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芯片,没有泡沫
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
Group 1 - The capital expenditure (Capex) of the top eight cloud service providers is projected to grow from $145.1 billion in 2021 to $602 billion by 2026, representing an increase of over four times [1][4] - This investment surge is driven not by market speculation but by the fundamental need for computational power, particularly due to the demands of generative artificial intelligence (AI) [1][5] - The current trend is characterized as a "structural transformation" in the semiconductor market rather than a bubble, as the demand for computing resources is fundamentally changing [10][14] Group 2 - The growth in cloud investment is accelerating, with a notable increase following the release of ChatGPT by OpenAI [4][5] - Generative AI requires significantly more computational resources compared to traditional search engines, with processing demands being 10,000 to 100,000 times greater [6][7] - The competition among cloud providers is fierce, as failure to invest in generative AI capabilities could lead to losing market relevance [8][17] Group 3 - The semiconductor market, particularly the data center logic chip sector, is expected to expand significantly, with the GPU market projected to grow from $100 billion to $230 billion and the AI ASIC market from $9 billion to $84 billion by 2030 [19] - The memory market is also anticipated to experience a shift, with DRAM and HBM prices expected to rise due to increased demand from AI applications [22][24] - The transition in TSMC's primary products from N5 to N3 nodes indicates a shift towards advanced technology driven by AI demands, with NVIDIA and Broadcom expected to surpass Apple in chip investments [28][33] Group 4 - The bottleneck in AI semiconductor development is primarily due to the limited capacity of 2.5D packaging technologies like CoWoS, which are essential for integrating high-bandwidth memory with AI chips [37][39] - Once the CoWoS capacity constraints are resolved, it is expected that investment in AI infrastructure will surge, leading to further competition among cloud service providers [39][42] - The ongoing trend signifies a profound and irreversible change in the semiconductor industry, driven by the structural demands of generative AI [42]
晶圆代工,正在重构
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 最近,不少芯片设计公司在晶圆厂那里吃到了"闭门羹",不少晶圆厂反馈:部分成熟工艺的产能已 经开始不好投片。然而,这并非传统意义上"缺芯"的简单回归,而是 AI 溢出效应引发的一场深刻 连锁反应。 AI 不只抢走先进制程与先进封装的资源,也通过电源与功率链条把压力传导到成熟节点:数据中 心功耗暴涨,带动 PMIC、功率器件、驱动等需求持续抬升,而这类芯片往往依赖 8 英寸或成熟 制程产能;当供给侧又出现缩减时,成熟工艺自然更容易出现投片变难、利用率拉满、价格修复的 连锁反应。此外,AI催动的存储市场回暖,正通过 NOR Flash 等基础器件的涨价,进一步抬高 MCU 与各类模组的综合成本。 而近段时间,晶圆厂的一些动作也是暗流涌动。台积电、三星加速收缩 8 英寸旧产线,硅片厂扩 产12英寸,力积电卖掉最先进的12英寸新厂。。。一系列看似分散的事件,背后其实指向同一个 趋势——2026 年的半导体格局,早已不再是简单的周期波动,而是一场关乎生存的产能重构。 理解这场重构的第一把钥匙,就是从一个看似"过时"的主角开始:8 英寸。 8英寸,巨头退场,利弊如何? 在 8 英寸 ...
英特尔谈先进封装的机遇
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ "好了,现在这个产品,我们将与你们共同量产。这就是你们开始构建规模的方式。所以——就 14A 而言,现实地看,风险试产将在 2027 年后期,而真正的量产、规模化量产将在 2028 年。这 与领先代工厂的时间表是一致的。"—— 英特尔首席执行官 陈立武 在英特尔第四季度财报会议上,首席执行官陈立武(Lip-Bu Tan)和首席财务官大卫·辛斯纳 (David Zinsner)发表了多项言论,表明其代工业务(Foundry)正以稳健的势头推进。 英特尔预计芯片及先进封装订单将带来"数十亿美元收入" 虽然在消费级和数据中心/人工智能(DCAI)领域,英特尔在平衡这两项业务方面进展缓慢,但在 英特尔代工业务的演进方面,首席执行官陈立武详细介绍了制程节点的进展和客户送样情况。在谈 到 18A 及其衍生版本时,陈立武透露,随着代工厂在良率方面取得积极进展,公司目前正致力于 向潜在客户提供 18A-P 工艺的 PDK 1.0(工艺设计套件)。 "我们现在正在出货首批基于 Intel 18A 构建的产品,这是在美国本土开发和制造的最先进半导体 工艺。如前所述,随着我们努力扩大产能以 ...
