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爆了!超级盛宴,错过等一年
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-30 09:37
变局加速,机遇涌动!走过充满韧性的 2024 ,中国经济正以"新质生产力"为引擎,在 2025 年深化转型。政策红利持续释放,资本市场改 革深化,外资加速回流人工智能、高端制造、绿色能源等新经济赛道,一场以"新质"为核心的估值重构已然展开。 然而,全球棋局波谲云诡:地缘冲突未息、货币政策分化、供应链重塑承压、多国政治周期叠加 ……如何在百年大变局的深化期,把握未来航 向? 2025 年下半年,机遇与风险并存,投资者如何优化策略,行稳致远? 答案,就在深圳! 2025 年 7 月 4 日 -5 日,格隆汇 2025 中期策略峰会 将再度点亮鹏城! 我们力邀顶尖思想领袖与实战精英,为您: 深度剖析全球与中国经济核心变局; 前瞻 "新质生产力"驱动的投资主脉络; 拆解复杂环境下的风险与机遇; 共话资本市场改革红利与布局良机; TOP 级机构(合计管理超千亿)分享投资策略和方向。 这是一场智慧碰撞的盛宴,一次拨云见日的集结! 与远见者同行,与担当者共进! 会议组成及嘉宾阵容: 7 月 4 日上午 格隆汇 ·中期策略峰会· 2 025 宏观、策略、风投、实业大咖云集,莅临现场共同剖析中国资本市场发展趋势,共同展望 20 ...
突然爆发!多则消息传来
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-30 09:37
Core Viewpoint - The military industry stocks have experienced a significant surge, driven by both internal and external factors, with a notable increase in investment and market interest [7][39]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the last day of June, military stocks saw a broad rally, with various military concepts such as military informationization and aircraft carriers rising significantly [2][3]. - The Aerospace ETF (159227) rose by 5.2%, achieving a six-day winning streak and over 12.6% increase in the past six trading days, reaching a new high since its listing [3]. - The military sector has entered the top three in the A-share industry index performance rankings for the first half of the year [5]. Group 2: Capital Inflow - There has been a substantial inflow of capital into the national defense and military sector, with net purchases exceeding 9.2 billion yuan, leading the market [4]. Group 3: Internal Factors - Internal catalysts include the upcoming "9.3 Military Parade" and the conclusion of the "14th Five-Year Plan," which are expected to boost military spending and interest [8][10]. - The "9.3 Military Parade" will showcase domestically produced main battle equipment, including new-generation weapons and technologies [9]. Group 4: External Factors - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the recent ceasefire between Israel and Palestine and the renewed conflict in Ukraine, have heightened the demand for military capabilities [11][12][13]. - The global military expenditure is expected to rise, with NATO members agreeing to increase military spending as a percentage of GDP [21][22]. Group 5: Long-term Trends - China's defense budget is projected to grow, with a target of 2.2% of GDP by 2035, indicating a clear growth trajectory for the military industry [18][19]. - The global military expenditure is anticipated to increase significantly, with NATO countries expected to add approximately 2.7 trillion USD in military spending by 2035 [21]. Group 6: Military Trade Opportunities - China's military trade currently accounts for only 2.88% of the global market, but there is potential for growth as domestic military technology gains international recognition [25]. - The military industry is expected to benefit from new growth drivers, including low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, and military AI [40]. Group 7: Financial Indicators - The military industry has shown positive financial indicators, with prepayments exceeding 72 billion yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 8.31% [26]. - Institutions are optimistic about the upcoming mid-year reports, predicting a net profit growth rate exceeding 25% for the military sector in the first half of 2025 [27]. Group 8: Investment Sentiment - Long-term funds are increasingly allocating to the military sector, with public fund holdings in military stocks rising to 3.82% in Q1 2025, a historical high [28]. - The Aerospace ETF (159227) has shown strong performance, with a year-to-date increase of 36.6%, outperforming major market indices [34][37].
特斯拉又放大招!
