李晓丹 实习生 朱嫡 陈菲儿 魏琛琪 董凌含 王明飞 何抒澄/文 10月经济数据显示，宏观经济在供给端和需求端均出现不同程度回调，经济下行压力短期增 加。"稳中求进"总基调不变，下一步政策调整重点是进一步激发内需，同时积极修复工业品价格。 宏观数据显示，2025年10月CPI由-0.3%上升至0.2%；PPI从-2.3%上升至-2.1%；制造业PMI由49.8%上涨至50.0%；新增人民币贷款2200亿元，较上年同期少 增约2800亿元；M2同比增速下降为8.2%。 由《经济观察报》发起的"经济观察报月度观察"，每月发布一次。本次共有11家机构参与月度宏观数据预测。 CPI：增速由负转正，小幅上行 CPI公布值（同比）：0.2% 前值：-0.3% CPI预测值（同比）：0.0% 北京大学国民经济研究中心主任苏剑点评：10月CPI同比增长0.2%，较前月上涨0.5个百分点；环比增长0.2%，较前月上涨0.1个百分点，既有高基数效应影 响又有新增长因素推动，本月CPI增速由负转正，小幅上行。受水果、蔬菜等价格上涨推动，本月食品价格环比增速高于大部分历史同期值；"反内卷"部分 消费工业品供给过剩问题有所缓解，叠加节 ...

Group 1 - MiniMax has launched a full-modal "all-in-one" solution that covers text, video, voice, and music, with its text model M2 achieving a cost-effective breakthrough in the "performance, speed, cost" triangle, with reasoning costs as low as $0.53 per million tokens, only 8% of Claude 4.5 Sonnet, while reasoning speed is nearly double that of the latter [1] - M2 ranks among the top tier in global authoritative evaluations, becoming the first Chinese model to top the global open-source large model rankings, marking a significant leap for Chinese AI technology from following to leading [1] - MiniMax's commitment to higher costs for a complete attention mechanism ensures the model's generation quality and stability in long context and complex logical reasoning scenarios, reflecting a long-term investment in foundational algorithm research and a pursuit of technical quality [1] Group 2 - The Guotai Chip ETF (589100) tracks the Chip Innovation Index (000685), with a daily fluctuation of 20%, selecting listed companies from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board that cover the entire chip industry chain, including upstream materials and equipment, midstream design and manufacturing, and downstream packaging and testing, to reflect the overall performance of China's chip industry in technological innovation and high-end manufacturing [1]

11月18日，截至11时28分，大数据产业ETF（516700）盘中表现稳健，场内价格现涨1.5%。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：以上产品由基金管理人发行与管理，代销机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。投 资人应当认真阅读《基金合同》、《招募说明书》、《基金产品资料概要》等基金法律文件，了解基金 的风险收益特征，选择与自身风险承受能力相适应的产品。基金过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，基金投 资须谨慎！销售机构（包括基金管理人直销机构和其他销售机构）根据相关法律法规对本基金进行风险 评价，投资者应及时关注基金管理人出具的适当性意见，各销售机构关于适当性的意见不必然一致，且 基金销售机构所出具的基金产品风险等级评价结果不得低于基金管理人作出的风险等级评价结果。基金 合同中关于基金风险收益特征与基金风险等级因考虑因素不同而存在差异。投资者应了解基金的风险收 益情况，结合自身投资目的、期限、投资经验及风险承受能力谨慎选择基金产品并自行承担风险。中国 证监会对上述基金的注册，并不表明其对上述基金的投资价值、市场前景和收益做出实质性判断或保 证。基金投资须谨慎。 成份股方面，石基信息涨停，表现最为抢眼 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry, indicating a potential increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [4][10]. Core Insights - Recently, Shanghai AI unicorn MiniMax launched a comprehensive multimodal AI model suite called "All-in-One," with its text model M2 topping global open-source model rankings, marking a significant breakthrough for Chinese AI companies in the multimodal technology sector [2][3]. - The M2 model, featuring a lightweight architecture with 10 billion active parameters (total parameters of 230 billion), achieved a top-five ranking in the global Artificial Analysis (AA) leaderboard, becoming the first Chinese open-source model to enter this elite tier [5]. - M2 sets a new benchmark in model efficiency and cost control, with a reasoning cost as low as $0.53 per million tokens, which is only 8% of Claude 4.5 Sonnet's cost, while its reasoning speed is nearly double that of the latter [5]. - The rapid increase in API call volume post-launch, reaching fourth globally and first among domestic models within five days, validates M2's exceptional balance between high performance and low cost, providing a successful case for the commercialization of domestic models on a global scale [5]. Summary by Sections - **Investment Recommendation**: The report emphasizes the significance of MiniMax's multimodal "All-in-One" model suite, which encompasses text, video, voice, and music technologies, showcasing a complete technical layout aimed at ensuring generation quality and stability [5]. - **Model Performance**: The M2 model's cost-effectiveness and performance have been highlighted, with a reasoning cost of $0.53 per million tokens and a significant increase in API usage, indicating strong market demand [5]. - **Technological Advancements**: MiniMax's commitment to using a complete attention mechanism, despite industry trends favoring simplified versions, underscores its dedication to quality and long-term investment in foundational algorithm research [5].

