2025年年末，美元指数(DXY)围绕98关口窄幅震荡，12月29日亚市早盘交投于97.95，逼近10月初低点 (97.75)。全年累计跌幅近9.7%，或创2017年以来最差年度表现，市场普遍预期2026年其结构性弱势将延 续。 近期，新年假期临近导致市场交投清淡，限制了美元指数波动。12月29日欧洲早盘，汇价在98.00附近 震荡，空头回补与技术面买盘短暂支撑汇价，但美联储降息预期压制反弹。短期上方压力98.50，下方 支撑97.50-97.60，跌破或下探97.00。目前市场对美联储1月降息预期仅18.3%，政策面观望使汇价缺乏 方向指引。 美元年末承压，根源在于美国经济结构性矛盾与全球货币政策分化。美国三季度GDP按年率增长4.3% (同比2.3%)，但结构性缺陷显著：实际国内总收入同比仅增0.6%，产出与收入背离；非住宅投资三连 降，企业预期转弱；消费依赖必需支出，可选消费疲软；净出口增长源于进口下滑。劳动力市场亦显衰 退迹象，动摇了美元的相对增长优势基础。 货币政策分化是美元下行核心驱动力。2025年美联储累计降息75个基点，12月第三次降息后利率至 3.50%-3.75%，市场预期2026年至少再 ...

2.活动对象 中国邮政储蓄银行卡持卡用户(以下简称"用户")。 3.活动内容 活动期间，用户通过邮储银行（601658）手机银行APP或信用卡APP渠道，通过"一键绑卡"功能，首次 将中国邮政储蓄银行卡绑定携程旅行平台，成功完成绑卡后，有机会获得携程旅行298元优惠券礼包， 用户无需手动领取，权益直接发放至银行预留手机号注册的携程账户中。活动期间权益名额借记卡、信 用卡合计不少于500万个，名额有限，先到先得，用完即止，同一用户借记卡、信用卡各限享一次活动 优惠。 一、活动内容 1.活动时间 2025年08月01日-2025年12月31日，每日0点起。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the USD/CAD exchange rate is influenced by the divergence in monetary policy between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada, alongside oil prices and geopolitical risks [1][2] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve completed its third rate cut of the year in December, totaling a 75 basis point reduction for the year, with a dovish outlook from Powell leading to expectations of continued easing [1] - The Bank of Canada maintained its interest rate at 2.25% for the second consecutive month in December after a total of 100 basis points cut during the year, signaling a potential rate hike in 2026 due to positive economic indicators [1] - The Canadian dollar is highly correlated with oil prices, with WTI crude stabilizing around $57.20 per barrel, driven by supply concerns from the Middle East, which supports the CAD [1] Group 3 - Ongoing trade uncertainties in North America, particularly regarding the USMCA negotiations and US tariffs on steel and aluminum, are exerting pressure on the Canadian dollar's fundamentals [2] - Technically, the USD/CAD has been in a downward trend since November, with key support levels at 1.3700 and 1.3640, indicating potential further declines [2] - The medium to long-term outlook for the exchange rate will depend on three main variables: the persistence of the policy divergence between the US and Canada, the recovery of oil prices, and the outcomes of trade negotiations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The USD/CAD exchange rate is under pressure due to the divergence in monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada, alongside fluctuations in oil prices [1][2] Group 1: Monetary Policy Divergence - The Federal Reserve is expected to implement three rate cuts totaling 75 basis points by March 2025, with a projected rate range of 3.50%-3.75% [1] - Despite the Fed's forecast of only one additional rate cut in 2026, market expectations lean towards further easing, with an 81.7% probability of maintaining rates in January [1] - The Bank of Canada has maintained a neutral to hawkish stance, keeping rates at 2.25% after four cuts totaling 100 basis points, leading to expectations of rate hikes in 2026 [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Canada's GDP grew by 2.6% in Q3, with employment figures exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate dropping to 6.5%, indicating economic resilience [1] - The narrowing interest rate differential between the US and Canada is a primary factor pressuring the USD/CAD exchange rate [1] Group 3: Commodity Correlation - The Canadian dollar, as a commodity currency, is closely linked to oil prices, with Canada being the largest oil supplier to the US [1] - Recent WTI crude oil prices rebounded to $57.20 per barrel, supported by geopolitical factors in the Middle East [1] - Although oil prices have dropped by 15.2% in 2025, the narrowing spread between WCS and WTI prices and supply chain concerns have attracted capital inflows into Canadian assets [1] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The USD/CAD has been in a downward trend since November, breaking below the 1.3700 support level and testing lower support levels around 1.3640-1.3660 [2] - If the exchange rate effectively breaks below the 1.3640 support, it may decline to the 1.3550-1.3580 range, while resistance levels are identified at 1.3720-1.3750 [2] - The medium-term outlook remains bearish, with a focus on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes and Bank of Canada guidance on interest rates and inflation [2]

澳大利亚国内经济韧性为鹰派政策提供底气。数据显示，10月家庭支出环比增1.3%超预期，三季度 GDP同比增长2.1%，创下2023年三季度以来最快增速，新私人需求与商业投资表现亮眼，驱动力已从 传统矿业延伸至数据中心、民用航空等新兴领域。就业市场保持稳健，11月失业率稳定在4.3%的低 位，虽就业人数小幅减少，但整体市场健康度良好。通胀黏性持续凸显成为澳联储收紧政策的重要依 据，10月整体通胀率从3.6%回升至3.8%，始终高于2%-3%的政策目标区间，12月消费者通胀预期反弹 至4.7%，进一步强化加息预期。 展望后市，澳元兑美元走势将聚焦三大核心线索。其一，澳大利亚通胀数据至关重要，1月底公布的第 四季度CPI数据若超预期走高，将为澳联储2月加息提供直接依据，进一步为澳元添能；其二，澳联储 与美联储政策动向需紧密跟踪，两者加息与降息节奏的差异将直接决定利差格局，美联储1月FOMC会 议纪要将为其政策路径提供关键线索；其三，大宗商品价格走势及中国经济复苏进度将直接关联澳大利 亚出口表现，进而影响澳元基本面支撑。技术面来看，汇价突破14个月高点后上行空间打开，关键阻力 关注0.6800整数关口，回调支撑集中在 ...

