2Q25 In-Line; Exploring Liquid Cooling Potential China (PRC) | Autos & Auto Parts Tuopu reported 2Q25 results with revenue of RMB7.2bn, up 10% YoY, and earnings of RMB729mn, down 10% YoY. 2Q25 GPM came in at 19.3%, down 0.6/1.1ppt QoQ/YoY, duemainly to pricing pressure from OEMs and rising depreciation cost. We joined Tuopu's post-result group call, where mgmt shared their thoughts on liquid cooling business and humanoid robot development. The company aims to achieve 20% YoY revenue growth next year. Detail ...

Summary of China Yangtze Power Co. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Yangtze Power Co. (CYPC) - **Industry**: Utilities, specifically hydropower generation - **Market Cap**: Rmb687,312 million - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: Rmb34.79, representing a 24% upside from the current price of Rmb28.09 as of August 29, 2025 Key Financial Highlights - **1H25 Net Profit**: Rmb13.06 billion, up 14.9% year-over-year (yoy), exceeding preliminary results by 0.6% [2][6] - **1H25 Revenue**: Rmb36.7 billion, up 5.3% yoy, slightly above preliminary results by 0.3% [2][6] - **Power Generation**: Increased by 5.0% yoy, aligning with revenue growth, indicating stable average power tariffs [2] - **Finance Costs**: Decreased by 14.0% yoy to Rmb4.9 billion in 1H25, contributing to profit growth [2][6] - **Investment Income**: Rmb2.6 billion, down 10.5% yoy [2] - **Capital Expenditures (Capex)**: Rose significantly by 74.3% yoy to Rmb6.2 billion in 1H25 [2] Quarterly Performance - **2Q25 Net Profit**: Rmb7.9 billion, up 6.4% yoy [3] - **2Q25 Revenue**: Rmb19.7 billion, up 2.6% yoy [3] - **Finance Costs in 2Q25**: Fell by 14.9% yoy to Rmb2.38 billion [3] Operational Insights - **Power Generation in 2Q25**: Totaled 69 billion kWh, with Three Gorges' generation down 12.4% and hydro resources down 18.5% yoy [6] - **Hydropower Generation Growth**: 1.6% yoy increase noted in 2Q25 [6] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: Based on discounted cash flow (DCF) with a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.7% and no terminal growth assumption [7] - **Upside Risks**: Include better-than-expected hydropower resources, dividend payout ratios, utilization hours, and renewable energy capacity expansion [8] - **Downside Risks**: Include weaker hydropower resources, lower dividend payout ratios, and lower renewable energy capacity expansion [9] Future Projections - **EPS Estimates**: Expected to grow from Rmb1.33 in FY24 to Rmb1.66 in FY27 [4] - **Revenue Growth**: Projected to increase from Rmb84.49 billion in FY24 to Rmb94.40 billion in FY27 [4] - **EBITDA Growth**: Expected to rise from Rmb64.18 billion in FY24 to Rmb72.56 billion in FY27 [4] Conclusion - CYPC demonstrates robust earnings growth driven by increased power generation and reduced finance costs, with a positive outlook supported by strategic capital investments and stable revenue growth. The company is well-positioned within the utilities sector, particularly in hydropower, with a favorable risk-reward profile for investors.

Summary of Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co. Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co. Ltd. - **Ticker**: 002472.SZ - **Market Cap**: Rmb31,576.7 million - **Current Share Price**: Rmb37.26 (as of August 29, 2025) - **Price Target**: Rmb43.00, indicating a 15% upside potential [6][6] Industry Insights - **Industry**: China Industrials - **Key Growth Drivers**: - Strong demand for New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) supported by new models from companies like Xiaomi, Onvo, and Xpeng [2][2] - Increased overseas visibility with monthly shipments to Stellantis ramping up to 50,000 units, annualized to 600,000 units, alongside orders from Volvo, Renault, and Hyundai [2][2] Financial Performance - **Revenue Projections**: - Intelligent actuators expected revenue: Rmb850-900 million for 2025 and Rmb1.2 billion for 2026, driven primarily by vacuum cleaners [3][3] - Revenue for 2025 estimated at Rmb9,996 million, with a growth trajectory leading to Rmb12,277 million by 2027 [6][6] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: - Current GPM for intelligent actuators at 19% in 1H25, with a target of 25% through a balanced product mix [3][3] - Management aims for a long-term GPM of approximately 30% and a net profit margin (NPM) of 15-17% [8][8] Product Development - **Coaxial Gearboxes**: Anticipated improvement in performance in the second half of 2025, with integration into platforms from Zeekr and Lynk [2][2] - **Robotic Reducers**: Contributed about 5% to 1H25 revenue with a GPM of 35%, with annualized capacity reaching 50,000 units [4][4] - **New Reducers for Humanoid Robots**: Currently in development and testing stages with key clients [8][8] Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: - Slower-than-expected market share gains and weaker overseas demand [11][11] - Intensifying competition in the gear and actuator market within China [11][11] Analyst Recommendations - **Stock Rating**: Overweight, indicating a positive outlook on Shuanghuan's topline growth from NEVs and intelligent actuators, along with margin expansion [8][8] - **Valuation Methodology**: Price target derived using a 25x P/E ratio for 2025 estimates, reflecting growth visibility and potential demand expansion [9][9] Conclusion Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co. Ltd. is positioned for growth driven by NEV demand and intelligent actuator advancements, with a focus on improving margins and expanding product offerings. The company faces competitive pressures but maintains a positive outlook supported by strong revenue projections and strategic product developments.

