2月2日，香港恒生指数低开1.06%，恒生科技指数跌1.29%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ~ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 小鹏汽车-W | 68.000 | -3.650 | -5.09% | | 阿里巴巴-W | 164.700 | -4.500 | -2.66% | | 昨週昨週-W | 266.000 | -7.000 | -2.56% | | 网易-S | 200.000 | -5.000 | -2.44% | | 华虹半导体 | 114.100 | -2.400 | -2.06% | | 蔚来-SW | 37.900 | -0.720 | -1.86% | | 百度集团-SW | 150.000 | -2.800 | -1.83% | | 零跑汽车 | 41.780 | -0.640 | -1.51% | | 理想汽车-W | 65.000 | -0.950 | -1.44% | | 比亚迪股份 | 96.450 | -1.300 | -1.33% | | 腾讯控股 | 598.000 | -8.000 | -1.32% | 编辑｜钉钉 三大通信运营 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors experienced significant declines, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down, including Hunan Gold, Xiaocheng Technology, and Western Gold [1][2] - International gold and silver prices saw substantial drops on January 30, marking some of the largest single-day declines in decades due to profit-taking and short-term futures traders closing long positions [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Xiaocheng Technology's stock fell by 20.00% to 54.00, while Hunan Gold and Western Gold both dropped by 10.00% to 33.30 and 40.25 respectively [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.93% to 4079.71, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.54% to 14128.87, contrasting with a 0.65% increase in the ChiNext Index [3][4] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The market saw a wave of limit-downs in the gold and base metal sectors, with oil, gas, chemicals, agriculture, coal, and steel industries also experiencing notable declines [4] - Conversely, sectors such as photovoltaic and ultra-high voltage themes showed resilience and strength amid the broader market downturn [4] Group 4: Additional Market Movements - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.06% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.29%, influenced by significant drops in major telecom operators [8][9] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 750 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at an interest rate of 1.40%, with 1505 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [7]

黄金、有色金属板块大面积跌停。 09:33 CPO概念反复活跃，新易盛涨超10%，续创历史新高，总市值突破4600亿，腾景科技、德科立、长飞光纤等跟涨。消息面上，新易盛公 告，预计2025年度净利润为94亿元至99亿元，同比增长231.24%至248.86%。 09:31 电网设备板块逆势走强，顺钠股份、白云电器、三变科技涨停，亿能电力、新特电气、保变电气、双杰电气涨幅靠前。消息面上，当 前，全球AI算力建设进入爆发期，电力设备变压器正升级为算力基础设施的核心。在广东、江苏等地，大量变压器工厂已经处于满产的状 态，其中部分面向数据中心的业务订单都排到了2027年。 09:26 黄金、有色金属板块大面积跌停，湖南黄金、晓程科技、西部黄金、四川黄金等多股跌停。消息面上，受获利回吐和短期期货交易者多 头平仓等因素影响，国际黄金和白银价格1月30日继续大幅下跌，均创下数十年来最大单日跌幅。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅晶 | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300139 | 晓程科技 | -20.00% | 54.00 | | 002237 | 恒邦股份 | -10.02% | 18 ...

从融资买入额占当日总成交金额比重来看，有1只个股融资买入额占比超30%。其中思看科技、信凯科 技、皓元医药融资买入额占成交额比重排名前三，分别为65.27%、28.43%、27.95%。 从融资净买入金额来看，有21只个股获融资净买入超亿元。其中，湖南黄金、新易盛、宁德时代融资净 买入金额排名前三，分别获净买入9.56亿元、6.28亿元、4.4亿元。 A股1月30日共有3769只个股获融资资金买入，有546股买入金额超亿元。其中，新易盛、中际旭创、紫 金矿业融资买入金额排名前三，分别获买入33.94亿元、30.74亿元、28.26亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that after a significant rally in 2025, the momentum for the rise in prices of non-ferrous metals and stocks remains strong, supported by supply disruptions, localized high demand, and inventory accumulation, with expectations of increased price elasticity due to loose liquidity and heightened risk aversion from geopolitical conflicts [1] Group 1: Precious Metals - Precious metals are expected to benefit from the resonance of monetary attributes and sustained risk aversion, with gold projected to reach $6,000 per ounce by 2026 [1] - The extreme shortage of spot silver and high trading activity may lead to strong price elasticity, with silver prices anticipated to reach $120 per ounce by 2026 [1] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Supply constraints, resilient demand, and structurally low inventories are expected to support strong price performance for copper and aluminum, with average prices projected at $12,000 per ton for copper and 23,000 yuan per ton for aluminum by 2026 [1] Group 3: Battery Metals - Lithium prices are expected to rise to a range of 120,000 to 200,000 yuan per ton by 2026, driven by strong demand from energy storage batteries [1] - Cobalt prices are projected to be in the range of 400,000 to 500,000 yuan per ton due to quota reductions [1] - Nickel prices are expected to rebound to $22,000 per ton by 2026, influenced by quota reductions in Indonesia [1] Group 4: Other Metals - Other metals such as rare earths, tungsten, tin, and natural uranium are expected to continue benefiting from supply-demand tightness and strategic metal premiums, with price targets of 600,000 to 800,000 yuan per ton for rare earths, 450,000 to 550,000 yuan per ton for tungsten, 450,000 to 500,000 yuan per ton for tin, and $100 per pound for natural uranium by 2026 [1]