金投白银网提供今日白银期货价格走势_今天白银期货价格走势（2025年12月30日） 今日白银期货价格查询（2025年12月30日） | 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | 17493.00 | 18636.00 | 17205.00 | 18205.00 | 打开APP，查看更多高清行情》 金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新白银期货价格、白银期货合约、白银期货交易以及白银期 货走势，更多白银期货行情敬请关注：白银期货专栏 备注：以上白银的价格仅供参考，请以官方报价为准。如对白银投资有疑问可咨询本站客服。 ...

金投白银网提供今日纽约白银期货实时行情_今天白银期货价格走势（2025年12月30日） 金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新comex白银期货价格、comex白银期货合约、白银期货交易 以及白银期货走势，更多白银期货行情敬请关注：白银期货专栏 | 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | comex白银期货 | 72.00 | 72.74 | 70.67 | 71.64 | 打开APP，查看更多高清行情》 今日白银期货价格查询（2025年12月30日） ...

Group 1 - The latest spot price of London gold is $4355.41 per ounce, reflecting an increase of $23.76 per ounce, or 0.55% from the previous trading day [1] - The highest price during the day reached $4355.92 per ounce, while the lowest dipped to $4322.53 per ounce [1] - The previous closing price was $4331.65 per ounce, and the opening price today was $4329.39 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve completed its third rate cut of the year in early December, signaling a "pause" in monetary policy actions [2] - Analysts expect the upcoming meeting minutes to indicate that further rate cuts will only occur if necessary, reflecting a cautious stance among officials [2] - There is a division among officials regarding inflation and growth risks, with some advocating for a cautious approach due to inflation concerns, while others focus on the labor market and support maintaining a loose monetary policy [2] Group 3 - The daily trend for London gold is weakening, currently in a repair phase, with a significant bearish candle formed yesterday [3] - The gold price has broken below the upward channel's lower boundary and is now in a downward channel, indicating limited rebound potential [3] - The market shows a strong wait-and-see sentiment, as reflected by a significant decrease in trading volume compared to the previous day [3]

【最新数据一览】 12月29日白银ETF持仓16305.96吨，较前一交易日减少84.6吨； 12月29日延期补偿费支付方向：Ag(T+D)--空付多。 【要闻速递】 1、特朗普：考虑以不称职为由起诉鲍威尔，还是可能炒了他。 2、特朗普确认美军在委内瑞拉行动中打击一座大型设施。其最近和马杜罗进行了交谈。 北京时间周二(12月30日)亚盘时段，美元指数交投于98.054附近，现货白银今日开盘于72.19美元/盎司， 目前交投于72.82美元/盎司附近，白银t+d交投于17630元/千克附近，沪银主力交投于17596元/千克附 近。今日基本面关注美国12月芝加哥PMI。 周一(12月29日)美元指数下跌0.04%，收报98.015，现货白银收报72.15美元/盎司，下跌8.79%，由于地 缘紧张局势出现缓解信号，芝商所上调金属品种履约保证金，贵金属坐上过山车，现货黄金冲高回落， 日内重挫200美元，现货白银价格上演过山车行情，日内跌幅一度扩大至10%：现货黄金下跌4.45%，报 4331.65美元/盎司，现货铂金收跌14.22%，报2102.50美元/盎司；现货钯金收跌15.72%，至1621.00元/盎 司。 ...

特朗普未透露袭击细节，仅称行动发生在海岸沿线，但不愿说明由军方还是情报机构执行。这是其数日 内第二次以模糊措辞提及对委行动，上周五他在电台采访中宣称摧毁了一个"大型设施"，暗示目标在委 内瑞拉，但至今白宫、五角大楼及委方均未证实。 自8月以来，美国便在加勒比地区军事集结，向马杜罗政权施压，指控其向美输送致命毒品。特朗普的 对委策略依赖模糊表态、公开威胁与影射，意图颠覆该政权。与此前发布打击毒贩船只视频的做法不 同，此次官方未承认或说明袭击，白宫国安会、CIA及南方司令部均拒评，五角大楼将问题推给白宫。 目前袭击地点、破坏程度、伤亡及执行方式均未明朗，可能是常规军事打击，也可能是网络或秘密行 动。委政权未公开回应，多名美官员对特朗普言论感意外，但也承认可能存在不为多数官员知晓的秘密 行动。 【最新现货黄金行情解析】 摘要今日周二(12月30日)亚盘时段，现货黄金目前交投于4349.92美元附近，截至发稿，现货黄金最新报 4337.79美元/盎司，涨幅0.14%，最高上探至4349.92美元/盎司，最低触及4322.53美元/盎司。目前来 看，现货黄金短线偏向震荡走势。 今日周二(12月30日)亚盘时段，现货黄金 ...