Core Viewpoint - Dongshi Precision Gear (Wuhan) Co., Ltd. is enhancing its market position in the differential gear sector through collaboration with QYResearch, focusing on customized electronic lock differentials and improving product performance and innovation [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Dongshi Precision Gear specializes in the research and production of new energy differential gears, with an annual production capacity of 1 million sets of differential gears and 600,000 sets of differential assemblies [2]. - The company has successfully passed IATF169, ISO14001, and ISO45001 certifications, ensuring product quality and environmental safety [2]. - Dongshi has established 8 cold precision forging production lines, with an automation rate of 5%, capable of producing up to 10 million pieces annually [2]. Group 2: Market Insights - QYResearch predicts that by 2030, the scale of China's construction machinery market will reach $63.1 billion, accounting for 37% of the global market share [5]. - The new energy construction machinery market is projected to reach $3.571 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 148.6% from 2018 to 2024, significantly outpacing traditional construction machinery growth rates of 5-8% [6]. - The growth rate for new energy construction machinery is expected to stabilize between 30% and 45% from 2025 to 2030, driven by advancements in battery technology [6]. Group 3: Research and Analysis - QYResearch provides in-depth market research services across the mechanical industry, addressing data gaps that official statistics cannot cover [3]. - The company analyzes various aspects of the market, including market size, share, trends, driving factors, and industry policies, to support client decision-making [3]. - QYResearch's research scope includes multiple mechanical sectors, offering detailed reports on production capacity, output, sales volume, and revenue for the differential gear market [3].

Summary of the Conference Call for Jingduan Technology Company Overview - Jingduan Technology is a leading precision gear manufacturer in China, holding approximately 10% of the global bevel gear market and 30% of the domestic market share. Major clients include Volkswagen and Tesla, which recognize the company's precision manufacturing capabilities, laying a foundation for future collaborations [2][4][5]. Core Business and Financial Performance - The company's differential assembly business is gradually increasing, with a gross margin of about 24%. In 2024, revenue is expected to be around 2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.7%, with a net profit of approximately 160 million yuan. Revenue is anticipated to recover in 2025 due to new projects from Volkswagen, NTN, BYD, and Huawei, with the Thai factory starting small-scale production [2][6][7]. - The company has seen significant growth in revenue and profit from 2020 to 2023. The revenue for 2024 is projected to be around 2 billion yuan, with a net profit of about 160 million yuan. The gross margin is expected to remain around 24% [7][9]. Strategic Initiatives and Market Opportunities - Jingduan Technology is transitioning from differential gears to humanoid robot reducers, having invested in Wuhan Granrobo, which is expected to lead to mass production of planetary reducer products. The company is well-positioned in the humanoid robot market, particularly appealing to North American clients [3][10]. - The company is also developing cycloidal pinwheel reducers to balance the disadvantages of harmonic and planetary reducers, enhancing torque and impact resistance [3][10]. - The Thai factory's completion eliminates additional depreciation costs, marking a turning point for the company's fundamentals [4][12]. Collaborations and Client Relationships - The collaboration with Tesla is progressing well, with the company's precision manufacturing capabilities being recognized, potentially allowing for quick integration into Tesla's humanoid robot projects. Other deep partnerships include BYD, Huawei, and Xiaomi, which may further enhance development opportunities [8][9]. - The company has established a strong presence in the overseas new energy market, which is rapidly expanding, providing good opportunities for development in Europe [9]. Industry Landscape and Competitive Position - The domestic new reducer market is favorable, with competitors like Shuanghuan, Haoneng, and Jingda. Jingduan Technology's existing collaborations and support from invested companies position it well for accelerated growth in the new reducer segment [13][14]. - The domestic differential assembly market is estimated to be around 7.3 billion yuan, with Jingduan's current revenue from this segment at only 24%, indicating significant room for market share growth [9]. Conclusion - Jingduan Technology is strategically positioned for growth in both the automotive and robotics sectors, with a strong focus on precision manufacturing and innovative product development. The company's collaborations with major clients and its expansion into new markets present promising investment opportunities moving forward [2][3][4][8][9].