2026年多省预计以卖地收入为主的政府性基金收入实现增长 房地产市场持续低迷之下，地方政府卖地收入（即土地出让收入）四连降。 近日，财政部公开数据显示，2025年地方政府性基金预算本级收入中的国有土地使用权出让收入（下称土地出让收入）41518亿元，比上年下降14.7%。这 是自2022年以来连续第四年这一收入出现两位数降幅。与2021年地方土地出让收入峰值（8.7万亿元）相比，2025年地方土地出让收入减少了约4.6万亿元， 降幅达到52.3%。 粤开证券首席经济学家罗志恒告诉第一财经，房地产市场深度调整直接导致地方土地出让收入持续下滑，这减少地方可用财力，加大地方偿债压力。预计 2026年土地出让收入延续下滑态势，但降幅有望收窄。 土地财政难以为继 罗志恒告诉第一财经，土地出让收入持续下行，源于房地产市场深度调整，根本上由于高质量发展要求下经济发展模式变迁。 罗志恒分析，土地出让收入持续下行对地方政府产生三大影响：一是地方可用财力减少。土地出让收入是地方政府性基金预算的主要来源，其下滑直接导致 可用财力收缩，加剧财政紧平衡态势。二是地方政府债务偿还压力加剧。许多地方政府债务依赖土地收入作为债务还款来源，收 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that gold surpassing $5,500 per ounce is a significant watershed moment, indicating a shift in the global financial landscape [2] - The total value of existing gold, amounting to $38.2 trillion, has now become comparable to the total outstanding U.S. debt, which stands at $38.5 trillion, marking a first since the 1980s [2] - This development suggests that the framework established post-Bretton Woods, which anchored the global economy to the U.S. dollar and U.S. debt, is showing signs of instability [2]

（文章来源：第一财经） 华为常务董事、终端BG董事长余承东发布微博称，新锐王牌问界M6即将登场，"56789"凑齐，春天 见！ ...

Group 1 - The spring market in February is expected to have the highest success rate, with incremental capital likely to continue entering the market [1][12] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is seeking public opinion on expanding the types of strategic investors, including various institutional investors such as social security funds and public funds, to hold a minimum of 5% of shares in listed companies [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are promoting fair participation of pumped storage and new energy storage in the electricity market to enhance price signals and regulatory functions [4] Group 2 - Major telecom operators in China announced an adjustment in the VAT tax rate for telecom services from 6% to 9%, which will impact their revenue and profits [7] - The recent volatility in gold and silver prices has led to significant declines, with gold prices dropping over 10% and silver prices over 30%, marking the largest single-day declines in decades [9][11] - The A-share market is expected to see a rise in risk appetite as companies report their earnings, with the market entering a vacuum period for economic data [12][13]

编者注：2月2日，现货白银延续跌势，日内跌幅扩大至10%，报76.89美元/盎司。现货黄金向下跌破4700美元，日内下跌3.33%。 1月的最后一个交易日，金银价格发生史诗级暴跌。 现货黄金盘中最大跌幅突破12%，击穿5000美元/盎司大关；现货白银盘中最大跌幅超35%，为近40年最大单日跌幅。 这场始于美联储主席提名的多米诺骨牌，在24小时内接连推倒对冲基金、高杠杆资金，恐慌情绪迅速蔓延至工业金属、加密货币等领域。与此同时，国内金 饰价格两日内每克最高回调超200元，引发零售端退货争议。 "这不是简单的回调，而是一场由政策预期突变引发的流动性踩踏。"交易人士告诉记者，"前期芝加哥商品交易所（CME）及国内的上海期货交易所已持续 上调黄金、白银交易保证金比例，交易者在黄金、白银上积累了过多杠杆，断崖式暴跌触发了大规模的保证金追缴（margin call），被迫抛售成为压垮骆驼 的最后一根稻草。" 沃什提名引爆金银创纪录重挫 消息面上，美国总统特朗普于当地时间周五（1月30日）通过社交媒体宣布，提名美联储前理事凯文・沃什接替杰罗姆・鲍威尔，出任美联储新一任主席。 美元指数瞬间被点燃，现货黄金价格如自由落体般从5 ...