Summary of Ruijie Networks Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Ruijie Networks (301165.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb58.9 billion / $8.3 billion - **Enterprise Value**: Rmb59.9 billion / $8.4 billion - **Target Price**: Rmb134.00 (previously Rmb103.1) with a 12-month upside of 29.3% [1][22] Key Industry Insights - **Industry**: Data Center Switches - **Market Dynamics**: - Increased capital expenditure (capex) in China's cloud sector, particularly from Alibaba (BABA), which reported a 57% quarter-over-quarter increase in capex to Rmb39 billion [2] - Analysts raised BABA's FY26E-FY28E capex forecast to Rmb350 billion from Rmb290 billion, positively impacting Ruijie as BABA is its largest customer [2] - Anticipated growth in data center switch demand driven by AI infrastructure and local AI chipset migration [2] Financial Performance and Projections - **Earnings Revision**: - Earnings estimates raised by 2% for 2025, 13% for 2026, and 14% for 2027, primarily due to higher revenue from data center and SMB switches, alongside a lower operating expense (Opex) ratio [3][17] - **Revenue Estimates**: - Revised revenue projections for 2025-2027 reflect strong demand for data center switches and SMB switches, with total revenue expected to grow from Rmb11,698.8 million in 2024 to Rmb28,920.6 million by 2027 [5][14] - **Market Share Growth**: - Expected increase in market share from 3% in 2024 to 5% in 2025 and 10% by 2030, supported by customized white-box solutions [2] Financial Ratios and Valuation - **Valuation Metrics**: - P/E ratios projected at 27.3x for 2024, increasing to 85.0x in 2025E, and decreasing to 42.4x by 2027E [11] - Dividend yield expected to be 2.2% in 2024, dropping to 0.7% in 2025E, then gradually increasing [11] - **Profitability Margins**: - Gross margin expected to decline from 38.6% in 2024 to 29.2% by 2027, reflecting a higher revenue contribution from lower-margin white-box solutions [18] - **Free Cash Flow**: - Projected free cash flow to increase significantly from Rmb535.8 million in 2025 to Rmb2,061.1 million by 2027 [14] Strategic Positioning - **Competitive Advantage**: - Ruijie is positioned as a local leader in the data center switch market, benefiting from the trend towards local supply chains amid geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The company has accumulated experience in providing customized solutions for major Chinese cloud service providers (CSPs) [1] Additional Insights - **Growth Outlook**: - Anticipated continued growth at a CAGR of 13% from 2025 to 2030 for new product development [16] - **Market Performance**: - Ruijie's stock has shown significant price performance, with a 357.2% increase over 12 months [13] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding Ruijie Networks, highlighting its market position, financial projections, and strategic advantages in the data center switch industry.