Macro Strategy - The report highlights that the merger and acquisition (M&A) market is entering a "fast lane," driven by a favorable macroeconomic environment, policy support, and the need for industrial upgrades, similar to the M&A boom from 2013 to 2015 [1][14][16] - The current macroeconomic conditions, characterized by loose liquidity and a strong demand for economic transformation, are conducive to M&A activities, which can enhance production efficiency and optimize resource allocation [1][14][16] - The report notes that the policy environment for M&A has improved significantly since the introduction of the new "National Nine Articles" in 2024, which aims to support strategic emerging industries and ensure orderly market operations [1][14][16] Industry Insights - The report indicates that the focus of M&A activities is shifting towards emerging technology sectors, with significant transactions occurring in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and high-end manufacturing industries [1][14][16] - It is projected that the M&A market will see a surge in activity, with completed projects in 2025 already surpassing the total for 2024, reflecting a robust policy-driven environment [1][14][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of state-owned enterprises in the current M&A landscape, with 50% of completed projects involving state-owned entities, which are expected to concentrate resources in key strategic sectors [1][14][16] Company Recommendations - The report recommends "Guoquan" (锅圈) as a strong investment opportunity, projecting revenues of 72.8 billion, 83.4 billion, and 94.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 3.3 billion, 4.0 billion, and 4.9 billion yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [10] - "Precision Forging Technology" (精锻科技) is highlighted as a leader in the precision gear industry, with expected revenues of 23.06 billion, 26.52 billion, and 31.19 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, and a focus on expanding into robotics components [11] - "Longxin General" (隆鑫通用) is noted for its growth potential, with projected revenues of 208.8 billion, 240.2 billion, and 264.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027, driven by the strength of its "Wuji" brand [12]

| 投资要点 | | --- | 未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 入局机器人减速器赛道，合资公司落地兑现预期： 行星减速器是机器人关节的核心部件，与公司主业行星齿轮在工艺和设备上具有协同性。公司 于2023H2开始推进研发工作，截至2024年11月已开发出相关样品。2025年3月公司与工业机器 人知名品牌天津爱码信成立合资子公司太平洋关节，2025年6月3日以5000万元获得格蓝若智能 机器人10%的股份，加快布局机器人关节、精密减速器、控制电驱动、丝杠等领域。公司卡位 机器人核心部件，积极推进机器人智能关 盈利预测与投资评级： 深耕精密齿轮三十余载，锥齿轮赛道隐形冠军深耕精密齿轮三十余载，锥齿轮赛道隐形 冠军： 公司成立于1992年，于2011年在深交所创业板上市，当前公司已形成以汽车差速器锥齿轮、差 速器总成、变速器结合齿齿轮+铝合金轻量化锻件、机器人减速器双擎驱动的发展格局。2024 年公司营业收入达20.25亿元，同比-3.7%；实现归母净利润1.60亿元，同比-32.8%。2025Q1营 收为5.12亿元，同比+1.7%；实现归母净利润0.40亿元，同比-14.4%。 精锻齿轮领军企业，差速器总成步入 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Views - The company is a leader in the precision gear industry, focusing on the automotive sector and expanding into the robot reducer market, which is expected to drive future growth [7][12]. - The company has a strong market position in the differential gear segment, with a significant market share and a growing revenue stream from its complete differential assembly business [12][22]. - The transition towards electric vehicles is creating new opportunities for the company, particularly in lightweight aluminum components and robot joint technology [57][69]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 1992 and listed in 2011, the company specializes in precision gears for automotive applications, including differential gears and transmission components [12]. - The company has a diverse customer base, including major domestic and international automotive manufacturers [18]. 2. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of 20.25 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.60 billion yuan, down 32.8% [20]. - Revenue is projected to grow to 23.06 billion yuan by 2025, with net profit expected to reach 2.41 billion yuan [1]. 3. Market Position - The company holds the largest market share in the differential gear sector in China, benefiting from high entry barriers in the capital-intensive industry [42][43]. - The market for differential assemblies is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 71.51 billion yuan by 2025 [54]. 4. Product Development - The company is expanding its product offerings to include lightweight aluminum components, which are crucial for meeting the demands of electric vehicles [57][69]. - The company has initiated projects to produce aluminum alloy parts, with planned capacities of 700,000 and 800,000 units for steering knuckles and control arms, respectively [71]. 5. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing partnerships in the robotics sector, having established a joint venture to develop precision reducers for robotic applications [12][56]. - The company is enhancing its production capabilities through capital increases and convertible bonds to support its growth in the differential assembly market [55].