Group 1 - The total deposits of recognized institutions in Hong Kong increased by 1.3% in September 2025, with Hong Kong dollar deposits and foreign currency deposits rising by 1.4% and 1.3% respectively [1] - From the beginning of the year to the end of September, total deposits and Hong Kong dollar deposits increased by 10.2% and 4.1% respectively [1] - The total amount of Renminbi deposits in Hong Kong rose by 3.5% in September, reaching 1,001.8 billion Renminbi by the end of September [1] Group 2 - The total amount of loans and advances increased by 0.7% in September, with a year-to-date increase of 1.6% [1] - Loans used in Hong Kong (including trade financing) and loans used outside Hong Kong rose by 0.6% and 0.7% respectively in September [1] - The loan-to-deposit ratio for Hong Kong dollars decreased from 74.6% at the end of August to 73.6% at the end of September due to the increase in Hong Kong dollar deposits without a significant change in loans [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong dollar money supply M2 and M3 both increased by 1.4% in September, with a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [2] - Seasonally adjusted Hong Kong dollar money supply M1 decreased by 1.4% in September, but increased by 11.5% compared to the same month last year, reflecting investment-related activities [2] - The total money supply M2 and M3 both rose by 1.3% in September, with M2 and M3 showing a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [2]

Robotics & Automation - 1X's Neo robot is available for pre-order at $20,000 or $4.99% per month, with availability expected in early 2026 [1][2] - Neo weighs 66 pounds and can lift 150 pounds, featuring 22 degrees of hand movement and operating at 22 dB [2][3] - The promise of humanoid robots is to be autonomous and run 24 hours a day [4] Computing & AI - Extropic is developing a thermodynamic computing platform (TSU) that claims to be up to 10,000 times more efficient than traditional CPUs and GPUs [7][8] - Miniax's M2, an open-source model from China, achieved a new high intelligence score with only 10 billion active parameters out of a 200 billion total [10] - IBM released Granite 4.0% Nano, a family of small language models (LLMs) with 1.5 billion and 350 million parameters, designed for edge and on-device applications [19][20] - Cursor 2.0% introduces Composer, a faster model for low-latency agentic coding, and a multi-agent interface [26][27] Semiconductor Industry - Substrate, a US-based startup, is building a next-generation foundry using advanced X-ray lithography to enable features printed at the 2 nanometer node and below [30][31] Corporate Strategy & Employment - Nvidia took a billion-dollar stake in Nokia, leading to a 22% increase in Nokia's shares, and the companies are partnering to develop 6G technology [17] - Amazon is undergoing layoffs of 14,000 corporate employees, partly attributed to efficiency gains from AI, but also seen as a correction for overhiring [34][37] - Tesla could potentially leverage the compute power of its idle cars, estimated at 1 kilowatt per car, to create a giant distributed inference fleet [23][24]