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-29 08:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Tesla's ambitious plans for its Robotaxi service, highlighting its potential to revolutionize the ride-hailing market and the challenges it faces in achieving widespread adoption and profitability [4][56]. Group 1: Robotaxi Development - In 2016, Elon Musk envisioned a future where Tesla vehicles could earn money for their owners when not in use, akin to a combination of Uber and Airbnb [1][2]. - By 2024, this vision has evolved into the Robotaxi concept, with Tesla introducing the Cybercab, a fully autonomous vehicle without a steering wheel or pedals [3][4]. - The initial trial of Robotaxi services is being conducted with modified Model Y vehicles, limited to specific areas in Austin, Texas, and includes safety personnel to verify user identity [9][13]. Group 2: Technological Advantages - Tesla's approach to autonomous driving relies on a data-driven model, utilizing visual sensors and advanced computing power to train AI algorithms, contrasting with competitors that depend on extensive hardware and mapping [14][15]. - The scalability of Tesla's Robotaxi fleet is significant, as existing Model Y and Model 3 vehicles can be upgraded to Robotaxi capabilities through over-the-air updates, allowing for rapid expansion once regulatory approval is obtained [21][17]. - Tesla's investment in AI technology reached approximately $10 billion last year, with a focus on enhancing computing power to support complex AI models, which is crucial for achieving higher levels of autonomous driving [20][18]. Group 3: Market Potential and Competition - The Robotaxi market is projected to grow rapidly, with Goldman Sachs forecasting a 90% annual growth rate, potentially reaching $7 billion by 2030 [45]. - Tesla's Robotaxi service aims to offer competitive pricing, with a current fare of $4.2 per ride, while maintaining lower operational costs due to its manufacturing efficiencies [27][46]. - The competition in the Robotaxi space is intensifying, with other players like Waymo and Baidu's Apollo Go expanding their fleets and service areas, highlighting the need for Tesla to establish a strong market presence [43][44]. Group 4: Challenges Ahead - Despite the potential for significant growth, the Robotaxi industry faces challenges related to regulatory approval, user trust, and the need to demonstrate safety comparable to traditional ride-hailing services [50][49]. - The article emphasizes that achieving profitability in the Robotaxi sector will require overcoming high initial costs and proving the technology's reliability and safety to consumers [52][56]. - The future of Robotaxi hinges on balancing cost, safety, and user experience, as companies strive to capture a share of the multi-trillion-dollar transportation market [59].
有色大涨?也谈谈港股的机会
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-29 08:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent volatility in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly focusing on the surge and subsequent decline of certain stocks related to stablecoins, highlighting the risks of speculative trading and the importance of understanding market fundamentals [5][6][7]. Market Trends - The recent performance of stocks related to stablecoins has been extreme, with some stocks experiencing a 200% increase in a single day, followed by significant losses for late investors [6][7]. - The article notes that the surge in copper prices has led to increased costs for businesses, indicating a strong demand in the industrial metals market [9][10]. - The supply constraints in the global industrial metals market, due to regulations and export bans in countries like China and Indonesia, have contributed to rising prices for metals such as cobalt and nickel [12]. Macroeconomic Signals - The dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the potential interest rate cuts in September are seen as positive signals for market liquidity and demand [11]. - The U.S. "Big Beautiful" bill, which extends tax cuts and increases spending, is expected to boost the global economy, despite criticisms regarding its impact on the renewable energy sector [14][15]. Investment Strategies - The article emphasizes the importance of high-dividend stocks in a low-interest-rate environment, suggesting that companies with stable dividends can serve as reliable income sources [17]. - It advocates for investing in industry leaders during market downturns, as these companies are likely to benefit from the failure of weaker competitors [18]. - The article warns against chasing market fads and highlights the potential for stable companies to provide better long-term returns [19][22].
Circle暴跌15%,稳定币还能稳定玩吗?
