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稀土企业绕管控卖永磁体给西方,技术护城河或10年被摸透,国家战略在漏气
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 08:50
中国稀土公司, 绕开国内管制,向西方继续出口产品这事,说白了,就是拿国家战略安全换自家私利。往根上说,就是资敌行为。 谁能想到,全球最受重视的战略资源之一, 竟然被自家企业绕开管控偷偷卖到了外面去。 而这些 "外面",恰好就是在近几年频繁对中国科技产业 下绊子的西方国家。 "合规"贸易的伪装 那些被偷偷运出去的东西,可不是地上随便捡的石头,它们是 钕、镝、铽。这几个名字对于普通人或许只存在于化学课本里,但在大国博弈的沙盘上,它 们是构建现代战争机器的 "肌体"。 从能够精准锁定目标的相控阵雷达, 到需要极强爆发力的导弹伺服系统,再到新能源车的心脏电机,甚至是那些翱翔在大气层边缘的航太骨骼,哪一样离 得开高性能 稀土永磁体? 谁掌握了这些, 谁就在下一代工业革命和军事对抗中握住了主动权。 前言 而中国, 原本是握着这把钥匙的人。根据那些被公认的行业数据,我们不仅仅是脚下的矿多,占据了全球三成多的储量,更可怕的是我们垄断了把 "土"变 成"金"的能力。 从矿山挖出来的原石,到极其复杂的提纯, 再到最终变成高性能的磁材,这条产业链上的绝大多数精炼工序和产能,都在中国手里。这就是西方无论如何 焦虑,都绕不开的 "中国 ...
中国稀土公司,绕开国内管制,向西方继续出口就是资敌行为
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 03:30
中国稀土公司,绕开国内管制,向西方继续出口产品这事,说白了,就是拿国家战略安全换自家私利。 往根上说,就是资敌行为。 谁能想到,全球最受重视的战略资源之一,竟然被自家企业绕开管控偷偷卖到了外面去。 而这些"外面",恰好就是在近几年频繁对中国科技产业下绊子的西方国家。 最近曝出的稀土磁铁出口事件,不仅刺痛了监管层,更让整个产业链神经紧绷。这事表面看是企业逐 利,实质上却是以国家安全为代价换取短期利益的"资敌"操作。 在中国,稀土从来不只是资源,它是关乎国家战略安全的底层筹码。 前言 稀土,尤其是那些经过复杂工艺提炼后的钕、镝、铽,根本不是什么普通的工业添加剂。 而是行业内的"硬通货",不仅决定了风力发电设备的效率,更直接关系到类似F-35这样的西方主力战机 的性能上限。 正因如此,早在2010年秋天,当中国因为外交摩擦暂停对某些国家出口稀土时,日本庞大的汽车和电子 产业瞬间陷入了几乎断供的恐慌。 那一次,全球都看懂了中国手中这张牌的分量——这不是买卖,这是命门。 然而,十几年过去了,当中国试图进一步规范这张牌的打法,将行业话语权从单纯的"卖资源"升级 为"控技术"时,一群"内鬼"却在悄悄帮对手解套。 01 在巨 ...
双碳研究 | 中国发布稀土价格指数:树立全球新定价话语权
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 20:45
中国发布稀土价格指数: 树立全球新定价话语权 ·北方稀土控股的包头稀土产品交易所,承担中国每年约三分之二的稀土产量。 ·该交易所已用基于交易的基准价格取代了独立生产商的报价,覆盖近千家注册企业。 ·与西方大宗商品指数不同,此"价格指数"在中国"有为政府与有效市场结合"的框架下,发挥政策工具作用。 ·定价更多受到生产配额、出口管控及战略目标驱动,而非完全由独立的市场力量主导。 ·这一机制使中国在制度层面掌控了全球稀土的定价权。 该价格指数旨在提升市场透明度,同时也可理解为在全球供应链趋紧背景下,影响稀土定价、参考标准与交易方式的战略举措。 【Rare Earth Exchanges网 1月5日报道】 核心要点 ·2025年,新华社平台发布中国国家主导的包头稀土价格指数。 ·该指数追踪关键稀土产品,或将成为全球实际参考基准,其反映的是宏观调控的价格,而非完全自由市场形成的价格。 对于美国和西方相关方而言,其影响远不止于数据可获得性。除了新兴的"中国以外"稀土供应链市场中公司间的特定合同外,中国驱动着全球稀土定价。 重要的是,目前这一定价体系尚处于早期阶段,而特朗普政府的政策在一定程度上加速了这一进程。但目前,钕镨 ...