Group 1: Company Overview - The company primarily focuses on planetary gear reducers and screw-type reducers, with plans to expand based on future customer and market demands [1] - The core equipment is mainly imported, and the overall capacity utilization rate is over 60% [1] Group 2: Business Performance - The differential assembly business is expected to see stable growth in 2025, with new project confirmations from clients [1] - Revenue for 2025 is anticipated to maintain stable growth according to current customer and market expectations [1] Group 3: Financial and Investment Insights - The company has over 100 million remaining from fundraising, which is still being invested [2] - There are no current plans for forced redemption of convertible bonds; future decisions will depend on conversion ratios and other factors [1] Group 4: International Expansion - The Thailand factory has completed the first phase of construction and equipment installation, with plans to begin small-scale production in June 2025 [2] - An investment intention has been signed with the Moroccan local government, with plans to acquire land within the year [2] Group 5: Customer Impact - The impact of annual customer declines is relatively smaller due to a high proportion of foreign, joint venture, and export businesses [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its initial coverage [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is strategically positioned in the transmission system components sector and is proactively entering the robotics field, particularly focusing on robotic reducers [1][3]. - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth and structural optimization, leading to a continuous improvement in profitability [28][31]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in the differential and synchronizer markets, capitalizing on the growth of new energy vehicles [2][49]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 2006, the company has developed a comprehensive product line including synchronizers, differential assemblies, and aerospace precision components. It plans to invest in smart manufacturing for robotic reducers in 2024 [1][13]. 2. Revenue Growth and Profitability - From 2020 to 2024, the company's revenue is projected to grow from 12 billion to 24 billion CNY, with a CAGR of 19%. The growth is driven by the stabilizing synchronizer business and the increasing demand for new energy vehicle components [28][31]. 3. Differential and Synchronizer Market Expansion - The differential assembly market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 150 billion CNY by 2030. The company has established a joint venture to enhance its differential production capabilities [2][49]. - The synchronizer market is also expanding, with the company holding over 30% market share in China. The market for synchronizers in passenger vehicles is expected to exceed 8 billion CNY by 2025 [2][8]. 4. Aerospace and Robotics - The aerospace segment is showing strong profitability, with plans for expansion to support performance growth. The company is also leveraging its manufacturing expertise to enter the robotics sector, focusing on high-precision reducers [3][19]. 5. Financial Projections - The company anticipates significant growth in net profit, with projections of 4.3 billion, 5.4 billion, and 6.5 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 33%, 26%, and 21% [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the initial coverage [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is strategically positioned in the transmission system components sector and is proactively entering the robotics field, particularly focusing on the development of robotic reducers [1][3]. - The company has established a comprehensive manufacturing capability across the entire supply chain for its products, including synchronizers and differentials, and is expanding into the aerospace and robotics sectors [1][19]. - The revenue growth is driven by the increasing demand for electric vehicle components and the expansion of its aerospace business, with a projected revenue increase from 12 billion to 24 billion CNY from 2020 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 19% [28][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Founded in 2006, the company has developed a full industrial chain capability from raw material casting to precision forging and assembly for synchronizers and differentials [13][19]. - The company is expanding its operations into the robotics sector with a significant investment in intelligent manufacturing projects for core components [1][19]. 2. Revenue Growth and Profitability - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly, with a forecasted increase in net profit from 1.8 billion CNY in 2020 to 3.2 billion CNY in 2024, achieving a CAGR of 15% [35]. - The gross margin has remained stable, fluctuating between 31% and 36% over recent years, with specific business segments showing varying margins [34]. 3. Differential and Synchronizer Business - The differential market is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to exceed 150 billion CNY by 2030, driven by the increasing sales of electric vehicles [49]. - The company has a strong market presence in the synchronizer segment, holding over 30% market share domestically, and is expanding into the heavy-duty vehicle market [2][3]. 4. Aerospace and Robotics - The aerospace segment has shown strong profitability, with the company expanding its production capabilities to support growth in this area [19][28]. - The company is leveraging its regional advantages to integrate into the robotics supply chain, aiming to benefit from the industry's transformation [3][19]. 5. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 4.3 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 33% [8]. - Revenue projections indicate a steady increase, with expected revenues of 3.021 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 28% [9].

