Jin Tou Wang
Search documents
伦敦银再现“V”型走势 特朗普与鲍威尔罕见共识
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 03:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a surprising consensus between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell regarding the strength of the U.S. economy, with both acknowledging that it is performing better than many realize [2] - Trump expressed that the economy is thriving, while Powell noted that consumer sentiment appears negative despite ongoing consumer spending, indicating a disconnect between economic performance and consumer perception [2] - The U.S. trade deficit significantly widened to $56.8 billion in November, exceeding economists' expectations of $44 billion, driven by a 5% increase in imports and a 3.6% decline in exports [2] Group 2 - In the silver market, if prices fall below the Thursday low of $106.77, it would confirm a reversal pattern, potentially leading to a 2-3 day corrective trend with a typical retracement of 50% to 61.8% of the major price movement [3] - The recent minor volatility range for silver is between $90.33 and $121.67, with the corresponding 50%-61.8% retracement zone located at $106.00 to $102.30 [3] - The medium-term volatility range is identified as $70.07 to $121.67, with potential target areas for retracement forming between $95.87 and $89.78 [3]
福建海峡银行1月30日-2月28日发行2026年第三十二期大额存单
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 03:05
详询福建海峡银行各营业网点或客服电话400-893-9999。 2026年1月29日,福建海峡银行发布公告称,根据中国人民银行《大额存单管理暂行办法》(中国人民 银行公告[2015]第13号),福建海峡银行于2026年1月30日-2026年2月28日发行2026年第三十二期大额存 单,发行对象为个人客户(福建地区),期限为1个月、9个月、12个月,利率分别为1.45%、1.65%、 1.75%;发行对象为个人客户(福建地区及温州地区),期限为36个月,利率为1.80%。认购起点金额 均为20万元。 大额存单属一般性存款,纳入存款保险范围,保本保息。 ...
中国农业银行将在1月30日-2月1日实施生产系统维护
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 03:04
四、2月1日0:10至0:20、1:30至1:40,中国农业银行生活-校园系统智慧校园总行版K12和高校等交易将 各出现1次暂停服务现象,每次影响时长约10分钟。届时全国总行版K12的缴费账单和总行高校校园卡 支付等交易将受影响。 敬请您妥善安排业务办理时间。由此给您带来的不便,中国农业银行深表歉意,并将尽快恢复对您的服 务。如需帮助,请拨打中国农业银行客户服务热线:95599。 一、1月30日23:00至23:15、1月31日23:15至23:30,中国农业银行生产农行钱包数币消费及收单场景相 关交易将各出现1次暂停服务现象,每次影响时长10分钟以内。 二、1月31日23:00至2月1日2:00,中国农业银行信用卡微信小程序申请总账分期、账单分期、消费分 期、随e分将出现2暂停服务现象,每次影响时长5分钟以内。 三、2月1日0:00至1:30,中国农业银行个人掌银消息中心、企业掌银消息中心、营销Pad信令传输等将 出现2次暂停服务现象,每次影响时长15分钟以内。 2026年1月29日,中国农业银行(601288)发布公告称,为了提供更便捷、高效的服务,中国农业银行 拟于近期实施生产系统维护,预计影响情况如下 ...
1月30日美元兑瑞郎小幅上涨 最新报0.7669
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 03:01
北京时间1月30日09:44,美元兑瑞郎小幅上涨,最新报0.7669,日内上涨0.3284%,上一交易日收盘于 0.7644。 【技术分析】 今日美元兑瑞郎汇率开盘报0.7642,截至发稿最高0.7686,最低0.7636。 美元对瑞郎汇率日线MACD指标释放看涨信号,KDJ指标释放看空信号,RSI释放看空信号。 【阶段涨幅】 5日涨幅:-1.00%,10日涨幅:-4.00%,15日涨幅:-4.00%,30日涨幅:-3.00%,60日涨幅:-5.00%, 今年以来涨幅:-3.00%。 ...
