 million vehicles, down 311,100 vehicles. The monthly output of air conditioners was 20.5965 million units, down 7.7866 million units. The monthly output of household refrigerators was 8.7307 million units, down 316,800 units. The monthly output of household washing machines was 8.7743 million units, down 733,600 units [2] Industry News - On September 11, Mysteel information showed that the actual output of hot - rolled coils this period was 3.2514 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 109,000 tons; the factory inventory was 808,800 tons, a week - on - week increase of 9,000 tons; the social inventory was 2.9244 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 19,200 tons; the total inventory was 3.7332 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 10,200 tons; the apparent demand was 3.2616 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 208,000 tons. Mexico's Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard said the country is seeking to raise the tariff rate on Asian - made cars by up to 50% to protect about 320,000 jobs [2]

Core Viewpoint - The home appliance industry in China has experienced significant growth, becoming a major global producer and consumer, with a focus on improving living quality and adapting to consumer demands [1][6][12]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Home appliances, referred to as "家电," are essential for modern living, enhancing convenience and comfort [1][6]. - China has become the world's largest producer of home appliances, with a diverse range of products that are reliable and cost-effective [1][6]. - In 2024, the production of major home appliances is projected to increase, with refrigerators at 103.957 million units (up 8.3%), air conditioners at 265.984 million units (up 9.7%), and washing machines at 117.365 million units (up 8.8%) [1][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The revenue of large-scale enterprises in the home appliance industry is expected to reach 1,908.676 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 66.41 billion yuan from 2023 [1][6]. - The total profit for the industry is projected to be 199.355 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 42.855 billion yuan from 2023 [1][6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The air conditioning and refrigerator markets are the largest segments in the home appliance industry, accounting for 23% and 16% of the market, respectively [6][10]. - The industry has undergone several phases, including supportive initiation, controlled expansion, competitive adjustment, and mature growth [4][10]. Group 4: Industry Structure - The home appliance industry has a complete and efficient supply chain, with upstream materials including steel, plastics, and copper, and a focus on new materials like biodegradable plastics [7][8]. - The sales channels have shifted towards online platforms, with significant growth in e-commerce, while offline channels are evolving to provide experiential shopping [7][8]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The market concentration is significant, with the top companies holding a substantial share; the first tier of companies accounts for approximately 25%-40% of the market [10][11]. - Major players with revenues exceeding 100 billion yuan include Midea Group, Gree Electric, Haier Smart Home, and Hisense [10][11]. Group 6: Future Trends - The home appliance industry is expected to transition from "catching up" to "keeping pace" and even "leading" in the coming years, driven by technological innovation and evolving consumer needs [12][13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth potential of the Chinese washing machine industry, with a projected production increase and positive market trends from 2025 to 2031 [1][3]. - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the production of household washing machines in China is expected to reach 9.51 million units by June 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.5% [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the cumulative production of household washing machines in China is reported to be 58.604 million units, showing a cumulative growth of 10.3% [1]. Group 2 - The article mentions key players in the industry, including Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric Appliances, Whirlpool, TCL Technology, and Skyworth Digital [1]. - The report referenced is the "2025-2031 China Washing Machine Industry Market Supply and Demand Situation and Investment Prospect Analysis Report" published by Zhiyan Consulting [1]. - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, providing comprehensive industry research reports and tailored services to support investment decisions [2].

Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in May showed a slight decline, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a stable core price trend [1][2] - Energy prices were the main factor for the CPI decline, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.7%, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the overall CPI decline [2] - The increase in core CPI and industrial consumer goods prices, along with rising prices for gold jewelry, household textiles, and durable goods, reflects positive changes in certain sectors driven by consumption-boosting policies [2][3] Group 2 - Hotel accommodation and tourism prices increased by 4.6% and 0.8% month-on-month, respectively, indicating a strong recovery in the tourism sector [4] - The "May Day" holiday saw 314 million domestic trips, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, with total spending reaching 180.27 billion yuan, up 8.0% year-on-year, highlighting the growth potential in the tourism market [5] - The tourism economy is expected to be a significant driver for domestic demand and economic growth, providing support for future price trends [5] Group 3 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a year-on-year decline, but marginal changes indicate improvements in supply-demand relationships in certain sectors [6] - The shift in consumer preferences from price sensitivity to quality prioritization is creating opportunities for innovation and development in related industries [6][7] - The increase in prices for high-end manufacturing sectors, such as aircraft and semiconductor equipment, reflects a trend towards high-end, intelligent, and green transformation in industries [7]

新兴产业物流需求展现出强劲增长动能。数据显示，上半年我国装备制造业物流需求同比增长10.9%， 高技术制造业物流需求增长9.7%。3D打印设备、工业机器人产品生产相关的物流实物量同比增长均超 过20%。平板电脑、5G智能手机、家用洗衣机等产品物流实物量实现较快增长，增速均超过10%。 国际物流需求多元化格局持续推进。刘宇航介绍，尽管上半年我国进口货物物流总额同比下降3%，但 降幅较一季度有所收窄，特别是6月以来，进口货物物流总额增速由负转正，同比增长2.1%。我国自东 盟、日本、韩国进口额同比增速均实现回正，分别增长2.3%、1.1%和1.4%。进口产品由大宗商品向高 附加值品类延伸，其中集成电路进口回升明显，同比增长8.9%，增速较1至5月份提高0.5个百分点。 中国物流与采购联合会日前公布2025年上半年我国物流运行数据。上半年，全国社会物流总额为171.3 万亿元，按可比价格计算，同比增长5.6%。 "上半年我国社会物流总额增速高于GDP增速0.3个百分点，反映出物流需求对经济发展的支撑作用依然 较强，彰显出我国物流需求支撑经济稳健发展的基础作用。"中国物流与采购联合会会长蔡进说。 工业领域物流运行总体 ...

新华社北京8月1日电 题：多维发力推动我国物流运行稳中有进——解读2025年上半年我国物流运行数 据 新华社记者叶昊鸣 中国物流与采购联合会日前公布2025年上半年我国物流运行数据。上半年，全国社会物流总额为171.3 万亿元，按可比价格计算，同比增长5.6%。 "上半年我国社会物流总额增速高于GDP增速0.3个百分点，反映出物流需求对经济发展的支撑作用依然 较强，彰显出我国物流需求支撑经济稳健发展的基础作用。"中国物流与采购联合会会长蔡进说。 工业领域物流运行总体平稳、稳中有进。数据显示，上半年我国工业品物流总额同比增长5.8%，对社 会物流总额增长的贡献率为85%。"物流需求核心支柱地位持续巩固，为工业经济稳定和产业链供应链 畅通提供了坚实保障。"中国物流信息中心主任刘宇航说。 上半年，我国物流业总收入6.9万亿元，同比增长5%，增速比一季度提高0.1个百分点。中国物流业景气 指数平均值为50.5%，比一季度回升0.3个百分点，业务总量指数、新订单指数、库存周转次数指数、资 金周转率指数、固定资产投资完成额指数、从业人员指数和业务活动预期指数等关键指标均处在扩张区 间。"物流行业景气水平整体良好，在产业升 ...