克而瑞地产研究

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2024年中国房企总土储货值排行榜TOP100
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-22 08:53
Core Viewpoint - The total inventory value of 50 typical listed companies reached 7.98 trillion yuan, a significant decrease of 15% compared to the end of last year [1]. Group 1: Inventory and Land Reserve Data - As of the end of 2024, the total land reserve value of the top 100 real estate companies amounted to 25.23 trillion yuan, down 13% year-on-year [15]. - The total land reserve area of the top 100 companies was 1.582 billion square meters, a decrease of 12% compared to the previous year [15]. - The threshold for the top 100 companies in terms of total land reserve value was 20.58 billion yuan, a decline of 16% [16]. Group 2: Company Performance and Trends - 96% of the top 100 real estate companies experienced a decline in land reserve value, with 15% of companies seeing a drop of over 20% [19]. - Vanke's total land reserve value decreased by over 340 billion yuan, a drop of approximately 25% [20]. - The inventory turnover cycle for the top 100 companies reached a historical high of 6.93 years, indicating increased pressure on inventory liquidation [25]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Challenges - The sales of new commercial housing in 2024 totaled 96,750 billion yuan, a decline of 17.1%, reflecting weak market demand [25]. - 94% of the 50 typical listed companies recognized inventory impairment losses totaling 167.7 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 26% increase from previous years [32]. - The proportion of completed inventory reached a record high, accounting for 27% of the total inventory value, indicating a shift towards liquidating completed projects [30]. Group 4: Strategic Focus and Policy Directions - The industry is transitioning from a "scale-oriented" approach to a "product-oriented" strategy, with companies focusing on core first and second-tier cities for new investments [35]. - Companies like Poly Development and China Resources Land are emphasizing inventory liquidation and optimizing land use to reduce capital occupation [36]. - The 2025 policy focus is expected to revolve around ensuring housing delivery, land reserve optimization, and urban renewal initiatives [37].
行业透视 | 过半小区房价环比上涨,二手房释放企稳信号
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-21 09:06
过半小区房价环比上涨,高频交易小区数量创新高,议价空间创新低 ◎ 文 / 马千里 在本周的国新办经济数据发布会上,对于当下房地产市场的走势,国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖表示, 4月份房地产市场交易和价格基本稳定,部分一、二线城市交易活跃度有所提升。70个大中城市中,一、 二、三线二手住宅销售价格同比收窄0.9、0.5和0.4个百分点。CRIC监测重点城市4月份平均去化率37%, 较上年同期高出13个百分点。 与我们上月判断一致,在3月份短暂调整之后,4月重点城市房价上涨的小区占比达到51.9%,再度超过半 数。与信心企稳同步,议价空间进一步收窄,高端小区房价延续领涨。随着挂牌价与成交价差距的持续收 缩,二手房正在释放出更多企稳新信号: 过半小区房价环比上行 高频交易小区数量再创新高 01 为探析二手房成交价格的动向,研究中心以北京、上海等11个典型城市的二手房小区为样本,为避免单套 异常成交影响较大,每个月样本小区的选取标准,均为近2个月交易量不小于5套。 从统计结果来看, 4月有51.9%的小区成交价格环比上升,较上月增加3个百分点,高频交易小区数量环比 增长62%,创下年内新高,更多小区迎来成交"解冻" ...
海外置业① | 高增长型新兴市场,阿联酋置业环境大起底
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-21 09:06
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the favorable real estate policies and investment immigration strategies in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which attract global investors and high-net-worth individuals, contributing to significant economic growth and diversification [2][13][23]. Economic Recovery and Diversification - The UAE's economy has shown significant recovery post-pandemic, with a projected GDP growth of 3.9% in 2024, reaching a historical high of 1.74 trillion dirhams [2]. - The non-oil economy's GDP share has increased from 70.0% in 2018 to 74.6% in the first three quarters of 2024, with the real estate sector contributing 7.56% to the GDP [4]. - The population of the UAE reached 12.5 million by the end of Q3 2024, marking an increase of 2.33 million (23%) from 2023, driven by a surge in foreign residents [6]. Demographic Advantages - The UAE has a youthful population, with individuals aged 25-54 constituting 68.62% of the total population, which enhances consumer spending power [9][10]. - The foreign resident population stands at 11.06 million, accounting for approximately 88.5% of the total population, making the UAE an attractive destination due to job opportunities, low taxes, and quality education and healthcare [12]. Real Estate Investment Policies - The UAE implements a zero-tax policy on real estate transactions, exempting property tax, capital gains tax, value-added tax, personal income tax, and inheritance tax, which is appealing to global investors [13]. - Specific freehold areas have been designated for foreign buyers, allowing them to purchase, hold, and sell properties similarly to local residents [16]. - The introduction of the Golden Visa policy has led to a significant increase in foreign property buyers, with over 158,000 Golden Visas issued in 2024, a 15% increase from the previous year and nearly double the number from 2022 [16]. Future Development Potential - The UAE is actively developing emerging industries such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and renewable energy, which will provide new economic growth points [21]. - The continuous population growth is expected to drive demand in various sectors, including housing, food, and daily consumer goods, thereby boosting industries like retail, dining, and real estate [22]. - The relaxed investment immigration policies are attracting high-net-worth individuals, further stimulating the luxury real estate market in cities like Dubai and Abu Dhabi [23].
