Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) is a leading provider of intelligent driving assistance solutions for passenger vehicles in China, ranking first in the advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market with over 40% market share in 2024 [1] Business Segments - The main business segments include product solutions, licensing and service business, and non-vehicle solutions [2] Product Solutions - The company offers a comprehensive range of advanced driver assistance and high-level autonomous driving solutions, from mainstream assistance (L2) to advanced autonomous driving (L2+) compliant with Chinese regulations, including Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive [3] Horizon Mono - Positioned as an active safety advanced driving assistance solution, it enhances daily driving safety and comfort, utilizing visual sensors and optional radar to identify various objects [5] Horizon Pilot - This solution provides a safe and efficient driving experience on highways, featuring advanced tasks such as automatic lane changes and parking assistance [6][7] Horizon SuperDrive - An end-to-end urban driving assistance system that theoretically supports high-level autonomous driving up to L4, utilizing a combination of visual sensors, radar, and LiDAR [8] Non-Vehicle Solutions - The non-vehicle solutions are primarily managed by the subsidiary Diguo Robotics, offering products like lawn mowers and air purifiers, benefiting from significant synergies with automotive solutions [9] Licensing and Service Business - The company provides algorithm and software licensing and technical support to automotive clients, which has become a major revenue source, significantly increasing overall gross margins [10] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of 910 million, 1.55 billion, and 2.38 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 94%, 71%, and 54% [11] - The gross margins for the same years were 69.3%, 70.5%, and 77.3% [11] - By 2024, the revenue breakdown is expected to be 664 million from product solutions, 1.647 billion from licensing and services, and 72 million from non-vehicle solutions [11] Market Outlook - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, China's vehicle sales are projected to reach 31.436 million units in 2024, with new energy vehicle sales at 12.888 million units, indicating a growth rate of 34.4% [15] - The penetration rate of L2+ intelligent driving functions is expected to rise to 8.5% in 2024, with significant growth anticipated in urban NOA functions by 2030 [15] Market Performance - In the Chinese market, Horizon Robotics delivered 67,853 units in May 2025, capturing a market share of 9.8%, with a total delivery of 253,241 units in the first five months [18] - The company ranks third in ADAS front camera chip manufacturing, with a market share of 13.0% [21] Recent Shareholding Changes - As of the end of 2024, Baiji held 5.27% of the company's shares and increased its stake to 4.95% in June 2025 [22] Stock Price Drivers - The company anticipates delivering approximately 2.9 million product solutions in 2024, with cumulative deliveries reaching around 7.7 million [23] - The launch of the "Journey 6P" SoC is expected to enhance the company's market position significantly [23]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics, setting a target price of HK$8.60, representing a potential upside of 33% from the current price of HK$6.46 [1][6][10]. Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a key beneficiary in the high-end assisted driving industry, with a strong market share exceeding 40% in China's OEM advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market as of 2024 [7][29]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the global growth potential of smart driving, with projections indicating that global and Chinese smart vehicle sales will reach approximately 80 million and 30 million units by 2030, respectively [7][29]. - The unique BPU (Brain Processing Unit) architecture of Horizon Robotics provides a competitive edge by optimizing hardware and software collaboration, achieving higher computational efficiency at lower power consumption [30][42]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Horizon Robotics are projected at RMB 3.43 billion, RMB 5.41 billion, and RMB 7.46 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 43.7%, 57.9%, and 37.9% [9][31]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability in 2027, with a projected net profit of RMB 901 million, following losses in the preceding years [9][31]. Market Comparison - The report compares Horizon Robotics with peers such as NVIDIA, ARM, Mobileye, and Black Sesame Intelligence, applying a 20x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio to derive the target price [32][71]. - The competitive landscape indicates that Horizon Robotics has established itself as a leader in the mid-to-low-end smart driving hardware market, with plans to penetrate the high-end market further with the launch of the Journey 6 series chips [71][72]. Product Solutions - Horizon Robotics offers three main smart driving solutions: Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive, catering to different levels of driving assistance [44][60]. - The Journey 6 series chips, set to launch in 2025, will cover a wide range of smart driving needs, enhancing the company's product matrix [62][67].