普冉公告,利润大减
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant decrease in net profit for 2025, projecting approximately 205 million yuan, a reduction of about 29.89% compared to the previous year, despite an increase in revenue [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Projections - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 205 million yuan for 2025, down by about 87.42 million yuan year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is around 170 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of approximately 36.87% compared to the previous year [1]. - Expected operating revenue for 2025 is about 2.32 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 28.63% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Business Impact Factors - The increase in revenue is attributed to favorable changes in the supply landscape of the memory chip market and a surge in demand from AI servers, high-end mobile phones, and PC upgrades, leading to a structural optimization [2]. - The company is investing in the continuous iteration and optimization of its memory chip products and increasing R&D expenditures to maintain its competitive edge [2]. - The total employee compensation has significantly increased due to the expansion of the workforce, particularly in R&D, alongside rising management and operational costs, which collectively grew by approximately 90 million yuan year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Inventory and Asset Management - The company has adopted a proactive supply chain strategy, resulting in higher inventory levels and a decrease in inventory turnover rate, leading to an increase in asset impairment losses by approximately 63 million yuan [3]. - To enhance competitiveness in the memory chip sector, the company acquired a 51% stake in Zhuhai Noah Changtian Storage Technology Co., which is expected to positively impact profits [3][4]. Group 4: Acquisition Details - The acquisition of Zhuhai Noah Changtian Storage Technology Co. is expected to contribute approximately 35 million yuan to net profit attributable to shareholders and around 27 million yuan to net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [5]. - The newly acquired company is projected to contribute about 210 million yuan to operating revenue and approximately 20 million yuan to net profit for the reporting period [5].
越来越重要的SerDes
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 通信技术的发展始终朝着更高速度的方向迈进——从电话线到光纤,从3G到5G。然而,一项名为 SerDes (串行器/解串器)的、已有数十年历史的技术,如今却在半导体行业引起了特别的关注。 这项成熟的技术为何突然成为热门话题? 答案很简单:人工智能。 训练像 ChatGPT 这样的大型 AI 模型需要数千个 GPU 协同工作。挑战在于这些 GPU 必须交换的 海量数据。无论单个 GPU 的性能多么强大,如果数据在它们之间传输的速度不够快,整个系统就 会遇到瓶颈。 SerDes 是 这 条 " 数 据 高 速 公 路 " 背 后 的 技 术 。 随 着 人 工 智 能 对 带 宽 的 需 求 不 断 突 破 现 有 限 制 , SerDes 已迅速从"锦上添花"的组件跃升为行业不可或缺的"关键技术" 。 SerDes 是Serializer和Deserializer的合成词。它的功能出奇地简单。 在计算机内部,数据沿着多条并行线路传输——就像一条八车道高速公路。然而,当在芯片或设备 之间传输数据时,维持这种并行结构就变得非常棘手。"八车道"需要大量的物理线路,而且要同步 所 ...
芯片互联,复杂性飙升
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
这种转变是渐进式的,而非革命性的。开发者们一步一步地寻找解决方案,克服遇到的障碍,逐步 推进。就像温水煮青蛙的故事一样,我们会逐渐适应每一次变化,以至于只有当我们回顾过去,对 比现在和过去,才能真正意识到累积变化的巨大影响。 如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 几十年来,电子器件通常采用两级路由结构来管理集成电路中产生的或终止的信号。近年来,路由 层数增加到了五级。虽然这大大提高了电子设备的结构灵活性,但也带来了更大的复杂性,并增加 了完成项目所需的决策数量。 起点 就本文而言,布线"结构"或"平台"被定义为互连的所在位置。历史上,这两种平台分别是集成电路 (IC) 本身的金属布线和印刷电路板 (PCB) 上的金属布线。它们都提供多层布线,以最大限度地提 高连接性,同时兼顾增加布线层的成本。这里必须谨慎使用"层"和"级"这两个术语,因为 IC 和 PCB 是两个级别的互连,每个级别都可以包含多个布线层。 直到最近,芯片和PCB这两个层级之间的差异还足够大,可以分别讨论。芯片设计人员负责构建芯 片内部的布线,而PCB设计人员则负责构建连接集成电路与其他电路板组件的布线。 在这些层级以及所有其他层级上,线间 ...