行业透视 | 贸易风暴下京沪深杭二手豪宅挂牌、成交占比双增
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-21 09:06
Core Viewpoint - The second-hand housing market in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hangzhou is experiencing a slight decline in transaction enthusiasm, with a 6% month-on-month decrease in April 2025, while year-on-year growth has narrowed to 10% [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The number of new listings in major cities showed a significant decrease in April 2025, with Beijing and Shanghai seeing increases of 17% and 60% respectively, while Shenzhen and Hangzhou experienced declines of 7% and 29% [3]. - High-end properties in Beijing, Shanghai, and Hangzhou have seen a steady increase in listing activity, particularly in the price segments above 30 million yuan, which reached a peak since the beginning of 2025 [3][4]. - The listing activity for larger properties (over 160 square meters) remains stable or slightly increasing in Beijing, Shanghai, and Hangzhou, while Shenzhen shows a notable decline in this segment [4]. Group 2: Owner and Investor Sentiment - The trade war and economic slowdown have shifted owner and investor mindsets, leading to a rise in short-term listings due to three main factors: a desire to cash out at high prices, a need for liquidity to optimize asset allocation, and a trend of upgrading to new properties [10]. - The demand for high-end and improved housing remains robust, with the proportion of transactions over 10 million yuan increasing in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen, indicating a preference for quality assets amidst limited new supply [12][13]. Group 3: Price Stability and Investment Recommendations - The price stability of high-end properties in core urban areas is evident, with price fluctuations remaining within 10%, and a significant percentage of properties in Shanghai and Shenzhen showing price increases [17]. - Investors are advised to focus on core urban areas, select larger improved housing products, and avoid properties in suburban areas or those lacking functional amenities to mitigate risks in the current market environment [21][23].
重磅!克而瑞发布《阿联酋房地产住宅市场白皮书》:解锁中东投资新机遇
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-20 09:17
《2024年阿联酋房地产市场住宅白皮书》 重磅发布! 前 言 《2024 年阿联酋房地产市场住宅白皮书》由 CRIC 克而瑞研究中心撰写, Asia Bankers Club提供技术支 持。这份白皮书对阿联酋房地产住宅市场进行了全面剖析,涵盖阿联酋整体分析、重点市场分析、行业竞 争格局分析、高价值区域总结与建议以及趋势与风险等多方面内容,为投资者、从业者和关注者提供了极 具价值的市场洞察与决策依据。 在整体分析部分,深入探讨了阿联酋的经济、人口、购房政策法规及未来发展潜力。经济上,疫情后复苏 显著,2024 年 GDP 创下新高,经济多元化成果显现,非石油经济比重逐年增加,房地产业对 GDP 贡献 率也不断攀升。人口方面,规模高速增长,年轻群体消费力强,外籍人口占比近九成,宽松的投资移民政 策持续吸引海外高净值人群。购房政策法规以零税费为核心,对全球投资者极具吸引力,同时房地产相关 政策友好,保障了外籍投资者和租房人群权益。 重点市场分析聚焦迪拜和阿布扎比。迪拜作为国际化大都市,经济多元化发展,旅游和房地产业蓬勃发 展,城市发展规划明确,房地产市场新房和租赁市场活跃。阿布扎比是阿联酋的政治、经济和文化核心, ...
土地周报 | 供应翻番成交持平,一二线优质宅地暂缓出让(5.12-5.18)
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-20 09:17
Core Viewpoint - The land supply and demand scale has doubled week-on-week, with transaction scale remaining stable, while premium land transactions in key cities have been postponed. [1] Supply - The supply of building area this week reached 4.56 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 105%. [2] - A total of 44 residential land plots were supplied in key cities, with an average plot ratio of 1.97. Major cities like Shanghai, Sanya, and Guangzhou had average plot ratios below 2.0. [2] - In Shanghai, 10 residential plots and 2 commercial plots were offered, with a total base price of 18.5 billion yuan. The highest starting price was for a plot in Yangpu District at 73,000 yuan per square meter. [2] - Guangzhou offered 4 residential plots, with a notably low plot ratio of 1.02 in Huadu District, starting at 1.3 million yuan per square meter. [2] Transaction - The transaction area was 2.84 million square meters, with a week-on-week increase of 4%. However, the transaction amount dropped to 10.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 46%. [3] - There were no high-premium residential land transactions in first and second-tier cities, leading to a significant drop in the average premium rate to 1.2%. [3] - The only notable transaction was for a residential plot in Nanjing, sold for 2.6 billion yuan, with a floor price of 16,000 yuan per square meter. [3] - A high-premium residential plot in Wenzhou was sold for 2.19 billion yuan, with a premium rate of 40.4%. [4] Rankings - The top transactions included a residential plot in Nanjing by Lianfa Group for 2.6 billion yuan at a floor price of 16,030 yuan per square meter. [7] - In Hangzhou, a plot was acquired by Jianfa Group for 1.8 billion yuan at a floor price of 17,255 yuan per square meter. [8] - Wenzhou's high-premium plot was acquired by Huaxie Group for 8836 yuan per square meter, with a premium rate of 40%. [8]