Core Viewpoint - Company has transformed into a leading supplier of intelligent driving solutions over the past decade, focusing on full-scene intelligent driving solutions and achieving significant revenue growth with a CAGR of 72.2% from 2021 to 2024 [2][36]. Company Overview - Company has established a comprehensive technology stack covering algorithms, dedicated processing architecture (BPU), and development toolchains, positioning itself as a "chip + software" system-level intelligent driving company [4][9]. - The company has formed a complete layout of intelligent driving chip solutions covering levels L2 to L4, with over 310 models targeted by the end of 2024 [4][12]. - The company has built a large and high-quality customer base, including over 40 cooperative automakers and covering more than 290 models [4][36]. Business Segments - The company's revenue is primarily derived from automotive solutions, which accounted for 97% of total revenue in 2024, with product solutions contributing 27.9% and authorized service business contributing 69.1% [28][36]. - Non-automotive solutions, which focus on smart home applications, accounted for 3% of total revenue in 2024 [28][36]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue increased from 467 million RMB in 2021 to 2.384 billion RMB in 2024, with a CAGR of 72.2% [36][41]. - The gross margin has remained stable around 70%, increasing to 79% in 2024 due to the higher contribution from high-margin authorized service business [36][41]. - Operating losses have been controlled, with losses around 2 billion RMB, and the company is expected to achieve breakeven in the coming years as revenue increases and costs are managed [37][41]. Industry Trends - The intelligent driving market is expected to accelerate penetration, with 2025 anticipated to be a pivotal year for "intelligent driving equality," as traditional automakers ramp up their intelligent driving strategies [3][54]. - The price of high-level intelligent driving packages is decreasing, making advanced driving features more accessible to consumers [3][54]. - The integration of intelligent driving technology into mainstream vehicles is expected to become a standard feature, with major automakers like BYD and Xpeng leading the charge [3][54].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its future performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading provider of domestic intelligent driving solutions, having undergone significant transformation over the past decade. It has established a comprehensive product portfolio that includes both automotive and non-automotive solutions, with a strong focus on intelligent driving technology [1][15]. - The intelligent driving industry is expected to accelerate its penetration into mainstream markets, with 2025 projected to be a pivotal year for "intelligent driving equality." Major automotive manufacturers are increasingly adopting intelligent driving strategies, which will create opportunities for leading suppliers [2][48]. - The company has built a robust ecosystem that empowers partners in the intelligent driving space, leveraging its complete technology stack that spans algorithms, specialized processing architectures, and development tools [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved into a key player in the intelligent driving sector, providing comprehensive advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and high-level autonomous driving (AD) solutions. It has a significant market share in the domestic market, exceeding 40% in the advanced driving assistance segment [15][18]. - The company has established a large and high-quality customer base, with over 310 models targeted for production by the end of 2024, reflecting its strong market presence [29][39]. Industry Insights - The intelligent driving market is witnessing a shift towards affordability, with traditional manufacturers like BYD and Geely launching strategies to democratize intelligent driving technology. This trend is expected to reshape the industry landscape [2][48]. - The report highlights the importance of third-party suppliers in the intelligent driving ecosystem, as they can provide scalable solutions to traditional manufacturers, thereby accelerating the adoption of advanced driving technologies [12][13]. Financial Performance - The company has experienced significant revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 72.2% from 2021 to 2024, increasing from 467 million RMB to 2.384 billion RMB. The automotive solutions segment accounts for 97% of total revenue, with a strong contribution from licensing and service fees [39][46]. - The gross margin has remained stable, with an increase to 79% in 2024, driven by the higher proportion of high-margin licensing and service revenues [39][46]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue expanding its market share in the intelligent driving sector, with projected revenues of 3.603 billion RMB, 5.264 billion RMB, and 7.645 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics is a leading provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and high-level intelligent driving (AD) solutions in China, focusing on a software-hardware integrated technology path to cover low, medium, and high-end markets with its chips and algorithms [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Horizon Robotics was established in 2015 and has released multiple generations of its Journey series chips since 2017, with cumulative shipments expected to exceed 10 million by 2025 [3]. - The company has a diverse customer base, including major automakers such as Volkswagen, BYD, and Geely, and is projected to hold over 40% and 30% market shares in the Chinese OEM ADAS and AD markets by 2024, ranking first and second respectively [3][4]. - The company has experienced strong revenue growth, with a CAGR of 72% from 2021 to 2024, expecting total revenue of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024 [3][18]. Group 2: Market Potential - The intelligent driving solutions market is expected to reach a scale of 1 trillion yuan by 2030, with significant growth driven by the penetration of high-level intelligent driving technologies [4][44]. - The market for high-level intelligent driving is anticipated to rapidly penetrate the 100,000 to 200,000 yuan segment, with a forecasted increase in demand for intelligent driving solutions [4][35]. - The global market for advanced driver assistance systems and high-level autonomous driving solutions is projected to grow from 61.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 1,017.1 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 49.2% [44]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Revenue from automotive solutions is expected to grow significantly, with automotive product solutions revenue projected to reach 664 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 47% [25]. - The company has maintained a high gross margin, with gross margins of 71%, 69%, 71%, and 77% from 2021 to 2024 [19]. - Despite strong revenue growth, the company has reported net losses from 2021 to 2024, primarily due to high R&D expenditures, with an adjusted net loss of 1.681 billion yuan in 2024 [18][19]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix, including the Journey series chips, which cover all levels of intelligent driving needs, with the latest Journey 6 series expected to achieve significant performance improvements [54][55]. - Horizon Robotics has a strong focus on R&D, with R&D expenditures projected to reach 3.16 billion yuan in 2024, and a high proportion of its workforce dedicated to R&D [30][32]. - The company has secured numerous patents, with a total of 673 patents, including 585 invention patents, establishing a strong competitive barrier [32].