Core Insights - MiniMax, an AI company based in Shanghai, has launched its new open-source text model M2, which has topped the global open-source model rankings on the Artificial Analysis list, showcasing its capabilities in key areas like agent intelligence and coding, closely rivaling top proprietary models like GPT-5 [2][8] - The launch of M2 represents a significant strategic move for MiniMax, emphasizing a focus on cost-efficiency and practical applications in the AI industry, contrasting with the broader market's anxiety over the commercialization of AI technologies [2][12] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The M2 model achieved rapid success, reaching the 7th position in global usage and 3rd in programming scenarios on the OpenRouter platform within just three days of its launch [3] - M2's performance in various vertical benchmarks demonstrates its strong end-to-end development capabilities, excelling in complex coding tasks and showing practical value for developers [12] - The model's cost is significantly lower, at less than 8% of the price of competitors like Claude 4.5, and it is offered for free globally until server capacity is reached, aiming to disrupt the "computing tax" in AI [12] Group 2: Market Positioning and Strategy - MiniMax has faced skepticism regarding its multi-modal approach, but its recent releases, including the Hailuo 2.3 video model and Speech 2.6 model, have proven its capability to deliver effective solutions across different AI applications [13] - The company is strategically positioning itself in the AI landscape by integrating cutting-edge model capabilities into self-developed applications, creating a feedback loop that enhances model iteration through successful commercial applications [14] - MiniMax's approach contrasts with the traditional "big model" strategy, focusing instead on a "flywheel ecosystem" that emphasizes practical technology development across text, video, and voice, aiming to secure a competitive edge in the ongoing AI race [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive changes in China's macroeconomic environment, driven by effective policies and financial support for the real economy, leading to increased business activity and a recovery in consumer demand [3][6]. Economic Indicators - In September, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, but the decline was less than the previous month, with a core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.0%, marking the first return to a 1% increase in nearly 19 months [5][6]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.3% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating a stabilization in some industry prices [8][9]. Monetary Policy and Financial Support - The People's Bank of China reported that the growth rates of M2 and social financing remained high, supporting the economic recovery. As of September, M2 reached 335.38 trillion yuan, with an annual growth rate of 8.4% [10][11]. - The M1 balance was 113.15 trillion yuan, growing by 7.2%, indicating increased business activity and consumer demand [10]. Industry Analysis - Certain industries, such as coal processing and photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, saw a reduction in price declines, suggesting improved market conditions and effective capacity management [9]. - The article notes that the structural upgrade of industries and the release of consumer potential are contributing to price increases in specific sectors, such as a 14.7% rise in the price of arts and crafts products [9]. Policy Implications - The government is focusing on expanding domestic demand and enhancing the quality of supply, with an emphasis on consumer spending and effective investment [6][12]. - Experts suggest that future fiscal policies should prioritize improving living standards and social security, shifting from investment-driven growth to consumer-oriented strategies [12].

Group 1 - The M2 money supply in the U.S. has reached a record $22.2 trillion, which could indicate potential issues for the stock market [2][7] - M2 is a critical monetary aggregate that influences economic growth, inflation, and stock market performance [2][3] - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly its interest rate adjustments, significantly impacts the M2 supply [4][5] Group 2 - Following a period of tightening monetary policy from early 2022 to late 2023, M2 began to rise again in October 2023 as banks anticipated rate cuts and increased lending [5][6] - An increase in the money supply can lead to higher consumer spending, which may contribute to inflation if it outpaces economic growth [6] - The current increase in money supply is pushing stock valuations to historically high levels, indicating a potential bubble [7][8]

Core Insights - Intel is in early discussions with Apple regarding a potential investment and increased collaboration, although the outcome remains uncertain [1][2] - Recent financial backing for Intel includes investments from the U.S. government, Nvidia, and SoftBank, aimed at strengthening its business [1][5] Company Developments - Intel and Apple previously collaborated on chip production until Apple shifted to manufacturing its own processing units in 2020, with the latest being the M2 chip produced by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company [2] - Following the news of potential collaboration, Intel's stock rose nearly 6% to just below $33, while Apple's stock saw a slight increase of 0.3% [2] Investment Landscape - Intel has been actively seeking investments and partnerships, reaching out to other unspecified companies in addition to discussions with Apple [4] - The Trump administration's support has positively impacted Intel's stock, with significant investments from SoftBank and Nvidia, including a $2 billion investment from SoftBank and a $5 billion share acquisition from Nvidia [5]