本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者栗鹏菲 叶青 北京报道 2025年，A股市场主要指数普遍上涨，主动权益类基金中超九成产品取得正收益，平均收益率超过 30%。其中，永赢科技智选基金的年度收益率超过233%。同期，鑫元消费甄选混合基金的A/C份额年度 净值下跌超19%，在同类产品中排名最后。 其年度业绩与市场领先产品之间的差距超过了250个百分点，这一巨大的"剪刀差"使其成为观察2025年 基金业绩极端分化的一个典型案例。 业绩表现与持仓风格频繁切换 据公开资料显示，鑫元消费甄选混合成立于2023年3月，在不足三年的时间内（截至2025年12月31日） 其单位净值从初始的1元跌至约0.52元，区间回撤幅度接近腰斩。 该基金在产品名称中明确了"消费甄选"的主题定位。然而，梳理其自成立以来定期报告披露的持仓信 息，该基金的实际投资方向与产品名称所指代的消费主题出现了显著偏离，并且呈现出高频切换的特 征。 根据基金定期报告，在成立并完成建仓后，2023年第二季度末前十大重仓股中医药生物行业公司数量为 6家，第三季度末增至7家，显示其在成立初期对医药生物板块进行了显著集中配置，但该配置并未持续 至后续季度。 ...

本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者卢梦雪 北京报道 "抓紧这几天锁定当前利率，错过就只能按新利率了。"近日，有多家中小银行客户经理向记者表示，该 行即将开始新一轮存款利率调降。 其中，从1月4日起，振兴银行整存整取两年期、三年期存款利率均下降到1.8%，5年期存款利率下调到 1.7%。1月16日起，新安银行两年期存款利率从2.35%下调到2.25%，下调10个基点。庆安农村商业银行 单位、个人整存整取的三个月、六个月存款产品利率相比此前分别下调了20个基点、25个基点，一年 期、两年期、三年期、五年期存款利率亦有所下调，七天存款利率较此前下调了30个基点，降幅最大。 记者注意到，2026年开年以来，中小银行降息节奏明显加快，调整力度不减。1月份已有多家中小银行 公告将下调或已下调存款利率，中长期产品存款利率降幅相对更大，部分期限存款产品利率降幅最高达 55个基点。 不过，在普遍降息的同时，仍有部分中小银行推出"开门红"活动，选择阶段性上浮存款利率。多家村镇 银行、农商行、城商行近期推出活动，不仅存款利率上浮，部分还赠送精美礼品。 开年即降息，中长期产品受冲击 1月9日，贵阳花溪建设村镇银行公告，调 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nestlé has initiated a recall of infant formula products in over 50 countries due to potential risks associated with the core nutritional additive ARA (Arachidonic Acid), raising concerns about raw material safety and supply chain management in the infant formula sector [1] Group 1: Company Responses - Feihe stated that all products containing ARA are safe for consumption and that their ARA is in powdered form, unlike the liquid ARA used in the recalled products [3] - Mengniu confirmed that their ARA suppliers are unrelated to the European recall incident and that all products undergo multiple quality checks before market release [3] - Danone emphasized that all their infant formula products are produced under high standards and do not use ARA from the implicated supplier [4] - Arla conducted a comprehensive review of their infant nutrition products and confirmed that their ARA is not affected by the issues related to the recall [4] Group 2: Regulatory Oversight - The State Council's Food Safety Office and the Market Supervision Administration have urged Nestlé (China) to effectively manage the recall of affected products, ensuring consumer rights are protected [2] - The recall in China involves four brands: Litojing, Platinum Enfamil, Shuyi Enfamil, and Wyeth S-26, totaling 30 batches of products [2] Group 3: Industry Implications - The incident highlights the urgent need for improved transparency in the food supply chain and the establishment of robust raw material traceability mechanisms [4] - There is a collective call for companies to strengthen their quality control systems and fulfill their responsibilities to maintain consumer confidence and ensure the healthy development of the industry [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant surge in aluminum prices post-New Year, with Shanghai aluminum futures breaking through 24,000 yuan/ton and approaching historical highs near 25,000 yuan/ton, while London aluminum also surpassed 3,000 USD/ton, marking a new peak [2][3][4] - The price increase is attributed to multiple factors, including geopolitical tensions, particularly the escalation of conflicts involving the U.S. and Venezuela, which has impacted market sentiment and raised risk premiums for strategic metals like aluminum [4][7] - Analysts indicate that the rapid price rise is driven more by speculative demand rather than solid industrial recovery, as evidenced by the significant increase in trading volumes without corresponding growth in actual consumption [5][7] Group 2 - The aluminum price surge has led to a wave of price adjustments among small and medium-sized window and door manufacturers across various regions, with price increases ranging from 10 to 100 yuan per square meter [6][7] - The impact of rising aluminum prices varies across the industry; while upstream smelting companies benefit from improved profit margins, downstream processing firms are facing significant cost pressures, leading to some small enterprises planning to reduce production or take early holidays [7][8] - Despite the current price volatility, analysts predict that aluminum prices may maintain a strong trend in the medium term due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties and supply constraints, although short-term technical corrections may occur [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The retirement of Yu Liang marks the end of an era for Vanke, reflecting his significant contributions to the company's growth and the evolution of the Chinese real estate industry [2][11][13]. Group 1: Career Development and Contributions - Yu Liang joined Vanke at the age of 25 and spent 36 years with the company, transitioning from a financial officer to a key leader in a billion-dollar enterprise [2][3]. - His early contributions included leading the successful issuance of B shares in 1993, raising 4.5 billion HKD, which alleviated Vanke's funding challenges and laid the groundwork for national expansion [3][4]. - Under his