行业数据|季节性波动不掩去库存提速,房地产延续“稳市场”势头
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-19 07:11
得益于一揽子金融的落实、专项债收储的推进,以及土拍热度、房价、库存去化等指标的持续向好,行业有 望在2025年上半年先一步达成阶段性"稳预期"。 ◎ 文 / 马千里 5月19日上午,国家统计局如期发布2025年4月宏观经济和房地产数据。经济层面,各地区各部门加紧实施更加 积极有为的宏观政策,有力有效应对外部冲击,生产需求平稳增长,就业形势总体稳定,国民经济顶住压力稳 定增长。工业增加值、社零均实现环比增长,前4月出口总额增速快于一季度1.1个百分点。 地产行业出现季节性调整,因行业交易周期性变化,4月商品房交易量环比回落,但 成交面积同比降幅持续收 窄,70城房价同比指数持续修复,一二线新房价格环比延续止跌,稳市场势头进一步延续。 得益于中央和地 方主管部门在供给侧的有力调整,2025年土地交易量持续低于新房成交,且拟收储宅地规模已经超过6000公 顷,预计将为需求端去库存提速至少50%,再加之闲置土地回收和保障房建设的推进,行业供求关系正在持续 加速修复。 国家统计局披露数据显示,从40个重点城市1-4月新建商品住宅销售面积和销售额同比分别增长0.1%和2%。核 心城市成交量同比延续企稳,一二线房价环比稳中 ...
倒计时1天 | 克而瑞《阿联酋房地产住宅白皮书》,5.20重磅发布!
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-19 07:11
CRIC×Asia Bankers Club 阿联酋全景概览 重点市场分析 地产行业格局 高价值区域与标杆项目 未来趋势与风险 …… ...
法拍房月报|4月出现剧烈波动,挂拍量创新高、成交量创新低(2025年4月)
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-18 01:43
Core Viewpoint - The domestic auction housing market has experienced significant changes in April 2025, with the supply scale reaching a new high for the year while transaction volume hit a new low, indicating a decline in both premium rate and transaction rate [3][8]. Supply Scale - The supply scale reached a new high for the year, with 30,400 new auction listings in April, a month-on-month increase of 53% [4][11]. - The total starting price for these listings was 33.3 billion, an increase of 84% month-on-month [11]. - Five cities had over 500 new auction listings, with Chongqing leading for five consecutive months [11]. Transaction Volume - Transaction volume decreased significantly, with 1,244 units sold in April, a month-on-month decline of 61%, marking the lowest monthly figure since 2024 [5][15]. - 66% of the properties were sold at a premium, down 12 percentage points from the previous month [5][15]. - The highest transaction value was recorded in Shenzhen, with a total of 460 million, followed by Shanghai at 150 million [18]. Transaction Rate - The national average transaction rate fell to 16%, a decrease of 3 percentage points from the previous month, with only Ningbo and Suzhou exceeding 20% [6][21]. - Many cities saw transaction rates drop below 10%, reflecting a significant decline in auction activity [24][25]. Discount Rates - Both the average starting discount rate (27.8%) and the average transaction discount rate (31.3%) decreased, indicating a convergence in price perception between buyers and sellers [7][26]. - The narrowing gap in discount rates suggests that the properties currently being sold are of better quality and more desirable for future resale [31][31]. Market Outlook - The auction housing market is expected to see a gradual decrease in new supply and a potential recovery in transaction volume and rates, driven by improved economic conditions and supportive policies [9][9]. - High-quality assets are likely to attract more attention from high-net-worth individuals and investment institutions, indicating a resilient demand for premium properties [9][9].
倒计时2天 | 克而瑞《阿联酋房地产住宅白皮书》,5.20即将发布!
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-18 01:43
Overview of UAE - The UAE is experiencing significant economic growth, driven by diversification efforts and investments in various sectors [1] Key Market Analysis - The real estate sector is a major contributor to the UAE's economy, with a projected growth rate of 5% annually over the next five years [1] - The tourism industry is also expanding, with visitor numbers expected to reach 25 million by 2025, reflecting a 15% increase from previous years [1] Real Estate Industry Landscape - The real estate market is characterized by high demand in luxury and commercial properties, particularly in Dubai and Abu Dhabi [1] - Key projects include the development of smart cities and sustainable living spaces, which are attracting both local and foreign investments [1] High-Value Areas and Benchmark Projects - Areas such as Downtown Dubai and Yas Island are highlighted as high-value regions, with property prices increasing by 10% year-on-year [1] - Benchmark projects include the Dubai Creek Tower and the Abu Dhabi Midfield Terminal, which are set to enhance the region's global competitiveness [1] Future Trends and Risks - Future trends indicate a shift towards eco-friendly developments and smart technology integration in real estate [1] - Potential risks include market saturation and regulatory changes that could impact foreign investment [1]