Summary of Xiaomi's Automotive Supply Chain and Market Outlook Industry Overview - Xiaomi is set to deliver 450,000 vehicles in 2025, with projections of 750,000 to 800,000 vehicles in 2026, creating growth opportunities for supply chain companies [1][3] - The YU7 model is expected to account for 300,000 units, while other models like Ultra will contribute an additional 150,000 units [1] Key Points on Supply Chain Companies Wuxi Zhenhua - Wuxi Zhenhua is a major supplier of stamping parts for Xiaomi, with an expected revenue contribution from Xiaomi business reaching nearly 20% in 2025, totaling 500 million yuan [5] - The company reported a first-quarter performance of 95 million yuan, with second-quarter expectations exceeding 100 million yuan [5] Fute Technology - Fute Technology holds over 10% market share in the three-electric system sector, with projected total revenue of 2.6 billion yuan in 2025, where Xiaomi's business will account for 23% [6] - Future contributions from Xiaomi could approach half of Fute's total revenue with the launch of a third vehicle [6] Top Group - Top Group's business with Xiaomi has increased to 13-14%, with expectations to meet Xiaomi's needs better as the third vehicle and overseas expansion occur [7] - By 2026, Xiaomi's business could match that of Seres, reaching 30-40% of Top Group's total customer base [7] Jingdian Technology - Jingdian Technology exclusively supplies differential assemblies for Xiaomi vehicles, valued at approximately 200 yuan per vehicle [9] - The deep collaboration with Xiaomi has allowed Jingdian to expand its other business areas, enhancing its core competitiveness [9] Huayang and Desay - Huayang upgraded its automotive products from 1,000 yuan to over 3,000 yuan per unit, with expected supply ratios of 4-5% in 2025 and nearly 10% in 2026 [4][11] - Desay is anticipated to become a significant customer for Xiaomi, with potential revenue contributions of 20% in 2025, positioning Xiaomi as Desay's second-largest customer [12] Additional Insights - The supply chain for Xiaomi's electric vehicles includes various companies such as Yinlun, Bolong Precision, and Songyuan, with new suppliers like Huada Technology emerging [10] - The third range-extended electric vehicle is expected to bring significant supply chain increments, indicating strong continuity but potential fluctuations in unit value [10] - Smaller suppliers like Huguang and Zeekr play a role in providing specific components, enhancing the overall supply chain through deep collaboration [8] Conclusion - Xiaomi's automotive ambitions are set to significantly impact its supply chain partners, with various companies poised to benefit from increased demand and collaboration as new models are introduced and production ramps up [1][3][6]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Jingzhu Technology is currently under pressure due to fluctuations in export business and expenses, with a revenue of 2.03 billion yuan in 2024, down 3.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 33.1% year-on-year [2][11][16] Financial Performance - In 2024, Jingzhu Technology reported a revenue of 2.03 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 33.1% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 120 million yuan, down 41.2% year-on-year [2][11][16] - For Q4 2024, the revenue was 560 million yuan, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year but an increase of 21.3% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit was 40 million yuan, down 12.0% year-on-year but up 93.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][11][16] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 510 million yuan, an increase of 1.6% year-on-year but a decrease of 8.2% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit was 40 million yuan, down 14.9% year-on-year and down 7.9% quarter-on-quarter [2][11][16] Cost Management - In Q1 2025, the sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 0.8%, 6.8%, and 6.0%, respectively, showing slight year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes. The gross profit margin was 24.3%, down 3.1 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4][3][11] Business Expansion - The company is expanding its product categories from single gear supply to differential assembly supply, while also venturing into reducer gears and lightweight chassis business. It has secured orders from domestic brands, new forces, Volvo, and major North American clients [6][5] - The overseas expansion includes a factory in Thailand expected to begin small-scale trial production in June 2025, with mass supply planned for the second half of 2025. Future plans also include establishing a production base in North Africa [6][5] Robotics Sector - The company is actively advancing its robotics intelligent joint module business, collaborating with Tianjin Aima Automation to establish a joint venture. The internal team is progressing as planned, leveraging its gear forging capabilities and customer base for advancements in the robotics sector [8][7]