美国与日本达成稀土和能源合作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 02:54
Core Points - The recent agreements between the U.S. and Japan, as well as other countries, aim to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earth elements and establish a more secure supply chain for critical minerals [2][3][4] - China currently dominates the rare earth market, controlling approximately 40% of global rare earth reserves, nearly 70% of global production, and about 90% of processing capacity [3][4] - The establishment of a complete supply chain independent of China will take significant time and effort, as other countries lack the necessary technology and infrastructure [4][5] Group 1 - The U.S. and Japan signed a rare earth and energy cooperation agreement to reduce reliance on China [2] - The U.S. has also signed agreements with Australia, Thailand, Malaysia, and Cambodia to diversify the supply chain for critical minerals [2][3] - Benchmark Mineral Intelligence highlights that U.S. and allied manufacturers still heavily depend on Chinese rare earths, making it challenging to secure supply chains [4] Group 2 - The U.S. and Japan's discussions included collaboration on next-generation nuclear power, particularly focusing on small modular reactors [5] - The BWRX-300 design by GE Vernova and Hitachi is mentioned as a potential area of cooperation in nuclear energy [5]
欧盟盼中方别激化矛盾,放宽稀土出口限额,助力供应链稳定
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 18:44
Core Viewpoint - The EU hopes that China will not escalate the Anshi issue and will ease export controls on rare earths, indicating a complex interplay of trade, security, and geopolitical factors in the current situation [1][9]. Group 1: Anshi Incident - The Anshi issue is a chain reaction within the trade ecosystem, involving more than just stock certificates and press releases [1]. - Nexperia, originally a Dutch brand, is now controlled by Wingtech, with production in China, exemplifying the globalized model of "headquarters in the West, production in the East" [3]. - The U.S. has placed Wingtech on the entity list, prompting the Netherlands to intervene through legal and governmental means, reflecting economic security concerns masked as legal actions [3][11]. Group 2: Impact on European Automotive Industry - China's reciprocal response includes restrictions on certain exports from Anshi's China operations, disrupting European orders and causing anxiety among automotive manufacturers [5]. - The swift market reaction saw Wingtech's stock plummet, and automotive associations in Germany and France began calculating production losses due to inventory shortages [5]. - The intertwined nature of the Anshi incident and China's rare earth export controls poses a significant threat to Europe's electric vehicle and wind power industries [7]. Group 3: Rare Earth Export Controls - China has expanded its rare earth export controls, requiring registration and purpose explanations for exports of gallium, germanium, neodymium, and praseodymium, leading to a backlog of approvals [7]. - The EU's reliance on China for purification and separation technologies complicates the situation, making it difficult to quickly replace existing capacities even with new mines [9][11]. Group 4: EU's Internal Conflicts - The EU faces a dilemma between maintaining market rules and investment freedom while dealing with the reality of supply chain vulnerabilities [13]. - The Anshi and rare earth issues should not be viewed in isolation; they represent a broader friction between interests, rules, technology, security, law, and politics between China and Europe [13]. Group 5: Long-term Implications - The situation reveals the necessity for diversified supply chains, though complete replacement of existing capabilities is challenging in the short term [17]. - The ideal response for the EU would involve dialogue and technological cooperation to mitigate risks, but political realities complicate these discussions [17][20]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions suggest that both sides will continue to engage in a protracted negotiation process, balancing face-saving measures and industrial security [22].
