AMD正在用金融"兜底"换取AI芯片出货的加速度，以追赶英伟达在数据中心AI芯片上的领先优势。 据The Information援引知情人士称，AMD将为数据中心与云服务初创公司Crusoe的一笔3亿美元贷款提 供实质性担保，贷款方为高盛，资金将用于购买AMD的AI芯片并安装在俄亥俄州一座数据中心。 知情人士称，这笔贷款将以芯片及相关设备作为抵押。作为担保安排的一部分，如果Crusoe找不到愿意 使用这些芯片的客户，例如AI开发者，AMD将同意从Crusoe租用这些芯片，从而为Crusoe提供"需求 兜底"。 其中，英伟达投资了CoreWeave，并同意购买CoreWeave无法向其他客户出售的算力容量。CoreWeave 在2023年建立了首个债务融资安排，规模23亿美元，以英伟达芯片及客户合同作支撑。 类似融资也在扩散。伦敦的Nscale本月表示已获得包括Pimco和Blue Owl Capital在内机构提供的14亿美 元贷款，其发言人称该贷款由公司合同与芯片作担保。 追赶压力：CEO设定份额目标，AMD加码非常规促销手段 这笔Crusoe融资安排凸显AMD正用更多非传统方式争夺AI芯片市场。The I ...

美国在大幅上调关税的第一年，进口不降反升，商品贸易逆差创出新高，显示关税对缩小贸易缺口的作 用有限。 据美国商务部当地时间2月19日公布的数据，2025年美国进口额升至4.334万亿美元，商品贸易逆差扩大 至1.241万亿美元，创历史纪录。全年货物与服务贸易逆差为9015亿美元，较2024年的9035亿美元仅小 幅收窄。 月度数据也在年末再度走弱。2025年12月美国货物与服务贸易逆差升至703亿美元，较11月的530亿美元 大幅扩大，且已连续第二个月显著环比增加，超出《华尔街日报》调查的分析师预期。 特朗普政府加征关税的重要理由之一是有助于降低贸易逆差。央视新闻客户端援引瑞杰金融集团投资策 略部首席经济学家观点称，2025年的逆差表现表明，关税对整体逆差水平的影响很小。 商品贸易逆差突破纪录 特朗普政府重点针对的商品贸易领域，2025年交出了与政策初衷相悖的成绩单。美国商务部数据显示， 商品贸易逆差达到1.241万亿美元，较上年增长2.1%，刷新历史纪录。 这一结果凸显出，即便面对大幅提高的关税壁垒，美国企业和消费者对进口商品的需求依然强劲。 全年商品进口总额为3.44万亿美元，较2024年增长约4%。这一 ...

风险提示及免责条款 港股马年首个交易日：恒生指数开盘跌0.18%，恒生科技指数低开近0.7%。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 ...

Core Insights - Walmart's strong holiday sales boosted its fourth-quarter revenue and profit, exceeding Wall Street expectations, but concerns about future profitability remain [1][4] - The company forecasts adjusted earnings per share for the current fiscal year between $2.75 and $2.85, significantly below the Wall Street estimate of $2.96 [1][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter ending January 31, Walmart reported revenue of $190.66 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $190.43 billion; adjusted earnings per share were $0.74, slightly above the expected $0.73 [4] - Same-store sales in Walmart's U.S. business grew by 4.6%, while Sam's Club saw a 4% increase [4] - Walmart announced a new $30 billion stock buyback authorization, replacing the previously approved $20 billion plan from 2022 [4] Group 2: Consumer Trends - The company's performance reflects a "K-shaped" economic trend, where high-income households are driving market share growth, while low-income families face financial difficulties [5] - CEO John Furner noted that low-income groups are struggling with rising costs of food, housing, and utilities, indicating a significant divide in consumer spending [5] Group 3: E-commerce and Digital Transformation - Walmart is heavily investing in its digital business to compete with Amazon, with U.S. e-commerce sales growing by 27% year-over-year and global e-commerce sales increasing by 24% [6] - E-commerce now accounts for 23% of Walmart's total U.S. sales, a record high, driven by a 50% increase in order fulfillment and a 41% rise in advertising revenue from Walmart Connect [6] Group 4: Economic Outlook - Walmart executives expressed optimism regarding the macroeconomic environment, suggesting that inflation driven by tariffs has peaked and price pressures are expected to ease in the coming months [7] - The inflation rate for Walmart in the U.S. during the fourth quarter was slightly above 1%, indicating a more normalized pricing environment [7]

华见早安之声 请各位听众升级为见闻最新版APP，以便成功收听以下音频。 市场概述 科技股拖累美股回落，三大美股指止步两连涨。金融板块领跌标普，限制旗下基金赎回的资管公司Blue Owl跌近6%；年度指引逊色的沃尔玛跌超1%；苹果 跌超1%、"科技七巨头"中表现最差；芯片股和软件股回落，西部数据跌4%，Cadence Design跌近3%。 泛欧股指和英股跌落纪录高位，财报指引不佳的空客跌近7%、雷诺跌超3%，指引向好的雀巢涨近4%。 美国12月贸易逆差扩大，去年全年录得1960年以来最大逆差之一。 另类资管巨头Blue Owl限制赎回、抛售贷款，股价一度大跌10%，引发市场对1.8万亿美元私募信贷市场的担忧。 黄仁勋预告"前所未见"的芯片新品，下一代Feynman架构或成焦点。黄仁勋上周宴请SK海力士工程师，亲自敬酒，敦促"无延迟交付HBM4"。 三星、海力士"调整战略"，新存储工厂生产计划提前。三星电子股价飙至历史新高，报道：公司HBM4芯片拟大幅提价30%。 美国失业数据后，美债收益率靠近日高；美元盘中涨破98、创近四周新高。离岸人民币三连跌，盘中跌超百点失守6.90；比特币盘中跌破6.6万美元后一度转 ...