Summary of Gotion High-Tech Co. (002074.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Gotion High-Tech Co. (002074.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb69.4 billion / $9.7 billion - **Enterprise Value**: Rmb89.0 billion / $12.5 billion - **Target Price**: Rmb45.40 (up from Rmb28.80) with a current price of Rmb40.12, indicating an upside of 13.2% [1][20] Financial Performance - **2Q25 Results**: - **Net Profit**: Rmb266 million, +32% YoY, +164% QoQ, but below estimates by 31% (or ~Rmb120 million) [1] - **Gross Profit**: Rmb1.5 billion, -7% YoY, -8% QoQ, below estimates by 3% [1] - **Revenue**: Rmb10.3 billion, +11% YoY, +14% QoQ, above estimates by 17% [1] - **Sales Volume**: ~22 GWh, +47% YoY, +22% QoQ, beating estimates by 25% [1] Key Insights - **Earnings Miss**: Attributed to an unexpected asset impairment of Rmb154 million related to lithium price corrections [1] - **Unit Gross Profit (GP)**: Estimated at ~Rmb62/kWh in 2Q25, below estimates of ~Rmb78/kWh and down from Rmb84/kWh in 1Q25 due to: - Stronger-than-expected US tariff impacts hindering exports [2] - Industry-wide GP decline due to price competition [2] - Unit depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A) inflation from new capacity ramp-up [2] - **OPEX Efficiency**: Improved OPEX efficiency at 11% of revenue, significantly below earlier estimates of 15% [2] - Consistent decline in OPEX ratio from 14% in 4Q24 to 11% in 2Q25 [2] - OPEX improvements expected to sustain due to stronger volume growth [2] Future Projections - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2025E: Rmb44.14 billion (up from Rmb40.42 billion) - 2026E: Rmb54.91 billion (up from Rmb48.43 billion) - 2027E: Rmb58.71 billion (up from Rmb56.36 billion) [4][39] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2025E: Rmb0.86 - 2026E: Rmb2.24 - 2027E: Rmb2.36 [4][39] Risks and Challenges - **Volume Growth**: Slower-than-expected volume growth could lead to a 4%/2%/3% earnings downside in 2025E-2027E for every 1% volume miss [21] - **Market Competition**: Potential share loss with major OEMs could undermine revenue and earnings forecasts [21] - **Price Competition**: Stronger-than-expected price competition could significantly impact earnings, with a Rmb10/kWh GP decline potentially lowering earnings by ~60% in 2025E and ~30% in 2026E [21] Subsidy Insights - **Government Subsidies**: Major swing factor for earnings, with updated forecasts reflecting CAPEX-based subsidies from China and production-based subsidies from the US [26] - Total subsidies expected to peak in 2026E, representing 58%/25%/7% of net profit for 2025-2027E [28] Conclusion - **Investment Rating**: Maintain Buy rating with a revised target price reflecting strong volume trends and operational efficiency improvements [20]

2 September 2025 | 3:00PM HKT Han's Laser Technology (002008.SZ) Upgrade to Buy from Neutral on growth & margin turnaround driven by PCB and consumer electronics equipment 002008.SZ 12m Price Target: Rmb44.80 Price: Rmb36.37 Upside: 23.2% We upgrade Han's Laser to Buy from Neutral with an updated 12m TP of Rmb44.8 implying c.20% upside. We expect to see earnings growth and margin turnaround in 2025, after 3 years of yoy EBIT decline in 2022-2024, driven by increasing AI related demand in the PCB equipment b ...

2 September 2025 | 3:00PM HKT Nantong Jianghai Capacitor Co. (002484.SZ) 002484.SZ 12m Price Target: Rmb28.50 Price: Rmb36.64 Downside: 22.2% Post market close on Aug 27, Jianghai reported 2Q25 in-line results, with revenue/gross profit/EBIT/net profit arriving at Rmb1,536mn/390mn/225mn/206mn in 2Q25, +17%/+14%/+11%/-2% yoy, +7%/+4%/+0%/-4% vs GSe. GPM/OPM/NPM arrived at 25%/15%/13%, -1pp/-1pp/-3pp yoy, -1pp/-1pp/-2pp vs GSe. What was new at the earnings call is the confirmation from Jianghai management of ...

3 September 2025 | 12:23AM HKT Hwatsing (688120.SS): Solid orders and product expansion to thinning/dicing/polishing equipment; 2Q25 in line; Neutral We are positive on Hwatsing and see it riding on the increasing semiconductor capex in China, along with its product expansion from CMP to Ion implementation, thinning / dicing / polishing, and cleaning tools. The company's 2Q25 revenues sustained +27% YoY/+14% QoQ growth to Rmb1.0bn (vs. +34% YoY/-4% QoQ revenues growth in 1Q25), in-line with GSe and was supp ...