澳元鹰派政策 利差优势凸显
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) has shown strong performance against the US dollar (USD) and is positioned as a leading currency among G10 currencies, driven by monetary policy divergence and robust commodity prices [1][2][3]. Group 1: Currency Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the AUD/USD exchange rate reached 0.7016, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 4% [1]. - The AUD has consistently broken key resistance levels against the USD, reaching a 16-month high of 0.6931 on January 26 and further climbing to 0.7050 [1]. - The AUD/CNY exchange rate has shown high volatility, fluctuating between 4.86 and 4.90, indicating a strong overall performance since the beginning of the year [1]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Divergence - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained a benchmark interest rate of 3.6% and indicated a shift towards potential rate hikes, contrasting with the US Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts [2]. - Australia's consumer inflation expectations rose to 4.7% in December 2025, exceeding the RBA's target range, which has strengthened the case for interest rate increases [2]. - The market is pricing in a nearly 50% chance of a rate hike in March, with predictions that the benchmark rate could rise to 3.85% [2]. Group 3: Commodity Prices and Economic Indicators - The AUD is closely linked to commodity prices, with recent strong performances in gold, copper, and iron ore, benefiting Australia's trade balance [3]. - Australia's GDP grew by 2.1% year-on-year in Q3 2025, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, indicating a robust economic environment [3]. - The National Australia Bank's business survey showed a capacity utilization rate of 83.3%, reflecting strong operational performance across sectors [3]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The USD index has weakened due to expectations of coordinated intervention to support the Japanese yen and rising concerns over US government debt [4]. - The AUD is viewed as a preferred alternative investment due to its high yield and solid fundamentals, with analysts expressing optimism about its future performance [4]. - Technical indicators suggest a clear bullish trend for the AUD/USD, with significant support levels identified at 0.7000 and 0.6931 [4]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts from major banks predict that the AUD/USD could reach the 0.70 mark by the end of March 2026, with a probability exceeding 70% according to options market data [5]. - Despite the positive outlook, potential risks include a downturn in commodity prices, lower-than-expected interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions that could affect the AUD's performance [6]. - Key variables to monitor include the RBA's upcoming policy meeting, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, and changes in Chinese demand and commodity prices [6].
COMEX白银低位反弹 特朗普发文力挺降息
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 02:59
今日周五(1月30日)亚盘时段,COMEX白银目前交投于110.22一线上方,今日开盘于115.89美元/盎司, 截至发稿,comex白银暂报111.14美元/盎司,下跌4.01%,最高触及118.45美元/盎司,最低下探107.82美 元/盎司,目前来看,comex白银盘内短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 3月白银期货日线图上同样形成了潜在的看跌"关键反转"形态,该形态也需要下一交易日出现持续性抛 压才能确认。若得到确认,此形态将成为白银市场见顶的技术信号。白银多头的下一个上行目标,是令 收盘价突破今日合约高点,也就是历史高点121.785美元的强阻力位。空头的下一个下行目标,是令收 盘价跌破100.00美元的关键支撑位。 白银第一阻力位看115.00美元,随后是117.50美元;第一支撑位看110.00美元,随后是107.50美元。 他每年让美国付出数千亿美元完全没必要、也不应该支付的利息开支。由于关税政策让巨额资金流入美 国,我们现在理应享有全球最低的利率。我一直对世界其他国家都非常友好、仁慈宽容。 只要我轻轻一挥笔,美国就能再增收数百亿美元,而这些国家将不得不回归传统的赚钱方式,而不是继 续骑在美国背 ...
铁矿:钢厂补库兑现 港口库存压力持续增大
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 02:59
【现货】 主流矿粉现货价格:日照港(600017)PB粉+10至799元/湿吨,巴混+10至824元/湿吨,卡粉+10至890 元/湿吨。 【期货】 截止1月29日收盘,铁矿主力合约+1.78%(+14),收于798.5元/吨。 【基差】 最优交割品为巴混。PB粉和卡粉仓单成本分别为855元和859元。主力合约巴混基差48元/吨。 【供给】 本期全球发运环比小幅回落,但仍处于历史同期高位水平。全球发运+48.5万吨至2978.3万吨。溴洲巴 西铁矿发运总量2394.3万吨,环比增加147.6万吨。溴洲发运量1837.4万吨,环比增加149.3万吨,其中溴 洲发往中国的量1487.6万吨,环比增加97.8万吨。巴西发运量556.8万吨,环比减少1.8万吨。45港口到港 量2530万吨,环比减少129.7万吨。 【库存】 截至1月29日,45港库存17022.26万吨,环比+255.73万吨;日均疏港量小幅下滑,到港量偏高水平下港 口库存延续累库。钢厂进口矿库存环比+579.77至9968.59万吨。 【观点】 昨日铁矿主力合约震荡偏强运行,商品普涨,市场情绪再度抬升。夜盘则震荡运行。基本面来看,供应 端,本期铁 ...