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-28 09:34
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent volatility in the stablecoin market, particularly focusing on Circle's USDC, and explores the broader implications of stablecoins in the financial ecosystem, especially in cross-border payments and their potential to reshape the global monetary system [3][4][18]. Summary by Sections Stablecoin Overview - Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value by being pegged to stable assets, with fiat-collateralized stablecoins being the most common type [6][9]. - The article categorizes stablecoins into four types: fiat-collateralized, crypto-collateralized, commodity-collateralized, and non-collateralized [8]. Market Dynamics - Circle's USDC experienced a significant drop of 15%, raising concerns among investors in the stablecoin market [3][5]. - The article highlights the relationship between the demand for stablecoins and the price movements of Bitcoin, indicating that as Bitcoin prices rise, the demand for stablecoins also increases [10]. Cross-Border Payment Potential - Stablecoins can serve as efficient settlement tools for cross-border transactions, offering low fees and fast transaction speeds compared to traditional banking systems [14][16]. - The potential for stablecoins to dominate the cross-border payment space could grant significant influence over the global monetary system to the issuers of the most widely used stablecoins [17]. Market Share and Future Outlook - As of June 2025, USD stablecoins dominate the market, accounting for 99.8% of the total stablecoin market, which reinforces the dollar's position rather than undermining it [18]. - The article suggests that the development of a Chinese RMB stablecoin is likely, driven by the need to compete in the stablecoin space, especially in light of the growing importance of stablecoins in global finance [13][18]. Investment Implications - The volatility of Circle's stock and its market capitalization relative to USDC's value indicates potential investment opportunities and risks within the stablecoin sector [19][20]. - The article concludes that stablecoins will continue to be a significant investment theme, despite short-term fluctuations in the market [20].
最后20席!错过等一年!
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-28 09:34
变局加速,机遇涌动!走过充满韧性的 2024 ,中国经济正以"新质生产力"为引擎,在 2025 年深化转型。政策红利持续释放,资本市场改革深化,外资加速回流人工智能、高端制造、绿 色能源等新经济赛道,一场以"新质"为核心的估值重构已然展开。 然而,全球棋局波谲云诡:地缘冲突未息、货币政策分化、供应链重塑承压、多国政治周期叠 加 ……如何在百年大变局的深化期,把握未来航向? 2025 年下半年,机遇与风险并存,投 资者如何优化策略,行稳致远? 答案,就在深圳! 2025 年 7 月 4 日 -5 日,格隆汇 2025 中期策略峰会 将再度点亮鹏城! 与远见者同行,与担当者共进! 请注意, 7 月 5 日全天的全球机构投资者思享会为收费活动,前排预留席位金额: 6 88/ 人 (早鸟价,原价 1 088/ 人), 限额前 7 2 位!已无名额 ! 这是一场智慧碰撞的盛宴,一次拨云见日的集结! 普通席位 3 88/ 人(早鸟价,原价 688/ 人) 仅剩 20 席,先到先得! 请联系专属客服购买票! 我们力邀顶尖思想领袖与实战精英,为您: 深度剖析全球与中国经济核心变局; 前瞻 "新质生产力"驱动的投资主脉络; 拆 ...
稳定币爆火!北京朝阳区金融科技公司冲击IPO,百度参投,2024年收入下滑
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-28 09:34
稳定币爆火!北京朝阳区金融科技公司冲击IPO,百度参投,2024年收入下滑 原创 阅读全文 格隆汇新股 ...
国产算力中心能否再次启动?
格隆汇APP· 2025-06-27 10:25
英伟达创始人黄仁勋公开表示,华为是英伟达面临一个很强的竞争对手,包括说到全球一半的 AI学者来自中国。 从 2月Deepseek发布后,各家大厂纷纷上调了自己的资本开支。国产算力迎来了一波气势如 虹的行情,再次期间迎来了一波让外资垂涎三尺的科技行情。 然而行情在腾讯公布完资本开支之后,明显有逐步的降温,4月的"关税战"更是迎来爆头一 击,这里随之而来就是连续3个月的下跌,基本是将涨幅跌去了一半。 这里最核心的问题是中美之间的摩擦,导致各家大厂有钱花不出去。 各家大厂都出现了拿卡难 的问题,这里会一定影响各家数据中心的扩张速度。 然而年初暴跌的英伟达历经 Deepseek对于算力需求不大以及"关税战"冲击之后已经重新新高 了,包括海外的几家数据中心也不断创下了新高。海外的需求依旧旺盛,各家大厂依旧是疯抢 算力卡。国内"易中天"三家达链光模块,有的甚至创出了历史新高。 面对 AI的浪潮来临,一些负面的声音更像是大海之中的一些小浪花。 面对AI这种最有想象力 的行业,国内自然也不会缺席,包括近期的中美之间的协商,将一些半导体的限制也是摆在桌 面去谈判,这里其中包括算力卡的出口放开条件。 与此同时国内在这一块也是奋起 ...