leadership, Vanke's revenue grew significantly, with a 28% year-on-year increase following the resolution of a major corporate governance conflict in 1994 [4]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives and Growth - In 2004, Yu Liang introduced the ambitious "Ten-Year 100 Billion Plan," which was initially met with skepticism but ultimately led to Vanke achieving over 1,000 billion in sales by 2010, making it the first Chinese real estate company to reach this milestone [5][6]. - The implementation of the "5986 model" facilitated rapid growth, resulting in sales increasing from 91.6 billion in 2004 to over 1,000 billion by 2010, showcasing Vanke's effective management strategies [5][6]. - By 2020, Vanke achieved a record contract sales amount of 704.15 billion, with a net profit of 41.516 billion, demonstrating the success of its diversified business model [8][9]. Group 3: Industry Position and Future Outlook - Yu Liang's foresight in predicting the end of the "golden era" of real estate in 2014 led to a strategic shift towards becoming a "city service provider," diversifying into logistics, commercial, and long-term rental markets [7][8]. - Despite facing challenges in the post-2020 market downturn, Vanke's diversified strategy and risk management measures helped stabilize its operations [9]. - Yu Liang's departure signifies a transition for Vanke, but his strategic vision and operational principles will continue to influence the company's future direction [10][12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The company "Grandpa's Farm" has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, revealing its origins and operational model, which heavily relies on marketing and outsourcing production to OEM manufacturers, raising concerns about its long-term sustainability and brand identity [2][3][4]. Company Background - "Grandpa's Farm" was established in 2015 and is operated by Guangzhou Jiantwei Daily Necessities Co., Ltd. The company has undergone restructuring and is now a leading brand in China's infant food sector, ranking second in total transaction value for infant food and first in organic infant food by 2024 [3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2023, 2024, and 2025 was 622 million, 875 million, and 780 million respectively, with net profits of 75.46 million, 103 million, and 87.42 million. The revenue growth rates for 2024 and 2025 are projected at 40.6% and 23.2%, while net profit growth rates are 36% and 12.1% [4]. Product Segmentation - The product line primarily consists of infant food and family food, with infant food accounting for 80.4% of revenue in the first three quarters of 2025. The offerings include cooking oil, seasonings, grain products, fruit purees, biscuits, rice cakes, milk tablets, and cod fish sausages [5]. Marketing Strategy - The company has heavily invested in marketing, with sales and distribution expenses reaching approximately 201 million, 306 million, and 283 million for the respective years, constituting over 32% of total revenue. Marketing strategies include product placements in popular TV dramas and endorsements by celebrities [6][7]. Research and Development - Despite high marketing expenditures, the company's investment in research and development is relatively low, with R&D expenses of 17.68 million, 28.35 million, and 17.21 million, representing only 2.8%, 3.2%, and 2.2% of revenue. This imbalance raises concerns about the company's long-term product innovation and competitiveness [7]. Production Model - "Grandpa's Farm" primarily relies on an OEM manufacturing model, outsourcing nearly all production to third-party manufacturers. This approach helps reduce capital investment but poses challenges in quality control and supply chain management [8][9]. Future Plans - The company acknowledges the risks associated with its reliance on OEM manufacturers and plans to invest in enhancing its internal production capabilities and supply chain management. This includes building a multifunctional facility in Guangzhou for limited in-house production and quality control [9].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Environment - The macroeconomic environment of developed economies, particularly in the West, is at a critical point of accelerating risk accumulation, with a deep binding of fiscal and monetary policies due to negative debt accumulation [2] - Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is transitioning from theoretical research to implicit practice, suggesting that sovereign nations with monetary autonomy can continuously issue currency for fiscal financing as long as inflation is controllable [2] - The excessive liquidity created by central banks has not directly flowed into the real economy but has instead surged into long-term narratives in technology and virtual economies, leading to asset bubbles [2] Group 2: Wealth Distribution and Employment - The wealth effect from asset prices is exacerbating social divisions in Western societies, while technological innovations, particularly in AI, are increasing employment pressures without a corresponding rise in overall