85 亿美元落定!美澳达成稀土合作协议,目标直指中国垄断,特朗普乐开了花:多到用不完
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 11:51
Core Insights - The signing of an $8.5 billion rare earth cooperation agreement between the U.S. and Australia highlights the strategic importance of rare earth elements in the context of global high-tech industry growth and U.S. concerns over China's dominance in this sector [1][3][9] Investment and Financial Commitment - Both the U.S. and Australia will invest over $1 billion each in the first six months to kickstart initial cooperation projects [3] - The two countries plan to jointly invest over $3 billion in key mineral projects within the same timeframe [3] - The U.S. Export-Import Bank will issue seven financing letters totaling over $2.2 billion, potentially leveraging up to $5 billion in investments [3] Project Focus and Development - The cooperation will focus on Australia's rich rare earth resources, particularly the Nolans project in the Northern Territory, which produces neodymium for night vision devices and missiles [3][4] - Additional projects in Victoria, Queensland, and New South Wales will involve the production of titanium and zircon, applicable in aerospace, medical, and transportation sectors [4] - Development of the Queensland graphite mine, the world's third-largest, could significantly alter the graphite supply landscape [4] Supply Chain and Industrial Strategy - The agreement includes plans to build refining facilities in Australia, with the U.S. Department of Defense funding a high-end gallium refining plant in Western Australia, designed to produce 100 metric tons annually [6] - This refining facility is crucial for the U.S. defense and high-tech industries, as gallium is a key material for radar and electronic devices [6] Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - China holds a dominant position in the global rare earth market, with 49% of the world's reserves and 69% of production as of 2024, making it a critical player in the supply chain [6][7] - Australia, while rich in rare earth resources (estimated at 3% to 4% of global total), lags behind China in mining and refining capabilities [7] - The U.S.-Australia agreement aims to reduce reliance on Chinese rare earths and establish an independent supply chain, reflecting a strategic move in the context of U.S.-China competition [9]
稀土博弈,美国出了张断供牌,却卡住了自己脖子
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 18:48
Core Viewpoint - MP Materials, the largest rare earth producer in the U.S., has announced a halt in exports of rare earth concentrates to China, reflecting both a strategic choice and the challenges faced by the U.S. rare earth industry [1][4]. Group 1: Supply Chain Dynamics - The initial decision to stop exports was influenced by tariff issues, but the halt continues even after tariffs were reduced [2]. - MP Materials relies heavily on exports to China, with 80% of its revenue coming from this market, highlighting a significant vulnerability in the U.S. rare earth supply chain [4]. - China controls approximately 90% of global rare earth refining capabilities, making it a dominant player in the industry [5][6]. Group 2: Strategic Moves and Investments - MP Materials has invested $1 billion to rebuild a complete rare earth supply chain in the U.S. [8]. - The U.S. Department of Defense has provided $400 million in funding to MP Materials, acquiring a 15% stake in the company [9]. - Despite these efforts, the production capacity of the magnet factory being built in Texas is only one-tenth of China's monthly export volume and cannot process heavy rare earths [10]. Group 3: Financial Challenges - MP Materials reported a net loss of $65 million last year, with long-term debt reaching $909 million, indicating a challenging path ahead for rebuilding the supply chain [11]. Group 4: Global Market Reactions - In response to MP Materials' export halt, Chinese companies like Shenghe Resources have expressed confidence in their diversified supply chain strategies [12]. - Data shows that China's imports of rare earth materials from the U.S. have declined for two consecutive years, with a 13.7% drop in 2023 [14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The decision to stop exports is part of a broader strategy by the U.S. to restructure the global rare earth supply chain, with a commitment from the U.S. government to support domestic production [15][16]. - The U.S. government has been increasing its stake in metal and mining companies, indicating a shift in its role within the private sector [17]. - The competition in the rare earth sector is expected to focus on technological and efficiency advancements, with China's established refining and separation technology posing a significant challenge to U.S. efforts [19][20].