坚定降息派、特朗普亲信美联储理事米兰：美国劳动力市场的改善可以令今年少些降息。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 ...

虽然加密货币今年大跌，但美国总统特朗普的家族看来试图挽尊。他们支持的加密货币平台正在重塑华尔街与数字资产的关系。 美东时间19日周三，特朗普家族参与创立的加密货币平台World Liberty Financial在海湖庄园主办了一场会议。会上金融业高管、政府官员与加密行业人士齐 聚一堂，凸显虚拟资产如何在特朗普的第二任期内既成为政策优先事项，又演变为家族盈利中心。 World Liberty Financial的这场活动，吸引了约500名参会者，其中包括高盛CEO苏德巍（David Solomon）。这位昔日的加密货币怀疑者在会上透露自己持有 少量比特币，标志着他的立场转变。出席者还包括最大加密货币交易所币安的联合创始人赵长鹏、纽交所和纳斯达克的负责人，以及多位现任与前任金融监 管官员。 根据彭博亿万富豪指数，在特朗普第二任期的第一年2025年，其家族财富因新的加密业务增加超过10亿美元，这一金额是海湖庄园自身价值的三倍多。 World Liberty Financial由特朗普的长子和次子以及总统特使威特科夫之子共同创立，是这笔快速积累财富的重要支柱。 这场聚会折射出从美国国会到国内金融巨头高层对加密货币态 ...

央视记者获悉，当地时间2月19日，美国总统特朗普在所谓"和平委员会"会议上称，预计未来十天左右 会知道能否与伊朗达成协议。 特朗普强调，伊朗不能拥有核武器，否则中东无法实现和平。他说，现 在是伊朗加入"和平之路"的时候。他还称，美方再次订购了22架升级版B-2轰炸机。 特朗普还表示，伊 朗必须与美国达成"有意义的协议"，否则将会发生糟糕的事情。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles suggests that the historical performance of oil prices during past military actions may not predict future outcomes, particularly regarding potential U.S. military actions against Iran [1][2] - U.S. Energy Secretary Dan Brouillette's optimism about oil price stability is based on the historical context of the "12-day war" in June 2025, where oil prices only experienced temporary fluctuations [2] - The U.S. has a record high shale oil production and has rebuilt diplomatic ties with Gulf oil-producing countries, providing a broader strategic buffer compared to previous administrations [5] Group 2 - The concept of "war premium," which refers to the risk premium injected into energy markets due to Middle Eastern conflicts, has been shrinking due to several structural factors [6] - Key factors contributing to this resilience include the high and rising U.S. oil production, clear policy measures from Washington to prevent supply disruptions, and the unexpected recovery capacity of oil-producing countries [6] - The evolution of market mechanisms, such as enhanced liquidity in oil options markets and the availability of commercial satellite imagery, has reduced the impact of conflict-related uncertainties on pricing [6][7] Group 3 - There is a concern that the White House may be misjudging the situation, mistaking resilience for immunity in the oil market, which could lead to overconfidence in the face of potential Iranian retaliation [8] - If the information warfare strategy misfires, it could result in decision-makers being swayed by overly optimistic narratives, leading to a blind spot regarding alternative scenarios [9]

Group 1 - Samsung Electronics' stock price surged to a record high due to tight supply conditions in the AI memory market, with reports indicating that the company is negotiating prices for its latest AI memory chip, HBM4, which could be up to 30% higher than the previous generation [1][3] - The pricing strategy for HBM4 is set at approximately $700 per chip, significantly higher than SK Hynix's mid-range price of $500 for Nvidia last August, highlighting the ongoing supply-demand imbalance in the AI memory market [3][6] - The memory chip shortage is driving growth for both Samsung and SK Hynix, contributing to a 32% increase in the Korean benchmark Kospi index this year, making it the best-performing stock market globally [3] Group 2 - The $700 price point for Samsung's HBM4 has garnered widespread attention, indicating a return of pricing power to Samsung in the AI memory market, as noted by Saxo Markets' chief investment strategist [6] - Analysts suggest that the $700 price could lead to an operating profit margin of 50% to 60% for Samsung, and if the company supplies more HBM chips to Nvidia, the average selling price gap between Samsung and SK Hynix may narrow by 2026 [6] - Samsung has begun mass production of HBM4 chips, which are crucial for training and running large AI models, marking a recovery in its competitiveness in the high-bandwidth memory market [7]