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa Research expects Horizon Robotics (09660.HK) to deliver over 4 million Advanced Driver Assistance System (ADAS) chips this year, up from 2.9 million last year, indicating strong growth potential in the smart automotive sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Horizon Robotics is projected to ship approximately 1.9 million units of Horizon Mono, 1.9 million units of Horizon Pilot, and 40,000 units of Horizon SuperDrive [1] - The increase in shipments and pricing of Horizon Pilot is anticipated to be the main driver of revenue growth this year [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - Daiwa has upgraded its target price for Horizon Robotics from HKD 6.5 to HKD 9.6, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [1] - The net profit forecast for 2026-27 has been revised down by 28% to 57%, due to an expected decrease in the revenue share from licensing and service businesses by 6-7 percentage points [1] Group 3: Industry Context - Despite a more cautious attitude towards ADAS in the domestic automotive industry following an incident involving Xiaomi's SU7, the trend towards smart vehicles is not expected to slow down [1]

核心观点 智能驾驶芯片行业：千亿市场空间大赛道，国产芯片厂商崭露头角 技术进步+成本下降+消费者接受度高，智能驾驶行业渗透率加速提升，在ADAS功能进一步普及的推动下， 全球 ADAS SoC市场预计从2023年的275亿元增至2028年的925亿元，CAGR为27.5%。自动驾驶SoC供应商方面， 中国的 主要自动驾驶SoC市场参与者包括地平线、黑芝麻智能等；其他国家的主要自动驾驶SoC市场参与者包括英伟达、 Mobileye、高通、Texas Instruments（TI）及瑞萨。目前英伟达、高通、地平线、华为、黑芝麻等均推出了适配L3级及 以上高阶智能驾驶的芯片方案。 地平线机器人-W：自主智能驾驶解决方案龙头 地平线产品包括汽车解决方案（2023年营收占比95%，下同）和非车解决方案（5%）两部分，2023年，公司收入15.52 亿元，同比增长71%，净利润为-67.4亿元。 1）产品端， 汽车解决方案方面，地平线作为国内头部智能驾驶SoC芯片 厂商，征程系列芯片布局包括征程2、征程3、征程5、征程6，已完全覆盖L1-L4智能驾驶。 2）客户端， 依托完整成 熟的软硬件产品矩阵与智驾全栈技术，从IP开 ...

以下文章来源于晚点Auto ，作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造，从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 身处智能驾驶硬件和软件的交叉地带，地平线要在快速变化中抓住确定性。 争论还在持续。投资论坛中，被看好和怀疑的是同一家公司：地平线。 10 月 24 日上午，地平线以中国最大智驾解决方案供应商的身份登陆港股，募资 54 亿港元，成为港股今 年最大科技 IPO。上市首日，地平线股价一度涨超 30%，市值最高超 700 亿港元，目前市值约为 670 亿港 元。 一些分歧来自评估公司的标准不同。支持者认为，地平线前景广阔，也有人觉得，要实现目标，挑战太 多。 在中国资本市场，地平线是少见的一类科技创业公司：它比大多数先进制造企业更重视软件算法，比软件 算法公司对硬件投入更多，目标是在尚未普及的智能驾驶生态中，做高难度、高价值的底层基础设施—— 为智能汽车提供计算方案和配套的基础软件。 而地平线之所以想做新的计算方案，是因为看到了参与塑造一个新技术生态的机会。2015 年初筹备创业 时，地平线创始人余凯曾告诉地平线种子轮领投方、五源资本创始合伙人刘芹，"未来所有计算机都会变 成机器人"，这 ...

2021年至2023年，地平线的营收分别为4.67亿元、9.06亿元和15.52亿元，复合年增长率为 82.3%； 今年上半年，地平线的营收同比增长 151.6% 至 9.35亿元 。 成立至今，地平线已获得上汽集团、五源资本、高瓴创投、红杉中国、大众汽车集团、EQT、SK中 国、云锋基金、建投华科、宁德时代、Baillie Gifford、比亚迪等数十家知名机构、产业资本及上下 游合作伙伴的投资。 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 据IPO早知道消息，Horizon Robotics（以下简称"地平线"）日前已通过港交所聆讯并于2024年 10月8日披露通过聆讯后的资料集，高盛、摩根士丹利和中信建投国际担任联席保荐人、整体协调 人，中信里昂证券亦担任整体协调人。 成立于2015年的地平线作为一家乘用车高级辅助驾驶（ADAS）和高阶自动驾驶（AD）解决方案供 应商，通过整合了算法、专用的软件和处理硬件的解决方案，为高级辅助和高阶自动驾驶提供核心技 术，从而提高驾驶员和乘客的安全性和体验感。 根据灼识咨询的资料， 自2021年大规模量产解决方案起，按解决方案总装机量计算， 地平线 是首 家且每年均为最大的提 ...