连德国媒体都佩服中国了!德国媒体报道:在中美关税战中,东方大国的强硬态度让全球震惊
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 15:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in global media perception towards China, particularly in Europe, highlighting a growing respect for China's strategic use of resources, especially rare earth elements, in the context of trade tensions with the United States [1][3]. Group 1: Trade War and Rare Earth Elements - The U.S.-China trade war began in 2018, with the U.S. imposing tariffs on steel, aluminum, and semiconductors, amounting to over a hundred billion dollars [3]. - China responded to U.S. tariffs by leveraging its dominance in rare earth elements, which are crucial for high-tech and military applications, with over 70% of U.S. rare earth imports coming from China [3][6]. - In April 2025, China announced new export management rules for rare earths, prioritizing domestic needs, showcasing its strategic leverage in the supply chain [3][6]. Group 2: Germany's Perspective - Germany, as a supply chain-driven economy, recognizes the risks of resource supply disruptions, which could halt entire industries [5]. - German media noted that China's assertive stance is part of a broader strategy to upgrade its industrial capabilities rather than merely exporting raw materials [5][10]. - The respect from Germany stems from China's long-term planning in the rare earth sector, as evidenced by the 2023 "Rare Earth Industry Development Plan" aimed at achieving self-sufficiency in key technologies [6]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - China is not only rich in rare earth resources but is also making significant technological advancements, such as developing room-temperature superconductors and enhancing 5G transmission speeds [8]. - The integration of rare earths with green technologies, such as CO2 conversion into gasoline, demonstrates China's innovative approach to resource utilization [8]. - China's dominance in rare earth-related patents, accounting for 83% of global patents, indicates a shift from merely selling raw materials to selling technology [8]. Group 4: Strategic Implications - The U.S. miscalculated by believing that tariffs would force China to concede, but instead, it has led to China's self-sufficiency in the rare earth supply chain [10]. - The article suggests that the long-term implications of this trade war could result in China becoming increasingly stronger in the global market [10].
跟中国耍横,特朗普踢到钢板了:中方出口管制后,矿产价格翻60倍
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 04:50
Group 1: Core Insights - The intensifying global competition highlights the critical importance of resources, as evidenced by the recent surge in rare earth prices, particularly due to China's new export controls on strategic minerals [1][10] - China's export restrictions specifically target key rare earth elements essential for high-end manufacturing and military applications, leading to a dramatic price increase of 60 times for samarium [1][2] - The U.S. military-industrial complex faces severe supply chain disruptions, with reports indicating that some defense companies are nearing depletion of critical raw materials [3][8] Group 2: Policy and Market Reactions - Since June, China has implemented stricter usage reviews and quota management for rare earth exports, focusing on military applications while allowing civilian uses to remain unaffected [2][12] - The U.S. has attempted to address its reliance on rare earths through initiatives like the "resource repatriation plan," but challenges such as high costs, environmental regulations, and lack of domestic refining capabilities hinder progress [5][10] - The U.S. has explored alternative sources, such as rare earth mining in Myanmar, but logistical and safety challenges complicate these efforts [6][10] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The current crisis underscores the vulnerability of the U.S. military supply chain, particularly for critical systems like the F-35 fighter jet and nuclear submarines, which rely heavily on rare earth materials [8][14] - China's strategic control over rare earth resources is not merely a "chokehold" tactic but reflects decades of investment and technological development in the sector [10][12] - The situation serves as a warning about the risks of dependency on single supply chains, emphasizing the need for the U.S. to address its industrial hollowing-out issue to avoid repeating past mistakes [14][15]
中方出口管制后,矿产价格翻了60倍,跟中国耍横,特朗普踢到钢板
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 11:01
Group 1 - The core issue in global supply chains is the control of key resources, rather than tariffs or slogans, which are often seen as direct influences on national strategic security [1] - The U.S. military industry faces a significant crisis due to a shortage of rare earth resources, exacerbated by China's stricter export controls [1][4] - Prices of critical rare earth elements have skyrocketed, with samarium increasing from 100 yuan per kilogram to 6000 yuan, a 60-fold increase, impacting global supply chain stability [3][4] Group 2 - China has implemented strict export controls on high-end rare earth resources, particularly samarium, neodymium, and praseodymium, which are essential for military applications [3][4] - The U.S. defense sector is experiencing inventory shortages and production delays due to difficulties in sourcing rare earth materials, highlighting vulnerabilities in the supply chain [4] - The U.S. government is attempting to revitalize its rare earth industry through funding and subsidies, but faces challenges in rebuilding a complete supply chain [5][7] Group 3 - Despite having rare earth resources, the U.S. lacks the refining capabilities, having outsourced this process to China, complicating efforts to establish a domestic supply chain [5] - The U.S. is exploring overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, for rare earth resources, with Myanmar being a focal point, despite its unstable conditions [9][11] - China's control over the rare earth supply chain is reinforced by its technological and industrial advantages, making it difficult for the U.S. to compete without significant investment and time [13][15]