DDR4市场产能供给迎来转机,“疯牛”有望缓解
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-26 08:44
DDR4的这一轮"疯牛"行情,并非单一因素导致,而是由AI热潮、巨头逐利、市场炒作共同催生。 DDR4 内 存 价 格 暴 涨 已 延 续 近 一 年 , ——DDR4 16Gb 内 存 模 块 现 货 价 格 在 一 年 内 暴 涨 1800%,甚至出现历史性价格倒挂,旧款DDR4比新款DDR5还贵一倍。 2025年起,DDR4市场的需求错配就初现端倪,随着多家国际大厂纷纷发出DDR4 EOL,市场端 对"供给收缩"的预期就已引发渠道与下游客户囤货行为。部分渠道商基于"DDR4供应减少将涨 价"的判断提前囤积库存;下游客户则因担忧断供,主动增加安全库存。 据 1 月 17 日行业消息,长鑫存储计划在其新技术平台推出新一代 DDR4 产品,并规划了部分产能, 以缓解国内 DDR4 供应短缺的状况。 如上述信息准确,无异于为焦灼的市场供需带来缓冲,DDR4 的需求缺口与价格暴涨有望得到缓解。 DDR4供需缘何焦灼? 据公开信息显示,长鑫存储是目前国内唯一能实现大规模量产DRAM的国产厂商,目前在北京、 合 肥 建 有 3 座 12 英 寸 DRAM 晶 圆 厂 , 产 能 规 模 位 居 中 国 第 一 、 全 ...
总投资50亿元,先导科技集团半导体零部件项目在临港启动建设
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-23 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the launch of the semiconductor core components and systems project by Shanghai Yuanchuang Kexin Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of XianDao Technology Group, marking a significant step in the company's strategy to support China's integrated circuit industry and enhance vertical integration and platform development [1][5]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project, with a total investment of 5 billion yuan and covering approximately 108 acres, officially commenced on January 22, 2026, in the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone Lingang New Area [1]. - The project aims to build a self-controlled supply chain for core semiconductor equipment components, addressing the challenge of overseas technology monopolies [7][10]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - This project is a key extension of the company's platform strategy, leveraging 30 years of technical accumulation in rare metal materials and creating an integrated platform from material research and development to component production and technical services [5][10]. - The project will focus on developing critical semiconductor equipment components, including mass flow controllers, precursor delivery systems, and advanced ceramic solutions, thereby enhancing the domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturing capabilities [7][10]. Group 3: Industry Impact - The project is expected to directly serve leading domestic wafer manufacturers and equipment companies, contributing to the overall domestic production rate of semiconductor equipment and addressing the "bottleneck" issues in the industry [10]. - The initiative aligns with national strategies for technological self-reliance and aims to inject new momentum into the high-quality development of the semiconductor industry in Shanghai and beyond [10].
闪存回收,风险很大
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-23 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing reliability risks associated with the reuse of enterprise-grade solid-state drives (SSDs) under the pressure of growing artificial intelligence workloads, highlighting that flash wear is a physical limit that software optimization cannot eliminate [1][3]. Group 1: Flash Wear and Reliability Risks - Flash memory degrades with repeated write cycles, leading to accelerated component damage and potential catastrophic data loss when older drives are reused in demanding environments [3]. - Analysts predict that the tight supply of solid-state drives will persist for at least another year, prompting data center operators to reconsider their storage management strategies [3]. Group 2: Market Pressures and Storage Strategies - Some storage vendors are promoting hard drive recycling strategies, where existing SSDs are removed from one system and reused in another, as a response to supply challenges [3]. - Dell's executives argue that the concept of "flash recycling" reflects market pressure rather than technological advancement, indicating significant risks associated with reusing aging components [3][4]. Group 3: Multi-Tier Storage Solutions - Companies can reduce reliance on scarce and expensive SSD capacity by allowing less critical data to migrate away from flash storage, providing flexibility during price fluctuations or extended delivery times [4]. - Dell and other vendors, like DDN, advocate for multi-tier storage systems that encompass NVMe, traditional SSDs, disk drives, and cloud resources, emphasizing the sustainability of reducing dependence on high-end flash hardware [4].
英特尔:尽管晶圆供应短缺,但不能完全放弃客户端市场
半导体芯闻· 2026-01-23 09:38
如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 尽管晶圆供应短缺以及数据中心和人工智能市场需求增长是英特尔关注的重点,但该公司在2025 年第四季度财报中重申了其对消费市场的承诺。英特尔正将其内部晶圆供应转向数据中心和人工智 能(DCAI)业务,而客户端计算事业部(CCG)则依赖外部晶圆供应。 intel products CCG ent Op Incon ent OM% ($8) $8.8 $8.5 $8.2 $7.9 $7.6 36.4% 31.6% 30.9% 26.1% 27.0% $3.2 $2.7 $2.4 $2.2 $2.1 Q4'24 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'25 Q2'25 Ramping Intel Core Ultra Series 3, First 3 SKUs Delivered Ahead of Commit 针对数据中心人工智能(DCAI)前景弱于预期的问题,英特尔首席财务官大卫·津斯纳表示:"我 们正在尽可能地将业务转移到数据中心……我们不能完全放弃客户端市场。"英特尔首席执行官陈 立武也强调了其他领域面临的短缺问题,他说:"众所周知,内存限制和价格问题,整个行业正面 临着巨大 ...