productivity [3] - The internal wealth gap and employment issues in Western countries are spilling over into geopolitical tensions, manifesting as anti-immigrant sentiments and the rise of nationalism [3] Group 3: Investment Trends - Central banks are likely to continue injecting new currency into the financial system, benefiting primarily large commercial banks and wealthy individuals who can leverage complex financial instruments to hedge risks [3][4] - Ordinary workers, at the end of the monetary circulation, will see their purchasing power diluted as inflation rises, leading to an exacerbation of wealth inequality [4] Group 4: Shift in Asset Preferences - The global trend of "de-dollarization" is accelerating, with a decline in the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves, which is expected to lead to increased volatility in markets and a heightened demand for hedging against interest rate and currency risks [5] - Gold and digital currencies are being positioned as alternative assets, with gold serving as a hedge against sovereign currency credit risks amid the de-dollarization trend [5] Group 5: Future of Gold and Precious Metals - The future of gold faces significant challenges, including potential liquidity shocks during financial crises, which could lead to a temporary loss of gold's safe-haven status [7] - The restructuring of the U.S. energy system under policies that promote domestic energy production could strengthen the dollar and U.S. Treasury credit, reducing gold's appeal as an alternative asset [8] - The widespread application of robotics and AI in production could lead to structural deflation, undermining gold's core value as an inflation hedge [9] - The potential commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion could disrupt gold's value by making it more abundant, fundamentally altering its status as a scarce asset [11] Group 6: Strategic Metals and National Security - The demand for strategic metals such as tungsten, lithium, and cobalt is expected to rise due to their critical roles in defense and energy security, with significant implications for investment strategies [15][16] - The geopolitical landscape is driving nations to stockpile key strategic materials, which may lead to increased prices and demand for these metals [13][15]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has entered a strong bullish phase, with all three major indices rising and surpassing the 4100-point mark for the first time in 10 years, recording a 16-day consecutive increase [1][6]. Market Performance - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.92%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by over 1%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.77% [1][4]. - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges exceeded 3 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase of nearly 300 billion yuan compared to the previous day, and this is the first time this year that the trading volume has surpassed 3 trillion yuan [4][6]. Sector Highlights - The AI application sector saw a collective surge, with over twenty constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including notable performances from companies like Yiyuan Media and Province Advertising Group [4]. - The commercial aerospace sector remained active, with companies such as Luxin Investment and China Satellite Communications showing strong performance [4]. - The controllable nuclear fusion concept continued its strong momentum, with companies like Hongxun Technology and China First Heavy Industries achieving consecutive gains [4]. Market Sentiment and Analysis - According to economist Pan Helin, the current rise in A-shares and increased trading volume indicate that the market has entered a full bull market phase, driven by the appreciation of the yuan and the return of global capital [6]. - Pan Helin noted that the market's current upward trend may be characterized by irrational exuberance, typical of a bull market, and that while fluctuations may occur, the overall market is expected to remain strong until the end of the global economic boom cycle [6].

据经济参考报，日前，全国建筑市场监管公共服务平台信息显示，中铁五局集团有限公司（以下简 称"中铁五局"）被住房和城乡建设部实施停业整顿180日，决定时间为2025年12月16日，有效期至2026 年6月14日。停业整顿期间，不得以建筑工程施工总承包特级资质承揽新的工程项目，涉及的具体事由 未公开。 对此，记者拨打中铁五局官网披露的联系方式尝试进一步了解，截至发稿电话未能接通。 官网信息显示，中铁五局是世界500强企业中国中铁股份有限公司骨干成员企业，始建于1950年，原为 铁道部第五工程局，1999年改制为中铁五局集团有限公司；下辖18个实体性子分公司、7个区域总部、 33个经营性分公司、18个境外派驻机构及设计研究院。主要从事国内外建筑工程投资、设计、施工及运 营管理，拥有铁路、建筑、公路、市政、水利水电工程等施工总承包特级资质8项。 （文章来源：华夏时报） 记者查询后发现，这并非公司近年来首次被通报。2024年10月，中铁五局下属的中铁五局集团机械化工 程有限公司，在格库铁路七个泉站铁路线路安全保护区内施工作业过程中，不遵守保证铁路安全的施工 安全规范，导致挖断电缆，构成铁路交通一般事故。2025年4月1 ...

来源：中航集团网站、长安街知事 （文章来源：华夏时报） 据中航集团网站消息，2026年1月9日上午，中国航空集团有限公司召开领导班子（扩大）会议。受中央 组织部领导委托，中央组织部有关干部局负责同志宣布了党中央关于中国航空集团有限公司总经理调整 的决定：曲光吉同志任中国航空集团有限公司董事、总经理、党组副书记，免去其中国南方航空集团有 限公司副总经理、党组成员职务；免去王明远同志的中国航空集团有限公司董事、总经理、党组副书记 职务。相关职务任免，按有关法律和章程的规定办理。 据公开信息显示，曲光吉，男，1970年2月出生，1993年7月参加工作，1992年3月加入中国共产党。 2023年8月，曲光吉任中国南方航空集团有限公司副总经理、党组成员。 据介绍，中国航空集团有限公司简称"中航集团"，2002年10月11日成立，是特大型国有航空运输集团公 司，也是中国唯一载国旗飞行的航空运输企业。2017年12月29日，按照公司制改制要求，中航集团由全 民所有制企业改制为国有独资公司，改制后公司名称由中国航空集团公司改为中国航空集团有限公司。 ...