Summary of Beijing New Building Materials (BNBM) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Beijing New Building Materials (000786.SZ) - **Industry**: Building materials, specifically gypsum boards, waterproofing, and coatings Key Takeaways 1. **Pricing Trends**: - Improvement in Average Selling Price (ASP) across all major products observed in August [1] - Sequential price improvement noted in 3Q25 due to two rounds of ASP hikes in March and August [5] 2. **Market Position**: - BNBM maintained a leading market position with approximately 68% market share in gypsum boards, focusing on premium products and gaining market share in commodity products [5] - Ambitious market share targets set for waterproof and coating segments [1] 3. **Product Performance**: - New product sales volume in 1H25 surpassed the full-year level of 2024, indicating strong demand for high-end products [5] - Positive year-over-year growth in sales and net profit for waterproof membranes and coatings, driven by channel expansion and cost efficiencies [8] 4. **Capacity Expansion**: - Announced capacity expansion plans in Ningbo, targeting an annual production capacity of 80 million square meters for gypsum boards and 20,000 tons for metal framing [5] - Plans to expand high-end GF board capacity to 20 million square meters by the end of the year [6] 5. **Market Demand Outlook**: - Management expects market demand for gypsum boards to rise gradually to approximately 4 billion square meters by 2030, driven by renovation and reconstruction needs [6] - Anticipation of a duopoly market in the waterproof industry in China [8] 6. **Cost Management**: - Cost-saving initiatives led to a 4% year-over-year reduction in costs in 1H25, contributing to gross profit margin improvement for high-end products [5] 7. **Strategic Focus**: - Continued focus on market share expansion through differentiated high-end products and penetration into rural markets [5] - Plans for proactive market consolidation in commodity products through dynamic pricing strategies and acquisitions [5] 8. **Investment Thesis**: - BNBM is positioned to benefit from rising renovation demand, which may offset potential slowdowns in property completions in China [10] - New business expansions in waterproofing and coatings are expected to drive earnings growth [10] 9. **Risks**: - Key risks include weaker-than-expected property completions, unexpected increases in raw material prices (notably paper and energy), and execution challenges in acquisitions [12] 10. **Valuation**: - Target price set at RMB 32.00, representing a potential upside of 23.8% from the current price of RMB 25.84 [13] Additional Insights - Management highlighted the importance of entering the prefabricated decoration market, which has a significant market size potential [6] - The company aims to achieve a leading position in both architectural and industrial coatings, targeting a 10%+ market share in selected segments [8]

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 中华蓝天 (Zhonghua Lantian) and 昊华科技 (Haohua Technology) - **Industry**: Refrigerants, Lithium Battery Electrolytes, Civil Aviation Tires, Specialty Coatings, Carbon Reduction Technologies Key Points and Arguments Refrigerants Market - Zhonghua Lantian's refrigerant business benefits from quota policies and strong downstream demand, especially in the export market, with expectations for the market to remain at high levels despite potential price fluctuations due to policy changes [2][5] - Prices for products like 134a and 32 continue to rise, indicating a robust market environment [2][5] Liquid Cooling Technology - Zhonghua Lantian is actively developing liquid cooling technology for data centers, with products like YL-1-10 and YL-70 designed for silent liquid cooling applications [2][6] - The company has identified 134a as suitable for data center cooling plates and has begun limited sales, indicating a proactive approach to meet growing cooling demands [2][6] Electrolyte Research and Development - Zhonghua Lantian has invested in solid and semi-solid electrolyte research, boasting a production capacity of 250,000 tons and establishing a research institute for sulfide research [2][7] Civil Aviation Tires - The company has achieved significant milestones in civil aviation tires, obtaining airworthiness certificates for various aircraft models and beginning large-scale production [2][10] - Anticipated explosive growth in market supply by the end of 2025 or early 2026 due to successful trials and partnerships with major airlines [2][10][13] Specialty Coatings - Zhonghua Lantian's specialty coatings focus on functional coatings for civil aviation, shipping, and industrial applications, emphasizing high value and customization [2][14] - The company is targeting marine coatings as a key area for future breakthroughs [2][16] Carbon Reduction Business - The carbon reduction segment is benefiting from previous strategic investments, with significant orders nearing 4 billion yuan and a strong market outlook [2][18][19] - The company is recognized for its advanced gas separation technologies and is positioned as a leading provider in the carbon reduction field [2][18] Financial Performance - Haohua Technology reported a sales revenue of 7.76 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.45%, with net profit rising by 20.85% to 645 million yuan [3][4] - The fluorochemical segment saw a revenue increase of 24.99% and a gross profit increase of 40.73%, indicating strong performance across various business units [3][4] Market Dynamics in Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery industry is experiencing intense competition and overcapacity, leading to a challenging market environment [2][8][9] - The electrolyte and lithium additive sectors are currently in a downturn, with prices significantly lower than previous highs, necessitating a focus on technological advancements for competitive advantage [2][9] Future Outlook - Haohua Technology aims to become a leading enterprise in the gas sector, focusing on capacity expansion, technological development, and market exploration [2][24] - The company is set to complete a new production line for trifluorine nitrogen by the end of September 2025, which is expected to enhance profitability in the southwest region [2][22][23] Additional Important Insights - The civil aviation tire market is dominated by a few major players, but Zhonghua Lantian has positioned itself as a competitive fourth player with significant production capabilities [2][10] - The specialty coatings business is expected to grow due to increasing demand in various sectors, including renewable energy projects [2][15][16]