ICE棉花价格弱势运行 1月29日新疆3128皮棉到厂均价跌16元/吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 02:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that cotton futures prices on the ICE are experiencing a downward trend, with the current price at 63.24 cents per pound, reflecting a decrease of 0.35% from the opening price [1] Group 2 - On January 29, the opening price of U.S. cotton was 63.73 cents per pound, with a closing price of 63.44 cents per pound, marking a decline of 0.80% [2] - The average price of Xinjiang 3128 cotton delivered to factories was 15,868 yuan per ton, down by 16 yuan per ton, while the price of Xinjiang 32s pure cotton yarn remained stable at 22,100 yuan per ton [2] - The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported that for the week ending January 22, net sales of U.S. upland cotton for the 2025/2026 marketing year were 204,000 bales, down from 412,000 bales the previous week [2] Group 3 - According to the CFTC data as of January 23, the number of unpriced sell orders for U.S. cotton was 50,908 contracts, a decrease of 1,413 contracts, while unpriced buy orders increased by 2,505 contracts to 98,867 contracts [3] - The number of unpriced contracts for sellers on ICE cotton 2603 was 14,435 contracts, which is a reduction of 4,839 contracts compared to the previous week [3]
瑞郎强势攀升央行零利率坚守
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 02:54
截至2026年1月30日,瑞郎兑美元报1.3043,较前一交易日微跌0.3522%,当日开盘1.3089,盘中最高触 及1.3099,最低下探至1.3012,延续近期强势震荡态势。同期美元兑瑞郎跌破0.7640关口,创下176个月 新低,凸显瑞郎的强势格局。开年以来,瑞郎依托避险属性与政策支撑持续走强,累计涨幅超2.5%, 成为全球汇市中稳定性较强的交易标的,1月30日盘中走势贴合历史动荡时期的稳健表现,印证其传统 避险货币的核心价值,当前多空博弈围绕前期高点展开,核心聚焦瑞士央行政策动向与全球风险情绪变 动。 瑞士央行(SNB)的稳健货币政策的是支撑瑞郎走强的核心内生动力。2025年12月货币政策会议中,央行 以全票决议维持政策利率在0%不变,2026年1月政策纪要进一步明确这一立场,行长施莱格尔公开表态 重启负利率的门槛极高,即便出现短期负通胀也不会转向宽松,市场普遍预期当前利率水平将维持至 2027年下半年。此次政策坚守既契合瑞士低通胀格局,也为钟表、制药等出口支柱产业减负,缓解汇率 强势带来的出口压力。 此外,美国联邦检察官对美联储主席鲍威尔的调查引发市场恐慌,进一步推动避险资金涌入瑞郎资产, InT ...
加元强势回升 政策油价双重支撑
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-30 02:52
Core Viewpoint - The Canadian dollar (CAD) is experiencing a strong fluctuation against major currencies, with the USD/CAD exchange rate hitting a 15-month low, influenced by the Bank of Canada's monetary policy and external factors such as oil prices and trade relations [1][2][3][4] Group 1: Currency Performance - As of January 30, 2026, the CAD has shown strength against major currencies, with the USD/CAD rate reported at 1.3504, reflecting a slight daily increase of 0.12% [1] - The CAD has stabilized around 0.7380 against the USD, continuing its recent rebound trend [1] - The exchange rate against the Chinese yuan has also rebounded, with 100 CAD equating to 512.29 CNY, alleviating earlier depreciation pressures [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy Impact - The Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2.25% for the second consecutive time, aligning with market expectations, and indicated that this rate is suitable for achieving a 2% inflation target while supporting economic recovery [1] - The Bank of Canada has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.7%, with projections of 1.1% and 1.5% growth for 2026 and 2027, respectively, indicating a gradual but positive recovery [1] Group 3: Interest Rate Differentials - The divergence in monetary policy between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve is strengthening the CAD's position, with market expectations of two rate cuts by the Fed this year [2] - The narrowing interest rate differential between Canada and the U.S. is reducing the attractiveness of the USD, indirectly supporting the CAD's strength [2] Group 4: Oil Price Correlation - The CAD, being a commodity currency, has a positive correlation of approximately 0.7 with international oil prices, which are currently rebounding due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [3] - Recent increases in WTI crude oil prices, which surged by 4% to $65.90 per barrel, are expected to enhance Canadian crude oil export prospects, providing robust support for the CAD [3] Group 5: Economic Fundamentals - Despite the CAD's recent strength, underlying economic weaknesses limit its appreciation potential, with the unemployment rate rising to 6.8% in December 2025, the highest since 2021 [3] - Declining consumer confidence and low corporate investment continue to highlight insufficient domestic demand, posing challenges for sustained CAD strength [3] Group 6: Trade Pressures - Increased average tariffs from the U.S. on Canadian goods, now at 5.9%, are leading to a decline in Canadian exports and reduced corporate investment intentions [4] - The upcoming review of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) in summer 2026 could significantly impact Canadian exports if terms change, further increasing volatility risks for the CAD [4] Group 7: Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for USD/CAD remains bearish, with the pair consolidating around 1.3534 after breaking below the key 1.3700 level [4] - Short-term support levels are focused on 1.3534 and the 1.3600-1.3620 range, while resistance is seen at 1.3760-1.3780 [4]